Download The Episodic Nature of EvolutIonary Change

17
The Episodic Nature of
EvolutIonary Change
0 N No VE MB E R 23, 1859, the day before
his revolutionary book hit the stands, Charles Darwin received an extraordinary letter from his friend Thomas
Henry Huxley. It offered warm support in the coming conflict, even the supreme sacrifice: "I am prepared to go to the
stake, ifrequisite. . . I am sharpening up my claws and beak
in readiness." But it also contained a warning: "You have
loaded yourself with an unnecessary difficulty in adopting
Natura nonfacit salturn so unreservedly."
The Latin phrase, usually attributed to Linnaeus, states
that "nature does not make leaps." Darwin was a strict
adherent to this ancient motto. As a disciple of Charles
Lyell, the apostle of gradualism in geology, Darwin portrayed evolution as a stately and orderly process, working
at a speed so slow that no person could hope to observ~ it
in a lifetime. Ancestors and descendants, Darwin argued,
must be connected by "infinitely numerous transitional
links" forming "the finest graduated steps." Only an immense span of time had permitted such a sluggish process
to achieve so much.
Huxley felt that Darwin was digging a ditch for his own
theory. Natural selection required no postulate about rates;
it could operate just as well if evolution proceeded at a rapid
pace. The road ahead was rocky enough; why harness the
theory of natural selection to an assumption both unnecessary and probably false? The fossil record offered no sup-
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port for gradual change: whole faunas had been wiped out
during disarmingly short intervals. New species almost always appeared suddenly in the fossil record with no intermediate links to ancestors in older rocks of the same region.
Evolution, Huxley believed, could proceed so rapidly that
the slow and fitful process of sedimentation rarely caught it
in the act.
The conflict between adherents of rapid and gradual
change had been particularly intense in geological circles
during the years of Darwin's apprenticeship in science. I do
not know why Darwin chose to follow Lyell and the gradualists so strictly, but I am certain of one thing: preference for
one view or the other had nothing to do with superior
perception of empirical information. On this question, nature spoke (and continues to speak) in multifarious and
muffled voices. Cultural and methodological preferences
had as much influence upon any decision as the constraints
of data.
On issues so fundamental as a general philosophy of
change, science and society usually work hand in hand. The
static systems of European monarchies won support from
legions of scholars as the embodiment of natural law. Alexander Pope wrote:
Order is Heaven's first law; and this confessed,
Some are, and must be, greater than the rest.
As monarchies fell and as the eighteenth century ended
in an age of revolution, scientists began to see change as a
normal part of universal order, not as aberrant and exceptional. Scholars then transferred to nature the liberal program of slow and orderly change that they advocated for
social transformation in human society. To many scientists,
natural cataclysm seemed as threatening as the reign of
terror that had taken their great colleague Lavoisier.
Yet the geologic record seemed to provide as much evidence for cataclysmic as for gradual change. Therefore, in
defending gradualism as a nearly universal tempo, Darwin
had to use Lyell's most characteristic method of argument
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-he had to reject literal appearance and common sense for
an underlying "reality." (Contrary to popular myths, Darwin and Lyell were not the heros of true science, defending
objectivity against the theological fantasies of such "catastrophists" as Cuvier and Buckland. Catastrophists were as
committed to science as any gradualist; in fact, they adopted
the more "objt:ctive" view that one should believe what one
sees and not interpolate missing bits of a gradual record
into a literal tale of rapid change.) In short, Darwin argued
that the geologic record was exceedingly imperfect-a
book
with few remaining pages, few lines on each page, and few
words on each line. We do not see slow evolutionary change
in the fossil record because we study only one step in thousands. Change seems to be abrupt because the intermediate
steps are missing.
The extreme rarity of transitional forms in the fossil record persists as the trade secret of paleontology. The evolutionary trees that adorn our textbooks have data only at the
tips and nodes of their branches; the rest is inference, however reasonable, not the evidence of fossils. Yet Darwin was
so wedded to gradualism that he wagered his entire theory
on a denial of this literal record:
The geological record is extremely imperfect and this
fact will to a large extent explain why we do not find
interminable varieties, connecting together all the extinct and existing forms of life by the finest graduated
steps. He who rejects these views on the nature of the
geological record, will rightly reject my whole theory.
