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OWENSBORO: LIVING WITH EARTHQUAKES IN THE NEW MADRID SEISMIC ZONE WALTER HAYS GLOBAL INSTITUTE FOR ENERGY AND ENVIRONMENTAL SYSTEMS UNIVERSITY OF NORTH CAROLINA AT CHARLOTTE CENTRAL UNITED STATES • OWENSBORO NEEDS TO PREPARE FOR A POTENTIAL EARTHQUAKE DISASTER UNLIKE ANY PAST DISASTER IN THE UNITED STATES OWENSBORO: LIVING WITH AN EARTHQUAKE THREAT • LOW ANNUAL PROBABILITY OF OCCURRENCE, BUT... • A HIGH PROBABILITY OF A CATASTROPHE COMMUNITY LEADERS NEED TO KNOW THE KINDS OF SITUATIONS THEIR COMMUNITY IS LIKELY TO FACE IN THE FUTURE AND THE OPTIONS FOR PREVENTING A DISASTER WHAT FIRST RESPONDERS NEED TO KNOW • WHERE ARE FUTURE EARTHQUAKES MOST LIKELY TO OCCUR? • HOW BIG WILL THEY BE? • HOW OFTEN WILL THEY OCCUR? WHAT FIRST RESPONDERS NEED TO KNOW • WHAT ARE THE LIKELY PHYSICAL EFFECTS AND SOCIETAL CONSEQUENCES? • WHAT ARE THE MOST EFFECTIVE WAYS TO REDUCE THESE CONSEQUENCES ? RULES ABOUT FAULTS AND SEISMICITY • ALTHOUGH NOT A LONG FAULT, THE NEW MADRID FAULT CAN GENERATE A GREAT EARTHQUAKE SEISMIC WAVE ATTENUATION FAULT RUPTURE DAMAGE/LOSS EARTHQUAKE VIBRATION DAMAGE/LOSS TSUNAMI DAMAGE/ LOSS REGIONAL DEFORMATION DAMAGE/ LOSS FOUNDATION FAILURE DAMAGE/ LOSS AMPLIFICATION DAMAGE/ LOSS LIQUEFACTION DAMAGE/ LOSS LANDSLIDE DAMAGE/ LOSS AFTERSHOCKS DAMAGE/ LOSS SEICHE DAMAGE/ LOSS GROUND SHAKING LIQUEFACTION REDUCTION OF COMMUNITY VULERABILTY RESEARCH RISK MANAGEMENT • PREVENTION • MITIGATION TECHNOLOGY BASE • PREPAREDNESS • PREDICTION AND WARNING • INTERVENTION • EMERGENCY RESPONSE POSTDISASTER INVESTIGATIONS • RECOVERY SITUATIONS OWENSBORO MAY FACE BUILDING DAMAGE AND MASS CASUALTIES LIQUEFACTION AND LOSS OF FUNCTION LOSS OF FUNCTION: TRANSPORTATION SYSTEMS LOSS OF FUNCTION: AIRPORT DAM FAILURE FIRE SEARCH AND RESCUE