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MONITOR-2016 Background Briefing Book Technical Committee on Monitoring Version 2, October 4, 2016 PICES 2016 San Diego, USA November 1-13, 2016 MONITOR 1 MONITOR-2015 Note to members. Oct. 4, 2016: I. Due ASAP: Session, workshop proposals for PICES 2017 II. Due Oct. 24: Agenda Item 8e: Review collaborations with other organizations, tiers, and trends. III. Due prior to meeting (the sooner the better): Agenda Item 2: please consider being a judge of posters and presentations. Agenda Item 3: o What are your event sponsorship expectations for 2017? For example 1.) ocean observing training workshop, and 2.) sending a MONITOR representative to annual NEAR-GOOS meeting. o How many business meeting days do APs need at PICES 2017? o Do you have any publications to report? o Do you have any requests that require financial support? Agenda Item 3a: Discuss how to make FUTURE more prominent at PICES. Agenda Item 3a: How does your expert group map onto the FUTURE schematic (see attached powerpoint draft)? Agenda Item 8b: review of standing committees. Identify main scientific elements/activities and upcoming challenges. IV. Science Board Agenda Items for your input. If you have opinions on these, please send them to me before Oct. 24: A: Discussion of PICES Annual Meeting Structure Length of meeting Number of workshops/sessions Funding model for invited speakers Online template, timelines, etc. B: Schedule for PICES-2017 and Intersessional Workshops Might consider concurrent full day paper sessions of BIO, POC, MEQ, FIS, MONITOR, and TCODE (e.g., 6 concurrent sessions) C. PICES Reports: electronic or paper Nine MONITOR committee members provided feedback. Nine people preferred electronic copies for themselves. In addition to an electronic copy, Sung Yong Kim also preferred a paper copy for his students. If you have a different opinion, please let me know. MONITOR 2 MONITOR-2016 The Technical Committee on Monitoring (hereafter MONITOR) will meet in San Diego, USA from 18:00 to 20:00 on November 6, 2016 and from 14:00 to 20:00 on November 9, 2016. NOTE: times are different than PICES Schedule. Prior to the meetings, this MONITOR briefing book, containing the draft agenda and information regarding agenda items, was circulated to MONITOR members. The briefing book will be updated and recirculated prior to the meetings, as new information on agenda items is provided. DRAFT MONITOR meeting agenda NOTE: If Agenda Items are finished early, we will continue with the next Agenda Item, so times may shift. November 6, 2016 1. 18:00- 18:10 Welcome, Introductions and Sign-in (all) 2. 18:10-18:40 PICES-2016 information and judges 3. Reports from PICES groups (presenters, please reserve time for questions): a. 18:40-18:55 Report from FUTURE SSC (Lobanov) b. 18:55-19:10 Status of Pacific Continuous Plankton Recorder (CPR) program and activities of SAHFOS and GACS (Batten) c. 19:10-19:25 Activities of AP-NPCOOS (Barth and Kim) d. 19:25-1940 Activities of AP-CREAMS and POC (Lobanov) e. 19:40-19:55 Activities of SG-NPESR (Mundy or representative?) 4. 19:55-20:00 Other business November 9, 2016 5. 6. 7. 8. 14:00-14:10 Welcome, Introductions, and Sign-in 14:10-14:30 MONITOR Terms of Reference and Action Plan 14:30-15:00 Proposals for PICES-2017 15:00-15:20 ICES ASC theme session proposals 15:20-16:20 Notes or action items from Science Board and ISB-2016 (Boldt) a. SCOR proposal ranking b. Review of Standing Committees c. New Expert Groups d. EAST I report e. Collaborations with other organizations f. 4th climate change symposium g. Ideas for collaboration with ICES 16:20-16:35 Break 9. 16:35-16:40 Report on POMA (Boldt) 10. 16:40-18:40 Relations with specific international and national organizations and programs 5-10 minutes each a. Sir Alister Hardy Foundation for Ocean Science(SAHFOS) – Wilson (confirmed) b. International collaboration in ship-based ecosystem monitoring – Valdez (confirmed) c. International Program for deployment of profiling floats (Argo) –Scanderbeg (confirmed) d. Partnership for Observation of the Global Oceans (POGO) – Leinen e. Ecosystem Study on the Sub-Arctic and Arctic Seas (ESSAS) –Saitoh (confirmed) f. World Ocean Assessment II program –Chiba (confirmed) MONITOR 3 MONITOR-2015 GOOS-Bio/Eco Panel –Chiba (confirmed) North East Asian Regional (NEAR-GOOS) –Lobanov (confirmed) Ocean Observing System (AOOS) –Janzen or Eisner (confirmed) Northwest Association of Networked Ocean Observing Systems (NANOOS) –Newton (confirmed) k. Central and Northern California Ocean Observing System (CeNCOOS) -Barth l. Southern California Coastal Ocean Observing System (SCCOOS) –Anderson m. North Pacific Research Board (NPRB) –Baker (confirmed) g. h. i. j. 18:40-18:50 Break 11. 