Darwin's argument still persists as the favored escape of
most paleontologists from the embarrassment of a record
that seems to show so little of evolution directly. In exposing its cultural and methodological roots, I wish in no way
to impugn the potential validity of gradualism (for all general views have similar roots). I wish only to point out that
it was never "seen" in the rocks.
Paleontologists have paid an exorbitant price for Darwin's argument. We fancy ourselves as the only true stu-
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dents of life's history, yet to preserve our favored account
of evolution by natural selection we view our data as so bad
that we almost never see the very process we profess to
study.
For several years, Niles Eldredge of the American Museum of Natural History and I have been advocating a resolution of this uncomfortable paradox. We believe that Huxley was right in his warning. The modern theory of
evolution does not require gradual change. In fact, the operation of Darwinian processes should yield exactly what we
see in the fossil record. It is gradualism that we must reject,
not Darwinism.
The history of most fossil species includes two features
particularly inconsistent with gradualism:
1. Stasis. Most species exhibit no directional change during their tenure on earth. They appear in the fossil record
looking much the same as when they disappear; morphological change is usually limited and directionless.
2. Sudden appearance. In any local area, a species does not
arise gradually by the steady transformation of its ancestors;
it appears all at once and "fully formed."
Evolution proceeds in two major modes. In the first, phyletic transformation, an entire population changes from one
state to another. If all evolutionary change occurred in this
mode, life would not persist for long. Phyletic evolution
yields no increase in diversity, only a transformation of one
thing into another. Since extinction (by extirpation, not by
evolution into something else) is so common, a biota with
no mechanism for increasing diversity would soon be wiped
out. The second mode, speciation, replenishes the earth.
New species branch off from a persisting parental stock.
Darwin, to be sure, acknowledged and discussed the process of speciation. But he cast his discussion of evolutionary
change almost totally in the mold of phyletic transformation. In this context, the phenomena of stasis and sudden
appearance could hardly be attributed to anything but imperfection of the record; for if new species arise by the
transformation of entire ancestral populations, and if we
almost never see the transformation (because species are
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essentially static through their range), then our record must
be hopelessly incomplete.
Eldredge and I believe that speciation is responsible for
almost all evolutionary change. Moreover, the way in which
it occurs virtually guarantees that sudden appearance and
stasis shall dominate the fossil record.
All major theories of speciation maintain that splitting
takes place rapidly in very small populations. The theory of
geographic, or allopatric, speciation is preferred by most
evolutionists for most situations (allopatric means "in another place").. A new species can arise when a small segment of the ancestral population is isolated at the periphery
of the ancestral range. Large, stable central populations
exert a strong homogenizing influence. New and favorable
mutations are diluted by the sheer bulk of the population
through which they must spread. They may build slowly in
frequency, but changing environments usually cancel their
selective value long before they reach fixation. Thus, phyletic transformation in large populations should be very
rare-as the fossil record proclaims.
But small, peripherally isolated groups are cut off from
their parental stock. They live as tiny populations in geographic corners of the ancestral range. Selective pressures
*1 wrote this essay in 1977. Since then, a major shift of opinion
has been sweeping through evolutionary biology. The allopatric
orthodoxy has been breaking down and several mechanisms of
sympatric speciation have been gaining both legitimacy and examples. (In sympatric speciation, new forms arise within the geographic range of their ancestors.) These sympatric mechanisms
are united in their insistence upon the two conditions that Eldredge and I require for our model of the fossil record-rapid
origin in a small population. In fact, they generally advocate
smaller groups and more rapid change than conventional allopatry envisages (primarity because groups in potential contact
with their forebears must move quickly towards reproductive isolation, lest their favorable variants be diluted by breeding with the
more numerous parental. forms). See White (1978) for a thorough
discussion of these sympatric models.
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are usually intense because peripheries mark the edge of
ecological tolerance for ancestral forms. Favorable variations spread quickly. Small, peripheral isolates are a laboratory of evolutionary change.
