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Livestock – Climate Change`s Forgotten Sector: Global Public
Livestock – Climate Change`s Forgotten Sector: Global Public

... House to undertake the first multi-country, multilingual online survey specifically to explore public attitudes on the relationship between meat/dairy consumption and climate change. The data presented in this paper reveal a major awareness gap about livestock’s contribution to climate change. • Co ...
Tuvalu and Climate Change in the Sydney Morning
Tuvalu and Climate Change in the Sydney Morning

PDF
PDF

... The second relevant modelling feature is the game-theoretic set up. WITCH is able to produce two different solutions. The first is the so-called globally optimal solution, which assumes that countries fully cooperate on global externalities. The second is a decentralised solution that is strategical ...
now - Melton Borough Council
now - Melton Borough Council

Initial NationalCommunication St. Kitts-Nevis
Initial NationalCommunication St. Kitts-Nevis

... main road, which passes very close to the coastline. There is a concentration in the Basseterre capital region, where about 40% of the population resides. There is a general preference for living near the coastline, primarily because most of the upland interior land is very rugged and steep with som ...
The Role of Uncertainty in the Economics of Catastrophic Climate
The Role of Uncertainty in the Economics of Catastrophic Climate

... than 4.5 C cannot be excluded, but agreement of models with observations is not as good for those values.” (For IPCC4, “likely”is P > 66% while “very unlikely”is P < 10%.) In this paper I am mostly concerned with the 17% of those S “values substantially higher than 4.5 C”which “cannot be excluded.” ...
Livestock – Climate Change`s Forgotten Sector
Livestock – Climate Change`s Forgotten Sector

... House to undertake the first multi-country, multilingual online survey specifically to explore public attitudes on the relationship between meat/dairy consumption and climate change. The data presented in this paper reveal a major awareness gap about livestock’s contribution to climate change. • Co ...
Eleven Antitheses on Cities and States
Eleven Antitheses on Cities and States

... Obviously supply and demand, production and consumption, are related pairings of single processes – you cannot have one without the other. The question is, for both theory and practice, how is each part of the pairing handled in terms of balance? Table 1 suggests a severe imbalance in mainstream sci ...
Contrasting effects of warming and increased snowfall on Arctic
Contrasting effects of warming and increased snowfall on Arctic

... important than temperature in driving future phenological changes. Future temperature increases are predicted with relatively high confidence for the Arctic, but current projections of precipitation change are much less certain and could be much more variable over space and time (Weller et al., 2005 ...
"Climate Change and Wildfire in California," Climatic Change, 87
"Climate Change and Wildfire in California," Climatic Change, 87

... 2000, Houghten et al. 2001, Running 2006), implying a further increase in the risk of large, damaging forest wildfires in parts of California and the region. In contrast, future grass and shrubland wildfire risks under climate change scenarios are less clear. Active wildfire years in these ecosystem ...
Aerosol-induced thermal effects increase modelled terrestrial
Aerosol-induced thermal effects increase modelled terrestrial

... striking depression in the photosynthesis rates of the sunlit leaves at midday (Fig. 2D). The cause of this midday photosynthetic depression and its role in determining how the crops in our model respond to aerosols are discussed below. As expected, the addition of aerosols causes a decrease of ∼30– ...
Tuesday 8 Wednesday 9 Thursday 10 Friday 11 — — — — —
Tuesday 8 Wednesday 9 Thursday 10 Friday 11 — — — — —

... Cities: Assess the Climate Impact of their Policies to Make them More Effective? With Gaël Giraud, Chief Economist, Executive Research Director at AFD ...
Scenario
Scenario

... Most scenarios of the future suggest that the world will get more populated and wealthier during this century. While this ought to advance human well-being, it may also increase climate change which might at least partly offset any advances in well-being. The IPCC reports in its last (2001) assessme ...
Global Warming and Science
Global Warming and Science

...  There are many other sites that demonstrate cooling  I accept the warming but not the drama  I do not accept the popular ‘cause’ – CO2  Why are the graphs so wiggly?  Because climate is not weather Artesian Geological Research ...
National workshop on climate information and
National workshop on climate information and

... What is the average number of CWD? 11, 11, 9, 9, 9 What is the range? 6-34, 3-22, 4-20, 5-18, 5-14 ...
Preparing for climate change guide for local government
Preparing for climate change guide for local government

