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Transcript
The basic model II Zhuobin Li Outline Latent period and maternal antibodies Stochastic aspects of persistence of infection within a population Basic Model Assumption Previous model Age-specific host death rate, per capita Age-specific recovery rate Age-specific disease-induced death rate ‘force of infection’ at time t Latent period Model with inborn immunity Host population be born into an immune class Population in latent period Rate of transferring from latent class to infected class Rate of transferring from immune class to susceptible class Latent period Solution Maternal antibodies Antibody with the new born baby Maternal antibodies Maternal antibodies Maternal antibodies The average age at which individuals acquire infection, A. Maternal antibodies Stochastic aspects Stochastic aspects Stochastic aspects Stochastic aspects