What should the fossil record include if most evolution
occurs by speciation in peripheral isolates? Species should
be static through their range because our fossils are the
remains of large central populations. In any local area inhabited by ancestors, a descendent species should appear
suddenly by migration from the peripheral region in which
it evolved. In the peripheral region itself, we might find
direct evidence of speCiation, but such good fortune would
be rare indeed because the event occurs so rapidly in such
a small population. Thus, the fossil record is a faithful rendering of what evolutionary theory predicts, not a pitiful
vestige of a once bountiful tale.
Eldredge and I refer to this scheme as the model of punctuated equilibria. Lineages change little during most of their
history, but events ofrapid speciation occasionally punctuate this tranquillity. Evolution isthe differential survival and
deployment of these punctuations.
(In describing the
speciation of peripheral isolates as very rapid, I speak as a
geologist. The process may take hundreds, even thousands
of years; you might see nothing if you stared at speciating
bees on a tree for your entire lifeti~e. But a thousand years
is a tiny fraction of one percent of the average duration for
most fossil invertebrate species-5
to 10 million years.
Geologists can rarely resolve so short an interval at all; we
tend to treat it as a moment.)
.
If gradualism is more a product of Western thought than
a fact of nature, then we should consider alternate philosophies of change to enlar~ our realm of constraining prejudices. In the Soviet {filion, for example, scientists are
trained with a very different philosophy of change-the
socalled dialectical laws, reformulated by Engels from Hegel's
philosophy. The dialectical laws are explicitly punctuational. They speak, for example, of the "transformation of
quantity into quality." This may sound like mumbojumbo,
but it suggests that change occurs in large leaps following
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a slow accumulation of stresses that a system resists until it
reaches the breaking point. Heat water and it eventually
boils. Oppress the workers more and more and bring on the
revolution. Eldredge and I were fascinated to learn that
many Russian paleontologists support a model similar to
our punctuated equilibria.
I emphatically do: not assert the general "truth" of this
philosophy of punctuational change. Any attempt to support the exclusive validity of such a grandiose notion would
border on the nonsensical. Gradualism sometimes works
well. (I often fly over the folded Appalachians and marvel
at the striking parallel ridges left standing by gradual erosion of the softer rocks surrounding them.) I make a simple
plea for pluralism in guiding philosophies, and for the recognition that such philosophies, however hidden and
unarticulated, constrain all our thought. The dialectical
laws express an ideology quite openly; our Western preference for gradualism does the same thing more subtly.
Nonetheless, I will confess to a personal belief that a
punctuational view may prove to map tempos of biological
and geologic change more accurately and more often than
any of its competitors-if only because complex systems in
steady state are both common and highly resistant to
change. As my colleague British geologist Derek V. Ager
writes in supporting a punctuational view of geologic
change: "The history of anyone part of the earth, like the
life of a soldier, consists of long periods of boredom and
short periods of terror."
RETURN
18
Return of the Hopeful
Monster
BIG
B ROT HER,
THE tyrant of George
Orwell's 1984, directed his daily Two Minutes Hate against
Emmanuel Goldstein, enemy of the people. When I studied
evolutionary biology in graduate school during the mid1960s, official rebuke and derision focused upon Richard
Goldschmidt, a famous geneticist who, we were told, had
gone astray. Although 1984 creeps up on us, I trust that the
world will not be in Big Brother's grip by then. I do, however, predict that during this decade Goldschmidt will be
largely vindicated in the world of evolutionary biology.
Goldschmidt, a Jewish refugee from Hitler's decimation
of German science, spent the remainder of his career at
Berkeley, where he died in 1958. His views on evolution ran
afoul of the great neo-Darwinian synthesis forged during
the 1930s and 1940s and continuing today as a reigning, if
insecure, orthodoxy. Contemporary neo-Darwinism is
often called the "synthetic theory of evolution" because it
united the theories of population genetics with the classical
observations of morphology, systematics, embryology, biogeography, and paleontology.
