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1 The nature of the plant community: a reductionist view 2 3 J. Bastow Wilson Botany Department, University of Otago, Box 56, Dunedin, New Zealand. 4 5 Andrew D.Q. Agnew Institute of Biological Sciences, University of Wales Aberystwyth, SY23 3DA, U.K. 6 Chapter 6: Theories 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 1 2 3 4 5 6 Theories .......................................................................................................................................... 1 Clements and the integrated concept ............................................................................................. 3 Gleason........................................................................................................................................... 6 Whittaker and Austin ..................................................................................................................... 8 Hubbell and chance ........................................................................................................................ 9 Grime’s C-S-R theory .................................................................................................................. 10 6.1 The triangle ...................................................................................................................... 10 6.2 Stress ................................................................................................................................ 11 6.3 Disturbance ...................................................................................................................... 14 6.4 Species/character tests...................................................................................................... 14 6.5 Competition...................................................................................................................... 15 6.6 Community-level tests ..................................................................................................... 16 6.7 Does succession provide a test of C-S-R? ....................................................................... 16 6.8 Conclusions ...................................................................................................................... 19 7 Centrifugal theory (Keddy) .......................................................................................................... 20 8 Tilman’s theory ............................................................................................................................ 20 8.1 Co-existence ..................................................................................................................... 20 8.2 Species diversity .............................................................................................................. 20 8.3 Succession ........................................................................................................................ 20 8.4 Intensity of competition ................................................................................................... 22 8.5 The competitive process: R* ............................................................................................ 22 9 Grime versus Titman/Tilman ....................................................................................................... 25 9.1 Strategy ............................................................................................................................ 25 9.2 Competition...................................................................................................................... 26 10 Synthesis: we are like blind dogs ................................................................................................. 32 1 Theories 33 34 In this chapter we consider theories that aim to generalise over all plant communities. Some 35 are aimed at terrestrial communities but we would hope for a theory that is general enough to cover 36 aquatic communities too. Often the models are aimed at embryophytes, but we would be happy if 37 the theories could be applied to fungi and algae. The theories can be seen in the light of Diamond’s 38 (1975) challenge: are there assembly rules for communities? The theories concern how species 39 assemble from a defined species pool; they are not intended to consider the biogeographic processes 40 by which those pools arose. The first distinction is between models that are: 41 42 Deterministic: Environmental filters and the constraints of plant interactions wholly and predictably control species composition. Composition does not have to be deterministic at Wilson and Agnew, chapter 6, Theories, page 2 of 38 43 the level of particular species, e.g. it the number of species in a particular guild could be 44 determined, or the total number of species in the community. 45 Stochastic: The community-determining processes are governed, or at least initiated, by 46 chance. Perhaps many of the species in the species pool are ecological equivalents, so 47 which arrive and establish at a site is partly due to chance. Species composition is therefore 48 unpredictable, just one event of a number of similar possibilities. 49 The other distinction is between communities that are: 50 Discrete: separated by clear boundaries; vegetation may change suddenly along an 51 environmental gradient, as one discrete community gives way to another at a boundary, 52 versus 53 Continuous: gradual change, without clear boundaries; a continuum of vegetation along an 54 environmental gradient, with gradual, species-by-species change between the limits. 55 These two distinctions have often been confused. However, they can be seen in the three concepts 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 listed by Gleason (1939), plus one other, giving the four logical combinations: 77 (a) y (b) (c) Fig. 6.1: The distribution of species along an environmental gradient: (a) a simplistic version of Clements, (b) a simplistic version of Gleason, and (c) Whittaker (who needs no simplification). 1. Deterministic and discrete, i.e. the species composition is predictable from the environment 78 and there are distinct communities (‘associations’) with sharp boundaries and no/few 79 intermediates (Fig. 6.1a). This concept has been attributed to Clements. Coevolution is a 80 likely explanation of such structure, so this includes the coevolution-structured model of 81 Rummel and Roughgarden (1983). However, it is possible that there is no coevolution, that Wilson and Agnew, chapter 6, Theories, page 3 of 38 82 there is assembly of pre-adapted species (Bazzaz 1987), only certain combinations of 83 species being stable. Gleason (1939) described this as Theory 1: "The association is a quasi- 84 organism". 85 2. Deterministic but continuous, i.e. the composition is predictable, but with continuous change 86 as along an environmental gradient, and no boundaries. It might correspond to Gleason’s 87 type 2: "The association is a series of separate similar units ..., repeated in numerous 88 examples". This model probably includes the Invasion-structured communities of Rummel 89 and Roughgarden (1983), since the latter involves no coevolution, but involves rigid control 90 on the ability of species to coexist. However, it is possible that coevolution may be involved 91 in this type of model. Whittaker distinguished between such a model without coevolution 92 (6.1b) and with (Fig. 6.1c). 93 3. Stochastic, continuous: Gleason at times identified this with his Individualistic theory "3: 94 The vegetation-unit is a temporary and fluctuating phenomenon". Whittaker (e.g. 1967) 95 interpreted this as “communities which occur continuous environmental gradients usually 96 intergrade continuously, with gradual changes …”, but this was not Gleason’s view (1917, 97 and see below). It is quite difficult to draw a gradient under this theory (Fig. 61.b) because 98 random scattering of bell-shaped curves gives considerable variation in total abundance, 99 which is surely not intended. 100 4. Stochastic and discrete: This seems almost a contradiction. If the community structure is not 101 deterministic, how can there be discrete boundaries? Such structure could arise by a switch 102 (Wilson and Agnew 1992). If a propagule lands, and its offspring appear near it, it might 103 modify the local environment in its favour, resulting in a sharp boundary from the 104 surrounding vegetation. However, as we have described it this would be a one-sided switch; 105 it would require another species operating another switch, or possibly a reaction switch, to 106 give a stable mosaic. 107 2 Clements and the integrated concept 108 Frederick E. Clements saw communities as integrated: "an organic entity exhibiting 109 cooperation and division of labor" (Clements et al. 1929; see also Clements 1905) and thus 110 "something more than the mere sum of its parts" (Clements 1931). Clements produced wide-ranging 111 ideas, omitting to give his theory a name because he thought it was The Truth. Phillips (1935), 112 whom Clements and Shelford (1939) cited with the greatest approval, elaborated on this: "With 113 properties definitely unpredictable from a knowledge of the individual organisms", i.e. emergent 114 properties (Wilson 2002 %47). This implies deterministic structure: "The bond of association is so Wilson and Agnew, chapter 6, Theories, page 4 of 38 115 strict ... that the same seral stage may recur around the globe ... with the same dominants and 116 subdominants" (Clements et al. 1929). “An association is similar throughout its extent in … general 117 floristic compositions” (Weaver and Clements 1938). These communities were therefore nameable. 118 Of course, Clements was too good a field ecologist to take these communities literally, writing that 119 that they had "more or less definite limits" forming a "mosaic, in which the various pieces now 120 stand out sharply, and are now obscure”, “[A formation] can rarely have definite limits” (Pound and 121 Clements 1900), the "ecotones are rarely sharply defined" (Clements 1905). This concept has been 122 called the "Integrated" community view (Goodall 1963), and the "Community-unit" view 123 (Whittaker 1967). 124 Others expanded on Clements’ theme: "All the species which are members of a given 125 association ... are adjusted more or less perfectly to one another" (Dice 1952). Tansley, another 126 ecologist with great field experience, wrote: “the complex of interactions between plants and their 127 environment does lead to a certain degree of order … The same species are constantly present in the 128 same kind of place and show the same groupings”. At equilibrium, he said, the association becomes 129 “the mature, integrated, self-maintaining quasi-organism” (Tansley 1920 %118). One might think 130 that Braun-Blanquet (1932), who described the association as having concrete reality, would have a 131 similar view, but he could not accept the degree of integration that Clements proposed: "the 132 organismic character, the centralized organisation and the division of labour etc. is lacking in it". In 133 spite of the strength of opinions for and against these concepts – "more than the mere sum of its 134 parts", "complex organism", etc. – it is difficult to pin them down to testable features. 135 Whether communities are ‘complex organisms’ or not, the naming of them implies 136 recurrence: that we shall find the same community in several different locations. This has rarely 137 been tested, but Wilson et al. (1996 %471) did so for roadside communities in the continental- 138 climate Ebro Basin of Spain and across a wide range of climates in southern New Zealand. The 139 problem is defining “the same” community. It would be unrealistic to expect exactly the same 140 species complement, so we need a baseline of how similar two remote quadrats should be to be 141 regarded as the same. Wilson et al. answered this in two ways. The quadrats had been placed in 142 adjacent pairs. One baseline was therefore the mean similarity between the two quadrats of a pair, 143 making the question: “does one ever come across another patch of vegetation as similar to this one 144 as the patch next door is?”. Some next-door quadrats would happen to be quite different, e.g. in 145 disturbance, so Wilson et al. omitted the 10 % of least similar pairs before taking the mean. The 146 answer was basically No; for only 41 % of sites was there another in the survey similar to it by this 147 criterion (Fig. x) *[This number looks wrong against the figure. JBW will check.]. For the more 148 heterogeneous NZ data the figure was only 19 %. However, another comparison was available, Wilson and Agnew, chapter 6, Theories, page 5 of 38 149 since the pairs of quadrats at a site had themselves been placed in subsites 50 m apart. Using those 150 subsites as the baseline, the percentage of sites with vegetation that occurred elsewhere in the 151 survey increased to 98% in Spain and 83% in NZ. Allowing for the likelihood that vegetation 152 similar to any site could have been found outwith the quadrats sampled, we have to conclude that 153 communities do recur, and in this Clements was right. 