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REPORT ON KEY OPACE2 ACHIEVEMENTS, CHALENGES AND REQUIREMENTS: ET-NCMP, TT-URCDCM AND ETCCDI By Fatima Driouech (OPACE2, co-chair) WMO/CCl MG-2016, Yerevan, Armenia, 6-8 September 2016 ET on National Climate Monitoring Products (ET-NCMP) Meetings and Activities 1 face to face meeting (Marrakech) and 7 teleconf fruitful meetings, large participation of members A survey on the National climate monitoring products (what?, how?, How many?) 60 responses A list of focal points for the NCMPs 30 Analysis sheared with OPACEs TT/ET 25 20 & Focal points 15 10 5 Region VI (Europe) Region V (S.Pacific) Region IV (N.America, C.America, Caribbean) Region III (S.America) Region II (Asia) 0 Region I (Africa) - Most calculate monthly temperature and precipitation anomalies - 2/3 calculate area averages - 1/2 calculate monthly SPI ET on National Climate Monitoring Products (ET-NCMP) Main Achievements Finalization of the Guidance for NCMPs Under external review (CCl-MG) Comments received (waiting for others if any) ET on National Climate Monitoring Products (ET-NCMP) Main Achievements (Ctnd) Software and user manual under internal review OPACE-2 ( John Kennedy) Coordinated the WMO Annual Statement on the Status of Global Climate for 2014 and 2015 released in provisional form at COP20 and COP21 respectively and formally published in March the following year ET on National Climate Monitoring Products (ET-NCMP) Next steps and Challenges Melbourne meeting : the next steps & review of challenges Finalize version 2 of guidance (including comments) and format for publication Finalize the computing software A first capacity building/ implementing workshop late 2017 (??) ! Some challenges encountered in Software Developments but a good progress have been done TT on the use of Remote Sensing Data for Climate Monitoring (TT-URSDCM) Meetings 1 face to face meeting (in Pretoria) and 2 teleconf Main Achievements • A paper on the use of weather radar data for climate monitoring/purposes in RA VI has been elaborated; Use of Weather Radar Data in WMO Region VI Countries. TT on the use of Remote Sensing Data for Climate Monitoring (TT-URSDCM) Main Achievements (Ctnd) Papers on the use of lightning detection data for climate monitoring/purposes have been collected and will be made available to Members incl. NCMP Focal Points. ! Some Challenge - The representative from WMO Region I has resigned the TT got an offer to replace him with a new colleague from Ghana: Nana ama browne klutse (Ph.D) Remote Sensing and Climate Center (Ghana Space Science and Technology Institute) CCl-MG agreement ? TT on the use of Remote Sensing Data for Climate Monitoring (TT-URSDCM) Scheduled Activities on Radar data from other regions are currently collected. Information will be made available to Members incl. NCMP Focal Points. (The aim is (i) to promote the use of weather radar data to complement climate data sets and (ii) to facilitate the definition of climate requirements for the storage, management and accessibility/usability of weather radar data. ) A close collaboration with CBS and IPTCDMP is planned. A review of the CEOS/CGMS/WMO ECV inventory in order to identify data sets suitable for operational climate monitoring; results will be communicated to Members incl. NCMP Focal Points. Next teleconf in September ET on Climate Change Detection Indices (ET-CCDI) Main Achievements A new RClimDex nearly ready for posting (Code ready, document is scheduled for the next 2months). Calculation consistent with the one used for model data. Can process multiple stations at once. Xuebin attended the CR4D capacity building workshop in Botswana late May. This leads to an invitation to have a central and southern African workshop. Discussions on meta data requirement for model indices with CORDEX (and CLIPC). Discussions within the WCRP on updating indices data ==>planning. ET on Climate Change Detection Indices (ET-CCDI) Main Achievements (Ctnd) Marine indices: Codes developed for calculating : Extreme wave height & Extreme water level indices. Extreme wave Extreme height indices water(moored level indices buoy(GLOSS data, reanalysis tide gauge anddata) model scheduled) ID ID HsMx WlMx Indicator name Indicator name Monthly max Hswater level Monthly max Definitions Units Definitions Units Monthly maximum value of significant Monthly maximum value of water level (Wl) wave height (Hs) m m HsAx WlMn Annual maxmin Hs water level Monthly Annual value significant Monthlymaximum minimum value of of water level (Wl)wave height (Hs) mm HsRo WlAx Rough wave days Annual max water level Annual count ofvalue daysofwhen Annual maximum waterdaily level max (Wl) Hs > 2.5 m m days HsHi WlAn HighAnnual wavemin dayswater level Annual count ofvalue daysofwhen max Hs > 6 m Annual minimum waterdaily level (Wl) m days Frequency of extreme high water level Annual Annual percentage of days when daily daily max Wl > 90th fHsRo percentage of days when max Hs percentile > 2.5 m fWlX90p Frequency of rough wave days days fHsHi Frequency of high wave days fHs90p Frequency of top decile wave days fWlN10p HWlDI Frequency of extreme low water level days High water level spell duration indicator fHs10p Frequency of low decile wave days HHsDI Top decile wave spell duration indicator % % (all calendar days share the same percentiles) Annual percentage of days when Hspercentile >6m % Annual percentage of days when daily daily min Wlmax < 10th of base period (1961-1990?) (all calendar days share the same % Annual percentage of days when daily max Hs > 90th percentiles) percentile of base period (1961-1990?) (all calendar days % Annual count of days with at least 2 consecutive days when daily share same percentiles) max Wlthe > 90th percentile of base period (1961-1990?) (all days Annual percentage of days when daily max Hs < 10th calendar days share the same percentiles) percentile of base period (1961-1990?) (all calendar days % share the same percentiles) Annual count of days with at least 2 consecutive days when daily max Hs > 90th percentile of base period (1961- days 1990?) (all calendar days share the same percentiles) ET on Climate Change Detection Indices (ET-CCDI) Main Achievements (Ctnd) Two ETCCDI-like regional workshops One in Arusha, Tanzania, November 2015 for the Indian Ocean Rim countries. A report for the donors has been produced A scientific regional assessment is underway. A second one was held in Guatemala, October 2015 (was attended by all the Mesoamerican met services. Progress is underway for advancing in QC and homogenisation to better assess changes in extremes over Mesoamerica. ET on Climate Change Detection Indices (ET-CCDI) Future work scheduled: User guide for the new Rclimdex Storm surge indices (software) and User guide for marine indices ETCCDI workshop for Central Southern Africa in Gaborone next year. Financial aspect (! Some challenge) Ongoing work in Europe on indices from models and observations (as part of the CLIPC and IS-ENES projects of the EU and as part of planned EU-Copernicus services). Contribution to the IPCC AR6 cycle (Updating indices, Meta data requirements for model indices, …) Future direction (suggestions): Enhanced WMO Climate Statements and multiyear climate reports based on generation and dissemination of NCMPs Monitoring climate indicators (post Paris agreement) (sea ice, sea level, …, Extension of CMPs) Taking more benefit from remote sensing (Radar, Satellite, lightning, …) Yerevan by night Thank you