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UNRIC Library Backgrounder: Climate Change
UNRIC Library Backgrounder: Climate Change

... INTERVIEW with Patricia Espinosa (UNFCCC): 'Climate change is really about the wellbeing of people' (17 August 2016): http://www.un.org/apps/news/story.asp?NewsID=54696 Shifting from climate change reaction to prevention saves lives for healthier, sustainable future, Secretary-General says, in messa ...
Increasing the influence of LDC climate diplomacy
Increasing the influence of LDC climate diplomacy

... This discussion paper presents a theory of change — an present results chains linking actions, outputs and approach to thinking about how change occurs — to outcomes that culminate in the overarching impact help us understand how the world’s poorest countries of increasing LDC influence in internati ...
Emerging trends in heavy precipitation and hot temperature
Emerging trends in heavy precipitation and hot temperature

... To investigate changes in hot temperature extremes, homogenized daily maximum temperature data [Begert et al., 2005] from nine long and complete MeteoSwiss stations covering all major climate regions of Switzerland are used (cf. Figure 1, squares). The anomalies of all nine temperature series are us ...
What is climate change - Committees
What is climate change - Committees

... What is climate change? Through time, the earth’s climate has naturally fluctuated. However in modern language, climate change is commonly associated with ‘global warming’ and the ‘greenhouse effect’. The Third Assessment Report (TAR) of the Intergovernmental panel on Climate Change (IPCC) stated th ...
Effects of climate extremes on the terrestrial carbon cycle: concepts
Effects of climate extremes on the terrestrial carbon cycle: concepts

... 2007; Bastos et al., 2013a), the heat wave and associated forest fires in Greece in 2007 (Founda & Giannakopoulos, 2009), the dry spells in the Amazon basin in 2005 (Phillips et al., 2009) and 2010 (Lewis et al., 2011), in the U.S.A. 2000–2004 (Breshears et al., 2005; Schwalm et al., 2012), the fore ...
REDD Readiness Progress Fact Sheet COUNTRY: Guatemala
REDD Readiness Progress Fact Sheet COUNTRY: Guatemala

... The Climate Change Law has been approved, and it includes a National Council on Climate Change which is a high level decision group where the GCI will be linked for the institutionalization of REDD+ Strategy. The Inter-institutional Coordination Group–GCI-(Ministry of Agriculture, National Council o ...
NRCan/CIP Projects and Initiatives on climate
NRCan/CIP Projects and Initiatives on climate

... Resources for climate change planners Sources of scientific data 1. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) A body of the United Nations, the IPCC provides decision-makers with an objective source of the latest scientific, technical and socio-economic information about climate change, and i ...
Irish Ocean Climate and Ecosystem Status Report 2009
Irish Ocean Climate and Ecosystem Status Report 2009

... • Atmospheric teleconnection patterns including the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) and the Eastern Atlantic Pattern (EAP) are an important influence on ocean conditions around Ireland and elsewhere. • The trend towards more positive phase NAO conditions over recent decades, associated with a more ...
Simulating Picea schrenkiana forest productivity under climatic
Simulating Picea schrenkiana forest productivity under climatic

... A process-based model, BIOME-BGC, was used to investigate the response of Picea schrenkiana forest to future climate changes and atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2) concentration increases in the Tianshan Mountains of northwestern China. The model was validated by comparing simulated net primary produc ...
SoE 08 Part 4.1 Atmos - Commissioner for Environmental
SoE 08 Part 4.1 Atmos - Commissioner for Environmental

... emissions are very likely (greater than 90% probability) to have c aused most of the observed increases in global average temperature since the mid-20th century. Whilst use of ozone depleting substances has been phased out reducing the pressure on the ozone layer, additional factors may mean that oz ...
126 Montevideo, Uruguay
126 Montevideo, Uruguay

Greater temperature sensitivity of plant phenology at colder sites
Greater temperature sensitivity of plant phenology at colder sites

Long Term Temperature Trends in Four Different Climatic Zones of
Long Term Temperature Trends in Four Different Climatic Zones of

... Saudi Arabia is known for its desert weather and climate. It is characterized by an extreme amount of heat during daytime and a sudden drop in temperature during night time. The country as such does not receive much rain. The yearly precipitation will be around 100 mm. The climate of Saudi Arabia va ...
Two Decades of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning
Two Decades of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning

... circulation (AMOC)] is described in a 19-yr-long ocean-state estimate, one consistent with a diverse global dataset. Apart from a weak increasing trend at high northern latitudes, the AMOC appears statistically stable over the last 19 yr with fluctuations indistinguishable from those of a stationary ...
Local Climate Change Governance
Local Climate Change Governance

