Survey
* Your assessment is very important for improving the workof artificial intelligence, which forms the content of this project
* Your assessment is very important for improving the workof artificial intelligence, which forms the content of this project
Private equity wikipedia , lookup
Public finance wikipedia , lookup
Global financial system wikipedia , lookup
Private equity secondary market wikipedia , lookup
Financialization wikipedia , lookup
Fund governance wikipedia , lookup
International monetary systems wikipedia , lookup
Early history of private equity wikipedia , lookup
Global saving glut wikipedia , lookup
ReportingCurre IndexName ReportingCurrencyCode MSCI All CountryAustralian World Index Dollar Net AUD AUD MARSICO Fund Update as at 30 June 2016 CC Marsico Global Fund (APIR: CHN0002AU) Fund Benefits Fund Facts Exclusive Australian Access: Investment Manager Access to a proven global fund manager not otherwise available to Australian investors. Marsico Capital Management, LLC. ("MCM") Portfolio Manager Tom Marsico Global Equity Fund, unhedged in Australian Dollars 23 February 2016 Structure Experienced Investment Team: Over 18 years managing global growth equity portfolios. Differentiated, Diversified Global Investment Opportunities: Inception Date^ Benchmark Management Fee # MCM evaluates companies in industries around the world to uncover quality investments. Performance Fee # Performance Fee of 10% p.a. outperformance of the Benchmark (net of the Base Fee) Buy / Sell Spread Distributions 0.10% / 0.10% Semi-annual Fund Size+ AUD $10 million Time-Honoured Philosophy & Process: Renowned for fundamental, intensive, hands-on research, MCM combine “top-down” macroeconomic analysis with “bottom-up” security selection. Performance (Australian Dollars) MSCI All Country World Index, Net in AUD Base Fee of 1.25% p.a. Top 5 Holdings Returns Fund* Benchmark** Active Stock Name Sector 1 Month -6.99% -3.30% -3.70% Tencent Holdings Ltd Information Technology 3 Months 1.60% 4.33% -2.73% Facebook Inc Information Technology FYTD - - - Alibaba Group Holding Limited Information Technology 1 Year - - - Dollarama Inc Consumer Discretionary 2 Years p.a. - - - Visa Inc Information Technology 3 Years p.a. - - - 0.77% 5.50% -4.73% Inception Country Allocation Sector Allocation Australia Belgium Canada Cash United States Source: Marisco Capital Management, LLC. China Denmark France Republic of Ireland United Kingdom Materials Information Technology Industrials Health Care Financials - Ex Prop Trusts Source: Marisco Capital Management, LLC. Source: Marisco Capital Management, LLC. Platform Availabilty Further Information PowerWrap Phone: Email: Web: Cash Consumer Discretionary Consumer Staples 1800 940 599 [email protected] www.channelcapital.com.au # All figures disclosed include the net effect of GST and RITC. ^ Inception Date for performance calculation purposes. + Fund size refers to the CC Marsico Global Fund ARSN 610 434 896, which is comprised of both Class A and Class B Units. * Performance is for the CC Marsico Global Fund (APIR: CHN0002AU), also referred to as Class B units, and is based on month end unit prices before tax in Australian Dollars. Net performance is calculated after management fees and operating costs, excluding taxation. This is historical performance data. It should be noted the value of an investment can rise and fall and past performance is not indicative of future performance. ** Benchmark refers to the MSCI All Country World Index Net AUD. All data is the property of MSCI. No use or distribution is permitted without written consent. Data provided “as is” without any warranties. MSCI assumes no liability for or in connection with the data. Page 1 of 3 Fund Update as at 30 June 2016 CC Marsico Global Fund (APIR: CHN0002AU) Market Review In the second quarter of 2016, financial markets appeared to be locked in a tight trading range after risk assets completed a recovery from February lows. Very late in the quarter, the world was confronted with a political surprise as 52% of voting British citizens chose to pull the lever for leaving the European Union (“EU”). As global financial markets grappled with the implications of Great Britain’s exiting the European Union, a substantial repricing of assets took place. The British pound plunged and European equity shares, reflecting more stress in Europe and pressure from newly cheapened British goods, retreated. Japanese shares extended losses as the yen continued its rise. Domestically, it became increasingly clear that monetary tightening would be put on hold, which tempered pressure on equities. Meanwhile, sovereign debt markets soared around the globe, with many government bond issues registering new low yields. For the quarter, the S&P 500 Index rose by 5.9% (in Australian dollar terms), while the NASDAQ Composite Index gained 3.1%. The MSCI ACWI Index rose by 4.3%. Emerging economy equity markets, including China, were up for the quarter. Oil prices rebounded by roughly USD $10/barrel, although prices retreated late in the quarter. The U .S. trade-weighted dollar was essentially flat for the quarter. Before the world was confronted with the potential reality of “Brexit,” there was a growing sense that economic momentum had slowed, and that inflation worries were misplaced. Britain’s potentially destabilising decision to leave the EU reinforced this notion. The economies of Britain and the rest of Europe both look somewhat less healthy now that they must tackle a messy divorce. U.S. growth, though stronger on the spending side, seemed somewhat weaker on the employment side. China, as has been the case for some time, appeared steady but uninspiring. One clear policy outlook associated with Brexit has been a substantial rollback of previous expectations for tightening U.S. monetary policy. Prior expectations that the Federal Reserve might move twice to tighten interest rates in 2016 gave way to widespread expectations of an extended pause in the ratcheting up of U.S. interest rates. Perhaps the most striking development in the second quarter unfolded in government bond markets around the world. As investors were forced to contemplate the potential impact of Brexit headwinds on already modest growth in Europe, China, and Japan, they found themselves, once again, reining in any anxieties about rebounding inflationary pressures and/or aggressive central bank tightening. For the quarter, many sovereign debt market yields fell by 25 to 50 basis points. As the third quarter began, ten-year bond yields were below 1% in Canada, the U.K., France, Germany, Sweden, the Netherlands, Switzerland, and Japan. In the U .S., the ten-year Treasury bond fell to a yield