The core of this synthetic theory restates the two most
characteristic assertions of Darwin himself: first, that evolution is a two-stage process (random variation as raw material, natural selection as a directing force); secondly, that
evolutionary change is generally slow, steady, gradual, and
continuous.
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Geneticists can study the gradual increase of favored
genes within populations of fruit flies in laboratory bottles.
Naturalists can record the steady replacement of light
moths by dark moths as industrial soot blackens the trees
of Britain. Orthodox neo-Darwinians extrapolate these
even and continuous changes to the most profound structural transitions in the history of life: by a long series of
insensibly graded intermediate steps, birds are linked to
reptiles, fish with jaws to their jawless ancestors. Macroevolution (major structural transition) is nothing more than
microevolution (flies in bottles) extended. If black moths
can displace white moths in a century, then reptiles can
become birds in a few million years by the smooth and
sequential summation of countless changes. The shift of
gene frequencies in local populations is an adequate model
for all evolutionary processes-or
so the current orthodoxy
states.
The most sophisticated of modern American textbooks
for introductory biology expresses its allegiance to the conventional view in this way:
[Can] more extensive evolutionary change, macroevolution, be explained as an outcome of these microevolutionary shifts? Did birds really arise from reptiles
by an accumulation of gene substitutions of the kind
illustrated by the raspberry eye-color gene?
The answer is that it is entirely plausible, and no one
has come up with a better explanation. . . . The fossil
record suggests that macroevolution is indeed gradual,
paced at a rate that leads to the conclusion that it is
based upon hundreds or thousands of gene substitutions no different in kind from the ones examined in
our case histories.
Many evolutionists view strict continuity between microand macroevolution as an essential ingredient of Darwinism and a necessary corollary of natural selection. Yet, as I ,
argue in essay 17, Thomas Henry Huxley divided the two
issues of natural selection and gradualism and warned Dar-
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win that his strict and unwarranted adherence to gradualism
might undermine his entire system. The fossil record with
its abrupt transitions offers no support for gradual change,
and the principle of natural selection does not require itselection can operate rapidly. Vet the unnecessary link that
Darwin forged became a central tenet of the synthetic the-
ory.
Goldschmidt raised no objection to the standard accounts of microevolution; he devoted the first half of his
major work, The Material Basis of Evolution (Vale University
Press, 1940), to gradual and continuous change within species. He broke sharply with the synthetic theory, however,
in arguing that new species arise abruptly by discontinuous
variation, or macromutation. He admitted that the vast majority of macromutations could only be viewed as disastrous
-these he called "monsters." But, Goldschmidt continued,
every once in a while a macromutation might, by sheer good
fortune, adapt an organism to a new mode of life, a "hopeful monster" in his terminology. Macroevolution proceeds
by the rare success of these hopeful monsters, not by an
accumulation of small changes within populations.
I want to argue that defenders of the synthetic theory
made a caricature of Goldschmidt's ideas in establishing
their whipping boy. I shall not defend everything Goldschmidt said; indeed, I disagree fundamentally with his
claim that abrupt macroevolution discredits Darwinism. For
Goldschmidt also failed to heed Huxley's warning that the
essence of Darwinism-the
control of evolution by natural
selection-does
not require a belief in gradual change.
As a Darwinian, I wish to defend Goldschmidt's postulate
that macroevolution
is not simply microevolution
extrapolated, and that major structural transitions can occur
rapidly without a smooth series of intermediate stages. I
shall proceed by discussing three questions: (I) can a reasonable story of continuous change be constructed for all
macroevolutionary events? (my answer shall be no); (2) are
-theories of abrupt change inherently anti-Darwinian? (I
shall argue that some are and some aren't); (3) do Goldschmidt's hopeful monsters represent the archetype of
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apostasy from Darwinism, as his critics have long maintained? (my answer, again, shall be no).