154 155 Fig. 6.2. Spain 156 One would imagine that Clementsian structure would arise from coevolution. Clements does 157 not seem to have used the term, but he considered that the evolution of species was part of the 158 process of community evolution (Clements 1929), and later workers made it more explicit, e.g. the 159 "interco-ordinated evolution" of Dice (1952). The most explicit development of such views is that 160 of Dunbar (1960) who suggested that selection could operate at the level of the whole ecosystem: 161 just as an individual can die and be replaced by one of genotype with higher fitness, so an 162 ecosystem can be unstable, collapse to leave “empty environmental space”, and be replaced by a 163 community from nearby with genetic differences in some of its species, giving it a higher stability 164 (i.e. fitness). Collapse to empty space is not realistic, and the idea reeks of group selection. Darnell 165 (1970) had similar ideas, writing that “the ecosystem … is … the basic selectional unit of evolution. 166 He suggested that species-level selection led to evolutionary adaptation, which led to stability. The 167 major difficulty with such co-evolution is that species normally occur in several communities, and 168 the characters of a whole species cannot coevolve to be optimal in each (Goodall 1966). Anyway, 169 how do such ecosystems arise? Wilson and Agnew, chapter 6, Theories, page 6 of 38 170 Although many are ready these days to ridicule Clements' views, many contemporary 171 ecologists are producing models in which the control of species composition is every bit as tight: 172 mainly theoretical ecologists (e.g. Drake 1990), but also field ecologists such as Cody (1989). 173 3 Gleason 174 Gleason’s concepts are hard to pin down. Probably he saw all the same complications of 175 plant communities that Clements had, but instead of presenting one strong line then mentioning 176 exceptions, he simply put down what he saw. He did from the beginning (Gleason 1917) state that 177 contra Clements exact repetition of the same vegetation never occurs, and that abrupt vegetation 178 transitions occur only with abrupt variation in the environment (Gleason 1939). Vegetation was 179 "merely the resultant of the development ... of ... individuals" (Gleason 1917), the vegetation 180 depending on the environment, competition, and accidents of immigration (Gleason 1917). He 181 named these ideas the Individualistic concept of the plant community. 182 Yet behind the invective most of his views were identical to Clements’. Clements et al. 183 (1929) emphasised the importance of competition. So did Gleason (1936), writing that that with any 184 two plants growing together “each interferes with the environment of the other”, and that this 185 interference “may act either favourably or unfavourably” so that “the vegetation … is the result of 186 the interference”. The latter statement is as strong as any ecologist has ever made, and the very 187 opposite of the no-interaction caricature of him that we often read. In the process, he was among the 188 first to suggest that subvention is widespread. His views on the mechanism of succession, with 189 reaction as the basic process (Gleason 1927) were identical to Clements’ (1916). Gleason also 190 accepted the concept of the association with “limits … fixed by space and time” with “tension 191 zones” (i.e. ecotones) between them (Gleason 1927) and that every community must have extent, 192 boundary and uniformity (Gleason 1936). Clements could not have put this better. Cements’ 193 concept of the landscape was of different formations/associations, repeated in a mosaic (Pound and 194 Clements 1900), with “the same species or formation in similar but separate situations” (Clements 195 1907; see also 1904), a situation he called alternation. Gleason’s (1936) concept was identical: “a 196 vegetational mosaic, composed of numerous types of vegetation, each repeated numberless times, 197 but all united intro a harmonious and extensive whole”. Clements believed that narrow transition 198 zones (ecotones) between associations could occur along gradual environmental gradients because 199 of reaction (environmental control). Gleason (1917) thought that at least in regions of “genial 200 environment and dense vegetation” there is reaction (which he used interchangeably with 201 ‘environmental control’) with the result that “species of one association are then excluded from the 202 margin of the other by environmental control, when the nature of the physical factors alone would Wilson and Agnew, chapter 6, Theories, page 7 of 38 203 permit their immigration. The adjacent associations meet with a narrow transition zone, even 204 though the variation in physical environment from one to the other is gradual.” Gleason’s statement 205 is a precise summary of Clements’ view. Both are saying that there are very often switch ecotones 206 between associations, because of reaction. 207 In terms of our seven steps in community assembly (this vol., chapt. 1, sect. 2) both 208 Clements and Gleason would have accepted A-E. It is hard to discern views on assembly rules from 209 their writings, but it seems likely Gleason would not have accepted them, and we can see assembly 210 rules when Clements (1907) writes on alternation: “owing to the accidents of migration and 211 competition, similar areas within a habitat are not always occupied by the same species or group of 212 species. A species found in one area may be replaced in another by a different one … Such genera 213 and species … must be essentially alike in … response to the habitat, though they may be entirely 214 unrelated systematically”. Here there is a niche in a community into which one species or another 215 can fit, an assembly rule as strong as any. 216 “Clements versus Gleason” is a useful straw man in questions in seminars and in 217 introductions to papers, e.g. “the now well-known dispute between Clements (1916) and Gleason 218 (1926) … pitting the idea of ‘discrete communities’ against that of a ‘continuum’ (Leibold and 219 Mikkelson 2002). However, there was no real difference in their concepts. There were probably 220 personalities involved, at least in their approach to science. Gleason could not stomach Clements’ 221 community-as-an-organism concept and the classifications that flowed from it. Perhaps this was 222 because Gleason was a plant taxonomist, and saw that communities are not the clear objects that 223 most taxonomic species are. 224 Wilson and Agnew, chapter 6, Theories, page 8 of 38 225 4 Whittaker and Austin 226 227 Whittaker clearly adhered to theory 2, deterministic but continuous. Deterministic in that the 228 community is "a distinctive living system with its own composition, structure, ... development and 229 function" (Whittaker 1970 *[see]) and structured by competitive exclusion: "The unique 230 identification of niche with species within a particular community ... is not a matter of chance, but 231 as the result of competitive exclusion" (Whittaker and Levin 1975, p30). No one has believed more 232 strongly in coevolution as a cause of community structure: "Other species evolve toward close 233 association with the dominants and towards adaptations for living with one another" (Whittaker 234 1975) and "The community is an assemblage of interacting and coevolving species" (Whittaker and 235 Woodwell 1969). There was also coevolution in the opposite direction, towards mutual avoidance: 236 "toward scattering of their population centers along environmental gradients" (Whittaker and 237 Woodwell 1969, see also Whittaker 1967). All this is far from the view of Gleason. From his 238 'Gradient Analysis' results (Whittaker 1967) concluded that spatial vegetational change was a 239 continuum, though it has to be said that flaws in his methods leave those results somewhat in doubt 240 (Wilson et al. 2004 %245). 241 From this, a ‘Continuum theory’ was developed by Austin and co-workers, defined as: “the 242 organisation of vegetation structure and composition in terms of continuous change in properties 243 along environmental gradients” (Austin and Gaywood 1994). This begs the question of what the 244 environmental gradients are, and how they are measured. If, as usual, the environment is calculated 245 from geographical trends (e.g. Leathwick and Austin 2001) there will certainly be sudden change 246 where switches locally modify the environment to produce a sharp boundary: rainforest/savannah, 247 treeline, fog-catching boundaries, etc. (Wilson and Agnew 1992). It is not clear what Continuum 248 theory is beyond the existence of gradual change, for example it is not clear how deterministic it is. 249 Analysing distribution of species along gradients, Oksanen and Minchin (2002) defined a 250 simplistic Continuum theory as “species have symmetric, unimodal responses to ecological 251 gradients” (perhaps a normal curve), and a more sophisticated version as “response shapes should 252 differ among gradient types or gradient locations”. Austin and Gaywood (1994) are more explicit, 253 saying that species response curves are skewed with the longer tail being towards the middle of 254 mesic position, though the latter must be hard to define. Austin et al. (1994 %215) did find that all 255 nine SE Australia Eucalyptus species that they examined showed significant skewing along a 256 gradient of mean annual temperature, in the expected direction if ‘mesic’ is defined as 11.5 °C. 257 However, Oksanen and Minchin (2002) found for an altitudinal gradient in Tasmania (930-1380 m Wilson and Agnew, chapter 6, Theories, page 9 of 38 258 asl) that only 21% of the responses were skewed. The conclusion will depend on the type of curve 259 fitted, and how skewed is skewed (significance is not the best guide to effect size). Moreover, 260 skewness can be reliably determined only when there is good evidence that the whole 261 environmental range of the species has been sampled (M.P. Austin pers. comm.). A conclusion of 262 skewness also depends on the way the X-axis is expressed, for example a simple gradient assumes 263 that the difference between 0 mm and 300 mm rainfall is equivalent to that between 2000 and 2300 264 mm, which seems unlikely. The occurrence of bimodal curves would be interesting. Bimodality on 265 a proxy gradient such as altitude would be boring, because it could be due to frost above treeline 266 and similar frost in the valleys due to cold air drainage. Austin (1985 %39) commented: “The 267 occurrence of bimodal curves … seems well established”. However, he cites Whittaker whose 268 evidence for bimodality was very weak (Wilson et al. 2004 %245). We have not been able to find 269 any good example of bimodality. 5 Hubbell and chance 270 271 Chance (Lippmaa 1939), or random effect, does not really exist. Seeds are sometimes said to 272 disperse randomly, but in fact they disperse under the laws of physics. It is just that eddy diffusion 273 is very complicated. Everything happens under the law of physics (except arguably the resurrection 274 of the Our Lord Jesus Christ: Wilson 2002 %47), and above the scale of the atom chance plays no 275 rôle. Nevertheless, many have suggested a rôle for it in the species composition of plant communities, 276 assuming that many species are ecological equivalents1 of each other (e.g. Lippmaa 1939; Richards 277 1963; Sykes et al. 1994). Fowler (1990) used the term ‘disorderliness’. Hubbell and Foster (1986 %314) make this concept explicit, with saying that “biotic 278 279 interactions … are not very effective in stabilizing particular taxonomic assemblages, in causing 280 competitive exclusion, or in preventing invasion of additional species” because there are 281 “ecologically equivalent species”. Therefore “chance and biological uncertainty may play a major 282 role in shaping the population biology and community ecology of tropical tree communities”. 283 Hubbell (2001) developed these concepts into a full ‘Neutral’ model in which species are equivalent 284 in their demography and dispersal, i.e. in which niche differences play no rôle. He discovered, to his 285 surprise almost as much as anyone else’s, that many of the features of ecological communities that 286 ecologists have long been discussing, such as relative abundance distributions, species-area 287 relations and island biogeography can be predicted on this basis. Hubbell’s (2001) theory does not 288 imply that even on one tropic level all species have the same niche: “No ecologist in the world with 1 This can be distinguished from the redundancy concept, where the species are equivalent in alpha niche but not in beta niche. Wilson and Agnew, chapter 6, Theories, page 10 of 38 289 even a modicum of field experience would seriously question the existence of niche differences 290 among competing species” (Hubbell 2005 %166). Hubbell’s (2001) approach is to start with the 291 simplest null model, which in this case comprises the functional (niche) equivalence of species, and 292 then to add to the theory only when necessary to explain observations in the real world. Hubbell’s 293 earlier work had described niche differences in the tropical rainforest that he often takes as his 294 example: “Some tree species are largely restricted to slopes, whereas others are predominant on flat 295 ground or in the seasonal swamp”, “Shade-tolerant shrubs and understorey trees are also 296 recognizable guilds. Finally, there are gap-edge regeneration specialists” (Hubbell and Foster 1986 297 %314). These effects would tend to cause aggregation within species, but the same workers 298 demonstrated “pervasive” negative effects of plants on neighbours that were of the same species. 