18:50-19:50 National reports – Written and Oral a. Written national reports to be provided prior to the PICES meeting. Written reports should include all relevant monitoring activities for all relevant years. Written reports will be posted to the PICES web page. b. Oral presentation should include highlights and updates in national reports of relevant monitor/observation activities from the last year. Powerpoint presentations will be posted to the PICES web page. Canada (Boldt, Ross) China (Li, Zhao, Zhang) Japan (Chiba, Saitoh, Tadokoro) Korea (Han, Kim, Park) Russia (Kulik, Lobanov) United States (Barth, Napp, Eisner) 12. 19:50-20:00 MONITOR 4 Other business MONITOR-2016 Sunday, November 6, 2016 AGENDA ITEM 1 Welcome and introductions MONITOR Chair, Dr. Jennifer Boldt, will call the meeting to order, participants will introduce themselves, and the agenda will be reviewed and adopted. AGENDA ITEM 2 PICES-2016 information a. Topic Sessions and Workshops S5: BIO/MONITOR/MEQ Topic Session Understanding our Changing Oceans through Species Distributions and Habitat Models based on Remotely Sensed Data Convenors: Patrick O’Hara (Canada), Elliott Hazen (USA), Sei-Ichi Saitoh (Japan), Yutaka Watanuki (Japan) Invited Speakers: Robert Suryan (Oregon State University, OR, USA) Determining marine animal distributions directly through at-sea observations or tracking is costly and logistically challenging. Moreover, even with limitless time and resources, information is limited because many species disperse over long distances including trans-hemispheric migrants. Species Distribution Models (SDMs) provide a tool to estimate present distributions and to project into the future (assuming species-environment relationships remain strong), but these models require substantial environmental data to accurately predict distribution and change. Increasingly, SDM approaches rely on remotely-sensed satellite data as indices of environmental conditions, particularly as proxies for primary and possibly secondary productivity. Satellite datasets are inexpensive to use, widely served, well-documented (i.e., scientifically defensible), and globally synoptic, allowing for easy spatio-temporal comparisons. However, satellite-borne sensors measure characteristics of the ocean at the surface while marine organisms respond to spatial and temporal features of the ocean at depth, which may require more complex approaches. In this session, we will investigate the opportunities and challenges of using satellite-based habitat models and ways we can advance SDMs for a better understanding our changing oceans and for improving management. In particular, we solicit papers exploring the benefits and tradeoffs of using satellite-borne data to detect mechanisms of distributional and range shifts. This session will provide the PICES community and the FUTURE program with a better sense of the quality of fisheries, seabird, and marine mammal SDM under development in relation to climate change in the North Pacific. S6: POC/MEQ/MONITOR/BIO Topic Session What Factors make or break Trophic Linkages? Convenors: Elliott L. Hazen (USA), Jameal Samhouri (USA), Shin-Ichi Ito (Japan), Jennifer Boldt (Canada) Invited Speakers: Masashi Kiyota (National Research Institute of Far Seas Fishereis, Fishey Resarch Agency, Japan); Kenneth Rose (College of the Coast & Environment, Louisiana State University, USA) Mechanistic linkages from physics to phytoplankton to zooplankton to fish remain central to understanding climate forcing on marine ecosystems. Thus, it will be useful to understand how MONITOR 5 MONITOR-2015 ecosystem linkages and species distribution are influenced by ocean features and how these linkages translate through the food web. Specifically, what information can be gained from moving beyond a single linkage (e.g. phytoplankton to zooplankton) towards a comparison across trophic levels in three very different North Pacific ecosystems. Examples of such factors may include but are not limited to broad scale anomalies (e.g. the blob, ENSO events, Kuroshio / Oyashio dynamics), temporal mismatches among physical processes, prey, and predators (match / mismatch hypothesis), and population fluctuations (e.g. lipid poor vs. lipid rich zooplankton). We have suggested (but are not limited to) three study areas, the California Current, the Kuroshio Current, and the Bering Sea to examine linkages from physics to phytoplankton, phytoplankton to zooplankton, zooplankton to fish, birds and mammals, and fish to birds and mammals. By looking at multiple ecosystems and trends and anomalies across multiple trophic linkages, we can better understand how climate variability and anthropogenic forcing may cascade through these marine ecosystems. We propose a topic session that will involve participation from multiple PICES committees and will focus on physical forcing and trophic linkages from physics to top predators. Specifically, we request presentations on topics that (a) examine how changes in physical oceanography lead to long term trends or anomalous responses in primary production, zooplankton, fish, and top predators, (b) examine how trophic relationships may respond to physical forcing and changes in species abundance and spatial distribution, and (c) test for threshold responses (non-linearity) across trophic levels to changes in physical oceanography and the population dynamics of other species (competitors, prey, and predators). S12: MONITOR/BIO/TCODE Topic Session Causes and Consequences of 25 Years of Variability in Ocean Conditions on the Ecosystems of the North Pacific Convenors: Bill Peterson (USA), Jack Barth (USA), Sanae Chiba (Japan), Yury Zuenko (Russia) Invited Speakers: Emanuele Di Lorenzo (Earth & Atmospheric Sciences, Georgia Institute of Technology, USA); Art Miller (Scripps Institution of Oceanography, University of California-San Diego, USA) Climate change is upon us in terms of both slow chronic change and increased physical and ecosystem variability. Slow increases in SST, ice melting, sea level, hypoxia, ocean acidification and northward shifts in species are cause for concern, however for many scientists, climate variability at the seasonal-to-interannual time scale is of greater interest. This is especially true for the North Pacific where PICES scientists have been leaders in showing how increased variability in physical forcing at the basin scale (e.g., the PDO, NPGO and ENSO) affects productivity of marine ecosystems. Indeed, recognition of the impact of physical forcing at the basin scale on local ecosystems was among the earlier focal points of PICES research and clearly opened our eyes to the need to look at the physical forcing across the entire basin, not just local drivers of ecosystem variability. In the 25 years since PICES was established, many unusual oceanographic events have occurred in the throughout North Pacific that have affected the physics, plankton and fisheries: change in the PDO from 20-30 year cycles to the 5-10 year cycles seen at present, the extended "warm ocean" period of 1993-1998 that resulted in the listing of many salmon species as threatened or endangered, the really big El Niño events of 1997-98 and 2015-16, the 2002 sub-Arctic intrusion, the smaller 2003-2005 and 2009-10 El Niño events, the cold North Pacific in 2008, and of course the warm Blob in 2014. We seek papers that analyze and synthesize regional variations in recent climate variability and ecosystem response in coastal waters off Asia as well as the Sea of Okhotsk, Bering Sea, and the major current systems: Kuroshio, Oyashio, North pacific and California Currents. Email S12 Convenors Email S12 Invited Speakers MONITOR 6 MONITOR-2016 S13: MONITOR/TCODE Topic Session Understanding the Changing Coastal Ocean: Advances and Challenges in Multi-parameter Observations Convenors: Vyacheslav B. Lobanov (Russia), Matthew Baker (USA), Sung Yong Kim (Korea), John Barth, USA (USA), Daisuke Ambe (Japan) Invited Speakers: Hidekatsu Yamazaki (Department of Ocean Sciences, Tokyo University of Marine Science and Technology, Japan) Major changes in coastal ocean ecosystems occur across the North Pacific and its marginal seas on a variety of time scales, from weeks to years. Examples include warming events associated with low (e.g., El Nino) and high latitude (“warm blob”) forcing, and coastal hypoxia influenced by both natural and anthropogenic forcing. These major changes involve physical, chemical, and biological processes and their interaction. Sustained, high-quality, multi-parameter coastal observations are required to discern changes