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The economic and social impacts of the Canterbury earthquakes David Johnston, Joint Centre for Disaster Research GNS Science/Massey University Key issues » How is the community coping? » What effect does this have on how the industry interacts with and manages our customers? September 2010 Darfield earthquake » Earthquake Risk Buildings » Residential houses affected by liquefaction » Water and sewer lines EGU, Vienna 2011 – The Christchurch earthquake 12:51pm Tuesday 22 February 2011 Comparison of Vertical and Horizontal Ground Shaking Vertical Horizontal 2500 yr code 0.54g 500 yr code 0.30g CTV Building 8 Lateral spreading in Fitzgerald Ave near Avonside Drive. There was no spreading here after the Darfield EQ. EGU, Vienna 2011 – The Christchurch earthquake Liquefaction Situation at end of State of Emergency 1 May 2011 » » » » » » » » » » Fatalities: Injuries: Power: Water: Waste water: Schools: Health: Buildings: Homes: Insurance: 181 confirmed (2011) ACC: ~2,500 (2010) and ~7,500 (2011) 100% restored outside CBD ‘red zone’ 100% have mains supply outside red zone 97% of city with working toilets All open (11 sharing facilities) All services within capacity About 20% commercial unsafe About 26,000 vacant houses. 2% unsafe Over 340,000 claims so far (Sept-Feb) » Estimated Economic Costs NZ$15-20 billion (c. 9% of GDP) Volunteerism Where have all the people gone? Moving to the future Social and psychosocial impacts Impact : loss, stress, distress… Recovery: encompasses the cultural, psychological, social, economic, ecological and physical dimensions that are part of the regeneration of a community. The outcome of the psychosocial recovery process is to establish a functioning community and to foster individual resilience and well-being. Intervention pyramid Intervention pyramid for mental health and psychosocial support in emergencies & long term programmes Umbrella of Care B Raphael Individualised support Single point of contact Service coordination Community support Relief & recovery centres Case management Community Recovery Committees Community development Vulnerable groups Targeted recovery programs Individual Household Neighbourhood Psychosocial response Community Core principles of an effective recovery process 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. Community-based and community involvement Coordination/integration Mediation Training/professional development and support Flexibility Sharing information Thank you