299 Such effects were confirmed when Uriarte et al. (2004) estimated the effect of neighbouring 300 saplings on the diameter growth of other saplings on BCI, work in which Hubbell has been 301 involved; for almost half of the species species-specific effects could be found, including more 302 competition if the neighbours were conspecific, or confamilial, or in the same gap/shade-tolerant 303 guild. All this emphasises that Hubbell’s (2001) thesis is intended as a null model, not a best-fit 304 model. 305 Wootton (2005) tested the theory using a 12-year record of transitions in an intertidal 306 community (sessile animals and algae) to parameterise a Hubbell (2001)-type model. Model 307 predictions matched the observed relative abundance distribution (RAD), but there was no 308 alternative model (and RAD curves tend all to look rather similar because they monotonically 309 decrease), and the confidence limits for the model prediction were wide. Many observed curves 310 could have fitted. However, observed species abundance in mussel-removal plots bore no relation to 311 the model’s predictions. This confirms the conclusion of Chave (2004) that many ecological models 312 can result in the same patterns, especially of the relative abundance distribution (which was already 313 known, see Wilson 1991 %35), but that does not prove that any one of them is correct. 314 If the chance theory were correct, there would be no reason to expect community re- 315 assembly except by chance, and hence no predictability. However, the reverse argument cannot be 316 made: a failure to predict species composition well from the measured environmental factors is no 317 evidence for chance, as we discussed in chapter 4, section 9. 6 Grime’s C-S-R theory 318 319 320 321 6.1 The triangle Grime’s C-S-R theory (1974; 2001) theory is based on a contrast between types of habitat and adaptation to them: Wilson and Agnew, chapter 6, Theories, page 11 of 38 322 ─ high-productivity / high-competition habitats (C), 323 ─ high environmental-stress habitats (S) and 324 ─ high-disturbance (i.e. ruderal, open) habitats (R). C (competition) Disturban ce Productivity C-S-R S (stress) (ruderal) R (disturbance) Productivit Untenable triangle Disturbanc e Heathrow airport, main runway Fig. 6.3: The dreaded C-S-R triangle. 325 326 In the original 1974 formulation of C-S-R theory one axis was RGRmax, i.e. relative growth rate in 327 the first few weeks after germination and in optimal conditions. Now, a method is available for 328 placing a species within the triangle by weighting its characters (Hodgson et al. 1999). Even a few 329 simply-obtained characters such as canopy height, flowering period and SLW can give good 330 prediction of C-S-R category for most species (Bogaard et al. 1998; Hodgson et al. 1999), but a 331 wider, and perhaps more meaningful, range of characters is desirable (Caccianiga et al. 2006). 332 These species * C-S-D equilibrium of sites (Grime 1988 %371). 333 Grime’s ideas were supported by the analytical models of Bolker and Pacala (1999), 334 showing that three, and only three spatial strategies are possible. The ‘Exploitation’ strategy can be 335 matched with C, the ‘Colonisation’ strategy with ‘R’ and the ‘Tolerance’ strategy with S. 336 6.2 Stress 337 Stress is clearly defined in C-S-R theory as "The external constraints which limit the rate of 338 dry matter production of all or part of the vegetation". The disturbance axis (R–C) recalls the r-K 339 spectrum of MacArthur and Wilson (1967), but the S (stress tolerators) axis is new to C-S-R theory. 340 Grime (2001) assumes that plants cannot grow where disturbance and stress are both high (the grey 341 area in Fig. 6.2), such as the middle of Heathrow Airport’s main runway where the soil is too dry 342 and low in nutrients (i.e. non-existent) and is disturbed every two minutes (Fig. 6.2). This leaves Wilson and Agnew, chapter 6, Theories, page 12 of 38 343 which leaves the C-S-R triangle (Fig. 6.2). C, S and R (or D for disturbance) were originally 344 categories of habitats, but they are also categories of the species that occur in those habitats. 345 There remains the problem of stress to which species. Take an alpine herbfield, where 346 temperatures are low (Koerner, 2003). Humans would consider this a stress, and so would most 347 plants. Yet under climate warming, the heat-lovers would be able to establish, and probably 348 competitively exclude the alpines. How can we say that the alpines were under a stress before, when 349 they were growing to their heart’s content, but they are not under stress now that they are dead? 350 Some alpine species grow poorly in ‘low-stress’ sea level conditions, probably because they lose 351 carbohydrate in the warmer winter temperatures there (Stewart and Bannister 1973). One would 352 think that the phytometer approach of Clements and Goldsmith (1924) would be ideal: planting the 353 same species into a range of communities and measuring its growth. However, Grime has chosen to 354 define stress on a whole-community basis and on the basis of the plants presently occurring, and is 355 consistent in that. 356 Perhaps the most difficult habitat for C-S-R theory is forests. We might think that the 357 dominant trees of tropical rainforests are the ultimate competitors, but Hubbell (2005 %166) 358 described them as the “competitive (stress tolerator) functional group”, with characteristics typical 359 of S species: tolerance of low light levels, long life spans, high resistance to pests and herbivores. 360 This rather depends on how they regenerate. If they grow fast from seed/oskars after disturbance, 361 they could be C species, almost R. Others have seen the dominants as species that are shade tolerant 362 and growth slowly up through the canopy, or sit still “conservatively” in the shade and make bursts 363 of growth during mini-gaps, they are S species. Then again, Grime (2001) points out that trenching 364 experiments have shown that nutrients are often more limiting than light to herbs and seedlings on 365 the forest floor. For many types of stress, as resources become limiting they will also become more 366 patchily limited. *[Andrew is working on this] 367 Since the r-K spectrum is widely accepted, the controversial aspect of C-S-R theory is that 368 different kinds of stress have much in common, resulting in a consistent S-species type. Such 369 species grow slowly, at least in their natural habitat. Leaves can therefore be produced only 370 infrequently, and must be evergreen, 'tough' both mechanically and in herbivore defence, so that it 371 can function for more than a year. The energy constraints affect a whole suite of characters (Reich 372 et al. 1991; 1992), e.g. slow relative growth rate, evergreen habit, low maximum photosynthetic 373 rate, low leaf percentage nitrogen, abundant defence compounds, leaves that are small, often stiff, 374 needle-like and with high specific leaf weight. This suite of characters is also part of Leaf 375 Amortization theory (Wilson and Lee 2000). Thus, the S axis of C-S-R theory is an adumbration of Wilson and Agnew, chapter 6, Theories, page 13 of 38 376 the theory of leaf costs and amortisation of Orians and Solbrig (1977). The coincidence is so great 377 that we can see the relation: C-S-R = r/K theory + Leaf Amortization theory. 378 It has sometimes been suggested that low RGRmax is adaptive in stress environments (e.g. 379 Hunt and Hope-Simpson 1990). However, adaptation to stress environments is by relatively high 380 RGR in those environments, not by low RGR in a hypothetical optimal environment. Low RGRmax 381 is adaptive to stress environments only via a strategic trade-off: "It is possible that genetic 382 characteristics conducive to rapid growth in productive conditions become disadvantageous when 383 the same plants are subjected to environmental extremes" (Grime and Hunt 1975). 384 Grime (1988 %371, 2001) has more recently emphasised that the common underlying stress 385 is a deficit of major mineral nutrients either directly or as a result of other stresses. This view is 386 comparable to that of some physiologists, who have proposed a unifying stress mechanism (see 387 Wilson and Lee 2000). Craine (2005) considers this at least unproven. 388 A limitation to the generalisation of C-S-R is that different types of stress favour different 389 types of species (Grime 1988 %371). For example, species of nutrient-poor habitats have a high 390 allocation to roots, but species of low-light habitats have low allocation to roots (Tilman 1987). One 391 problem with this example is that Grime (1979) considered biotic shade to be competition rather 392 than stress (though there is abiotic shade, e.g. in caves) 393 It is very difficult to characterise a site as low/high stress in terms of light, since in a 394 productive environment there will always be some species low in the canopy that have to tolerate 395 the stress of shade from taller plants (Pigott 1980). Grime had envisaged that any community would 396 comprise a mixture of species with different C-S-R status, but this is not just a case of the overlap of 397 species' ecological ranges, or of micro-habitat variation, because, as Pigott notes, the species "grow 398 together in vegetation ... because they possess different strategies" [italics ours]. Athyrium filix- 399 femina (lady fern) and the grass Bromus erectus occupy very similar areas on the Triangular 400 Ordination of Grime et al. (1988), but differ in life form and population dynamics (Austin and 401 Gaywood 1994). The succulent habit is found on saltmarshes and deserts but not in habitats where 402 the stress is water-mediated. 403 Moreover, not all species are adapted to one particular stress in the same way. A dramatic 404 example of this is seen in adaptation to water stress in deserts. The extreme variability within and 405 between years in deserts is responsible for the wide range of life forms that are found in these 406 regions. By this we mean the predictability of climate itself differs between deserts such that some, 407 e.g. Namibia, with predictable rain in summer, supports relatively few extant life forms whereas 408 others such as the North American deserts, with rainfall less predictable from year to year, support a 409 very wide range. Some species are adapted by being avoiders, including stem succulents such as Wilson and Agnew, chapter 6, Theories, page 14 of 38 410 cacti and leaf succulents as in members of the Crassulaceae), but also annuals/ephemerals which 411 avoid water stress as adults by dying, but survive water stress as dormant seeds. Others, like the 412 shrubs, are tolerators, where water potentials in the tissues are very low in dry periods, shedding 413 leaves and even branches, but which can tolerate this without death. Again, this emphasises C-S-R 414 as a simplification. 415 6.3 Disturbance 416 Grime’s definition of disturbance is unambiguous: "The mechanisms which limit the plant 417 biomass by causing its partial or total destruction". This refers to the whole community, but this 418 brings the problem that what is a disturbance to one species might not be to another (paralleling one 419 of the criticisms relating to stress). For example, the mowing disturbance of Burke and Grime 420 (1996) will have disturbed the tall species, but increased resource (light) availability to short ones. 421 Selective grazing is another example. Short or unpalatable species might be described as 422 ‘disturbance avoiders’ in contrast to ‘disturbance tolerators’, but it is not clear how to fit this 423 distinction into C-S-R theory. We argued in chapter 2 that autogenic disturbance is important in 424 plant communities; it is not clear how C-S-R theory incorporates this. 425 6.4 Species/character tests 426 A basic assumption of C-S-R theory is that there are “design constraints" (Grime 1988, 427 Grime et al. 1988) that limit viable character combinations. Reich et al. (2003) found a compelling 428 negative correlation between leaf lifespan and net photosynthetic capacity, though of course with 429 scatter, and a slightly weaker one via leaf N. Grime et al. (1987) made a more general test by 430 classifying species by cluster analysis on a range of characters, and then looking for correlation 431 between the resulting groups and the three C-S-R 'strategies'. They found, in one analysis, a group 432 of low-stature, evergreen species with 'tough' foliage, comparable to the S group. Grime et al. 433 (1997) used 67 characters, including experimental responses, to ordinate 43 species. They could 434 informally overlay a C-S-R triangle on the ordination diagram. There was also a good fit between 435 this ordination and that derived in Grime et al. (1988) from field distributions: e.g. the three species 436 in the C corner of the character ordination are in that corner in the distribution ordination, with 437 comparable fits for the S and R corners. This gives some support to C-S-R theory. A more direct 438 test of these trade-offs would be to find unoccupied character space. 