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Chapter 16: Earth’s Climate System 1. Want Ice with That? 2. Global Air Circulation 3. Global Climate Regions 4. Extreme Climate Environments 5. Records of Climate Change 6. Natural Causes of Climate Change Copyright © The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display. Learning Objectives • • • • • • • • • • Students will explain concepts related to Earth’s climate systems. Students will explain why areas with the same latitude have different climates. Students will summarize the features of the global climate regions. Students will predict the climate for a location given rainfall and temperature data. Students will describe types of glaciers, glacial features, and describe how glaciers are formed. Students will analyze patterns in temperature and cloud cover, precipitation, and air pressure and relate these patterns to Earth’s deserts. Students will identify the features of a desert. Students will compare the action of glaciers with desert wind action. Students will describe proxy indicators used to determine past climates. Students will explain natural causes of climate change. Want Ice with That? Each fall, polar bears migrate through Churchill, Manitoba on their way to Hudson Bay to wait for new sea ice to form so they can hunt seals. 17% reduction in Hudson Bay polar bears in past 30 years. Rising temperatures in the Arctic cause sea ice to melt earlier in spring and form later in fall. Who is in more danger, the tourist or the bear? Bears hang around in Churchill longer waiting for the ice to form. The Good Earth/Chapter 16: Earth’s Climate System Want Ice with That? Polar Bear Jail, Churchill, Canada. Polar bears that wander into Churchill are captured by the trap and placed in "jail" until Hudson Bay freezes over. The Good Earth/Chapter 16: Earth's Climate System Want Ice with That? Climate = A description of the weather conditions for a region averaged over several decades. The climate of every region on Earth has changed often. Shrinking glaciers are just one line of evidence of increasing global temperatures. a. Riggs glacier, Glacier Bay National Park, Alaska in 1941. b. Riggs glacier in 2004. The Good Earth/Chapter 16: Earth's Climate System Want Ice with That? The Arctic – A prime example of a region recording climate change Signs of change: Decline in polar bear population Rise in average temperatures by 2-3°C. This temperature rise is more than double what is observed throughout the rest of the world. Shrinking glaciers and other ice masses. Rising sea level and increased coastal erosion. The Good Earth/Chapter 16: Earth's Climate System Want Ice with That? • Widespread and steady decline in Arctic sea ice over last few decades. • Puts cold water into Arctic ocean – could disrupt the oceanic conveyor belt. • Worst case scenario: - Higher temps reduce annual volume of sea ice exposing more open water in Arctic ocean - Water has lower albedo which absorbs more heat from sun - Sea ice forms later in the fall and is thinner and not as widespread; melts earlier in spring The Good Earth/Chapter 16: Earth's Climate System Want Ice with That? Process repeats – positive feedback loop Each time the environment is modified it becomes less likely that the warming will reverse itself Worst case scenario continued: - Melting of ice changes density and salinity of Arctic ocean water - Freshwater input from Greenland further dilutes salt content - Reduction in sinking water at northern end of Gulf Stream can slow the conveyor belt - Temperatures in the North Atlantic can decrease with slowing of Gulf Stream The Good Earth/Chapter 16: Earth's Climate System Want Ice with That? Best Case Scenario: - Temperature increase is a short-term variation, and lower temperatures begin to prevail - Sea ice volume increases, increasing albedo and reducing absorption of heat - Sea ice forms earlier in fall and stays around longer into spring - Sea water salinity increases with increasing sea ice - Less melting of ice sheet on Greenland and elsewhere - Temperatures in North Atlantic gradually decrease and return to levels similar to those of the 1980's This doesn't seem likely, as warming trend continues each year. Eight of the ten hottest years on record have occurred in the last decade. The Good Earth/Chapter 16: Earth's Climate System Want Ice with That? Why do we care? The big question is – ARE HUMANS AFFECTING CLIMATE CHANGES? The Good Earth/Chapter 16: Earth's Climate System Earth's Climate System Self Reflection Survey Answer the following questions as a means of uncovering what you already know about Earth's climate system. 1. Imagine that you were blindfolded and airdropped onto a continent somewhere on Earth. What features could you use to identify the climate of the region? The Good Earth/Chapter 16: Earth's Climate System Earth's Climate System Self Reflection Survey Answer the following questions as a means of uncovering what you already know about Earth's climate system. 