All paleontologists know that the fossil record contains
precious little in the way of intermediate forms; transitions
between major groups are characteristically abrupt. Gradualists usually extract themselves from this dilemma by invoking the extreme imperfection of the fossil record-if
only one step in a thousand survives as a fossil, geology will
not record continuous change. Although I reject this argu:
ment (for reasons discussed in essay 17), let us grant the
traditional escape and ask a different question. Even though
we have no direct evidence for smooth transitions, can we
invent a reasonable sequence of intermediate forms-that
is, viable, functioning organisms-between
ancestors and
descendants in major structural transitions? Of what possible use are the imperfect incipient stages of useful structures? What good is half a jaw or half a wing? The concept
of preadaptation provides the conventional answer by permitting us to argue that incipient stages performed different
functions. The half jaw worked perfectly well as a series of
gill-supporting bones; the half wing may have trapped prey
or controlled body temperature. I regard preadaptation as
an important, even an indispensable, concept. But a plausible story is not necessarily true. I do not doubt that preadaptation can save gradualism in some cases, but does it
permit us to invent a tale of continuity in most or all cases?
I submit, although it may only reflect my lack of imagination, that the answer is no, and I invoke two recently supported cases of discontinuous change in my defense.
On the isolated island of Mauritius, former home of the
dodo, two genera of boid snakes (a large group that includes pythons and boa constrictors) share a feature present in no other terrestrial vertebrate: the maxillary bone of
the upper jaw is split into front and rear halves, connected
by a movable joint. In 1970, my friend Tom Frazzetta published a paper entitled "From Hopeful Monsters to Bolyerine Snakes?" He considered every preadaptive possibility
. he could imagine
and rejected them in favor of discontinuous transition. How can a jawbone be half broken?
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Many rodents have cheek pouches for storing food.
These internal pouches connect to the pharynx and may
have evolved gradually under selective pressure for holding
more and more food in the mouth. But the Geomyidae
(pocket gophers) and Heteromyidae (kangaroo rats and
pocket mice) have invaginated their cheeks to form external
fur-lined pouches with no connection to the mouth or pharynx. What good is an incipient groove or furrow on the
outside? Did such hypothetical ancestors run about threelegged while holding a few scraps of food in an imperfect
crease with their fourth leg? Charles A. Long has recently
considered a suite of preadaptive possibilities (external
grooves in burrowing animals to transport soil, for example) and rejected them all in favor of discontinuous transition. These tales, in the "just-so story" tradition of evolutionary natural history, do not prove anything. But the
weight of these, and many similar cases, wore down my faith
in gradualism long ago. More inventive minds may yet save
it, but concepts salvaged only by facile speculation do not
appeal much to me.
If we must accept many cases of discontinuous transition
in macroevolution, does Darwinism collapse to survive only
as a theory of minor adaptive change within species? The
essence of Darwinism lies in a single phrase: natural selection is the major creative force of evolutionary change. No
one denies that natural selection will playa negative role in
eliminating the unfit. Darwinian theories require that it create the fit as well. Selection must do this by building adaptations in a series of steps, preserving at each stage the advantageous part in a random spectrum of genetic variability.
Selection must superintend the process of creation, not just
toss out the misfits after some other force suddenly produces a new species, fully formed in pristine perfection.
We can well imagine such a non-Darwinian theory of
discontinuous change-profound
and abrupt genetic alteration luckily (now and then) making a new species all at
once. Hugo de Vries, the famous Dutch botanist, supported
such a theory early in this century. But these notions seem
to present insuperable difficulties. With whom shall Athena
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born from Zeus's brow mate? All her relatives are members
of another species. What is the chance, of producing Athena
in the first place, rather than a deformed monster? Major
disruptions of entire genetic systems do not produce favored-or
even viable-creatures.
But all theories of discontinuous change are not antiDarwinian, as Huxley pointed out nearly 120 years ago.
Suppose that a discontinuous change in adult form arises
from a small genetic alteration. Problems of discordance
with other members of the species do not arise, and the
large, favorable variant can spread through a population in
Darwinian fashion. Suppose also that this large change does
not produce a perfected form all at once, but rather serves
as a "key" adaptation to shift its possessor toward a new
mode of life. Continued success in this new mode may require a large set of collatc:ral alterations, morphological and
behavioral; these may arise by a more traditional, gradual
route once the key adaptation forces a profound shift in
selective pressures.