439 Other tests can be made by determining whether species of the right type occur in the right 440 habitats. For example, Madon and Médail (1997) examined the distribution of species in a 441 Mediterranean grassland. Sites with a high cover of S species (how they were designated as S 442 species is unclear) also contained a higher cover of annuals (which would normally be R species in Wilson and Agnew, chapter 6, Theories, page 15 of 38 443 C-S-R theory). It is true that such semi-arid grasslands often contain many annuals. So do deserts; 444 in fact deserts commonly comprise a mixture of species with quite different characters (see above). 445 This emphasises that C-S-R theory is a simplification, not a law of the type that physicists can have. 446 Caccianiga et al. (2006) attempted to test C-S-R theory on succession on glacial moraines in 447 Italy. The concept is valid, and it was a brave attempt, but there are problems: (1) They use 448 “percentage ground cover”, without saying how it was measured. (2) They conclude that there is a 449 successional trend from R species to S ones, and their Fig. 3 confirms this, yet their Fig. 4 450 contradicts it. (3) Although an R→S change is predicted by C-S-R theory, it is generally with an 451 intermediate increase in C and with the S stage not being reached for a long time (more than the 452 <200 yr of their dataset). Moreover this R→S change applies in C-S-R theory to a secondary 453 succession; for a primary succession, which theirs certainly is, the initial trend should be S→C-S-R 454 (Grime 2001 %bok). 455 An experimental approach is perhaps better, since one can be sure what the habitat 456 differences are. Moog et al. (2005) applied four basic treatments – sheep grazing, mulching with 457 hay, burning in winter and control (‘succession’) – at 14 sites in SW Germany. The vegetation 458 resulting 25 years later was classified in terms of C-S-R composition, using guessed cover and 459 species’ C-S-R rankings by the method of Hodgson et al. (1999). There were some changes in 460 community C-S-R status that agreed with C-S-R theory. For example, grazing and twice-yearly 461 mulching, presumably both disturbances, led to a C-ness c. 0.35 below the control. Grazing and 462 burning increased S-ness by c. 0.2 above the control. Moog et al. explained the grazing effect due to 463 the herbivory defence of S-strategists, or due to nutrient removal though it is not clear whether how 464 grazing will reduce nutrient availability or whether it may increase it though nutrient recycling. 465 They explained the increase in S-ness with burning as an indirect effect, that burning favoured 466 species with rhizomes, which happened to be S-strategists, though severe burning can lower 467 nutrients (Certini 2005). Grazing and mulching increased R-ness by 0.4-0.5 above the control, as 468 predicted by C-S-R theory. However large differences in C-S-R status were found between the 469 same treatment at different sites, up to 1.0 difference. Not clear-cut. 470 6.5 Competition 471 Some have rejected the concept of competitiveness as an overall plant attribute, i.e. the 472 concept that a species that is a superior competitor for one resource is also a superior competitor for 473 all other resources (e.g. Grubb 1985). This is one prediction of C-S-R theory that can be tested quite 474 clearly. Contrasting shoot competitive ability (for light) with root competitive ability (for water and 475 the major nutrients), for the same species in the same conditions, the data assembled by Wilson 476 (1988 %279) indicate 13 (22%) cases where the relative competitive abilities of two species were Wilson and Agnew, chapter 6, Theories, page 16 of 38 477 different between shoot and root competition, and 46 (78%) where they were in the same direction 478 – a significant difference. Non-transitivity of competitive ability (Chapter 7) would make a 479 nonsense of the idea of overall competitive ability, but it seems to be rare, and has arguably never 480 been demonstrated in plants. Another prediction of C-S-R theory is that competition intensity will 481 be lower in stress sites (Grime 2001). Grime (op. cit.) writes: “Some ecologists are extremely 482 reluctant to recognise the declining importance of competition for resources in unproductive 483 habitats”. We agree. We are amongst those who are extremely reluctant, and we discuss this issue 484 below. 485 6.6 Community-level tests 486 It is difficult to make testable predictions in the middle of the triangle, because all such 487 predictions are merely questions of degree. Testable predictions come from the rare, most-extreme 488 habitats in the corners of the triangle. Therefore, although most habitats and species apparently 489 occur in the central parts of the triangle, to obtain critical tests we here emphasise the extreme 490 corners. The position of the R corner is well defined in concept, i.e. 100% disturbance, but this is 491 hard to apply operationally. No plant can exist exactly in the corner, and it is hard to know how 492 disturbance should be quantified when degree, frequency and even type have to be taken into 493 account. Similarly, it is impossible for a plant to exist exactly in the S corner because by the 494 definition of stress biomass is reduced to zero there. It is possible to define the C corner in terms of 495 zero disturbance, but zero stress is zero reduction in biomass: from what? In the triangular 496 ordinations of Grime et al. (1988) the great majority of habitats and species cluster towards the 497 middle of the triangle, but this seems largely an artefact of the method of construction of the figure 498 (Wilson and Lee 2000). Caccianiga et al. (2006 % 10) do manage, by using a good 499 species/character dataset and the method of Hodgson et al. (1999 %282) to get a good spread of 500 species along the bottom half of the triangle, which is reasonable for their field site. 501 Grime's (1979) assumed that in high-disturbance, high-stress sites no plants would grow. 502 This implies that all high-disturbance sites occupied by plants must be relatively low-stress and all 503 high-stress sites occupied by plants must be relatively low-disturbance. Tests have not so far been 504 attempted, they would be difficult to perform and there would be logical problems (Wilson and Lee 505 2000). 506 6.7 Does succession provide a test of C-S-R? 507 The early stages of primary succession often involve stressful habitats. Colonisation of bare 508 rock is a good example. Some of the species of such habitats are clearly S species, such as lichens. Wilson and Agnew, chapter 6, Theories, page 17 of 38 509 Thus, it seems that R species occur mainly in secondary succession (Grime 1988), and we shall 510 consider only secondary successions in our examples. 511 Lack of C-S differentiation in the R corner 512 Grime's (1979) interpretation of secondary succession was that for sites of differing 513 productivity there would be separate successional pathways, all starting from the R corner, and all 514 ending (eventually) in the S corner (Fig. 3a,b). At the start in the R corner, the succession 515 trajectories are very close (Fig. a), indicating that the difference between stressful (S) and 516 productive (C) sites is negligible, giving the opportunity for the same species to occur, i.e. the same 517 ruderal species in stressful as in benign habitats (Fig. b,c). (c) 518 519 520 521 522 523 Fig. 6.4. C-S-R theory and specialist pioneers. (a) Grime suggested that sites with differing degrees of stress would follow different pathways. - - - indicates the part of the succession which will probably be slow. (b) Since there is little difference between C and S in the R corner, the same species will occur along different pathways. 524 (c) Towards the R corner of the triangle, there is little or no difference between C and S. 525 Considering the three S habitat types discussed by Wilson and Lee (2000), the main pioneer of 526 degraded land in Naiman Banner County, Inner Mongolia, is Agriophyllum squarrosum, a specialist 527 pioneer of dunes in semi-arid areas (Zhang et al. 2005). In Sonoran Desert oldfields, pioneers 528 include the very widespread weed Taraxacum officinale (dandelion), but also species such as 529 Salsola kali, a ruderal annual of dry, often alkaline areas (Castellanos et al. 2005). These recent 530 examples confirm the previous conclusion that in arid habitats the majority of secondary pioneers 531 are not species restricted to deserts, though a few are. The secondary pioneers of saltmarsh gaps are 532 generally species of the lower saltmarsh, as we would expect since all species that occur on salt 533 marshes have to be quite salt tolerant, ruderal or not. Colonists at 950+ m elevation in the 534 Cairngorms (Scotland) are species absent from mesic habitats, but not specialist pioneers (Bayfield Wilson and Agnew, chapter 6, Theories, page 18 of 38 535 et al. 1984). The species present in mid succession in southern New Zealand alpine grassland 536 included Anisotome aromatica, Plantago novae-zelandiae Colobanthus strictus and Epilobium 537 alsinoides (Lloyd et al. 2003), the latter extends down to the lowlands, but the others are basically 538 montane / subalpine in range. However, pioneers in the Andean alpine oldfields include the very 539 widespread ruderals Erodium cicutarium, Poa annua and Rumex acetosella (Sarmiento et al. 2003). 540 We have to conclude that in some S sites, secondary pioneers (R species) are present that are 541 restricted to that habitat, but in other cases more general ruderals are the colonists. 542 Autosuccession 543 Another way to apply C-S-R theory to succession is to argue that the R corner represents 544 habitats with a high frequency/intensity of disturbance. In S habitats, there will be no variation 545 along the R–C axis, because the triangle narrows towards the S corner (as a triangle must: Fig. X). 546 Therefore, one can predict from C-S-R theory that secondary succession in high-stress habitats will 547 occur entirely within the S corner (Grime 1987; Fig. x). This is autosuccession: the first colonists 548 are also the climax species *[jbw: cf initial floristics]. [This is similar to Grime's (1988) depiction of 549 primary succession for S habitats, indeed no absolute distinction is possible between primary and 550 secondary succession.] This leads to the conclusion that autosuccession will be the norm in extreme 551 S habitats (Figs. 3c, 4b), i.e. the first species to colonise after disturbance will be the same species 552 as are found in the undisturbed ('climax') vegetation, there being no specialised secondary pioneer 553 species [contrast this with Egler’s (1954) ‘Initial floristic composition’ concept in which some 554 species are pioneers]. Again, C-S-R theory strictly predicts the same type of species, but if there is 555 space for fewer niches the species themselves are likely to be the same (Fig. x). There is some 556 apparent conflict here with the prediction above that the secondary pioneers of S habitats will not be 557 specific to those habitats, but this is due to our operating near the corners of the C-S-R triangle, not 558 in them, so that the predictions are not absolute. Autosuccession will tend to occur, but when there 559 are pioneers they will be general ones. *[jbw will coord with Grime’s figures] 560 561 Wilson and Agnew, chapter 6, Theories, page 19 of 38 562 Fig. 6.5. C-S-R theory and autosuccession. *[JBW: To be rationalised with the on-figure caption] 563 (c) In areas of high stress, which by C-S-R theory can never be high-disturbance, succession 564 will follow a full pathway; in areas of high stress, which by C-S-R theory can never be 565 high-disturbance, succession will follow a shortened pathway (cf Fig 20.3l of Grime 1987 566 *[JBW: to check, box strat grime ATR]). 567 568 (b) Towards the S corner of the triangle, there is little or no difference between C and R. *[JBW: QDA says he needs to read this again; he is confused] Wilson and Lee (2000) tested 569 the prediction in relation to four types of stress, taking care to restrict consideration to secondary 570 succession to minimise problems of confounding disturbance with stress, and we summarise rather 571 than repeat their conclusions. Grime (1979) gave alpine habitats as a further example of a high- 572 stress (S) habitat. Wilson and Lee (2000) cited an example of a Himalayan alpine meadow where 573 there were specialist alpine pioneers, and another from New Zealand high-alpine cushionfield 574 where there were not. Sarmiento et al. (2003) found, in high-Andean oldfield succession, that of the 575 eight most abundant species in the undisturbed community four were absent the first year after 576 abandonment, three others were present in traces, and the remaining one made up less than 1 % of 577 the cover – no autosuccession here. Thus, the evidence is equivocal. In arctic tundra, another habitat 578 cited by Grime (1979) as high-stress, there are usually pioneers, but autosuccession is occasionally 579 seen (Wilson and Lee 2000). Autosuccession is often seen on saltmarsh, especially on the more S 580 lower saltmarsh. For desert, Allen’s (1991) suggestion that autosuccession is common is not 581 supported by the literature (Wilson and Lee 2000) or by Castellanos (2005) in the Sonoran Desert, 582 though the evidence of Zhang (2005) from China is mixed. It is necessary to remember that 583 autosuccession can also occur in mesic habitats (Wilson and Lee 2000). Overall, there is a weak 584 trend for autosuccession to occur in the most extreme S habitats, but it occurs also in some mesic 585 habitats.. 