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Name:_____Solutions______Student number:____________________ ATOC 185 / EPSC 185 Natural Disasters Mid-Term Examination, 18 October 2010, 6:30-8:30 PM Instructions: There are 30 questions on this test. Answer your choice of any 25 questions. Each question is worth 4 points. If you answer more than 25 questions, only the first 25 questions will be marked. All answers should be short-answer, from several words to several sentences. Provide all answers on the test sheet itself. No aids are allowed except for translation dictionaries. This test comprises 9 pages. 1. Explain the following statement that we discussed in class: ‘Mother nature is non-deterministic’. Natural phenomena are NOT 100% predictable, or even close to being 100% predictable. Or Natural phenomena are inherently unpredictable. OR Natural phenomena occur, without exception, as a result of a well-understood cause (the cause-and-effect relationship). OR Natural phenomena predictions need to be articulated in a probabilistic manner. 2. Define what is meant by the ‘vulnerability’ of a particular location to a natural disaster. Vulnerability is the potential loss, or the degree of loss, associated with a particular event. Name:_____________________________Student number:___________________Page 2 3. Discuss the weather that we would expect directly in the center of the ‘eye’ of the hurricane. Why would you expect such weather to occur? We would expect ‘good’ or ‘fair’ weather with relatively clear skies, and subsiding motions. These subsiding motions are associated with the compensating downward motions from the adjacent strong convective (thunderstorm) activity embedded in the eyewall. 4. Name the primary weather hazard associated with a hurricane that has moved over land, and into the latitude (northern location) of Montreal. Heavy rains and possible flooding. 5. Consider the situation in which you are a resident of Vancouver in British Columbia, along the Pacific coast of Canada. If there were a strong El Niño occurring during the period of December, January, and February (the Northern Hemisphere winter), what impact of this El Niño would you expect on the Vancouver winter weather? I would expect to experience unusually warm conditions. 6. Though ocean temperatures may be very warm in the vicinity of the equator, would you expect hurricanes or typhoons to occur in this region? Why or why not? No. There is not enough of the Coriolis force to allow for the winds to rotate. 7. Discuss one weather-related consequence of a strong El Niño along the west coast of South America. There would be the possibility of relatively heavy rains and flooding. Name:_____________________________Student number:___________________Page 3 8. In what tectonic setting are the largest and most destructive earthquakes found and why? -subduction zones, around the Pacific Ring of fire -The friction from the colliding plates stores up enormous energy over time. -The elastic rebound theory is an explanation for how energy is released during earthquakes. As rocks on opposite sides of a fault are subjected to force, they accumulate energy and slowly deform until their internal strength is exceeded. At that time, a sudden movement occurs along the fault, releasing the accumulated energy, and the rocks snap back to their original undeformed shape. 9. The San Andreas, Cascadia and Quebec earthquakes are found on different tectonic settings. Cite and explain each study case. The San Andreas is a Transform boundary between the Pacific plate and the North American plate. The plates are moving horizontally past each other. Pacific plate moves northwest North American plate moves southeast (relative to fault) Some parts of the fault lock up and store energy Release it in abrupt motions, large earthquakes Other parts of the fault move smoothly Cause ground deformation, but only small earthquakes Cascadia Subduction Zone is a very long sloping fault that stretches from mid-Vancouver Island to Northern California. In the Pacific Northwest, the tectonic regime is subduction-related. Here, there is evidence for very large earthquakes over the last several thousand years…the most recent is 300 years ago Quebec has high levels of seismicity for a zone in the interior of a tectonic plate This seismicity may be related to old, aborted rifts about 200 Ma ago. Failed rifts are ancient to modern features where continental rifting began, but then failed to continue. Name:_____________________________Student number:___________________Page 4 10. Compare brittle and ductile deformation. Give examples. Brittle deformation Rock breaks if applied stress is too great Rocks at or near surface (cold, low pressure) tend to deform by brittle rupture Object absorbs energy, exceeds elastic limit and breaks, Permanent deformation Exp: drop down a plate, it shatters A crack or a fault formation Ductile deformation: Permanent deformation caused by flowing and folding