from normal seasonal patterns and to detect long-term trends. We invite contributions that address the role of coastal ocean observations in advancing our understanding of these major physical-biological changes in North Pacific coastal oceans. These may include techniques for sustaining multi-sensor time series and the use of new measurement platforms, as well as new measurements and understanding of regional interactions and coastal-deep ocean interactions at various areas of PICES region. Subsequent discussion will facilitate an exchange on how major regional phenomena (e.g., ENSO, anomalous warming) are expressed at localized scales, best practices and new approaches in observational techniques, and regional comparisons. W7: MONITOR Workshop: Delivering quality multi-parameter data from the coastal ocean Co-sponsor: Ocean Networks Canada Convenors: Akash Sastri (Canada), Chuanxi Xing (China) Invited Speakers: Rich Pawlowicz (University of British Columbia, Canada); Zhifeng Zhang (National Marine Environmental Monitoring Center (NMEMC), SOA, PR China) This workshop is a priority for the PICES Advisory Panel on North Pacific Coastal Ocean Observing Systems (AP-NPCOOS). We propose a 1-day workshop of talks and discussion toward the goal of developing ‘best practices’ for ensuring high-quality sensor observations in coastal marine ecosystems in the North Pacific. The coastal ocean is a region with important fisheries and other ecosystem benefits, while at the same time being subject to human pressures. In order to assess coastal marine ecosystem status and changes, including any long-term trends, high-quality observations of a variety of physical, chemical and biological variables must be made and sustained. Sensor-based observations are critical to coastal observation programs and are used as part of ship-based sampling programs, fixed-point platforms (i.e. long-term mooring and cabled deployments), mobile platforms (i.e. gliders, ferries), and are necessary to ground-truth remote sensing observations (i.e. turbidity, chlorophyll and CDOM). The quality of these observations depends on sensor choice, pre-deployment sensor preparation and calibration, platform and sensor deployment, post-deployment sensor calibration and data processing and dissemination. We invite contributions that deal with all aspects of delivering high-quality data from the coastal ocean, in particular techniques for measuring biogeochemical parameters (oxygen, nutrients, chlorophyll) and mitigating biofouling and sensor drift. MONITOR 7 MONITOR-2015 b. Judges for the best presentation award (MONITOR members) MONITOR was tasked by the Science Board Chairman to judge MONITOR-sponsored Topic Sessions and Workshops. New this year and approved by Science Board: only early career scientists to be judged in all sessions (speakers and posters). Sessions to be judged (this may be updated at the meeting): ID Session Title S5 (presentations and posters) Understanding our Changing Oceans through Species Distributions and Habitat Models based on Remotely Sensed Data S6 (presentations and posters) What Factors make or break Trophic Linkages? S13 (presentations and posters) Understanding the Changing Coastal Ocean: Advances and Challenges in Multi-parameter Observations General poster session MONITOR Poster Session W7 NPCOOS Delivering quality multi-parameter data from the coastal ocean AGENDA ITEM 3 Reports from FUTURE SSC, CPR, and Expert Groups a. Report from FUTURE SSC (Lobanov) Notes from ISB 2016 Expert groups to be mapped onto the FUTURE schematic diagram. DRAFT: MONITOR 8 MONITOR-2016 Discuss how to make FUTURE more prominent at PICES. o MONITOR suggestions: Having the slot for the FUTURE special session (whole meeting rather than a parallel session) with some key note speakers would work. This is already applied for the San Diego meeting. b. Status of Pacific Continuous Plankton Recorder (CPR) program and activities of SAHFOS and GACS (Batten) c. Activities of AP-NPCOOS (Kim and Barth) d. Activities of AP-CREAMS and POC (Lobanov) EAST II report? e. Activities of SG-NPESR (Eisner, Kulik, Mundy?) AGENDA ITEM 4 Other business MONITOR 9 MONITOR-2015 Tuesday, November 9, 2016 AGENDA ITEM 5 MONITOR Terms of Reference and Action Plan Members to discuss MONITOR Terms of Reference (TORs) and Action Plan. Previously, it was noted that mission #3 regarding the NPESR may need to be revised depending on SG-NPESR outcomes. Also, TORs should contain a generic line item to interact with expert groups (e.g., AP-NPCOOS, AP-CREAMS). 