... edition of Preparing for Climate Change supersedes the first edition published in 2004. The guide summarises the main elements of a comprehensive technical report Climate Change Effects and Impacts Assessment (‘the source report’). Its first edition was updated in May 2008 following the release of t ...
Strengthening southern Africa`s response to global change
Strengthening southern Africa`s response to global change

... continent will be one of the worst impacted by climate change; in fact, the results of a changing climate on Africa are already being documented. In this ScienceScope, we focus on science and technology that contribute to a better understanding of our changing planet. The CSIR’s work in this area co ...
United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change
United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change

... small proportion of greenhouse gas emissions. The particular needs of developing countries in adapting to climate change is of critical importance. In many key ways, the problem of climate change is interlinked with development: economic growth is essential for developing countries to improve the he ...
Comparing modelled fire dynamics with charcoal records for the
Comparing modelled fire dynamics with charcoal records for the

... a basis for detailed model–data comparison throughout the Holocene period. Fire is an important process that affects climate through changes in CO2 emissions, albedo, and aerosols (Ward et al., 2012). In addition, it disturbs vegetation distribution (Sitch et al., 2003). Fire-history reconstructions ...
teaching manual - Live and Learn
teaching manual - Live and Learn

... The combination of the probability of an event and the scale of it’s negative consequences. Disaster risks are the potential disaster losses, in lives, health status, livelihoods, assets and services, which could occur in a particular community or a society over some specified future time period. ...
Modeling plant species distributions under future
Modeling plant species distributions under future

... there have been few formal analyses of how modeled distributions differ with scale. We modeled distributions for 52 plant species endemic to the California Floristic Province of different life forms and range sizes under recent and future climate across a 2000-fold range of spatial scales (0.008–16 ...
UNFCCC: UNITING ON CLIMATE
UNFCCC: UNITING ON CLIMATE

... small proportion of greenhouse gas emissions. The particular needs of developing countries in adapting to climate change is of critical importance. In many key ways, the problem of climate change is interlinked with development: economic growth is essential for developing countries to improve the he ...
Public Understanding of Science - Penelope Ironstone
Public Understanding of Science - Penelope Ironstone

... difficult to make political decisions before research data were clear and that computer models were flawed, as “many papers given at the last annual meeting of the American Association for the Advancement of Science pointed out.” This was followed by the quote: “ ‘For the next decade or so, all clim ...
Selected International Legal Materials on Global Warming and
Selected International Legal Materials on Global Warming and

... 1. Humanity is conducting an unintended, uncontrolled, globally pervasive experiment whose ultimate consequences could be second only to a global nuclear war. The Earth's atmosphere is being changed at an unprecedented rate by pollutants resulting from human activities, inefficient and wasteful foss ...
Quantifying the effects of climate variability and human activities on
Quantifying the effects of climate variability and human activities on

... point in annual runoff was identified in the basin, which occurred in the year around 1993 dividing the long-term runoff series into a natural period (1960–1993) and a human-induced period (1994–2009). Then, the hydrologic sensitivity analysis method was employed to evaluate the effects of climate v ...
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Attribution of recent climate change



Attribution of recent climate change is the effort to scientifically ascertain mechanisms responsible for recent changes observed in the Earth's climate, commonly known as 'global warming'. The effort has focused on changes observed during the period of instrumental temperature record, when records are most reliable; particularly in the last 50 years, when human activity has grown fastest and observations of the troposphere have become available. The dominant mechanisms (to which recent climate change has been attributed) are anthropogenic, i.e., the result of human activity. They are: increasing atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases global changes to land surface, such as deforestation increasing atmospheric concentrations of aerosols.There are also natural mechanisms for variation including climate oscillations, changes in solar activity, and volcanic activity.According to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), it is ""extremely likely"" that human influence was the dominant cause of global warming between 1951 and 2010. The IPCC defines ""extremely likely"" as indicating a probability of 95 to 100%, based on an expert assessment of all the available evidence.Multiple lines of evidence support attribution of recent climate change to human activities: A basic physical understanding of the climate system: greenhouse gas concentrations have increased and their warming properties are well-established. Historical estimates of past climate changes suggest that the recent changes in global surface temperature are unusual. Computer-based climate models are unable to replicate the observed warming unless human greenhouse gas emissions are included. Natural forces alone (such as solar and volcanic activity) cannot explain the observed warming.The IPCC's attribution of recent global warming to human activities is a view shared by most scientists, and is also supported by 196 other scientific organizations worldwide (see also: scientific opinion on climate change).
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