at stresses Above elastic limit high confining pressure and/or temperature Warm rocks tend to deform plastically Object absorbs, internally consumes energy, permanent deformation Exp: squeezing clay modeling Folds formation Any other plausible example is acceptable 11. Explain how liquefaction occurs in an earthquake and how it can cause damage. Occurs on sediments during earthquake shaking. Groundwater can move upwards due to the shaking. Water lubricates contact between sediment grains. Weakens sediments. Liquefaction has two consequences Amplifies shaking in structures Causes buildings to sink into sediment 12. Why are Mauna Loa and Kilauea in the Hawaiian Islands the best example of intraplate volcanism? How do they form? Mauna Loa and Kilauea in the Hawaiian Islands the best example of intraplate volcanism because they are still actives. More lava is extruded here constantly than anywhere else on Earth. Basaltic magmas at hot spots are derived from deep within the mantle to form shield volcanoes. The magmas are fed by deep mantle plumes which are stationary relative to the drifting tectonic plates. This causes the original volcano to become extinct when its move cuts it off from its magma source and an island is born. A new volcano will then form above the hot spot again. This process repeats as the plate moves and a string of volcanoes (and eventually, islands) will dot the surface of the plate as the movement continues away from the hot spot. Name:_____________________________Student number:___________________Page 5 13. What are the main factors that influence the explosivity of magmas? • Three factors affect the explosivity of a volcano – Temperature of magma • High-temperature, less explosive – Composition of magma • Less silica, less explosive – Gas content of magma • Less gas, less explosive Viscosity and gas content are also acceptable answers. • – 14. Explain the difference between a lava flow and a pyroclastic flow. Why are lava flows generally not dangerous, but pyroclastic flows are? • Pyroclastic flows are suspensions of hot pyroclastic material, air, and gas which descend under the influence of gravity. Their velocity is generally very high (50-500 km/hr) and their temperature can attain 1000 C. These flows can incinerate everything in their path. • • A lava flow is a moving outpouring of molten rock, which is created during a non-explosive effusive eruption. Due to its low silica content and high temperature, it is quite fluid (but stickier than maple syrup), yet lava usually flows fairly slowly and can be diverted. Name:_____________________________Student number:___________________Page 6 15. Sketch normal and reverse faults. How do these two faults form? A normal fault is the result of tensional forces (e.g., rifting) Reverse and thrust faults are the result of horizontal compression 16. Hot spots are responsible for both Yellowstone and Hawaii volcanism. How those two types of volcanism differ and why ? The Yellowstone hot spot is beneath a continental crust. Melting of that crust will generate a viscous magama----more gases----gases can not escape or flow out--energy build up inside the magma chamber----fissures---magma chamber will empty= Caldera formation Hawaii hot spot forms beneath an oceanic plate---basalt generation---less viscous--less gas---lava flowing out easily----Shield volcanoes. Name:_____________________________Student number:___________________Page 7 17. What is a lahar? Explain the concept of bulking of lahars. A lahar is a fast, liquid flow arising when a pyroclastic flow mixes with water from snow fields or nearby streams or rivers. As they progress, lahars can undergo a process called “bulking”---Incorporate material from the area they flow over------Erode sides of existing drainage channel 18. Contrast an island volcanic arc with a continental volcanic arc. In an island volcanic arc, the overriding plate at the subduction zone is composed of oceanic lithosphere. Resultant volcanism produces an island chain dominated by basalt (e.g. Aleutians) In continental volcanic arc, the overriding plate is continental lithosphere. A chain of terrestrial volcanoes extruding andesitic lava is produced. 19. Why was the 1906 San Francisco earthquake so destructive? The 1906 San Francisco earthquake was caused by a rupture on the San Andreas Fault, a continental transform fault that forms part of the boundary between the Pacific Plate and the North American Plate As damaging as the earthquake and its aftershocks were, the fires that burned out of control afterward were even more destructive. It has been estimated that up to 90% of the total destruction was the result of the subsequent fire Damage to water mains prevents or hinders fire fighting efforts 20. Describe the two types of faults which generate destructive earthquakes in the Los Angeles area, as discussed in the movie, “Killer Quake”. Strike slip fault: One of the major faults is the San Andreas Fault. Located at the