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Chapter 15: Climate David Gindra, Sam Freres, Peter Sheehy,Keyu Yan What is the atmosphere?!? What is the atmosphere made of? Early atmosphere: Hydrogen and Helium Volcanoes: Carbon, Nitrogen, and Sulfur ...but what about Oxygen?? Photosynthesis! Ga = gigaannum (1 billion years) Layers of the Atmosphere Troposphere: Weather, planes, (people!) (from Greek tropien, “turn” or “change”) Stratosphere: Ozone layer Absorbs UV radiation Mesosphere: Boring in-between layer Winds, temperature decreases. (Gravity/planetary waves???) Thermosphere: Space begins here Karman line (100 km), ionized gases, auroras, heated by solar energy Where does heat go? Albedo (fig. 15.5) ! Albedo & The Greenhouse Effect Albedo: Reflection of the sun’s energy Different surfaces reflect different amounts Greenhouse Effect: Holds in energy Naturally, not a bad thing! (Without it, we’d be dead.) Different gases cause the Greenhouse Effect: H2O CO2 CH4 N2O (other gases) Why does it rain? Latent heat: Energy stored in water vapor Carries 580 calories of energy per gram Convection currents: Pressure difference Warm air rising = low pressure, cool air sinking = high pressure Moving air masses cause rain: Moist air that cools causes rain to fall What about Minnesota? Flat because of glaciers, means lower than average rainfall What are some other weather patterns? Jet streams: Where convection currents meet Coriolis Effect: Earth’s rotation causes circular currents Monsoons: Seasonal rain Large amounts of the Earth’s population depend on seasonal rains for agriculture Fonts: Borders between air masses Warm or cold; cause local weather What about hurricanes? Cyclonic storms: Swirling winds around low-pressure locations create swirling storms Hurricanes: tropical cyclones Warm tropical waters create “hot towers”, destructive over large areas Tornadoes: terrestrial cyclones Swirling funnel clouds, destructive in local areas What about Minnesota? POLAR VORTEX?! Natural Climate Variability ● Climates shift on scales of decades, centuries, and millennia ● There are multiple factors that influence this natural shift in climate ● There is expanding evidence to help us discern specific patterns Ice Cores ● Ice cores tell us about climate history ● Every time it snows, small amounts of air are trapped in the snow layers ● In cold places, yearly snows accumulate and compress lower layers into ice, trapping air bubbles ● By drilling deep into ice sheet, they can extract ice cores from which they collect these air bubble samples and can show how the atmosphere changed over time How can we use this information? Track CO2 variation Track volcanic eruptions We can look at isotopes of oxygen By looking at the proportions of heavier and lighter isotopes (oxygen atoms), climatologists can reconstruct temperatures over time ● Vostok Ice Core ● Greenland Ice Sheet ● ● ● ● Temperature and CO2 ● European Project for Ice Coring in Antarctica (EPICA) has produced a record reaching back over 800,000 years ● Correlation between atmospheric temperatures and CO2 concentrations Influence of Earth’s movement ● Milankovitch cycles: periodic shifts in the earth’s orbit and tilt ● Earth’s elliptical orbit stretches and shortens in a 100,000 year cycle ● Axis of rotation changes its angle of tilt in a 40,000-year cycle ● Over a 26,000-year period the axis wobbles like an out-of-balance spinning top ● Changes the distribution and intensity of sunlight reaching the earth’s surface El Niño ● Ocean-atmospheric cycle ● Both the ocean and the atmosphere have regular patterns of flow, or currents, but these shift from time to time ● Areas of warm water slosh back and forth ● Sloshing in the ocean influences low-pressure areas in the atmosphere--and winds and rain change as a consequence ● One important example is known as El Niño/Southern Oscillation, or ENSO ENSO ● The core of the ENSO system is a huge pool of warm surface water in the Pacific Ocean that sloshes slowly back and forth between Indonesia and South America ● This is a huge low-pressure area ● Every 3-5 years, this low pressure near Indonesia shifts eastward and the mass of warm surface water surges back east across the Pacific ● Sometimes, between El Nino events, coastal waters become really cool, and these extremes are called La Niña ● Together this cycle is called ENSO Effects on us? ● Repercussions in weather systems across North and South America ● Intense storms and heavy rains from California across the Midwestern states ● La Niña years bring extreme hot and dry weather to these same areas ● Floods to the Mississippi River basin Anthropogenic Climate Change Climate change caused or produced by humans The Idea ● Anthropogenic Climate change is not a new idea ● First proposed by swedish physicist Svante Arrhenius in 1895 ● pointed directly to climate change caused by the release of CO2 from coal burning First Traces ● Anthropogenic climate change was first witnessed in 1957 at the mauna loa observatory in hawaii ● Initial measurements showed an increase in CO2 levels by 0.5 percent per year ● research continued at the mauna loa observatory show a trend of increasing CO2 levels in the atmosphere Keeling Curve Initial Research ● Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change(IPCC) ● Report released in 2007(AR4) ● 90% chance global climate change is anthropogenic ● Some changes, Researchers were “virtually certain” of being anthropogenic Where does anthropogenic climate change come from? The world is now warmer than it has been in the last two millennia What does that mean? ● Warming, Drying, and Habitat change ● Polar regions are melting causing habitat destruction for penguins, and poor hunting conditions for polar bears ● Permafrost melt causes infrastructure to sink ● Predicted half of the world's glaciers will disappear by ● CO2 absorbed by the ocean lowers the pH and destroys coral formations ● Sea levels rise due to glacial melt and thermal expansion of sea water ● Droughts become more frequent, and have already increased 30% since 1970 ● Even a 2 degree celsius rise in temperature could destroy 20-40% of the amazon rain forest ● As water temperatures rise above 85 degrees fahrenheit, corals lose their photosynthetic algae and “bleach” ● Increased atmospheric energy causes storms to grow and become more damaging ● As sea level rises many cities will flood ● ⅓ of current world population lives in areas that would flood if Greenland's ice were to melt ● Most of the world’s wealthiest urban cities are on coastlines Envisioning Solutions 1.Political Science—new rules and standards 2. Science—scientific strategies,technologies or renewable resources New Standards and Rules 1) 1992,Earth Summit, Rio de Janeiro Brazil ——“sustainable development that doesn’t destroy opportunities for future generations” 2) 1997, Kyoto, Japan——Kyoto Protocol Business Groups and NGO U.S. Policies I) Ideal policy——a single national standard II) Policies situations—— various laws depends on different states —> a jumble of conflicting local and state rules i.e. California [what do you think?] Minnesota—U.S. I) School bus retrofits and idle reduction Children face heightened exposure to diesel exhaust from the self-polluting nature of buses, and the tendency of buses to idle during loading and unloading. II) Auxiliary power units for long haul trucks MPCA is using Congestion Mitigation and Air Quality funds to retrofit a minimum of 200 on-road diesel vehicles from public fleets in 2009. III) Idling policies and ordinances Several Minnesota counties and cities have internal idling policies for their transportation fleets, like Hennepin County. http://www.pca.state.mn.us/index.php/air/air-quality-and-pollutants/general-air-quality/motor-vehicle-pollution/cleaning-updiesel-engines-in-minnesota.html Other Regional Initiatives What can you do? (Personal) Science I) Technologies and scientific strategies/analysis —> wedge analysis C02 Capture and Storage II) Renewable resources [chapter 20] Stabilization Wedges I) what?(case study)II) why?(case study) III)How(p339)? still have limitation Technology—C02 Capture and Storage