of 1.38%. U.S. real economy and inflation developments alone cannot explain the sharp drop in long -term interest rates. Employment gains stumbled in April and May. In contrast, however, early indications suggest that consumer spending rose at a 4% annualised pace in the second quarter, the strongest gain registered since the fourth quarter of 2014, reversing the first quarter’s trends of solid gains in employment and weak spending. With interest rates substantially lower and spending gains in place, the prospects for continued modest U .S. growth, Brexit notwithstanding, look reasonable. Faltering European economic momentum, however, laid alongside tepid gains in China, reinforce the notion that U.S. inflation relating to global trade may remain “missing in action” for the foreseeable future. This, no doubt, played a large role in the decline for U.S. interest rates. For the past half dozen years many forecasters who fixated on an improving U.S. domestic labor market have repeatedly predicted that inflation would accelerate “in the quarters just ahead.” Instead, macro forces outside of the U.S. have dominated; a trend that appears alive and well as the third quarter begins. Page 2 of 3 Fund Update as at 30 June 2016 CC Marsico Global Fund (APIR: CHN0002AU) Market Outlook We continue to have a “Lower for Longer” investment view that we have written about for several quarters now, meaning that we believe global growth will remain muted for an extended period of time, inflation pressures will remain quiescent, and therefore interest rates should remain low. Volatility, while not as great as in the first quarter, returned in the second quarter as a result of the surprise Brexit vote in the United Kingdom (“U.K.”) that shifted the spotlight to the European Union (“EU”) from the focus on oil prices and China’s growth rates and currency which we saw earlier in the year. The uncertainty arising from the vote in the U .K. offset improving GDP data points globally. Additionally, while the Fed seemed on a path to raise rates this year, the uncertainty and likely slower GDP growth resulting from the Brexit vote likely pushes out rate hikes for the U .S. and should lead to more central bank bond buying, further solidifying the lower for longer outlook. In theory, low rates would argue for higher price to earnings multiples. However, uncertainty will likely put a dampener on any multiple expansion, as investors demand a higher risk premium. With one -third of the world’s sovereign bonds yielding less than zero and two -thirds of the S&P 500 showing dividend yields greater than the 10 year U.S. Treasury yield, equities look to us much more attractive than bonds on a relative basis. Despite that and a “reasonable” 16.6x S&P 500 Index multiple, our investments are predicated on earnings growth rather than multiple expansion assumptions. While the Brexit vote may or may not actually lead to the U .K. exiting the EU, we believe the vote is symbolic of growing dissatisfaction and frustration with the status quo in global politics, as evidenced by the popularity of Sanders and Trump on opposite ends of the spectrum in the United States. GDP growth globally has been tepid and has felt fragile since the financial crisis of 2008 (despite adding 14 million jobs from February 2010 to present versus 8.7 million jobs lost from 2008 to February 2010), and voters in Europe and in the U.S. are expressing their frustration by voting for any kind of change. It appears that confidence in monetary policy may be waning, while coherent fiscal policies appear absent due to a lack of leadership and political stalemates. Despite these issues, the U.S. economy continues to expand, albeit at a moderate rate, constrained by demographic trends as well as poor fiscal policies. The stock market year -to-date has swung from risk-off to risk-on several times as assessments for growth are adjusted with incoming data points. While U .S. equity values have largely recovered since the Brexit vote, the rally has been defensive in nature and the 10-year Treasury bond yield remains below 1.5% vs 1.7% before the Brexit vote, a clear indicator of cautionary positioning and concerns about the future. We find the best earnings growth opportunities exist in the stocks of companies that are innovative and poised to show revenue growth contributions from market share gains, rather than dependence on the macroeconomic environment. In a slow global growth environment, these stocks should outperform as investors seek out secular growth companies that can grow revenues. We tend to invest in companies that have strong financial balance sheets, address large global and secular growth markets, and possess large scale that provides competitive moats versus legacy competition. Their management teams are focused on building growth companies that will not just survive but thrive over the long-term, and can increase capital investments in their businesses. The information contained in this report is provided by the Investment Manager, Marsico Capital Management, LLC ('Marsico'). Channel Investment Management Limited (‘Channel’) ACN 163 234 240 AFSL 439007 is the Responsible Entity and issuer of units in the CC Marsico Global Fund ARSN 610 434 896 (‘the Fund’). Neither Channel or Marsico, their officers, or employees make any representations or warranties, express or implied as to the accuracy, reliability or completeness of the information contained in this report and nothing contained in this report is or shall be relied upon as a promise or representation, whether as to the past or the future. Past performance is not a reliable indication of future performance. A reference to quarters is a reference to a calendar quarter. This information is given in summary form and does not purport to be complete. Information in this report, should not be considered advice or a recommendation to investors or potential investors in relation to holding, purchasing or selling units in the Fund and does not take into account your particular investment objectives, financial situation or needs. Before acting on any information you should consider the appropriateness of the information having regard to these matters, any relevant offer document and in particular, you should seek independent financial advice. Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on forward looking statements. Neither Channel nor Marsico have any obligation to publicly release the result of any revisions to these forward looking statements to reflect events or circumstances after the date of this report. For further information and before investing, please read the Product Disclosure Statement available on request. Page 3 of 3