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Transcript
Intelligent Energy:
how can Europe work with South Asia?
Rainer Sauerborn
University of Heidelberg
Presentation at South Asia Democratic Forum Conference „The Merits of Regional Cooperation“
Brussels, October 11, 2012
Focus and structure
• Pattern of energy sources & uses in South Asia
• Energy dimensions
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Security of energy provision
Foreign currency dependence
Energy and deforestation
Energy for economic growth
Energy and Climate
Energy and health
• What are intelligent policies?
• Cooperation with EU?
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Security and energy
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Health and Energy
• Cooking with biomass
• Climate change health effects call for
adaptation and active mitigation policies in
South Asia
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POVERTY
• Reduces ability to switch to clean fuel
• Use restricts economic development
INCOME
• Simple fuels
restrictive
• Time, poor
environment
WOMEN
• Opportunity cost
of lost time
• Injury & violence
• Decision making
Household
Energy
HEALTH
• Indoor air:
ARI, COPD, &c
• Burns
• Poisoning
ENVIRONMENT
• Local - supply
and erosion
• Global
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Case study: Health effects of indoor air pollution,
India
WBGU, 2003
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•
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650 m people cook with biomass
=85% of all energy used in India
Health effects: indoor air pollution>smoking
5-6% of total disease burden
Case study: India
K. Smith, 2000
DALYs (millions)
Asthma
TB
blindness
IHD
lung cancer
COPD
ARI
ARI
COPD
lung cancer
blindness
TB
Asthma
IHD
Deforestation
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Main medium term health impacts of
climate change
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•
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Days
Injuries/accidents
Direct heat effects
Diarrhea
Vector-borne diseases
Malnutrition
Weeks
Months
Years
Lag time
All are highly relevant for South Asia
Margarete Chan, Director of WHO, 200815
Health impacts of climate change
Density equalling cartogram. WHO regions scaled according to estimated mortality (per million people)
in the year 2000, attributable to the climate change that occurred from 1970s to 2000. Gibbs et al, in
prep.
Cumulative
emissions:
the perpetrators
Emissions
of greenhouse
gases
Research output on health impact & adaptation
Density equalling cartogram. Countries scaled according to cumulative emissions in billion tonnes carbon
equivalent in 2002. Gibbs et al, in prep.
Europe’s 20-20-20 objective
By the year 2020
• reduce greenhouse gases by 20%
• increase the share of renewables to 20%
• improve energy efficiency by 20%
Total budget till 2020 730 million €
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Kirk Smith, 2012
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Transforming energy systems:
20
Unintelligent disparity between emission
reduction potential and research efforts
Kirk Smith, 2012
21
What it takesin Europe and in South Asia
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•
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•
Political will
Behavioral change by individuals & households
Technology (smart grids, smart meters..)
Research
Resource mobilization
Thank you!
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