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Intelligent Energy: how can Europe work with South Asia? Rainer Sauerborn University of Heidelberg Presentation at South Asia Democratic Forum Conference „The Merits of Regional Cooperation“ Brussels, October 11, 2012 Focus and structure • Pattern of energy sources & uses in South Asia • Energy dimensions – – – – – – Security of energy provision Foreign currency dependence Energy and deforestation Energy for economic growth Energy and Climate Energy and health • What are intelligent policies? • Cooperation with EU? 3 4 5 Security and energy 6 7 Health and Energy • Cooking with biomass • Climate change health effects call for adaptation and active mitigation policies in South Asia 8 POVERTY • Reduces ability to switch to clean fuel • Use restricts economic development INCOME • Simple fuels restrictive • Time, poor environment WOMEN • Opportunity cost of lost time • Injury & violence • Decision making Household Energy HEALTH • Indoor air: ARI, COPD, &c • Burns • Poisoning ENVIRONMENT • Local - supply and erosion • Global 10 11 Case study: Health effects of indoor air pollution, India WBGU, 2003 • • • • 650 m people cook with biomass =85% of all energy used in India Health effects: indoor air pollution>smoking 5-6% of total disease burden Case study: India K. Smith, 2000 DALYs (millions) Asthma TB blindness IHD lung cancer COPD ARI ARI COPD lung cancer blindness TB Asthma IHD Deforestation 14 Main medium term health impacts of climate change • • • • • Days Injuries/accidents Direct heat effects Diarrhea Vector-borne diseases Malnutrition Weeks Months Years Lag time All are highly relevant for South Asia Margarete Chan, Director of WHO, 200815 Health impacts of climate change Density equalling cartogram. WHO regions scaled according to estimated mortality (per million people) in the year 2000, attributable to the climate change that occurred from 1970s to 2000. Gibbs et al, in prep. Cumulative emissions: the perpetrators Emissions of greenhouse gases Research output on health impact & adaptation Density equalling cartogram. Countries scaled according to cumulative emissions in billion tonnes carbon equivalent in 2002. Gibbs et al, in prep. Europe’s 20-20-20 objective By the year 2020 • reduce greenhouse gases by 20% • increase the share of renewables to 20% • improve energy efficiency by 20% Total budget till 2020 730 million € 18 Kirk Smith, 2012 19 Transforming energy systems: 20 Unintelligent disparity between emission reduction potential and research efforts Kirk Smith, 2012 21 What it takesin Europe and in South Asia • • • • • Political will Behavioral change by individuals & households Technology (smart grids, smart meters..) Research Resource mobilization Thank you! 22