2. Any effective climate model must account for regional variations in climate at any moment in time as well as for variations in climate for any location over the course of a year. Make a list of what you know about annual variations in climate in the U.S. and around the globe. The Good Earth/Chapter 16: Earth's Climate System Earth's Climate System Self Reflection Survey Answer the following questions as a means of uncovering what you already know about Earth's climate system. 3. What are some climate-related concepts featured in earlier chapters of this text? The Good Earth/Chapter 16: Earth's Climate System Go back to the Table of Contents Go to the next section: Global Air Circulation The Good Earth/Chapter 16: Earth's Climate System Global Air Circulation Look at these four maps: What patterns do you see? The Good Earth/Chapter 16: Earth's Climate System Global Air Circulation Several significant patterns should emerge: • Temperatures decrease with increasing latitude north and south from equator. Equator receives more solar energy. • Temperature range is much greater for the continents than for the oceans. Water has a high heat capacity. • Clouds are concentrated in irregular bands parallel to the equator and latitudes 60° N and S, and these latitudes also have high precipitation and low atmospheric pressure. Desert belts are located around 30°N and S latitude. The Good Earth/Chapter 16: Earth's Climate System Global Air Circulation Non-rotating Earth model – rising air at the equator and sinking air at the poles would form opposing limbs (loops) of a large-scale circulation pattern called a convection cell. Q: Where is there lowpressure and where is there high-pressure? A: Low-pressure where air rises (equator) and high pressure where air descends (poles). A difference in solar radiation causes differential heating, which produces convection cells that drive air circulation. The Good Earth/Chapter 16: Earth's Climate System Earth's Climate System Checkpoint 16.1 The following map shows the locations of four climate extremes. Match each extreme climate with its location (each is only used once). a. Highest temperature (136°F) is at location _____ b. Highest average annual precipitation (524 inches) is at location _______ c. Second lowest temperature (-90°F) is at location ______ d. Lowest annual precipitation (0.08 cm) is at location ______ The Good Earth/Chapter 16: Earth's Climate System Earth's Climate System Checkpoint 16.2 Florida lies at the same latitude as the Sahara Desert. Why do you think Florida is not a hot, dry desert? The Good Earth/Chapter 16: Earth's Climate System Global Air Circulation The Earth rotates complicating the system. Regardless of Earth's rotation, warm humid air expands and rises at the equator, forming a lowpressure system and nearly continuous band of clouds. The Coriolis effect deflects winds to the right in the Northern Hemisphere and to the left in the Southern Hemisphere. North moving air is continuously deflected east and is moving almost directly eastward by the time it reaches 30°N = Subtropical Jet Stream Jet stream moves in upper troposphere at speeds approaching 61 mph. The Good Earth/Chapter 16: Earth's Climate System Global Air Circulation Descending air warms adiabatically and its relative humidity decreases promoting desert formation. Trade winds – prevailing surface winds deflected north and south at these areas of descending air. Hadley Cell – continuous convection cell formed by columns of rising air and descending air connecter by north and south moving winds. Polar Cell – anchored by a column of descending air in the polar regions. Ferrel Cell – midlatitude convection system separating thermal circulation cells - not as well defined, as they are modified by midlatitude cyclone formation. The Good Earth/Chapter 16: Earth's Climate System Global Air Circulation Atmospheric circulation can be divided into three convection cells in each hemisphere. These bands of wind are often disrupted by variations in topography, especially in the Northern Hemisphere. Jet streams are present near the top of the troposphere. Winds in the core of the jet streams can reach speeds of more than 195 mph! The Good Earth/Chapter 16: Earth's Climate System Go back to the Table of Contents Go to the next section: Global Climate Regions The Good Earth/Chapter 16: Earth's Climate System Global Climate Regions Climate regions are differentiated by their temperatures and precipitation and their resulting vegetation. Koppen-Geiger classification system uses average monthly temperatures and precipitation, and total annual precipitation. Averaging can cause microclimates to be missed. The Good Earth/Chapter 16: Earth's Climate System Earth's Climate System Conceptest The following graph illustrates mean monthly high and low temperatures and the average monthly rainfall for Sydney, Australia. Estimate the average