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Annex BR 03: Direct and indirect aspect of Climate Change Objective The annex is supposed to give an idea of the direct and indirect aspects of Climate Change. The table below presents the interaction of ‘climate’ and ‘non-climate problems’ that – jointly - pose significant challenges to urban decision-makers. The table is based on work of Ecologic, Berlin, and AEA, London, 2009. The general aspects of Climate Change in urban areas are widely covered in the literature, largely due to the awareness raised by influential reports such as the IPCC 4th Assessment Report (IPCC, 2007) and the European Environment Agency’s Report ‘The Impacts of Europe’s Changing Climate: 2008 Indicator-based Assessment’ (EEA, 2008). Find the IPCC report at: http://www.ipcc.ch/ Find the EEA report at: http://www.eea.europa.eu/publications/eea_report_2008_4/ Find the EU study Ecologic, Institute for Environmental Studies (IVM), AEA, Alterra: ‘Design of guidelines for the elaboration of Regional Climate Change Adaptation Strategies’ at http://ecologic.eu/3078 Climate Problems Non-climate problems Sea level rise: High population density: -Storm surge -Concentrated vulnerability -Coastal erosion -Overcrowding -Saline intrusion in water table -Social problems -Raised coastal water table -Drives expansion -Long-term threat to coastal cities River flooding: Urbanization and expansion: -Impact financial districts as well as residential areas -In-migration -Disruptions and damage to energy, transport and communications infrastructure -Pressure on services (e.g. health, police) and resources (e.g. utilities) -Urban sprawl: ecosystems pressure Flash flooding: Impermeable surfaces -Sewer overload/ back-up -High run-off rates -Pollution of groundwater -High drainage load on surrounding -Economic and social disruption Erratic water supply Traffic congestion & poor air quality -e.g. droughts interspersed with floods Drought Ageing infrastructure -Temporary loss of water supply/ water rationing -Increased costs of water supply/ water pricing (affordability concern) Impaired water quality Social inequality -combination of drought (concentration) and flood (run-off and drain back-up) Heavy rain Urban Heat Island -Physical damage and disruption Increased wind speeds Long, global supply chains and just-in-time delivery practices Heat stress: Dependence on electricity supply for most services and security -Air quality crises -Direct health problems -Waste decay -Peak electricity demand (cooling demand) Disease and pest increases Baseline Review – Annex BR 03 - 30.04.2017 Pressure to de-carbonise urban settlements and economies 2