2015 Action: MONITOR to discuss Mission (TORs) and Action Plan once PICES finalizes its Strategic Plan (for which MONITOR has already provided feedback). 2015 Recommendation: Add some terminology regarding interactions with MONITOR expert groups (AP-NPCOOS, AP-CREAMS). AGENDA ITEM 6 Proposals for PICES-2017 Members to discuss proposals for PICES-2017 and MONITOR support for topic sessions, workshops, and inter-sessional workshops: Topic Sessions: To be determined Workshops: To be determined Inter-sessional workshops: To be determined Note: The MONITOR committee ranks Session and Workshop proposals at MONITOR business meetings. Some members may be aware of the online tool that will allow Session and Workshop submissions up until the last minute, but will not accommodate ranking by committee members. Committee Chairs may need to email members after the committee meetings to poll them on late session or workshop proposals or Chairs may have to make an executive decision at Science Board meetings. Science Board decided to have a collective pool of funds for Sessions (rather than a designated amount for each committee) to ensure fair distribution of funds among Sessions. AGENDA ITEM 7 ICES ASC theme session proposals MONITOR members to discuss and rank ICES theme session proposals for its 2017 Annual Science Conference. AGENDA ITEM 8 Notes or action items from Science Board and ISB-2016 a. SCOR proposal ranking Six MONITOR members provided feedback on SCOR working group proposals for PICES affiliate status. Other committees also provided feedback on SCOR working group proposals. Based on feedback from all MONITOR 10 MONITOR-2016 committees, Science Board supported proposal P10 EBUE Eastern Boundary Upwelling Ecosystems: inter-comparisons, variability and forecasting responses to climate and global change (one of the top 3 ranked proposals by MONITOR). b. Review of Standing Committees MONITOR to summarize 3 or 4 main scientific elements/activities (high priority areas that committee works on) that are important and identify any upcoming challenges (identify 2 or 3 challenges or gaps or new and emerging ideas you see for the MONITOR committee or PICES). Are the challenges in how we deliver science a function of PICES Structure? DRAFT: A. Scientific elements/activities: 1. Promote ocean/ecosystem monitoring in the North Pacific, and encourage/promote international and inter-organisational collaboration on observation and data sharing (with TCODE). Facilitate method development and inter-comparison workshops to promote calibration, standardization and harmonization of data sets 2. Identify principal monitoring needs of the PICES region, and develop approaches to meet these needs, including training and capacity building; 3. Contribute to the development of the North Pacific Ecosystem Status Report, advising editors and lead authors on monitoring issues, identifying the need for particular time series and their continuities. 4. Others? B. Upcoming challenges or gaps 1. There is a clear trend in the international ocean science communities to establish global observation network and data sharing. PICES (MONITOR) has the important roles as the North Pacific representative in communicating organisation in the other oceans such as ICES in Atlantic Ocean. However, there are many obstacles in networking and data sharing among PICES countries particularly in biological observation (difficult if compared to e.g. ICES countries). For example, so far there are no observation programs similar to AtlantOS in the Atlantic Ocean. That situation makes us difficult to figure out the PICES’s role in a partnership with international programs including GOOS-Bio/Eco Panel. 2. Participation from all member countries and all members of committees (all PICES expert groups). 3. Others? c. New Expert Groups: Science Board approved two new expert groups: 1. A new working group on the North Pacific Ecosystem Status Report Synthesis was approved and MONITOR and FUTURE will be co-parents. 