monthly temperatures as halfway between the mean high and low temperatures. On the basis of these data, in what climate region does Sydney belong? Explain your reasoning. a. Tropical b. Dry c. Warm temperate d. Cool temperate The Good Earth/Chapter 16: Earth's Climate System Global Climate Regions The Good Earth/Chapter 16: Earth's Climate System Global Climate Regions Ecosystems = communities of organisms that inhabit specific physical environments. Biodiversity = the number of species in an ecosystem. Biome = a regional community of plants and animals named after the dominant type of vegetation. Humans, unlike other organisms, inhabit a wide range of biomes. Why? The Good Earth/Chapter 16: Earth's Climate System Global Climate Regions What can you say about the relationship between population density and climate regions? Global population density. Darker colors signify regions with highest population density. In terms of altitude, most organisms live in a narrow vertical band of land and shallow sea where the climate is warm and moist. The Good Earth/Chapter 16: Earth's Climate System Earth's Climate System Checkpoint 16.6 How does the distribution of people on Earth compare to the distribution of climate zones and biomes? hint: refer to figures 16.8, 16.9, and 16.11 The Good Earth/Chapter 16: Earth's Climate System Global Climate Regions Three major climate-related biome groups: grasslands, forests, and deserts. Each of these can be divided into individual biomes. Tropical rain forests are a critical biome – dominate the tropical climate region and are home to the most diverse ecosystems on the planet, containing 50,000 plant species! Changes in biome character can tell us about climate change. Environmental factors influencing the distribution of ecosystems. Why are most species found in the upper 200 meters of the ocean and below about 20,500 feet on land? The Good Earth/Chapter 16: Earth's Climate System Global Climate Regions Biogeochemical Cycles Plants are producers Animals are consumers Food chain – transfers energy between organisms within an ecosystem N, C, O, H, P, S make up 95% of the materials in plants and animals Biomass = amount of organic material in an ecosystem. Plants account for 99% of all biomass on Earth. The Good Earth/Chapter 16: Earth's Climate System Earth's Climate System Checkpoint 16.8 With all the media reports about climate change, people in your community turn to you to help them figure out if it is really happening. They ask you to generate a common sense index of climate change that could be used by long-time residents (longer than 20 years) of your community. The index should not be too complicated, so you must identify just three things that an interested resident could observe, using data from the evening news, the Internet, or a local newspaper. Finally, residents should not have to collect daily weather data, but they may be asked to compare daily data with long-term averages. What three factors would you choose and how would residents use them to identify climate change? The Good Earth/Chapter 16: Earth's Climate System Go back to the Table of Contents Go to the next section: Extreme Climate Environments The Good Earth/Chapter 16: Earth's Climate System Extreme Climate Environments What makes an environment extreme? Exceptionally high or low temperatures and/or lack of precipitation Where on this map might you find an extreme environment? The Good Earth/Chapter 16: Earth's Climate System Extreme Climate Environments Extreme environments: • Reduced biodiversity • Low population densities • Fall within the dry and polar climate regions • Greenland and Antarctica represent the world's largest accumulations of ice and snow Antarctic landscape. Climbers on their way to Mount Vinson, the highest peak on the continent. • Glacier = A long-lived mass of slow moving snow and ice on land Continental glaciers/ice sheets – form at polar latitudes. Alpine glaciers – found at high elevations in mountainous regions. The Good Earth/Chapter 16: Earth's Climate System Extreme Climate Environments Glaciers move and can tell us something about climate change: • Alpine glaciers are more susceptible to climate changes • Individual alpine glaciers may last for decades or up to thousands of years The Good Earth/Chapter 16: Earth's Climate System Extreme Climate Environments The weight of thick glacial ice causes it to move. In general they move downslope. Alpine glaciers move ~550 m/yr. Ice sheets can move hundreds of meters per yr. As the ice moves it transports pieces of bedrock that fall off surrounding cliffs or are torn off by the glacier. Crevasses = steep, narrow cracks in the surface ice form as the glacier changes shape. Snow falling on the glacier is compacted into ice crystals that contain trapped air bubbles. The Good Earth/Chapter 16: Earth's Climate System Extreme Climate Environments Glaciers are composed of layers of ice Snowflakes fall in accumulation