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Transcript
Sustainable Land Management and Its Relation
to Climate Change – Michael Stocking
Sustainable Land Management
and Its Relation to
Climate Change
Michael Stocking
Vice-Chair, GEF-STAP
Professor, University of East Anglia,
Norwich, UK
Two Sides of the
Same Coin
Land
degradation
Sustainable Land
Management
CSD16, Learning Centre course, New York – May 2008
1
Sustainable Land Management and Its Relation
to Climate Change – Michael Stocking
A systems view of SLM
Poverty
alleviation
Food
security
Livelihoods
Global
2
1
Biodiversity
Climate
Change
World’s Soil
Resources
Sustainable Land
Management
Land Degradation
Control
Techniques &
approaches
Knowledge &
research
3
Laws &
institutions
6
Strategies &
policies
4
Local
5
Intervention
points
Global environmental
change components
Priority topics in
SLM
1
Three ways to achieve
systems approach in SLM
• Find synergies with other focal areas
• Biodiversity
• Climate change (Intervention 1)
• International waters
• Relate SLM to global development agendas (2):
• Poverty alleviation
• Food security
• Livelihoods
Poverty
alleviation
• Identify practical interventions in:
•
•
•
•
Techniques and approaches (3)
Knowledge and research (4)
Strategies and policies (5)
Laws and institutions (6)
Biodiversity
Livelihoods
Global
2
Climate
Change
World’s Soil
Resources
Sustainable Land
Management
Techniques &
approaches
3
4
Land Degradation
Control
Knowledge &
research
Laws &
institutions
Strategies &
policies
6
Local
5
1
CSD16, Learning Centre course, New York – May 2008
Food
security
1
Intervention
points
Global environmental
change components
Priority topics
in SLM
2
Sustainable Land Management and Its Relation
to Climate Change – Michael Stocking
Key Principle – Synergy
“The interaction of two or more agents or
forces so that their combined effect is
greater than the sum of their individual
effects.”
Global Synergy Database:
http://csrp.com.au/database/index.html
- most examples are about achieving additional
benefits beyond the immediate purpose
To exploit the synergies …….
A systems approach is needed to:
- Harness benefits for development and
environment
- Capture ‘feedback’ loops
- Avoid simplistic responses
- Mimic the real world
CSD16, Learning Centre course, New York – May 2008
3
Sustainable Land Management and Its Relation
to Climate Change – Michael Stocking
Ecosystem services
•Provisioning
•Regulating
•Cultural
•Goods produced
or provided by
ecosystems
•Benefits obtained
from regulation of
ecosystem
processes
•Non-material
benefits from
ecosystems
The MA
Model –
Feedback
Loops in
Global
Change
Source: MA, 2004;
Gisladottir &
Stocking, 2005
CSD16, Learning Centre course, New York – May 2008
4
Sustainable Land Management and Its Relation
to Climate Change – Michael Stocking
A simple impact matrix
LD
CC
BD
√√√
√√
√√
CC
√
√√
√
BD
√√√
√
√√
…on….
LD
Major and bestrecognised
linkages
Important positive
(reinforcing)
feedback loops
Example of
land-based
synergies
Mid-hills of W. Nepal:
• Water conservation
• Carbon fixed
• Nutrients retained &
used
• Pressure off woodland
Plots near
Landruk,
W. Nepal
CSD16, Learning Centre course, New York – May 2008
5
Sustainable Land Management and Its Relation
to Climate Change – Michael Stocking
Yams within an agroforestry system
at Adwenso, southern Ghana
Sustainable Land Management
Definition: The use of renewable land resources
(soils, water, plants, and animals) for production
and services while protecting the long-term
productive potential of these resources.
Mandate: To coexist with nature so that the
productive, physiological, cultural and ecological
functions of natural resources are maintained for
the benefit of society.
Challenge: To harmonise the complementary but
often conflicting goals of production and
environmental protection.
CSD16, Learning Centre course, New York – May 2008
6
Sustainable Land Management and Its Relation
to Climate Change – Michael Stocking
LD is…….. a worldwide problem
And society deals with it…..
CSD16, Learning Centre course, New York – May 2008
7
Sustainable Land Management and Its Relation
to Climate Change – Michael Stocking
How much does land
degradation cost?
Monetary value of lost production about
$65 billion annually, consisting of:
¾$35 billion from rangeland, primarily in
arid and semi-arid zones
¾$12 billion from rainfed cropland, much
of this under subsistence farming
¾$17 billion from irrigated lands, through
salinisation and groundwater pollution
How much Carbon goes with
soil erosion?