586 6.8 Conclusions 587 Several of the predictions of C-S-R theory are very difficult to test, reducing *[Grime says it 588 is a problem for us how to deal with lags in equilibration, spatial and temporal variation in C, S and 589 R within the community] the value of the theory as an explanatory model for the structure of plant 590 communities. Even for predictions that are more easily tested, there has been little quality evidence. 591 The evidence so far is that predictions from C-S-R fail as often as they succeed (Wilson and Lee 592 2000). There have been many more criticisms, but most of them have missed the point of C-S-R 593 theory (Wilson and Lee). Wilson and Agnew, chapter 6, Theories, page 20 of 38 7 Centrifugal theory (Keddy) 594 595 The ‘Centrifugal’ theory of Wisheu and Keddy (1992) is in some ways the opposite of C-S- 596 R. Whereas C-S-R sees all stresses as in some sense equivalent and arranges them on a single axis, 597 Centrifugal theory emphasises their differences, placing them on multiple axes diverging from the 598 productive sites in the centre of a diagram. This is a display rather than a theory. As Austin and 599 Gaywood (1994) point out, it does not make testable predictions, so it is difficult to see how it could 600 be falsified. 8 Tilman’s theory 601 602 Tilman (Titman 1976 %463; Tilman 1982 %bok; 1988 %bok etc.) has produced a number 603 of ideas. Here we emphasise those that have made a particular contribution to the topic of our book. 604 The concept have been described as having “a hard centre but woolly edges”: that is, there is a solid 605 core of irrefutable mathematics, but it is not always clear how to apply this to the real world. 606 8.1 Co-existence 607 Tilman (1976 %463) concluded from his first experiments: “long-term coexistence of 608 competing species was observed only when the growth rate of each species was limited by a 609 different nutrient”. This is standard Gaussian competitive exclusion. He later developed a concept 610 of spatial niches (1988), and then embraced the fugitive model (Tilman 1994; see Chapter 4). 611 8.2 Species diversity 612 Tilman (1982, book) reached a similar conclusion to Grime (1973 %Nature), that there 613 would be a humped-back relation between productivity and species richness. Like Grime, Tilman’s 614 argument for low richness under low productivity / resource-availability seems to have been that 615 there are few species capable of growing in conditions of high stress. However, part of his 616 explanation for low richness at high productivity / resource-availability was that the effect of spatial 617 heterogeneity on richness would be reduced. Yet he later, finding that nitrogen application led to a 618 reduction in species richness in the Cedar Creek oldfields, converged with Grime’s conclusion that 619 this effect was due to shading suppression by live plant material and litter *[jbw will get reference 620 from Craine]. *[jbw will put this in the Grime/Tilman comparison section] 621 8.3 Succession 622 Tilman (1982 %bok) also generated a resource-ratio theory of succession, starting from the 623 observation that at his Cedar Creek experimental site soil nitrogen (N) increased during secondary Wilson and Agnew, chapter 6, Theories, page 21 of 38 624 succession. This is often the case, though it is difficult to know what fraction of soil N is available 625 to plants. This led him to theorise that the early-successional species would be more tolerant of low 626 N and therefore better competitors at low N, but late-successional species would require high N but 627 be better competitors, probably for light, in those conditions. Yet his experiments showed that later 628 successional species at Cedar Creek do not necessarily have a higher N requirement or response 629 (Tilman 1986 %555; Tilman 1987 %189; Tilman and Cowan 1989). 630 Actually, although modal nitrogen content of the soil in which various species grow at 631 Cedar Creek is not significantly related to their experimental growth (Tilman and Cowan 1989) at 632 low N (Spearman’s rank correlation rs = -0.45, with RGR taken from the graphs of Tilman and 633 Cowan at 150 mg N / kg of soil), nor their growth at high N (rs = -0.24, RGR at 1500 mg N), their 634 response to N (RGR at high N / RGR at low N) is clearly related (rs = +0.84, p < 0.05). What is not 635 so well related is their successional position. Agrostis scabra does indeed appear early on and peak 636 at c. 5 five years (Tilman and Wedin 1991 %685), but the high-requiring and high-responding Poa 637 pratensis peaks at c. 15 years, whereas Schizachyrium scoparium is hardly present then, and peaks 638 at c. 45 years. RGR response to X10 nitrogen increase 1.35 Poa pratensis 1.3 Schizachyrium scoparium 1.25 1.2 ` 1.15 Agrostis scabra 1.1 0 2 4 6 8 10 N status in field: rank Fig. 6.6: The experimental response to N compared to the rank of species in a successional/N field gradient. 639 Harpole and Tilman (2006) produced similar partial support by correlating previously- 640 determined nitrogen R* values with relative abundance in three semi-natural or experimental areas. 641 In the real world of the Community matrix competitive ability and abundance in a mixture will not 642 necessarily be correlated, but in the world of R* they are. The correlations were highly significant 643 but highly far from impessive. There was considerable respect for Tilman that he had published 644 these results with frank admission of their conflict with this theory. However, this leaves his theory 645 hanging. It is also difficult to generalise his ideas. Tilman emphasises the increase in soil nutrient Wilson and Agnew, chapter 6, Theories, page 22 of 38 646 status, especially of nitrogen, during both primary and secondary succession (Tilman 1988 %bok). 647 [Grime (2001 book), in contrast, sees the initial stages of primary succession as being accompanied 648 by an increase in soil nutrients.] There are a few successions that do not have a monotonic N 649 increase (e.g. Crews et al. 1995 %140 examining a 4100000 yr chronosequence in Hawai’i), and 650 often phosphate limitation is a major determinant of plant growth during succession (Chapin et al. 651 1994 %149; Richardson et al. 2004 %267). 652 8.4 Intensity of competition Tilman’s (1988) view is that competition will be equally important in productive and 653 654 unproductive environments. This is in direct conflict with the views of Grime, and we address it 655 below. 656 8.5 The competitive process: R* 657 Tilman’s (1982) R* theory is that a species has an R* value for any resource R and set of 658 conditions, which is the lowest [R] (i.e. concentration of R) at which it can grow in monoculture 659 Above its R* the species can grow, absorb R, and will therefore lower R towards R*. In mixture, 660 where R is limiting, as [R] becomes lower each species will drop out as [R] drops below its R*. 661 Apparently no species will enter in this process. The one species left will be the one that can 662 tolerate that the lowest [R], and the concentration of R will be its R*. To summarise, the species 663 capable of sustaining itself at the lowest [R] in monoculture will be the superior competitor. There 664 is a problem here, that the multi-species communities that we normally see have been eliminated in 665 the process, so there must be some other mechanism of coexistence for them. 666 [jbw says: Rate of M supply is in 2 phases, minerfal of organic and de novo entering 667 sysgtfem, rainfall and hydolysis of esp of feldspars and apatite, all dependent on water for rain or 668 soil soln, hydrolysis depons acidity from orgianic and rocks, therfeorfe climatic. Has anyone taken 669 this up? *A says try Vitousek? Air particulates, n-fix, perhaps SO2 from air. ] 670 The model is deceptively simple. Of course if one species reduces the level of a resource to 671 one where only it can use the resource, it must drive out all other species. But application is a 672 different matter: the brave work of Tilman and Wedin (1991 %685, %1038) shows that it is very 673 difficult to obtain conclusive evidence in real experiments with embryophytes. 674 Major soil nutrients (NPK) 675 Tilman (1981) found that the R* model explained which species of alga won in a microcosm 676 experiment with inorganic nutrient limitation. T.E. Miller et al. (2005) surveyed the literature and 677 found 11 experiments with microalgae or zooplankton that had tested R* in laboratory microcosms, 678 and arguably all supported the theory. *[jbw algal cultures the env can be held stable, unlike real Wilson and Agnew, chapter 6, Theories, page 23 of 38 679 conditions; B thinks it is more a question of uniform mixing; cut down the env variance, diff bet 680 field and expt] 681 The situation is not so clearcut in soil, things are different. Tilman and Wedin (1991 %685, 682 %1038) in field plots at their Cedar Creek experimental site found the outcome of competition on 683 low N soil was predicted by R* in some cases. Comparing Agrostis scabra with Schizachyrium 684 scoparium, the two performed approximately equally in monoculture, but in competition S. 685 scoparium was the clear winner. By R* theory, it should have reduced N in the soil (both nitrate and 686 ammonium) to a lower level than A. scabra, and indeed available N as measured by KCl extraction 687 was lower. It should also have been able to grow at a lower N level, but the experimental results do 688 not tell us one way or the other. A. scabra suffered in competition at the low N levels that S. 689 scoparium produced, but not necessarily because of them. Indeed it suffered almost as much in 690 competition in the two higher N levels. Very similar effects were seen in competition between the 691 A. scabra and Andropogon gerardi, and in a less clear-cut way in competition between A. scabra 692 and Agropyron repens. These results are ambiguous: perhaps A. scabra is more efficient at N 693 uptake but suffers in light competition. Indeed, it grew shorter than other species, including S. 694 scoparium in the experiments of Tilman (1986 %555). 695 Actually, it is difficult to apply R* to soil NPK competition even conceptually. Plants will 696 lower [N/P/K] to some extent, though it is always being produced from by decomposers, so it is 697 patchily available in space but especially in time, resulting from the processes such as 698 mineralization, nitrification, immobilisation, volatilisation, denitrification, fixation and leaching. 699 Nitrogen will normally be most abundant in spring, when maximum growth occurs, and Tilman and 700 Wedin (1991) measured soil N in summer. Plant roots will hardly lower total [P] since most is 701 insoluble. Unlike fast-diffusing NH3 or NO2, and available P is almost immobile. Therefore, unlike N, 702 plants do not take up P from the soil as a whole but the plant roots have to explore the soil, taking up 703 P from a cylinder around the root as they grow, the cylinder being some few mm around the root, 704 perhaps just 1 mm (Kraus et al. 1987). This basic difference between competition for N and that for P 705 was pointed out by Bray (1954). How do we apply R* theory in these circumstances? 706 Water 707 Water is available intermittently in time, a complication for R* theory, but often at different 708 depths. Most water lands on the surface, and perhaps moves down, but water can also be available 709 from deep aquifers, and by hydraulic lift plants can raise it. Plants are not using the same pool of 710 water in time (ephemeral annuals versus perennials) or space (deep-rooted shrubs and perennial 711 grasses versus shallow-rooted cacti). How does R* apply then? Wilson and Agnew, chapter 6, Theories, page 24 of 38 712 Light 713 In light competition, canopy species reduce the resource availability below them, but not 714 above them, introducing a complication. By R* theory, the climax canopy species would reduce 715 lower-stratum light to low levels, and be able to tolerate these low levels and hence regenerate. But 716 this depends on whether there is continuous regeneration, large-gap regeneration or single-tree 717 replacement, and in the latter two cases whether the next generation is from dispersal, the seed pool, 718 oskars (*jbw will define) [*jbw will comment, I can find no survey on this.] or advanced 719 regeneration: all these modes occur, often with different species regenerating by different modes, 720 within the same community (e.g. Lusk and Ogden 1992; Thomas and Bazzaz 1999). 721 Assuming continuous below-the-canopy regeneration, R* predicts that shade-tolerant plants 722 would achieve tolerance by having a lower light-compensation point. Kitajima (1994 %419) 723 compared 13 tree species of Barro Colorado Island rainforest. Shade tolerance was determined as 724 the survival (i.e. non-mortality) rate of seedlings under shade cloth that gave light intensity very 725 similar to that of the forest understorey, supported by field observations of mortality in the 726 understorey and the tendency of the species to occur in light gaps. Survival was uncorrelated with 727 the light compensation point (r = +0.27) and with dark respiration (r = +0.25 on a mass basis). 