zone and are compacted into ice crystals Air bubbles are trapped as the ice crystals are buried lower in the glacier The tiny air bubbles preserve a record atmospheric composition at the time of their formation The layers in a glacier represent annual accumulations of snow Scientists can count the annual snow layers to get an estimate of the glacier's age Can combine age information and atmospheric composition information from the air bubbles and see a record of past climate The Good Earth/Chapter 16: Earth's Climate System Extreme Climate Environments Zones of an alpine glacier Zones are based on elevation Accumulation zone – higher elevation, thickest part of the glacier, addition of snow exceeds loss by melting Ablation zone – lower, thinner zone where seasonal snow melts causing thaw of underlying glacial ice Snowline – boundary between accumulation and ablation zones The mass balance of the glacier is the difference between how much ice and snow accumulates vs. melts each year. The Good Earth/Chapter 16: Earth's Climate System Earth's Climate System Checkpoint 16.9 While hiking in the Sierra Nevada Mountains of California you come across a high valley filled with several meters of snow and ice. What would you look for to determine if it is just a big pile of snow and ice or a glacier? The Good Earth/Chapter 16: Earth's Climate System Extreme Climate Environments If ablation exceeds accumulation, a glacier melts faster than new ice can be added and the front of the glacier retreats upslope. • Scientists studying North Cascade glaciers have recorded a steady decline in volume over the last two decades. • Glaciers are about 1/3 smaller today than they were in the mid-1980's. • Glaciers undercut adjacent mountainsides and scrape underlying material causing erosion and mass wasting. • Bits of rock frozen into base of glacier act like sand paper scouring the underlying landscape. • At the terminus (end) of the glacier, unsorted debris from clay size to house size boulders collects. (Till = unsorted deposits) • Ridges of till that surround the edge of the glacier = moraines • • Terminal moraine – marks farthest limit of the glacier Geologists can map rate of melting by looking at the location of the terminal moraine and the terminus of the glacier. The Good Earth/Chapter 16: Earth's Climate System Extreme Climate Environments Till Tillite Glacier terminus and moraine. The edge of the moraine represents deposits formed when the terminus of the glacier remained in one location. The Good Earth/Chapter 16: Earth's Climate System Extreme Climate Environments The presence of moraines in regions without present-day glaciers is evidence for more extensive glaciers in the geologic past. Moraines are seen in the Midwest and Great Plains states Icebergs breaking off a glacier in Greenland Recession of the Gangotri glacier, India. Larsen Ice shelf, Antarctica – terminus floating in shallow water adjacent to a landmass The Good Earth/Chapter 16: Earth's Climate System Earth's Climate System Checkpoint 16.10 Examine the two pictures of the glaciers at left: a. In the photos, identify as many features as you can. b. In the photo on the right, what do you infer is the origin of the dark stripes? The Good Earth/Chapter 16: Earth's Climate System Extreme Climate Environments Glaciers that reach the ocean may break off into icebergs or form an ice shelf. Icebergs and ice shelves carry clay, sand, and boulders that were eroded by the glacier. As the ice melts into the ocean, these materials are dropped and descend to the ocean floor forming a dropstone deposit. The Good Earth/Chapter 16: Earth's Climate System Earth's Climate System Checkpoint 16.11 Draw a diagram that illustrates the fate of a snowflake that falls in the accumulation zone of a growing alpine glacier. Begin and end the path of the snowflake in the atmosphere. The Good Earth/Chapter 16: Earth's Climate System Extreme Climate Environments In most hot deserts, temperatures are high, annual rainfall is less than 10 inches, and evaporation exceeds precipitation. Desert surfaces are a combination of sand, desert pavement, and rock outcrops. The Good Earth/Chapter 16: Earth's Climate System Extreme Climate Environments Many deserts are located around 30°N and S latitude – subtropical deserts Some are located in continental interiors far from moisture sources – continental deserts Some are located along a coast where cold ocean waters cool the air and it loses its moisture before reaching land – coastal deserts Some are located in polar regions and are dry, with relatively little ice or snow – polar deserts Some are found on the downwind side of a mountain range where the rainshadow effect has depleted air of its moisture before it descends down the landward side – rainshadow deserts Deserts don't have to be hot, but always have less than 10 inches of annual precipitation. Deserts are always dry. The Good Earth/Chapter 16: Earth's Climate System