... governance. The final section will provide a second look at the presented literature, introducing some of the theoretical concepts used in that literature. The conclusion of this review will summarize the works that have been cited, answering the question of how local ...
CO2 Greenhouse calcs - Digging in the Clay
CO2 Greenhouse calcs - Digging in the Clay

... In 2005 Bjorn Lomborg, (the sceptical environmentalist), now much vilified by his by his previous Green colleagues said2: “Even if everyone (including the United States) applied the Kyoto rules and stuck to them throughout the century, the change would be almost immeasurable, postponing warming for ...
Physical Climate Processes and Feedbacks
Physical Climate Processes and Feedbacks

... season; and direct anthropogenic impacts such as deforestation. The direct effects of increased carbon dioxide (CO2) on vegetation physiology could lead to a relative reduction in evapotranspiration over the tropical continents, with associated regional warming over that predicted for conventional g ...
an analysis of factors affecting climate change adaptation strategies
an analysis of factors affecting climate change adaptation strategies

... According to World Meteorological Organisation (WMO, 2009) approximately 70 percent of Africans rely on farming for their livelihood with more than 95 percent of the agriculture being rain fed. Changing weather patterns are therefore expected to reduce agricultural yield in most areas by 50 percent ...
Projections of Future Climate Change
Projections of Future Climate Change

... evolutions of the natural variability. Averaging these integrations preserves the forced climate change signal while averaging out the natural variability noise, and so gives a better estimate of the models’ projected climate change. For the AOGCM experiments, the mean change and the range in global ...
Atmospheric Sciences:
Atmospheric Sciences:

... vertically exaggerated (VE) about 200 times so that we can see details. B. The same figure at 1-to-1 (no VE) or true scale. Note that we cannot ...
PDF
PDF

... production. However, changes in irrigation water supply and demand are difficult to predict at a scale sufficient to quantify acreage and production responses (Adams and Peck 2008). A number of studies have examined potential shifts in crop irrigation requirements and water supply, and implications ...
Peak NDVI
Peak NDVI

... Department of Earth Sciences Yang Shao The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill Department of Geography ...
impact of warmer climate on lake Geneva water
impact of warmer climate on lake Geneva water

... indicate an increase in monthly epilimnic and hypolimnic temperatures of 2.32–3.8 °C and 2.2–2.33 °C, respectively. The rising of epilimnic temperatures corresponds to 55%–98% of the monthly increase in air temperature. The stratification period lasts longer and the lake stability increases. Thus th ...
Changing Climate, Changing Forests: The Impacts of Climate Change on
Changing Climate, Changing Forests: The Impacts of Climate Change on

... amount of projected future change depends on the emissions scenarios used. Tree species composition of northeast forests has shifted slowly in response to climate for thousands of years. However, current human-accelerated climate change is much more rapid and it is unclear how forests will respond t ...
Hydrologic response of a Hawaiian watershed to future climate
Hydrologic response of a Hawaiian watershed to future climate

... KEY WORDS ...
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Attribution of recent climate change



Attribution of recent climate change is the effort to scientifically ascertain mechanisms responsible for recent changes observed in the Earth's climate, commonly known as 'global warming'. The effort has focused on changes observed during the period of instrumental temperature record, when records are most reliable; particularly in the last 50 years, when human activity has grown fastest and observations of the troposphere have become available. The dominant mechanisms (to which recent climate change has been attributed) are anthropogenic, i.e., the result of human activity. They are: increasing atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases global changes to land surface, such as deforestation increasing atmospheric concentrations of aerosols.There are also natural mechanisms for variation including climate oscillations, changes in solar activity, and volcanic activity.According to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), it is ""extremely likely"" that human influence was the dominant cause of global warming between 1951 and 2010. The IPCC defines ""extremely likely"" as indicating a probability of 95 to 100%, based on an expert assessment of all the available evidence.Multiple lines of evidence support attribution of recent climate change to human activities: A basic physical understanding of the climate system: greenhouse gas concentrations have increased and their warming properties are well-established. Historical estimates of past climate changes suggest that the recent changes in global surface temperature are unusual. Computer-based climate models are unable to replicate the observed warming unless human greenhouse gas emissions are included. Natural forces alone (such as solar and volcanic activity) cannot explain the observed warming.The IPCC's attribution of recent global warming to human activities is a view shared by most scientists, and is also supported by 196 other scientific organizations worldwide (see also: scientific opinion on climate change).
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