2. Advisory Panel on Aquatic Non-indigenous Species (AP-NIS); MEQ will be the parent committee. MONITOR 11 MONITOR-2015 d. EAST I report Science Board recommended this report for publication as a PICES Special Publication (the Foreward and Appendices were reduced). e. Collaborations with other organizations: Please review the list (below) of our collaborations with other organizations and note if there are organizations/programs that are missing or do not need to be on the list and are the rankings matched appropriately. From PICES ISB 2016: “Organizing collaborations At ISB-2015, Science Board was asked to consider for PICES-2015 how PICES might best utilize its resources when dealing with collaborations with other organizations although Science Board did not have time to discuss at PICES-2015. Presently the Secretariat must consider how to how to maintain key collaborations and arrange priorities, while keeping costs down for PICES scientists to travel to meetings of other organizations. In consultation with Dr. Therriault, the Secretariat developed a 3-tier system to better understand PICES’ relations with other organizations, using the Standing List of International and Regional Organizations and Programs (2014 GC decisions , GC Appendix B): Tier 1: top-level involvement (e.g., SB/PICES Chair), co-sponsorship, etc. Tier 2: PICES supported representative (e.g., PICES SB/ExG member), invited speaker, etc. Tier 3: PICES-based member representing organization on outside funds, no PICES funds Below is a list of suggested criteria that was developed for deciding tier level, followed by a table of organizations and their suggested tier rankings for Science Board comment. PICES Relationships with other bodies; Version 1.0 May 1, 2015 Tier 1: Organizations where PICES has a strong science contribution and where we have demonstrated ability to partner Includes co-sponsors of major symposia, MAY include exchange of significant funding, Typically, PICES has some sort of recognized Observer status with these organizations (and vice versa), Typically, PICES makes an effort and bears expenses for attendance at THEIR annual meetings, Typically, we anticipate that the Partner organization would be represented at OUR annual meeting, INCLUDES organizations where we have a collaboration framework in place or under development. Tier 2: Organization where PICES has moderate Science contribution/interest May include co-sponsoring of some activities/events of limited scope Frequently rely on a PICES member who is already attending the annual meeting of the partner organization to represent us Tier 3: Organizations where PICES has a modest science contribution overlaps, but where their activities are of interest to PICES Ad hoc attendance at annual meetings MONITOR 12 MONITOR-2016 MONITOR 13 MONITOR-2015 ” MONITOR feedback: f. not only the regional GOOS, but also IOC-GOOS could be included here 4th climate change symposium MONITOR members had the opportunity to provide names of conveners and SSC members. g. Ideas for collaboration with ICES AGENDA ITEM 9 Report on POMA Please encourage additional nominees for next year’s POMA (PICES Ocean Monitoring Service Award). This award aims to recognize organizations, groups and outstanding individuals that have contributed significantly to the advancement of marine science in the North Pacific through long-term ocean monitoring and data management. AGENDA ITEM 10 Relations with specific international organizations/programs a. Sir Alister Hardy Foundation for Ocean Science(SAHFOS) – Wilson MONITOR 14 MONITOR-2016 b. International collaboration in ship-based ecosystem monitoring – Valdez New light for time series: international collaboration in ship-based ecosystem monitoring Dr. Luis Valdés1 and Kirsten Isensee2 1 Instituto Español de Oceanografía, Centro Oceanográfico de Santander, Spain. E-mail: [email protected] 2 Intergovernmental Oceanographic Commission of UNESCO, Paris The history of long-term ocean time-series started more than 100 years ago. But most of marine time-series sites were established across different oceans (and managed by different countries) following the recommendations from international programmes such as JGOFS and GLOBEC. Many of existing time-series gained international prestige (HOTS, BATS, CPR, L4, HELGOLAND ROADS, RADIALES) in particular for providing the reference baselines for different variables at local-regional scales and in different ocean biogeographical provinces. In a time of increasing pressures on the marine environment, time-series are central to understanding past, current and future alterations in ocean biology and to monitoring future responses to climate change. There are an extraordinary number of unexploited data sets obtained by long-term ocean time-series. Analyzing the data sets obtained