Earth's Climate System Checkpoint 16.13 The area around the South Pole receives just a few centimeters of snowfall each year. Is the South Pole a desert? Give reasons to support your answer. The Good Earth/Chapter 16: Earth's Climate System Extreme Climate Environments Erosion and Deposition in Deserts: Occasional flash floods and wind action are responsible for eroding, transporting, and depositing material in deserts. Winds move sediments by suspension (fine particles), saltation (sand grains), and creep (larger particles). Can form ripples in sand, and desert pavement where sand is removed and pebbles are left behind. The Good Earth/Chapter 16: Earth's Climate System Extreme Climate Environments Sand grains may be deposited together to form sand dunes. The most common sand dunes have a gentle windward face and a steep lee face. The dune migrates slowly with the wind as sand is moved from the gentle face to the steep face. The Good Earth/Chapter 16: Earth's Climate System Extreme Climate Environments Cross beds = a pattern of sloping layers that slope in the same direction the wind blows. Cross beds can tell us the direction of prevailing winds when the dunes were formed. The Good Earth/Chapter 16: Earth's Climate System Earth's Climate System Checkpoint 16.15 Complete the Venn diagram provided by placing the six listed descriptions in the appropriate locations on the diagram. Add at least an additional 4 characteristics. 1. Transport sediment in direction of movement Wind Action Glacial Processes 2. Can transport large boulders 3. Form dunes 4. Occur most frequently at high latitudes 5. Few associated plants and animals 6. Occur on at least 5 continents 7. 8. 9. 10. The Good Earth/Chapter 16: Earth's Climate System Go back to the Table of Contents Go to the next section: Records of Climate Change The Good Earth/Chapter 16: Earth's Climate System Records of Climate Change Imagine you have boarded an airplane with no windows and have flown somewhere far away. The pilot does not tell you where you have landed. What evidence would you use to determine the climate of the region? Indicators of climate = proxies Proxy = something that stands for something else Example: the change in native woodlands in Missouri to grasslands in Kansas is a proxy for the westward decrease in precipitation. Proxies of climate fluctuations include tree rings, oxygen isotopes, and microfossils The Good Earth/Chapter 16: Earth's Climate System Records of Climate Change Detailed, accurate data on temperature and precipitation have only been collected for about 150 years. a) Average global temperatures taken from land and ship-based instruments since the late 1850's. b) Average of temperatures from the troposphere taken by satellites since 1979. Two data interpretations – UAH (Univ of Alabama, Huntsville) and RSS (Remote Sensing Systems) using same data set. What trend do you see on both graphs? Is it real? The Good Earth/Chapter 16: Earth's Climate System Records of Climate Change Changes in climate patterns influenced where past civilizations were able to flourish • Viking migration to Greenland during warmer temperatures – increased length of Greenland growing season • When it cooled again Vikings agricultural base declined and environment became more hostile The Good Earth/Chapter 16: Earth's Climate System Records of Climate Change Climate change is recorded in archaeological data, historical records, and even works of art. Paintings from the period 1550 – 1849 show more dark skies and clouds. Pieter Bruegel's Winter Landscape with Bird Trap shows a time when European rivers were likely to freeze over, a rare event today. The Good Earth/Chapter 16: Earth's Climate System Records of Climate Change Cultural records indicate three distinct climate periods for the Northern Hemisphere in the last 1,000 years or so: 1. Medieval warm period - Temperatures were relatively warm from 1000 – 1450 A.D. 2. The Little Ice Age – A time of very cold temperatures but not really an ice age. Occurred for about 400 years after the medieval warm period. 3. By the end of the 19th century climate moderated leading to our present relatively warm temperatures, which exceed any in the last 1,000 years. The Good Earth/Chapter 16: Earth's Climate System Records of Climate Change Annual climate records can be found in tree rings, lake sediments, and ice layers. Each year includes earlywood (light) and latewood (dark) growth. Wide rings occur during wet, warm years and narrow rings during cold, dry years. Usually it is necessary to match partial records from multiple trees to get a climate record. Short-term climate change is recorded in tree rings (hundreds of years). The Good Earth/Chapter 16: Earth's Climate System Records of Climate Change Northern Wyoming precipitation record from tree ring analysis. Precipitation records from 1895 onward were matched with tree ring widths to estimate precipitation values for pre-1895 tree rings. The