728 Eschenbach et al. (1998, %356) examined tree species of North Borneo lowland dipterocarp forests 729 in the field. Light compensation points were attained mainly between 6 and 9 mu mol photons m-2 s- 730 1 731 regeneration, but the presence of pioneer species reminds us that gap regeneration is occurring. 732 Cenzato and Ganf (2001 %53) compared two aquatic species, the one that normally grew with 733 wholly-submerged leaves had a light-compensation point almost half that of another spp which 734 grew with floating emergent leaves. This conflicts with R* theory if we use the analogy with 735 forests. *[JBW: A says: “How so, I would have thought it agreed”] 736 but were higher for pioneering species. This supports an R* interpretation in continuous The truth is that regeneration in forests, and probably in some other communities, is too 737 complex to fit R* theory. 738 Conclusion 739 None of these complications occur in homogenous, nutrient-limited habitats such as a lab 740 tank with planktonic algae. Tilman had such experiments of his in mind when he formed R* theory. 741 In real habitats, R* theory is not only very complex to test, it is often impossible to see how to 742 apply it or test it. There are many, obvious simplifications in this model. So long as the model is 743 still predictive, and can be seen by Occam’s Razor as being provisional true, that is no problem. A 744 statement of some simple truth is the aim of Science, and difficult in Ecology. Wilson and Agnew, chapter 6, Theories, page 25 of 38 9 Grime versus Tilman 745 746 The ideas of Titman/Tilman (1988) have often been compared with C-S-R theory. However, 747 C-S-R theory is a coherent body of ideas, summarising habitats and species, including the 748 characters of the species, the characteristics of the habitats, their relation, succession, and in the 749 humped-back relation of species richness to productivity. These ideas are all interconnected into 750 one theory. It has remained essentially unchanged since 1979, the only major addition being that all 751 stresses are basically unavailability of mineral nutrients. Love it or lump it, it is the only 752 comprehensive, coherent theory we have in community ecology. Titman/Tilman’s theory, in 753 contrast, includes a number of ideas that are rather separate, covering the mechanism of 754 competition, where competition will be most intense, how resources will change during succession, 755 whether and how species will co-exist, species diversity, etc. Some of these theories have been 756 effectively disproved, even by Tilman himself, but others remain alive. To some extent this reflects 757 that the theories are put in a more testable form than Grime’s. Grime does have one undisputed 758 advantage over Titman/Tilman: he did not change his name part way through. 759 9.1 Strategy 760 The concept of strategy is old, and intuitive to every child, that the effort a plant or animal 761 puts into one organ or activity is at the expense of another. Plant ecologists generally think of effort 762 as biomass, though calorific content might be more appropriate. Cody (1966) stated the concept of 763 strategy eloquently: “It is possible to think of organisms as having a limited amount of … energy 764 available for expenditure, and of natural selection as that force which operates in the allocation of 765 this … energy in the way that maximises the contribution of the genotype to following generations” 766 (the ‘…’s refer to time, which is easier to see as a resource for animals than for plants). Harper and 767 Ogden (1970) applied this concept to plants by examining the proportion of energy allocated to 768 reproductive structures. Much consideration has been given to the conditions under which particular 769 reproductive strategies should be optimal, formalising it in terms of optimal strategy and then later 770 correcting this to the evolutionarily stable strategy (ESS: Smith 1982). The concept applies to a 771 whole species, to ecotypes and to plastic responses. The principle applies to vegetative allocation 772 too, for example shoot versus root allocation: "the plant makes every endeavour to supply itself 773 with adequate nutriment, and as if, when the food supply is low, it strives to make as much root 774 growth as possible” (Brenchley 1916). This principle is implicit in C-S-R theory: it explains why no 775 species can be a perfect competitor, a perfect stress-tolerator and a perfect ruderal all at the same 776 time. Indeed, Grime commonly refers to C-S-R as ‘Strategy Theory’, as though it were the only 777 one. Tilman has also moved to an emphasis on strategy with his ALLOCATE model of plant Wilson and Agnew, chapter 6, Theories, page 26 of 38 778 growth and competition (Tilman 1988 %bok), emphasising shoot versus root strategy, a field with a 779 long history of theory and observation (Wilson 1988 %433) but usefully put into the context of the 780 community. 781 9.2 Competition 782 Grime’s and Tilman’s hypotheses 783 *[JBW will integrate] 784 However, mortality that happens to exactly balance the juvenile:adult ratio, i.e. that exactly 785 balances recruitment, is infinitely unlikely. Yet, even a slight excess of mortality over recruitment 786 would give λ (population growth rate) less than 1.0 and a population that declined to zero, and 787 even a slight deficit of mortality would give λ greater than 1.0, and a population that climbed 788 towards infinity. We never see either of these in existing populations. The logical conclusion is that 789 in all persistent populations of a species, (i.e. excepting transient situations), recruitment and/or 790 mortality must be density-dependent and the most likely cause of this is competition. The 791 population will grow until its individuals run out of resources, even if we outsiders cannot easily see 792 what the critical resource is. This is the answer to the not very fruitful argument between Grime 793 (1979; 2001) and Tilman (1988) to which we turn in chapter 6. Or herbivory holds abundance too 794 low for competition to occur. But perhaps with such low levels of plant productivity herbivore 795 populations cannot exist. *[JBW will ask William Bond. And try Rietkerk paper on “Multiple stable 796 states”] 797 Grime (1979, 2001) stated that competition is less intense in stressful environments, 798 apparently because the plants there are limited by abiotic stress, not by competition. Tilman 799 states that competition is equally present in all environments. There are complications. If we 800 put plants in a pot, or if colonisation occurs in the wild, the plants will grow faster in the less 801 stressful environments, and thus come into competition sooner. On the other hand, resources 802 will be exhausted sooner in a more stressful environment. But then the mobility of some soil 803 nutrients will be higher when they are present at higher concentrations (e.g. Vaidyanathan et 804 al. 1968), and this can result in greater below-ground competition (Wilson and Newman 1987). 805 There is also no generally-agreed index of competition (Weigelt and Jolliffe 2003). All this 806 makes the question very difficult to answer (Wilson and Lee 2000 %77). However, basically, 807 in all environments plants will increase in density and/or size until they are limited by the 808 resources, i.e. competition is 100% (what about isolated plants?). Ecologists often see what 809 they think are exceptions in arid and semi-arid areas, where the plants are spaced above- 810 ground. However, the logic used above indicates there must be 100% competition below Wilson and Agnew, chapter 6, Theories, page 27 of 38 811 ground, and experiments confirm the existence of such competition. Grime’s argument has 812 the obvious flaw that, although competition for water and for mineral nutrients can actually 813 increase as resource supply increases, at some point there will be plentiful supply of these 814 resources and thus no competition for them. At this point, competition shifts to competition 815 for light. The environmental conditions are then so different that it is difficult to say 816 whether competition is less, the same or greater, and anyway competition for light is 817 different in being asymmetric/cumulative (see *). 818 Grime (1974) made it clear that in the S corner of the C-S-R Triangle there is no 819 competition because neighbours are too constrained by the unfavourable environment to interact. 820 This is an aspect of the C versus S versus R trade-off, i.e. of his application of the principle of 821 strategy. Grime’s concept conflicts with our common observation and common sense. We see 822 almost everywhere that plants fill the whole area – why is this, unless through competition (sensu 823 lato: we shall have to include allelopathy here too)? Tilman’s (1988) view is that competition will 824 be equally important in productive and unproductive environments. The logic seems to be that if 825 resource availability is too high for there to be competition, the plants will grow until availability 826 has been reduced so that it is. Moreover, in any environment there will be competition for either 827 mineral nutrients (especially N) or light, competition for which is inversely related (Tilman 1988). 828 These viewpoints are connected to the right-hand part of the humped-back model of species 829 richness. For Grime, at high productivity / standing-crop, i.e. low S and high C, competition and 830 therefore competitive exclusion will be maximal. Wardle (2002) uses this argument to comment that 831 Tilman’s R* model is “difficult to reconcile with the frequently observed humped-back relationship 832 between diversity and productivity”, because according to Tilman competition, and hence competitive 833 exclusion, will be no greater at high biomass. Wardle’s statement is misleading for several reasons: 834 (a) the relation is far from universal, especially with statistical significance from an appropriate test, 835 (b) the usual relation has been with richness, not diversity, (c) productivity has hardly ever been 836 measured, only above-ground standing crop, and (d) the logic is based on the downturn in richness at 837 high standing-crop being due to competitive exclusion, which even Wardle admits is only “a likely 838 reason”. 839 Grace (1991 %583) made another important point: “both Grime and Tilman discuss 840 gradients in habitat productivity as if it makes no difference whether they are gradients in 841 [resources] or non-resource factors”. However, there is more complication. Many studies in the 842 literature examine the effect of a mineral nutrient such as N in a system where competition is 843 probably for light, or even necessarily for light by the experimental design. For example, Stern and 844 Donald (1962) added N to a grass and a clover growing with their roots separated. In this example Wilson and Agnew, chapter 6, Theories, page 28 of 38 845 the gradient is a resource, N, but the competition is not for N, but for a different resource – light. 846 The true distinction is between a gradient in a factor for which there is competition and in a factor 847 for which there is no competition. 848 The growth-rate artefact 849 A huge complication in experiments to test the Grime versus Tilman ideas on competition is 850 that, by definition, in conditions favourable for growth the plants will grow faster and hence be 851 larger and come into competition sooner. Therefore, if competition is measured at a fixed time after 852 planting, it will appear to be greater in more productive conditions. This situation mirrors that after 853 natural disturbance. Competition will eventually be 100% right along the gradient because the 854 plants will grow until carrying capacity is reached and competition is complete in the community- 855 matrix sense, that if x grams of plant material are removed growth will resume until there are x 856 grams more. Therefore competitive intensity cannot be measured as the final outcome either. 857 Competition is like death: it’s not a question of if but of when. This problem of the growth-rate 858 artefact is removed when the conclusion is one of lower competition at higher nutrients, but it is 859 difficult to accept only results in one direction. 