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System of Transparent Allocation of Resources - STAR GEF Familiarization Seminar January 17-19, 2012 Ramesh Ramankutty Head, Operations & Business Strategy INTRODUCTION • Issues from GEF4 to GEF5 – GEF Council requested reforms in resource allocation framework (RAF) – Recipient countries requested new rules – GEF evaluation office provided useful comments • This presentation demonstrates how the GEF meets these new challenges OUTLINES – What is new from GEF-4 RAF to GEF-5 STAR – Impacts of the new things – Overall allocations of the GEF-5 – Future development of the STAR WHAT IS NEW IN THE GEF-5 STAR? NEW ALLOCATION AREA AND COUNTRIES GEF-4 RAF • Areas: Biodiversity and climate change • Country categories: – Individual and group – LDC and SIDS in group GEF-5 STAR • Areas: Biodiversity, climate change, and land degradation • Country categories: – All the countries are equal – No group countries A NEW MAJOR COMPONENT GEF 4 RAF • GEF Benefits Index (GBI) GEF 5 STAR • GEF Benefits Index (GBI) • GEF Performance Index (GPI) • GEF Performance Index (GPI) Social Economic Development Index measured as GDP index (GDPI) NEW RULES GEF-4 RAF • Caps: – 10% for BD and 15% for CC • Floors: – No • Others: – 50% rule, – Set-aside 10% GEF-5 STAR • Caps: – 10% for BD and LD, 11% for CC • Floors: – $2 mn in CC, $1.5 mn in BD, and $0.5 in LD • Others: – Flexibility for small countries (90% rule), – More weight (25%) for marine scores in GBIBD, – 5% of CC scores are from countries’ forested areas – Set-aside 20% PROGRAMS NOT YET IN THE STAR • International waters • Persistent organic pollutants and sound chemicals management • Corporate budgets • National dialogue initiative • Country support program • Regional and global projects/programs • Small grants programs • Earth fund (private sector) GDP-BASED INDEX (GDPI) • GDPI = GDP-0.04 • Rationale: Poorer countries need more funds to build capacity for GEF project development and implementation Key message: the higher the GDP per capita, the lower the country’s GDPI GEF BENEFITS INDEX IN BD • GBIBD = 75% × Terrestrial Score + 25% × Marine Score – Terrestrial Score = 40% × Representative Species + 40% × Threatened Species + 10% × Representative Eco-region + 10% × Threatened Eco-region – Marine score = the credits from all of the marine species located in the territorial waters of the country Key message: Reward countries with more species and eco-regions GEF BENEFITS INDEX IN LD GBILD = 60% × proportion of dryland area + 20% × proportion of rural population + 20% × global share of land area affected Key message: Reward countries with high proportion of dryland area COUNTRY’S ALLOCATION SCORE (CAS) • CASBD = GPI × GDPI-0.04 × GBIBD 0.8 biodiversity for • CASCC = GPI × GDPI-0.04 × GBICC 0.8 change for climate • CASLD = GPI × GDPI-0.04 × GBILD 0.8 degradation for land Key message: A country has only one GPI and one GDPI , but three GBIs WHAT ARE THE IMPACTS OF THESE CHANGES? IMPACT OF GDPI ($4.25 bn scenario US$/ cap/yr 15.0% 20000 Difference over baseline 12.1% 17861 GDP/cap (US$) in 2008 10.0% 16000 14000 7.4% 5.0% 12000 10112 0.0% DR Congo United Republic of Tanzania 0.0% Morocco 10000 8000 Chile Trinidad and Tobago -4.7% -5.0% 2764 -10.0% 18000 180 482 6000 4000 -7.0% 2000 0 Key message: GDPI cuts up to 7% from the rich and adds up to 12% to the poor. $2,760 GDP per capita is the threshold. Impact of a “no group” allocation GEF-4 RAF • Individual countries in CC : – 50 • Individual countries in BD: – 58 • Individual countries in LD: – None GEF-5 STAR • Individual countries in CC : – 144 • Individual countries in BD: – 144 • Individual countries in LD: – 143 IMPACT OF FLOORS ON ALLOCATIONS Number of countries floored Floors ($m) Share of resources to floored countries over the total Biodiversity Climate change Land Climate Land Biodiversity degradation change degradation 2 70 62 102 11.6% 9.1% 50.4% 1.5 57 45 75 7.1% 7.8% 43.4% 1 44 30 52 3.6% 3.4% 20.1% 0.5 36 15 8 1.5% 0.9% 1.5% Key message: Using $2, $1.5 and $0.5 mn as floors will ensure a small country to have at least one project, and no more than 10% of resources to be allocated to the floored countries. IMPACT OF NEW CAPS ON ALLOCATIONS CC Cap scenarios Cap =15% Cap = 11% (in (baseline) the STAR) Allocation reduced Allocations increased Allocations increased and status changed Allocations not affected Number of countries 0% -26.7% 1 0% 7.3% 71 0% 4.4% and 2.8% 2 0% 0% 70 Key message: Capping one country will benefit 73 countries OVERALL IMPACTS Allocation distributions 140 Number of countries 120 100 80 GEF 4 GEF 5 60 40 20 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 140 150 160 170 180 190 200 More $ Million Key message: The number countries with allocation amounts less than four million dollars each reduced from about 130 in GEF 4 to about 110 in GEF 5 STAR ALLOCATION AS OF DECEMBER 30TH, 2011 Allocation Project Amount PPG Amount Grant Utilized Allocation Remaining after Grant Utilization % Utilized by Grant Cleared PIFs Grant Utilized plus Cleared PIFs Allocation Remaining after Grant Utilization and Cleared PIFs % Utilized by Grant and Cleared PIFs BD subtotal 1,080,040,000 274,570,621 2,193,499 276,764,120 803,275,880 26% 31,002,519 307,766,639 772,273,361 28% CC subtotal 1,259,990,000 243,609,242 855,378 244,464,620 1,015,525,380 19% 13,739,000 258,203,620 1,001,786,380 20% LD subtotal 384,940,000 103,520,745 646,888 104,167,633 280,772,367 27% 7,392,110 111,559,743 273,380,257 29% 2,724,970,000 621,700,608 3,695,765 625,396,373 2,099,573,627 23% 52,133,629 677,530,002 2,047,439,998 25% STAR Total CONCLUSIONS The GEF used new methodology and updated indicators to meet the challenges of donors and recipient countries The new allocation system (STAR) is • more completed than the GEF 4 RAF • increasing the shares of allocation to the least developed countries • providing wider and more even allocations • ensuring small countries to have enough funds to implement at least one project in GEF 5 period • more transparent in resource allocations NEXT STEPS • Develop new GBI for persistent organic pollution and international waters • Improve GBIBD, GBICC and GBILD • Update and improve GPI and GDPI Thank you for your attention Questions?