Good Earth/Chapter 16: Earth's Climate System Records of Climate Change Lake sediments are often deposited in paired annual layers called varves. Varves reflect seasonal changes in deposition in a lake. Algae grows on surface from spring to late fall Dies in fall and sinks to bottom making a dark layer of sediment Sediment near lake margins comes from streams and is thicker during periods of higher precipitation During colder parts of year much of central lake sediment is wind blown dust and clay, producing lighter sediment layer Can cover longer periods of time that tree rings, and hold more proxy information such as pollen from land plants, sediment from nearby land sources, chemical changes due to weathering, organic remains, and ash layers that can be radiometrically dated. The Good Earth/Chapter 16: Earth's Climate System Records of Climate Change Reconstructed temperature records for the Northern Hemisphere. a. Red line = actual instrument recorded temperature. Blue line is reconstructed from climate proxy data. Yellow line is an average. b. Temperature and snowfall record of central Greenland over last 17,000 years. What strikes you about the upper graph? Notice that recent temperatures exceed anything from the last 1,000 years. Why? The Good Earth/Chapter 16: Earth's Climate System Records of Climate Change The thickness of ice layers is related to temperature and directly tied to precipitation. Yearly layers can be observed, counted, and studied for climate information. Oxygen isotopes serve as a proxy for long-term climate change. 18O is heavier than 16O. 16O is much more abundant in the ocean than 18O. Changes in the ratio of these isotopes indicate changes in climate. The Good Earth/Chapter 16: Earth's Climate System Records of Climate Change Lighter 16O isotopes evaporate with seawater and are returned to the ocean through precipitation and runoff. When it is colder 16O is incorporated into continental ice sheets which causes the oceans to become enriched with heavier 18O that has not evaporated and precipitated onto ice sheets. The Good Earth/Chapter 16: Earth's Climate System Records of Changing Climate The oxygen isotope record acts as a paleothermometer for ancient climates. Oxygen isotope ratios of ocean water are recorded in the calcium carbonate shells of microscopic foraminifera. The ratios in the shells can tell us about temperature and ice volume in the oceans in the past. Large drops in biodiversity usually correspond with sudden climate changes. The Good Earth/Chapter 16: Earth's Climate System Records of Changing Climate Climate records indicate that the Northern Hemisphere experienced glaciation (Ice Age) during the last 2 million years: Lower sea level Land bridge between Siberia and Alaska More forests in North America Western U.S. deserts were cooler North America was dominated by a 3kilometer thick (1.9 mile) continental glacier centered over Canada. The Good Earth/Chapter 16: Earth’s Climate System Records of Changing Climate The last Ice Age is divided into cold glacial intervals and warmer interglacials. Temperatures during the glacials were at least 9-18°F colder than today. Based on the length of interglacials, we are about 10,000 years away from entering another cold glacial interval. What trends do you notice on the above graph? The Good Earth/Chapter 16: Earth’s Climate System Records of Changing Climate Younger Dryas – short, cold interval marked by the appearance of pollen from polar wildflower Dryas octopetala. At end of Younger Dryas, entered the Holocene, our current interglacial. Climate can change very quickly as evidenced by the graph at left. At end of Younger Dryas average annual temperature of much of Northern Hemisphere increased by 12°F in less than a decade! The Good Earth/Chapter 16: Earth’s Climate System Records of Climate Change Hypothesis – rapid warming at the end of an especially cold interval cause catastrophic failure of Northern Hemisphere ice sheet, putting surges of icebergs into the Atlantic. Addition of so much fresh water slowed thermohaline circulation (Gulf Stream), causing a plummet in temperatures in Europe, Asia, and Africa. Longest ice core from Antarctica only records back less than one million years. To model earlier climate we must look at fossil chemistry and sedimentary rock characteristics. These proxies give us a record back to about 66 million years ago. The Good Earth/Chapter 16: Earth’s Climate System Records of Climate Change Earth was 18-27°F warmer 52 million years ago – Hothouse Earth! Temperature contrast between the equator and the poles was much less. No polar ice caps. 65 million years of climate change. Temperature is only correlated with earliest and latest portions of the curve. Temperatures were generally warmer than today until the major ice sheet of Antarctica formed ~34 Ma. Alligator-like reptiles on islands of northern Canada. The Good Earth/Chapter 16: Earth’s Climate System Records of