860 Our own hypothesis 861 Our own view, from first principles, is that along a beta-niche gradient (i.e. a gradient of 862 conditions, of non-resources, or of resources for which competition is not occurring), competition 863 will be of constant intensity, but will appear to be greater in more favourable conditions because of 864 the growth-rate artefact. Along a gradient of a resource for which there is competition, competition 865 will be strongest when the resource is in shortest supply. There can be exceptions, e.g. sometimes at 866 low concentrations of a mineral nutrient it is so immobile that there can be little competition for it 867 (Wilson and Newman 1987). The same could apply to water. An additional complication is that as 868 the availability of resource X increases along a gradient, the plants may change from competing for 869 X to competing for resource Y. 870 Deserts 871 The clearest case of competition under low resources is deserts. It cannot be denied that the 872 desert habitat is stressful, and if there be competition it is likely to be for the same factor that causes 873 the stress: water supply. Many, from Shreve (1942) through Went (1955) to Mirkin (1994) have 874 denied that desert plants compete. This idea was fuelled by studies that failed to find a regular 875 spatial pattern of individual plant in deserts, and sometimes found clumping instead (e.g. Gulmon et 876 al. 1979). The idea was often that plant populations in deserts were kept below 100% occupancy by 877 unfavourable probabilities of colonisation and death. This is intrinsically unlikely, since Wilson and Agnew, chapter 6, Theories, page 29 of 38 878 colonisation and death would have to balance exactly to prevent the population going to zero or to 879 infinity. Anyway, the existence of intense competition for water has been demonstrated by finding 880 negative correlations between plant sizes and distance apart (Yeaton and Cody 1976 %689) and by 881 relief of plant water stress and increase in plant growth upon removing neighbours (Fonteyn and 882 Mahal 1978; Robberecht, et al. 1983; Fowler 1986 %89; Kadmon and Shmida 1990). In fact, the 883 effect of competition on plant spatial pattern has been best demonstrated in desert communities. 884 Ecologists have trended to underestimate the intensity of competition in these environments because 885 of the slow growth of perennial plants, and the apparent unvegetated gaps between plants. The cacti 886 and shrubs may be spaced out, but their root systems are not (Woodell et al. 1969). Clements knew 887 this, of course: “The open spacing of desert shrubs in particular suggests some indirect influence in 888 explanation, but studies of the root systems demonstrate that this is a result of competition for water 889 where the deficit is great” (Clements et al. 1929, p. 317). However, population regulation could 890 occur via herbivory or the spatial mass effect. Wilson and Agnew, chapter 6, Theories, page 30 of 38 10000 1000 Biomass (g m-2) Arrhenatherum Bromus Dactylis 100 Desmazeria Festuca Lolium Poa 10 1 0.001 0.01 0.1 1 10 Relative nutrient concentration 120 Competive suppression 100 Arrhenatherum 80 Bromus Dactylis 60 Desmazeria Festuca Lolium 40 Poa 20 0 0.001 0.01 0.1 1 10 Relative nutrient concentration Fig. 6.7: The effect of nutrient concentration on competitive ability 891 What else would limit plant growth in unproductive sites under C-S-R theory if competition 892 does not? Disturbance? But it is the basis of the C-S-R triangle that stress sites cannot have much 893 disturbance, or no plants can grow. Herbivores and defences? But it is a tenet of C-S-R theory that 894 plants of unproductive sites have more defences Grime (2001). The intensity of competition is likely 895 to be approximately 100% in all communities, supporting Tilman’s conclusion, perhaps for different 896 reasons. 897 Tests 898 The complete absence of competition would be testable. However, we argue above that this 899 is not tenable. Anyway, no habitat can fall exactly in the S corner so the question does not arise. We 900 have to test degrees of competition along an S–C gradient, which is possible but difficult. The very 901 concept of intensity of competition has proved difficult and controversial, with arguments about 902 indices. We shall try to judge the effect of competition on a species by it percentage reduction from 903 monoculture, ideally in RGR but sometimes in biomass. Wilson and Agnew, chapter 6, Theories, page 31 of 38 904 An interesting experiment is that of Campbell and Grime (1992), growing seven species in 905 outdoor plots with a range of nutrient levels and disturbance regimes. Nutrients promoted growth 906 considerably (Fig. x). Campbell and Grime declare that Arrhenatherum elatius is a plant of fertile 907 soils, and Festuca ovina, Bromus erectus and Desmazeria rigida are plants of infertile soils, but 908 actually the nutrient response does not differ between species (test for heterogeneity of slopes on a 909 log-log basis, p = 0.989). The results are directly relevant to our question (Fig. y), because it turns 910 out that although the species differ in the effect of competition on them (p < 0.001 by analysis of 911 covariance, with log of nutrient concentration as the independent variate), there is no overall effect 912 of nutrient supply on the effect of competition on biomass (p = 0.072 for a joint residual 913 regression). Goldberg et al. (1999 %1118) found in a meta-analysis that there was a tendency for 914 competitive intensity to decrease more often than increase with productivity, in conformity with our 915 theory and Peltzer and Wilson (2001) found no significant trend with standing crop, used as in 916 inverse proxy for stress. However, the experiment of Campbell and Grime, as many of those 917 surveyed by Goldberg, has the restriction that we cannot tell whether competition was for the 918 resource (NPK) that varied along the gradient. This restricts the range of investigations very 919 considerably. 920 The experiments of Peltzer et al. (1998 %465) in Saskatchewan, Canada, and Cahill (1999 921 %466) in Pennsylvania, USA, were both in oldfields, planting seeds or seedlings into plots where 922 shoot competition was prevented by tying back the vegetation, root competition was either 923 prevented or allowed by using plastic tubes, and fertiliser (N in the case of Pelzer et al. and NPK in 924 the case of Cahill) was added or nor. Both studies showed somewhat greater belowground 925 competitive effects when soil resources were in shorter supply. Cahill recorded soil moisture with 926 gypsum blocks, and found no significant difference between treatments, implying so far as one can 927 from non-significance that the competition was not for water. This confirms the conclusion of 928 Wilson (1988 %279), surveying experiments on root competition, that the limited evidence 929 available indicates that competitive intensity is highest when soil resources are in shortest supply. In 930 those experiments we know that the gradient is one of soil nutrients, and we know that competition 931 is for soil nutrients or water, but generally we do not know just which resource. The study that 932 comes closest to answering the question is that of Wilson and Tilman (1991 %1050) at Cedar 933 Creek, an experiment similar in most respects to those of Peltzer et al. and Cahill. It is known from 934 other work that nitrogen is the limiting mineral nutrient in the oldfield at Cedar Creek, other 935 nutrients were applied to all treatments to ensure this was true in the experiment (right down to Cu, 936 Co, Mn and Mo), and only N (ammonium nitrate) differed between treatments. It therefore seems 937 likely that we are looking at competition for N along a gradient of N supply. Moreover, RGR is Wilson and Agnew, chapter 6, Theories, page 32 of 38 938 available to judge the result. In all three species used the belowground competitive effect was 939 greater at low soil N supply. An experiment with one of the same species confirmed this (Wilson 940 and Tilman 1991 %599). The evidence is not perfect, but it overwhelmingly supports our contention 941 that competition for resource X will generally be most severe when X is in shorter supply. It is 942 surprising that anyone thought otherwise. However, we have to expect nutrients to be patchy (this 943 vol., chapt. 4, sect. #), Fitter and students, jbw will ask] [JBW will think about ecotones] 944 Coming to the effect of conditions, La Peyre et al. (2001) grew three species of 945 salt/freshwater marshes in monoculture and competition along a salinity gradient. A measure of the 946 overall importance of competition was almost constant along a gradient, and once allowance is 947 made for dead material the competitive response of the individual species varies remarkably little. 948 Similarly, Cahill (1999 %466) found no consistent change in aboveground competition in his 949 oldfield experiment between the two NPK levels. Although N, P and K are resources, in the latter 950 comparison there is competition only for light, so they are conditions. These two pieces of work 951 support our thesis that along a gradient of conditions, competition will be of constant intensity. 952 10 Synthesis 953 Theories and switches 954 None of the models yet produced for plant communities have high synthetic or predictive 955 value. We deeply respect Frederick E. Clements’ knowledge of vegetation in the field, as well as his 956 powers of observation and generalisation. His experimental studies on competition (Clements et al. 957 1929) were a huge advance and still most of what we know about competition can be found in his 958 writings. His ideas on succession, whilst a simplification, contain a good deal of truth. His tendency 959 to name communities is being continued today. Since the same community does not generally recur 960 (Wilson et al. 1996 %471) such classification is a simplification, but it does little harm when the 961 ‘associations’ are not taken too seriously and it is admitted that the main purpose is to identify 962 conservation targets to the public and to government. His concept of the plant community as a 963 organism is mainly harmless, because it is hard to see what it means. We dedicate this book to him. 964 We can accept that variation is sometimes continuous along environmental gradients but at 965 other times discontinuous because of the operation of a switches, as both Clements and Gleason 966 noted. Gleason spent considerable time in the field, and if that was primarily as a taxonomist he 967 clearly looked at the vegetation patterns. Mike Austin and co-workers have done excellent work 968 characterising the shape of variation along environmental gradients. Austin’s curves are continuous. 969 This is partly a result of his methods, but also because he was working with a larger spatial extent 970 than that on which most switches occur. Nevertheless, there is increasing interest in geographic- Wilson and Agnew, chapter 6, Theories, page 33 of 38 971 scale switches (this vol., chapt. 3, sect. 5.4.A). What Gleason saw as one aspect of plant 972 distributions, Bob Whittaker simplified and took as the whole, adding his idea that that species co- 973 evolve to separate their positions on that gradient. There is no evidence of this, and the observation 974 that the species assemblages we see today are quite different from those in earlier post-glacial times 975 (this vol., chapt. 5, sect. 9), and probably from those in earlier interglacials, make such precision 976 intrinsically unlikely. We argue below that coevolution between plant species is unlikely anywhere. 977 However, Clements saw, Gleason saw, and we can all see that there are many sharp 978 boundaries in nature due to reaction / environmental modification / switches. This is true even of 979 many boundaries that we see as ‘environmental’ such as between a saltmeadow and a saltpan, and 980 such as a riverbank. The rôle of switches in generating the spatial patterns that we see has been 981 considerably underestimated. 982 Philip Grime’s C-S-R theory is the only overall theory of plant communities. Our 983 conclusion is that it is very much a generalisation, with many exceptions, but we accept that this can 984 be useful. It has also spurred the collection of an excellent database of plant ecological characters, 985 and set the example for other datasets, which because of current funding models have been of 986 considerably lower quality. Tilman’s concept that competition will be equal along a productivity 987 gradient is close to the truth, but his R* approach seems to be much too simplistic for 988 embryophytes. 989 Wilson and Agnew, chapter 6, Theories, page 34 of 38 990 The features of plants 991 Anna Bio entitled her Ph.D. thesis (2000): “Does vegetation suit our models?”: a neat 992 criticism of our tendency as plant community ecologists to produce models and then try to make the 993 vegetation fit. 994 995 The nature of the community depends on the nature of its parts, and although there has been 996 useful introgression of ideas into plant ecology from animal and bacterial ecology, we need to start 997 from the particular and often unique characteristics of plants. We attempted to describe these in 998 chapter 1, section 1.1. In vegetatively-reproducing or apomictic plants it is often arbitrary when one 999 individual becomes two, and anyway plants are hugely plastic. There is therefore no basic 1000 demographic or genetic difference between growth, vegetative reproduction and apomictic 1001 reproduction, and in demographic terms between them and sexual reproduction. The basic unit is 1002 the module, often the leaf. All types of growth are an increase in the number of modules. However, 1003 even modules can be plastic in size and the best measure of growth and abundance is biomass, or 1004 better still calorific value. Since the individual plant is not a real entity, the species plays the part of 1005 an individual in the community. The rôle of a species in a community depends on its shape and 1006 secondarily its physiology and chemistry. Its reaction on the environment and on associated biota 1007 flow from these. Plants cannot move around freely, but they can move by vegetative reproduction 1008 and apomictic seeds. Moreover, most have disposable photosynthetic modules, and must move in 1009 space as they produce new ones. They also move through their litter production. Animals, in 1010 contrast, generally stay within a rather fixed body once they reach adulthood, replacing molecules 1011 within that body. As we said “Plants move, animals don’t”. 