at multiple ocean sampling sites has a high scientific value, but sharing data has also important economic and social benefits. The demand from different stakeholders and decision makers for answers to the challenges posed by changes in the marine environment is growing rapidly and sharing and accessing time-series data would reduce the uncertainties in the management of marine resources and ecosystem services. Given that individual time-series are distributed across different oceans and managed by different countries, open collaboration with countries’ institutions conducting the time-series is essential. This poster aims to deliver new insights into existing biogeochemical and ecological ship-based times-series and also features an overview of the gaps and needs for a better sampling coverage in the different ocean basins and seas. c. International Program for deployment of profiling floats (Argo) –Scanderbeg d. Partnership for Observation of the Global Oceans (POGO) – Leinen MONITOR 15 MONITOR-2015 e. Ecosystem Study on the Sub-Arctic and Arctic Seas (ESSAS) –Saitoh 1st ANNOUNCEMENT ESSAS International Open Science Meeting Moving in, out and across the Subarctic and Arctic marine ecosystems: shifting boundaries of water, ice, flora, fauna, people and institutions Tromsø, Norway Radisson Blu Hotel 11-15 June 2017 International Sponsors: ICES; PICES; IMBER Local Sponsor: IMR; Co-Sponsors: NOAA, NPRB, NPFMC (US) Background and Objectives During the last decade or more there has been a rapid increase in the air and sea temperatures in the Arctic and a corresponding decline in summer sea-ice cover in the Arctic Ocean. In the Subarctic seas there have also been large changes in sea temperatures but with spatial variability. For example, generally warm conditions have been observed in the Barents and Nordic Seas of the North Atlantic while in the Bering Sea in the Pacific temperature conditions have varied between warm and cold periods with corresponding decreases and increases in winter sea-ice cover, respectively. These changes in the water and ice properties, together with increased ocean acidification, have resulted in major changes in the biogeochemistry and ecology of these regions including distributional shifts of many species of plankton and fish. The resulting changes in fish distribution have resulted in difficulties for fisheries management that are based on historical fishing rights, e.g. Atlantic mackerel in the North Atlantic. This symposium is intended to document the changes that have occurred in the distant to recent past, the processes that led to these changes, and how future changes are likely to further affect these marine ecosystems. It will also provide a forum to discuss how the people who depend upon these ecosystems may best cope with these changes and examine the economic and societal pressures that will come to bear on coastal communities and nations. To place the present day in MONITOR 16 MONITOR-2016 a longer-term perspective, the symposium will include a session on the paleo-ecology of ecosystems and people in Subarctic and Arctic regions related to changing temperature and sea-ice conditions in the past. Scientific Program The format of the meeting will include morning plenary sessions by keynote speakers and up to three parallel sessions in the afternoon of contributed talks. The morning plenary sessions will focus on the topic of the afternoon’s theme sessions. The theme sessions include: Paleo-Ecology: This session will span paleoclimate-paleoecology-archaeology-human history dimensions of climate and sea-ice change. Ecosystem impacts of advection and mixing: This session will explore the influence of advection and mixing on marine ecosystems, ranging from effects on hydrography and nutrients to marine mammals and seabirds. Timing/phenology and match-mismatch: are they critical issues? : What is the observational evidence for the match-mismatch hypothesis or other phenology-related hypotheses in Sub-Arctic and Arctic ecosystems? Future Sub-Arctic and Arctic Marine Ecosystems under Climate Change: This session will focus on what will happen under future climate change to the atmospheric climate, oceanography, ecology, fish, fisheries and human institutions in the Sub-arctic and Arctic regions. Shifting habitats, persistent hot spots, and the distribution of benthos, plankton, fish, seabirds and marine mammals - observations, effects, mechanisms and models: This