Soil organic C pool is 40 – 100 t//ha
= c. 5% total soil is org C in top 10 cm
¾Organic C is selectively eroded [ER≥2]
¾On well-managed soils, loss=0.4 tC/ha/yr
¾On typical rainfed cropland, 2.5 tC/ha/yr
¾On steep slopes, no conservation,
10tC/ha/yr
CSD16, Learning Centre course, New York – May 2008
8
Sustainable Land Management and Its Relation
to Climate Change – Michael Stocking
What and who is affected?
Land out of production because of land
degradation – estimated at 5 to 7
million hectares a year
Proportion of earth’s land surface
affected seriously - 33%
Population affected by serious
degradation in drylands alone –
estimated at 2.6 billion people in more
than 100 countries
Linking SLM and CC
1. Agriculture’s ambivalent role
2. Opportunities in land use (LULUCF)
¾
¾
¾
¾
Soil management – soil biodiversity
Changing land use
Encouraging ‘agrodiversity’
Reducing emissions (REDD)
3. Carbon sequestration
CSD16, Learning Centre course, New York – May 2008
9
Sustainable Land Management and Its Relation
to Climate Change – Michael Stocking
1. Agriculture’s ambivalent role
• Agriculture contributes directly to CC via
emissions of methane and nitrous oxides
• It contributes indirectly via demand for
fertilizer, other chemicals and fuel
• Climate change, in turn, will change
agricultural production dramatically
• Agriculture is currently a net contributor to
climate change
Agriculture’s
contribution
GHG
% total
From agriculture
emissions & land-use change
CO2
72
Mineralization OM,
fuel, fire, devegetation (5% agric;
12% LUC)
CH4
20
Livestock grazing
(10% agric; 1% LUC)
N2O
7
Arable soils, livestock
waste (5% agric; 1%
LUC)
About 31% of all GHGs arise from
the ‘food chain’ [Source: European
Commission Technical Report EUR 22284,
May 2006 ]
CSD16, Learning Centre course, New York – May 2008
10
Sustainable Land Management and Its Relation
to Climate Change – Michael Stocking
2. Opportunities in land use
(LULUCF)
“Activities in the LULUCF sector can provide a
relatively cost-effective way of offsetting
emissions, either by increasing the removals of
greenhouse gases from the atmosphere (e.g. by
planting trees or managing forests), or by
reducing emissions (e.g. by curbing
deforestation)”
“But greenhouse gases may be unintentionally
released into the atmosphere if a sink is
damaged or destroyed through a forest fire or
disease.”
[Source: UNFCCC http://unfccc.int/methods_and_science/lulucf/items/3060.php ]
Practical examples of SLM
with benefits for CC
9Encouraging soil biodiversity
9Focus on ‘agrodiversity’
CSD16, Learning Centre course, New York – May 2008
11
Sustainable Land Management and Its Relation
to Climate Change – Michael Stocking
Soil Biodiversity:
Provider of
essential
ecosystem goods
and services
• Nutrient cycling
• Regulation of dynamics of soil organic matter
• Soil C sequestration and reduced GHG
emissions
• Modification of soil physical structure and
maintain water regimes
• Assistance to plant nutrient acquisition
• Enhancement of plant health...
Soil Biodiversity is
vast….and largely
uncharted
Soils may contain:
• several vertebrates and
earthworms
• 20-30 species of mites
• 50-100 species of insects
• tens of species of nematodes
• hundreds of species of fungi
• thousands of species of bacteria
CSD16, Learning Centre course, New York – May 2008
12
Sustainable Land Management and Its Relation
to Climate Change – Michael Stocking
From MicroMicroorganisms
e.g. bacteria + fungi
Complexity of soil life
MicroMicro-fauna:
e.g. protozoa +
nematodes
MesoMesofauna e.g.
acari +
springtails
MacroMacro-fauna e.g. insects
+ earthworms
...and the roots that
grow in the soil and
interact with other
species above and
below ground
Soil biodiversity particularly
important to poor farmers
The goods and services provided by diverse soil organisms
and their interactions are of particular significance.
