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The Role of Forests in Climate Change Policy: Carbon and Social Dynamics Warwick Manfrinato i Luiz Fernando de Moura ii Patrícia Gallo iii Thais Megid iv Background This article is the result of gathering of information among local experiences in the Amazon Basin, which seek to promote concepts of environmental services provided by the Amazon Rainforest. It was produced for the purpose of advocating the need for the international community to pay attention to the fact that biology (i.e. forests) is a key component to maintaining the climate equilibrium. It also examines the importance of tropical forests as water interfaces in the biogeochemistry cycles. This paper was produced for a meeting in Trieste, at the Abdus Salam, International Center for Theoretical Physics, where the seminar on “Climate Change Mitigation Measures in the Agro-Forestry Sector and Biodiversity Futures” was held. In the 80's, the scientific evidences related to the anthropogenic emissions of greenhouse effect gases (GHG) and the global warming has stimulated the public concerns in climate change problems and their future implications on the natural environment. Reports provided by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change IPCC (2001) on the carbon emission/sequestration balance, point to an atmospheric increase of 3,2 PgC per year. The fossil-fuel combustion and land-use change are the main causes of this scenario, and represent approximately 75% of all emissions of GHG. The deforestation is considered the most frequent land-use change in Brazil. Most of this deforestation process is attributed to the expansion of pasturelands and agriculture. In spite of the profits provided by agricultural activities, recent data suggest that the conservation of forested areas is extremely important for climate balance. The natural i M.Sc. in Agronomy Engineering Ph.D. in Wood Sciences iii B.Sc. in Forest Engineering iv Undergraduate student in Agronomy Engineering ii dynamics of any forest ecosystem guarantees the balance of carbon flows, as well as the good health of other biogeochemical processes (e.g. water cycle, recycling of nutrients, photosynthesis etc.). In this context, deforestation results in considerable changes in the cycles of these elements and allows carbon stocks to quickly reach the atmosphere, altering atmospheric composition. The Amazon Rainforest plays an important role in the maintenance of rainfall steadiness, in regions beyond the boundaries of the actual river basin. There are evidences of the impact of hydrological dynamics in several regions of the planet, which springs from the role the forest itself plays, through a complex and intricate relationship of biogeochemical factors. Trade winds transport humidity from the Atlantic Ocean into the Amazon Basin, which in turn enters into the dynamic of rain-falling and evapotranspiration that allows for this humidity to reach the far western regions of the basin. Together with other atmospheric air movements, this humidity is transported south and northwards, and is responsible for sourcing the necessary rainfall to agricultural regions of southern Brazil and other countries, as well as the entire Caribbean regions, which in turn greatly determine climate conditions in Europe, by means of Gulf-Stream air and ocean movements. All this may act in the atmosphere as an analogous river movement, but in the form of humidity, something that could be called “flying rivers”. The volatile organic compounds (VOC – i.e. organic molecules and other types of particles produced in plant physiological processes), emitted by the forest plants, act as nuclei for the atmospheric humidity, determining the quantity and quality of rainfall in a given region. In the presence of forest fires, all the natural exchange between vegetation and the atmosphere is disturbed, and bigger cloud condensation nuclei are launched to the atmosphere, hindering the capacity of the physical system to form clouds that are capable to generate rain. This process certainly reduces the distribution of rain to places where water would normally be available (NOBRE, A.D. 2006 v ). Research related to the physiology of the Amazon Forest demonstrates that deforestation alters the frequency of rainfalls. The major consequences of this problem become evident in the dry season, as observed in the 2005 Drought in the Amazon River Basin. The importance of rainfalls in the Amazon region to the agricultural activities v Personal Communication at the XVI Congresso da Sociedade Botânica de São Paulo www.botanicasp.org.br – Amazônia Motor Hidrológico in the states of the Brazilian Center/South has also been corroborated (GREENPEACE, 2006) vi . The causes of deforestation in the Amazon are similar to those observed in other Brazilian ecosystems. For instance, in the Mata Atlântica, a large amount of deforestation is attributed to agricultural expansion. Unfortunately, even though historically in the South-East of Brazil there is evidence of natural resources losses, the model is repeating itself in the Amazon basin and government policies appear to be ineffective in controlling this unsustainable expansion. The Federal State funds allocated to this purpose are not enough to implement effective mitigation measures. Moreover, the obsolete policies currently in use can even stimulate deforestation. In fact, these policies often result