Defenders of the modem synthesis have cast Goldschmidt as Goldstein by linking his catchy phrase-hopeful
monster-to
non-Darwinian notions of immediate perfection by profound genetic change. But this is not entirely
what Goldschmidt maintaioed. In fact, one of his mechanisms for discontinuity in adultJorms relied upon. a notion
of small underlying genetic change. GoldschQ1idtwil.S a student of embryonic development. He spent most of his early'
career studying- geographic variation in the gypsy moth,
Lyman/ria dispar. He foJ,lnd thatJarge differences in the color
patterns of caterpillars resuhed from small changes in the
timing of development: the effects of a slight delay or enhancement of pigmentation
early in growth increased
through ontogeny and led to profound differences among
fully grown caterpillars.
Goldschmidt identified the genes responsible for these
small changes in timing, and demonstrated that large final
differences reflected the action of one or a few "rate genes"
acting early in growth. He codified the notion of a rate gene
in 1918 and wrote twenty years later:
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The mutant gene produces its effect. . . by changing
the rates of partial processes of development. These
might be rates of growth or differentiation, rates of
production of stuffs necessary for differentiation, rates
of reactions leading to definite physical or chemical
s'ituations at definite times of development, rates of
those processes which are responsible for segregating
the embryonic potencies at definite times.
In his infamous book of 1940, Goldschmidt specifically
invokes rate genes as a potential maker of hopeful monsters: "This basis is furnished by the existence of mutants
producing monstrosities of the required type and the
knowledge of embryonic determination, which permits a
small rate change in early embryonic processes to produce
a large effect embodying considerable parts of the organism. "
In my own, strongly biased opinion, the problem of
reconciling evident discontinuity in macroevolution with
Darwinism is largely solved by the observation that small
changes early in embryology accumulate through growth to
yield profound differences among adults. Prolong the high
prenatal rate of brain growth into early childhood and a
monkey's brain moves toward human size. Delay the onset
of metamorphosis and the axolotl of Lake Xochimilco reproduces as a tadpole with gills and never transforms into
a salamander. (See my book Ontogenyand Phylogeny [Harvard
University Press, 1977] for a compendium of examples, and
pardon me for the unabashed plug.) As Long argues for the
external cheek pouch: "A genetically controlled developmental inversion of the cheek pouch may have occurred,
recurred, and persisted in some populations. Such a morphological change would have been drastic in effect, turning the pockets 'wrong side out' (furry side in), but nevertheless it would be a rather simple embryonic change."
Indeed, if we do not invoke discontinuous change by
small alteration in rates of development, I do not see how
most major evolutionary transitions can be accomplished at
all. Few systems are more resistant to basic change than the
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strongly differentiated, highly specified, complex adults of
"higher" animal groups. How could we ever convert an
adult rhinoceros or a mosquito into something fundamentally different. Yet transitions between major groups have
occurred in the history of li(e.
D'Arcy Wentworth Thompson, classical scholar, Victorian prose stylist, and glorious anachronism of twentiethcentury biology, dealt with this dilemma in his classic treatise On Growth and Form.
An algebraic curve has its fundamental formula, which
defines the family to which it belongs. . . . We never
think of "transforming" a helicoid into an ellipsoid, or
a circle into a frequency curve. So it is with the forms
of animals. We cannot transform an invertebrate into
a vertebrate, nor a coelenterate into a worm, by any
simple and legitimate deformation. . . . Nature proceeds from one type to another. . . . To seek for steppings tones across the gaps between is to seek in vain,
forever.
D'Arcy Thompson's
solution was the same as Goldschmidt's: the transition may occur in simpler and more
similar embryos of these highly divergent adults. No one
would think of transforming a starfish into a mouse, but the
embryos of some echinoderms and protovertebrates
are
nearly identical.
1984 will mark the 125th anniversary of Darwin's Origin,
the first major excuse for a celebration since the centenary
of 1959. I hope that our "new speaking" these few years
hence will be neither dogma nor vacuous nonsense. If our
entrenched, a priori preferences for gradualism begin to
fade by then, we may finally be able to welcome the plurality
of results that nature's complexity provides.