• Maintaining soil
productivity free
• Reducing need for
mineral fertilizers
• Increasing efficiency
of use of inputs
• Making soil easier
to manage
CSD16, Learning Centre course, New York – May 2008
13
Sustainable Land Management and Its Relation
to Climate Change – Michael Stocking
People, Land Management
and Environmental Change
(PLEC)
Agrodiversity - a good news story
CSD16, Learning Centre course, New York – May 2008
14
Sustainable Land Management and Its Relation
to Climate Change – Michael Stocking
PLEC verified complex stories
in complex landscapes
Upper-slope
sediment,
nutrient and
water
sources
Rice
paddies
harvesting
sediment
Highly
productive
Kandy home
gardens
Agrodiversity
link to
livelihoods
• Different farmers have
different opportunities
• sloping land affords
different challenges
• poorer farmers have
steepest land, but often
the greatest agrodiversity
CSD16, Learning Centre course, New York – May 2008
15
Sustainable Land Management and Its Relation
to Climate Change – Michael Stocking
Working with
farmers
PLEC-Papua New Guinea
Field Indicators for SLM &
agrodiversity
PLEC-Uganda
CSD16, Learning Centre course, New York – May 2008
16
Sustainable Land Management and Its Relation
to Climate Change – Michael Stocking
Soil indicators - Sri Lanka Hill Lands
Crop growth changes
according to erosion
Soil surface indicators:
micro-pedestals, rills,
armour layer
Variable soil depth
on terrace
Build-up of soil behind
Gliricidia hedge
Compare soil colour
between eroded and
non-eroded parts
Locally adapted
techniques of soil
management
These are the sort of
benefits that farmers
have told us they
appreciate
CSD16, Learning Centre course, New York – May 2008
17
Sustainable Land Management and Its Relation
to Climate Change – Michael Stocking
Potential Role of Forests
Potential rate of carbon sequestration in period 2008-2012 that might be induced by
an afforestation project carried out in 2000; simulated with a model of forest carbon
cycle for average climate. [Source: Center for Global Environment Research, Japan]
3. Carbon Sequestration
Atmospheric levels of CO2 have risen from
preindustrial levels of 280 parts per million (ppm)
to present levels of 375 ppm.
Carbon sequestration refers to the provision of
long-term storage of carbon in the terrestrial
biosphere, underground, or the oceans so that
the build-up of carbon dioxide (the principal
greenhouse gas) concentration in the
atmosphere will reduce or slow.
CSD16, Learning Centre course, New York – May 2008
18
Sustainable Land Management and Its Relation
to Climate Change – Michael Stocking
Terrestrial Carbon sequestration
Definition: The net removal of CO2 from atmosphere into terrestrial pools of C
Process: Photosynthesis
Soil organic C
Storage: ..............................
trees
roots
Inorganic C deep in soils
Soil carbon - the major part of the
global C pool
Pool
Amount of carbon
(Gigatons – 109 t)
Atmosphere
750
Soil (organic)
1400
Soil (inorganic)
930
Living vegetation
760
9
9
9
9
Soil C > 3 times Atmos. C
Soil C > 3 times C in all vegetation
60% of all global C is in the soil
But organic soil C is transient and volatile
NB – the oceans have 38,000 Gigatons – 10 times all terrestrial & atmos. C
CSD16, Learning Centre course, New York – May 2008
19
Sustainable Land Management and Its Relation
to Climate Change – Michael Stocking
Agricultural C-sequestration
9 Develop diversified annual cropping systems to replace
monoculture
9 Add organic matter amendments
9 Practices that minimize soil disturbance
9 Retain residues
Tillage
No-Till
CSD16, Learning Centre course, New York – May 2008
20
Sustainable Land Management and Its Relation
to Climate Change – Michael Stocking
Terracing and agro-forestry
Practices that maintain and restore soil organic matter
CSD16, Learning Centre course, New York – May 2008
21
Sustainable Land Management and Its Relation
to Climate Change – Michael Stocking
Issue 1 - Technical Potential
Changing land management practices can restore soil C
Soil C
Annual average rate of C accumulation = (CC – CV)/(T2 – T1)
C0
CC
What happens after T2?
CV
T0
T1
Begin conventional land
use practice
Adopt conservation
management
T2
Time
Maximum sequestration
potential reached
Issue 2 - Saturation
Gitz et al 2004
9 Sequestration accumulates C until absorptive capacity is
used up
9 10-15 years for tillage [Source: West & Post]
9 30-70 years for forest carbon. [Source: Birdsey]
9 Majority of gains occur in first years
CSD16, Learning Centre course, New York – May 2008
22
Sustainable Land Management and Its Relation
to Climate Change – Michael Stocking
Issue 3 - Volatility
Gitz et al 2004
9 When practice is discontinued, most C released quickly
9 Essential to encourage and maintain sustainable land
management
Conclusion
• Linking SLM and CC technically possible
• Many opportunities exist, but
– Exploit the synergies
– Beware the complex processes
– Calculate the cost
– Utilise local knowledge
• Suitable policies and strategies needed to
create an enabling environment ….
CSD16, Learning Centre course, New York – May 2008
23