boundary between the Pacific Plate and the North American Plate. Blind thrust fault: A shallow-dipping reverse fault which terminates before it reaches the surface. When it breaks, therefore, it may produce uplift, but never any clear surface rupture. Many still-unknown blind thrust faults may exist in southern California. Name:_____________________________Student number:___________________Page 8 21. Why are earthquakes along subduction zones more violent than those along divergent margins? Explain -Under compression rocks are very strong---store more energy over time---rocks overcome the elastic limit and break---energy release -under tension rocks are very weak------less energy stored with time---the elastic limit is overcome in a short time----rupture----energy release 22. Describe the differences between shield volcanoes and stratovolcanoes. How are these differences explained by the composition of their lavas? Shield volcanoes are gently sloped domes typically composed of basaltic volcanic rock. The lava that forms these rocks is of low viscosity, so it flows easily. Stratovolcanoes or composite volcanoes are large conic volcanoes. They are the result of multiple eruptions, which have in turn produced both effusive lava and pyroclastics. 23. Name at least two reasons why most of the Atlantic Ocean’s easterly waves do not evolve into hurricanes. Take two: There is usually strong descending air producing an inversion, inhibiting thunderstorms. Vertical wind shear destroys the tendency for the cloud systems to stay together. The middle layers of the atmosphere are too dry for the cloud systems to be maintained. 24. Why is it that we need very warm sea-surface temperatures for hurricanes to form? Increasingly warm sea-surface temperatures allow for more latent heat of condensation. This latent heating is the essential process by which hurricanes form. 25. During an extremely strong El Niño event, would you expect any hurricanes to form along the west coast of South America? Why or why not? No. The sea-surface temperatures, though unusually warm, are still too cold for hurricanes to form. Name:_____________________________Student number:___________________Page 9 26. Define a ‘storm surge’. What atmospheric (meteorological) processes are responsible for storm surges? It is a 8-160 km wide dome of water that sweeps over the coastline during the hurricane’s landfall. Strong onshore winds and relatively low air pressure are responsible for a storm surge. 27. Assume a north-south oriented coastline, such as that of the North American east coast. If an Atlantic Ocean hurricane is travelling directly into the coastline from the east, where with respect to the hurricane center, would you expect to see the most coastline damage or impact of that hurricane upon landfall? Explain your reasoning, with a sketch. Most of the damage occurs to the right of track. The reasoning is that the strongest winds impacting land are to the right (north) of track, because of the onshore (less friction) component, and that the wind is travelling with (not against) the movement of the storm. Name:_____________________________Student number:___________________ Page 10 28. Discuss the relationship of the Southern Oscillation to El Niño? During the negative phase of the Southern Oscillation, when the pressures are relatively low in the vicinity of Tahiti, there is an El Nino. This is associated with either weaker than average easterly winds, or actual westerlies in response to an unusually strong west-to-east pressure gradient. 29. The typical winds that occur over the tropical waters of the Pacific Ocean are easterly (winds from the east). Discuss the consequences of these winds shifting to westerly (from the west) on the state of the ocean along the west coast of South America. As the atmospheric westerlies arise over the ocean, the currents respond with westerlies, allowing for the warm waters in the west to be transported to the east, thereby providing unusually warm water in the central and eastern regions. This transport of warmer waters to the east also tends to suppress the upwelling of cold water in the eastern and central parts of the ocean. 30. Define the La Niña phenomenon. What weather-related consequence would you expect to see in northern Australia and in Indonesia? Take one: 1. La Nina is the opposite of El Nino, namely, with unusually warm oceans in the western Pacific and unusually cold waters in the eastern Pacific. 2. La Nina is also characterized by unusually low pressures in the western part of the ocean, and unusually high pressure in the eastern/central part of the Pacific Ocean. 3. La Nina is also associated with unusually strong easterly trade winds across the tropical Pacific. 4. We should expect to see heavy rains and flooding in northern Australia and Indonesia. Name:_____________________________Student number:___________________ Page 11 *** Not for student use. 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