session will focus on exploring the mechanisms linking organisms to biophysical habitats. Ocean Acidification: The formation and transport of corrosive waters in the Arctic and Subarctic–do they matter? Multiple Stressors: This session will examine the combined effects of multiple stresses, such as climate change, ocean acidification, invasive species, fishing, etc., on Arctic and Sub-Arctic ecosystems and their management and governance. Science, Policy and Management: This session will explore the influence of science on policy and management decisions, what policy developers and managers really need from science, and how to improve communications between science and managers. General Open Session: This session will provide an opportunity to those whose work does not fit within any of the more focused sessions. Potential participants are invited to submit titles and abstracts (maximum of 250 words) for oral presentations or posters. All abstracts will be reviewed for merit and relevance. Posters will be displayed throughout the meeting and sufficient provision given for the authors to discuss them with the meeting participants. The day prior to the start of the Open Science Meeting, a small number of workshops are also planned. The topics of these workshops will be determined based upon submitted workshop proposals. MONITOR 17 MONITOR-2015 Publication The symposium proceedings will be published in the ICES Journal of Marine Science within 18 months of the meeting. Papers, including those based on poster presentations, will be considered for publication following peer review. To assist in the process, contributors are asked to submit an electronic version of their manuscript at the time of the meeting. Participation The Symposium is open to all scientists, students, managers, and the public who are interested in Subarctic and Arctic marine ecosystems. Limited financial assistance will be available to early career scientists (less than 35 years of age or less than 5 years post PhD). Registration On-line registration, abstract submission, and applications for financial assistance for Early Career Scientists will be available 1 November. Important Dates 1 October 2016 15 October 2016 1 November 2016 15 January 2017 15 February 2017 15 March 2017 15 March 2017 11 June 2017 12-15 June 2017 Workshop Proposal Deadline Notification of Workshop Acceptance Website Open for Abstract Submissions and Registration Deadline for abstract submissions Notification of abstract acceptance Deadline for early fee payment Notification of financial support requests Workshops Open Science Meeting Further information about the symposium can be found at: http://www.imr.no/essas/essas_open_science_meeting_2017/en. Co-Convenors: Dr. Ken Drinkwater (Institute of Marine Research, Bergen, Norway) Dr. Franz Mueter (University of Alaska Fairbanks, Juneau, USA) Dr. Sei-Ichi Saitoh (Hokkaido University, Sapporo, Japan) Scientific Steering Committee: MONITOR 18 MONITOR-2016 Dr. Ólafur Ástþórsson (Marine Research Institute, Reykjavik, representative) Dr. Andrey Dolgov (PINRO, Murmansk, Russia) Dr. Naomi Harada (JAMSTEC, Yokosuka, Japan) Dr. Alan Haynie (NOAA, Alaska Fisheries Science Center, Seattle, USA) Dr. George Hunt, Jr. (University of Washington, Seattle, USA) Dr. Shin.Ichi Ito (University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan) Dr. Gudrun Marteinsdottir (University of Reykjavik, Reykjavik, Iceland) Dr. Sue Moore (NOAA, PMEL, Seattle, USA) Dr. Jean Eric Tremblay (Laval University, Quebec City, Canada) Dr. John Walsh (University of Alaska Fairbanks, Fairbanks, USA) Dr. Paul Wassmann (University of Tromsø, Tromsø, Norway) Dr. Jinping Zhao (Ocean University of China, Qingdao, China) f. Iceland; ICES World Ocean Assessment II program -Chiba g. GOOS-Bio/Eco Panel –Chiba h. North East Asian Regional (NEAR-GOOS) –Lobanov i. Ocean Observing System (AOOS) –Janzen or Eisner j. Northwest Association of Networked Ocean Observing Systems (NANOOS) –Newton k. Central and Northern California Ocean Observing System (CeNCOOS) –Barth l. Southern California Coastal Ocean Observing System (SCCOOS) –Anderson m. North Pacific Research Board (NPRB) –Baker AGENDA ITEM 11 National reports Please send reports as soon as possible See MONITOR Endnote 1 for National reports. AGENDA ITEM 12 Other business MONITOR 19 MONITOR-2015 MONITOR 20 MONITOR-2016 MONITOR Endnote 1 Country Reports for 2016 Canada China Japan Korea Russia USA MONITOR 21