1012 Community assembly 1013 These characteristics of plants produce a range of interactions within and between species 1014 (Box 6.1). Some, such as competition and some types of mutualism, have been widely discussed. 1015 Other types of interactions have rarely been considered in a community context. Litter effects are 1016 part of a plant’s extended phenotype, which can affect its offspring and have lasting effects, 1017 especially if there is a switch operating. The reaction of plants does not stop when they die. It will 1018 be difficult for vegetation to suit our simple models when the plants can interact in so many ways, 1019 and when their effects often live on. Wilson and Agnew, chapter 6, Theories, page 35 of 38 Box 6.1: Types of interaction between X species Y Interference (negative effects) competition: X removes resources from the environment, which are then unavailable to Y allelopathy: X produces a substance toxic to Y parasitism: X removes resources directly from plants of Y spectral interference: X changes the R/FR balance, disadvantaging Y pest carriers: X is a ± symptomless carrier of a pest to which Y is susceptible [other negative interactions] Subvention (positive effects) mutualism = X and Y both benefit relative to their being at the same density on their own 1020 benefaction = X benefits Yas above, with no known advantage/disadvantage to itself 1021 facilitation = X benefits Y, to itsdirectly disadvantage Actually, plants rarely interact with each other. Parasitism and strangling lianes are 1022 examples, and the fascinating and understudied case of physical abrasion. Interactions via 1023 herbivores, fungi and microbes are probably more important. The third type of interaction is via the 1024 environment. In the short term this includes interference and subvention. In the longer term it 1025 comprises reaction – plants changing their own environment. Most kinds of interference and 1026 benefaction are based on reaction too, but with lesser and more temporary change. Long-term 1027 reaction can result in either change via relay floristics / facilitation / autogenic succession, or 1028 reinforcement of the current state via a switch (Box 6.2). The “or” is a simplification since a 1029 accelerating or delaying switch can operate during autogenic succession. Cyclic succession is surely 1030 less common than Watt (1947) supposed, but it seems to occur. There is very rarely good evidence 1031 for it, but there is only marginally more for relay floristics or switches. All three patterns are based 1032 on reaction. Reaction is the plant community. The combination of these processes do not give a neat 1033 pattern (Fig. 3.10) nor does it make it easy to use neat labels. However, it is clear that whenever we 1034 see a sharp boundary in nature without an obvious environmental or historical cause, we should 1035 suspect that a switch is operating. 1036 Coevolution between plant species is unlikely. Communities change. The environment and 1037 the species pool both change, and equilibrium is rare. This would not matter so much if groups of 1038 species moved around the landscape together, but the pollen record tells us clearly that they often Box 6.2: Types of interaction between plants species/guild X gives a relative advantage to itself = switch species/guild X gives a relative disadvantage to itself: the effect disappears at low density of X (negative feedback) = stability the effect is density-independent: facilitation and/or autointerference = succession Wilson and Agnew, chapter 6, Theories, page 36 of 38 1039 associate in different ways (this vol., chapt. 5, sect 9). Even at the present time the vast majority of 1040 species live with different associates in different places (Gleason 1926). Within one community 1041 adjacent species are not predictable in a multi-species mix, since environmental heterogeneity exists 1042 right down to the smallest scales. The major reactions affecting the modules of one ramet/individual 1043 are often those caused by other modules of the same ramet, not by a neighbouring species. For all 1044 these reasons, whole species cannot coevolve to match all these different assemblages. Moreover, 1045 we argued in chapter 1 that evolutionary change in plants is often slow. All this makes coevolution 1046 of species traits impossible in heterogeneous communities, and hardly likely even within 1047 homogenous ones. Therefore, when we find assembly rules they must be due to the assembly of 1048 preadapted species, ones that happen from their evolutionary history in a variety of contexts to have 1049 the right characters for the job. Preadaptation is the key to community ecology. 1050 There are three things we can say about plant communities: (1) almost all comprise many 1051 species, as we discussed in chapter 4, (2) they are heterogenous and (3) we hope there are some 1052 rules governing the assembly of species in them: assembly rules. 1053 Assembly rules 1054 All of our discussion would be little more than natural history were there not some 1055 regularities, or rules, that could be seen in how species assembled into communities. We have to be 1056 very careful in examining apparent evidence, because there are many traps for the unwary null 1057 modeller. The best evidence for assembly rules so far is from character-based rules. There is a trend 1058 in plant community ecology towards analysing plant communities not by the names of their species 1059 but by the characters of the plants. We can see the beginnings of this awareness of characters at the 1060 community level in Jan Barkman’s concept of vegetation texture. In general, distributional evidence 1061 supports guild proportionality, as does the successional study of Fukami et al. (2005). There is little 1062 support from removal experiments, probably because of high experimental error. The use of a priori 1063 guilds has severe limitations, and we strongly advocate seeking intrinsic guilds. The use of texture 1064 instead of discrete guilds avoids classification, but does not avoid the problem of character choice. 1065 The evidence so far comes mainly from herbaceous communities, and the only 1066 comprehensive body of evidence is from the University of Otago Botany Lawn. The coherent 1067 conclusions from that site are compelling, even though we would be cautious about the 1068 demonstration of an assembly rule in a single study. The evidence suggests that canopy relations are 1069 important, even in the shortest grassland communities such as lawns, saltmarshes and sand dunes. 1070 This may be partly because of the types of communities that have been examined so far, and 1071 because of the characters easily measured, since the work of Stubbs and Wilson (2005) on a sand 1072 dune implicates structuring by acquisition of water and soil nutrients there. There is enough Wilson and Agnew, chapter 6, Theories, page 37 of 38 1073 evidence on even spacing of flowering that allows us to believe that phenological niche 1074 differentiation is important in restricting species assembly too, though we have to be very careful in 1075 examining that evidence. However, the failure of roadside communities to re-assemble in NZ 1076 (Wilson et al. 2000 %757) indicates that the assembly rules are weak. Such assembly rules have 1077 been demonstrated in relatively homogenous communities, often homogenous by imposition of 1078 uniform disruption: mowing, tidal submergence, annual drought. Examples are the Otago Lawn 1079 (locus classicus!), the Ynyslas slack and the saltmarsh.Assembly rules may be invisible in 1080 heterogeneous communities because: (1) they are ephemeral, applying only to a transient stage in 1081 ecesis and/or (b) they are dimensionless, applying only at point locations. 1082 Heterogeneity 1083 1084 1085 Interpretation of heterogeneity is deceptively simple. Our model for judging community processes can start with environmental heterogeneity or homogeneity. Heterogeneity in the underlying environment has been the usual assumption. It is very hard 1086 to get away from heterogeneity. Deserts appear uniform, but have damper depressions and even 1087 dunes. Alluvial flood plains do not receive uniform deposits because rivers meander and even 1088 split/rejoin; the deposits are reworked by the original river, and then by smaller streams as the river 1089 is lost. The same is true on saltmarshes, which are particularly liable to sharpening into a mosaic by 1090 a switch. There is then the truism that species differ in their environmental tolerances which we can 1091 assume from their environmental distributions: the “easy task” of Warming (1909). So, we assume 1092 environmental heterogeneity and different species tolerances. 1093 Alternatively we can start explaining this pesky heterogeneity in vegetation by starting with 1094 a uniform underlying environment. We then have to assume ‘random’ dispersal of species to give 1095 some pattern. Too little inward dispersal would leave gaps and too much would give uniform cover, 1096 so we have to assume infiltration invasion (chapt. 1, sect. #), which conveniently seems to be the 1097 norm. Then we have to assume that those colonists react on their environment, and we gave plenty 1098 evidence for this when discussing switches (chapt. 3, sect. #). Further, we must assume that species 1099 differ in their reaction is often in the direction that favours their good selves, and we have switches 1100 sharpening the differences into a mosaic. Without switches the tendency would be relay floristics, 1101 with a homogenous endpoint. The assumptions here are infiltration invasion and switches. 1102 Almost certainly, both processes occur, and do so simultaneously. The greatest gap in our 1103 knowledge is the degree to which the species of one community differ in their reaction. Effects can 1104 be seen readily in the light regime beneath different species. Soil reactions occur much more 1105 slowly. It is clear that a few species, such as Calluna vulgaris (heather) and Sphagnum spp., differ 1106 strongly from their neighbours in their reactions. Whether this is general, for example whether the Wilson and Agnew, chapter 6, Theories, page 38 of 38 1107 canopy trees in a forest generally differ, is basically unknown. We can see local soil/species 1108 correlations, but distinguishing cause from effect is difficult. Experiments with soil litter bags 1109 normally last 2-5 years, rather than 50 years, and usually examine the litter, not the nearby soil. We 1110 believe that reaction on the environment has been bigtime underestimated as the cause of 1111 heterogeneity, and we call for people to investigate it, but not us because soil is messy. 1112 “I can’t see who’s in the lead, it’s either Oxford or Cambridge” 1113 This is the state of community ecology. We are sometimes asked how assembly rules should 1114 be applied to practical problems. This should be one of the eventual aims for scientific theories. 1115 Unfortunately, ecological theories are sometimes applied when there is too little support for their 1116 truth. Theories of community structure are at a very early phase. Perhaps we have good evidence 1117 that they operate for one site, but we do not know how, and we have very little knowledge of how to 1118 extrapolate to the world: whether such rules exist in all communities and if so whether they are the 1119 same in all communities. Actually, we don’t even know what causes heterogeneith. As Mao Zee 1120 Tzung is claimed to have said when asked what the effect of the French Revolution had been on 1121 subsequent history: “It is too soon to tell”. 1122 Plants are simple to physiological ecologists, operating not so far above the level of physics. 1123 Even so, they have found it hard to produce general theories, except that of adaptation which is 1124 dangerous if applied uncritically (Gould and Lewontin 1979). Population ecologists, working at the 1125 level below community ecology, can see clear patterns such as a logarithmic decline when death 1126 rates are constant (Harper 1967), but the main principle seems to be density-dependence, which we 1127 argued above is logically an almost necessary feature of a persisting population. In ecosystem 1128 ecology, at the level above community ecology, it is possible to see some patterns imposed by the 1129 laws of conservation of matter and of energy. We community ecologists are in the worst situation. 1130 Theories fail. When we try to generalise from first principles and from hard evidence, as we have 1131 here, the best evidence we have is for the Botany Lawn. In that one community it is clear that 1132 assembly rules are operating, but we do not know whether they are based on aboveground or 1133 belowground plant interactions. As in John Snagge’s famous declaration during an Oxford versus 1134 Cambridge University Boat Race: “I can’t see who’s in the lead, it’s either Oxford or Cambridge”. 1135 What we do know is that plant communities are affected by exogenous heterogeneity, 1136 reaction affecting other species and causing autogenic heterogeneity, and preadaptation. All these 1137 lead to assembly rules.