in misconceived land occupation, badly planned conservation areas, lack of financing and technical support, and absence of environmental monitoring. Our evaluation indicates that these inefficiencies of sustainable development policies encouraged the Amazon State Government to create programmes to fight deforestation and add value to the environmental services provided by the forest. For this purpose, the Zona Franca Verde programme was implemented. This programme is intended to promote sustainable development in the Amazon state by means of tropical forestry, farming and fishing. The Zona Franca Verde is increasingly generating jobs and financial income to Amazonian communities vii . The Zona Franca Verde Programme The Zona Franca Verde Programme is financially supported by private institutions and carbon trading revenues. These funds allowed implementing a series of socialassistance measures in communities living in the Alto Solimoes and Jurua regions, and the Maues municipality. The programme fundamentals are based on a method that builds a “Matrix of Sustainability Indexes”, which can in time be evaluated and monitored. In the first step of this method, the community members are invited to evaluate and classify their current situation in terms of quality of health, education and environment. In a subsequent step, they are assisted to establish a Social, Environmental and Economic Investment vi www.greenpeace.org.br/amazonia/?conteudo_id=2328&sub_campanha=0 vii www.sds.am.gov.br Planning, related to the main issues pointed out in the previous step. The final step corresponds to project implementation and monitoring, as well as demonstrating the benefits provided by investments. The Zona Franca Verde offers priority support to certified producers. Among the certifiers recognized by the programme are: the Forest Stewardship Council (FSC), the International Federation of Organic Agriculture Movements (IFOAM), the Solidarity Commerce Label, and other world-wide environmental certifiers. Furthermore, the programme facilitates the establishment of associations of producers, as a function of their specific characteristics and needs. It is recognized that programmes like the Zona Franca Verde can contribute to fight deforestation, by inducing local communities to consider sustainable and economically feasible land-use choices. Deforestation Avoidance Mechanisms The establishment of policies based on carbon trading revenues - especially those obtained from avoided deforestation - is another alternative for reducing deforestation in the Amazon Forest. Quantitative analyses of deforestation in the Amazon Forest show that the deforestation rate in the Amazon state is lower than that calculated for the Legal Amazon. This suggests that the environmental measures taken by the Amazon State Government, which guarantee the provision of environmental services, should be rewarded. In order to estimate the value of environmental services from deforestation avoidance, the amount of Certified Emission Reductions provided by the conserved forest could be quantified. A variety of methodologies are available for this quantification. It is estimated that between 1990 and 2004, 600 million tonnes of CO2 emissions were avoided in the Amazon state. In the carbon market, the current value of one tonne of avoided CO2 emission ranges between US$ 15 and US$ 20. According to this reasoning, the Amazon State Government could earn about US$ 3 billion in Certified Emission Reductions from the avoided deforestation. These funds could be then reallocated to more intensive reforestation and forest conservation programmes (VIANA et al, 2005 viii and 2006 ix ). viii Viana, V.; Cenamo, M.C; Manfrinato, W.M. Reducing emissions from deforestation in Amazonas, Brazil: a State Government’s proposal for action. Paper presented at the 11th Conference of the Parties of the Conclusion Programmes that add value to forest conservation are essential to reduce deforestation and mitigate climate change. It is vital that, likewise the CDM mechanism, a broader system be conceived in order to include other types of essentially global mechanisms of forest conservation or restoration. In this context, it is extremely important to prioritise the economic needs and involvement of local communities. These programmes should offer to local communities new alternatives for economic activities that do not result in deforestation. The additional revenue from these new environmental markets could be the missing link to a sustainable future that would start at the level of local communities, which are the main vectors in forest conservation. United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (cop 11-COP/MOP), held in Montreal, Canada, on December, 28/11 - 09/12/2005. Discussion paper – 5 pg. ix Amazonas: initiative for Forest conservation and ecosystem. A draft (version 2.4) discussion paper prepared by Virgilio Viana, State Secretary for Environment and Sustainable Development of the State of Amazonas, Brazil; October 2006. ([email protected]), with collaboration of Hylton Philipson ([email protected]), Andrew Mitchell ([email protected]) of Global Canopy Program, Paulo Moutinho of the Institute of Environmental Research of the Amazon ([email protected]), Mariano Cenamo, of IDESAM ([email protected]), Antonio Nobre of INPA ([email protected]), Adilson Vieira of GTA ([email protected]) and Juan Rueda of CNS ([email protected]).