Climate Change Implications for our future: Freshwater sources today are smaller continental glaciers such as Greenland. At current melting rates this couldn’t produce enough freshwater to generate the dramatic alteration in salinity needed to significantly impact thermohaline circulation. An abrupt catastrophic climate change is not likely to happen, but a constant refreshing of the North Atlantic by melting of Greenland can slow down the ocean conveyor – still can have consequences! Do humans indeed affect climate? The Good Earth/Chapter 16: Earth’s Climate System Go back to the Table of Contents Go to the next section: Natural Causes of Climate Change The Good Earth/Chapter 16: Earth’s Climate System Natural Causes of Climate Change Causes of long-term global climate change must operate on a global scale over very long time intervals. Most likely causes: • Changing locations of continents and oceans due to plate tectonics • Changes in the Earth’s orbit around the sun • Variations in the composition of the atmosphere such as concentrations of greenhouse gases The Good Earth/Chapter 16: Earth’s Climate System Natural Causes of Climate Change The last three major ice ages have occurred when large landmasses were located near one or both poles. Must be land near poles to build up long-lived continental ice sheets. Having landmasses near the poles isn’t enough by itself to create climate changes. What else might be important? Distribution of continents and oceans at the time of Pangaea. The Good Earth/Chapter 16: Earth’s Climate System Natural Causes of Climate Change Recall that water carries a lot of heat around the globe. Ocean circulation patterns can impact climate! Examples: Closing of the connection between North and South America ~3 million years ago strengthened gulf stream, warmer water to North Atlantic region, greater evaporation and precipitation in the form of snow, greater albedo and less melting of northern glaciers leading to long term formation of ice caps. Separation of South America and Australia from Antarctica ~34 million years ago triggered large-scale glaciation of Antarctica, opened up circulation patterns in Southern Ocean, isolated southern continent from moderating climate influences from lower latitudes. Earth’s climate involves interaction between geosphere, hydrosphere, atmosphere, and biosphere. The Good Earth/Chapter 16: Earth’s Climate System Natural Causes of Climate Change Small changes in Earth’s orbit, on scales of tens of thousands of years, influence climate changes. Milankovitch Cycles – caused by the interaction of Earth with the gravitational fields of other planets. There are three principal variations: 1. Eccentricity of Earth’s orbit = shape of Earth’s orbit around the sun varies from more circular to more elliptical. Changes occur on a 100,000 year cycle. Which orbital path would cause the most extreme variations between summer and winter months? The Good Earth/Chapter 16: Earth’s Climate System Natural Causes of Climate Change 2. Changes in the tilt of the Earth’s axis = Earth’s axis is currently tilted 23.5 degrees. Over 41,000 years the tilt can change from 22-25 degrees. This changes the angle at which solar radiation strikes the Earth. Would a higher angle of tilt or a lower angle of tilt foster growth of ice at the poles? The Good Earth/Chapter 16: Earth’s Climate System Natural Causes of Climate Change 3. Precession = The wobbling of the Earth on its spin axis (like a top). Changes the direction of the axial tilt. It takes 23,000 years for the axis to make a complete round trip back to where it started. Today Earth’s axis is tilted toward the sun during summer months. In 11,500 years it will be the exact opposite. What will this mean for our seasons? The Good Earth/Chapter 16: Earth’s Climate System Earth’s Climate System Checkpoint 16.21 What combination of changes in the Milankovitch cycles would cause the highest and lowest summer temperatures in North America? The Good Earth/Chapter 16: Earth’s Climate System Earth’s Climate System Checkpoint 16.22 Would the amount of incoming solar radiation increase or decrease at the Arctic Circle during July in the Northern Hemisphere if 1. Earth’s axis were vertical rather than tilted? 2. Earth’s orbit brought it closer to the sun? 3. The tilt of Earth’s axis were opposite to its present orientation? (away from the sun) The Good Earth/Chapter 16: Earth’s Climate System Earth’s Climate System Checkpoint 16.23 Concisely describe five features that could cause the temperature of a region of the Earth’s surface to decrease. The Good Earth/Chapter 16: Earth’s Climate System Earth’s Climate System Checkpoint 16.23 From the information in this chapter, discuss what you think would be some potential climate scenarios for North America over the next 1,000 years. The Good Earth/Chapter 16: Earth’s Climate System The End Go back to the Table of Contents The Good Earth/Chapter 16: Earth’s Climate System