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This article appeared in a journal published by Elsevier. The attached copy is furnished to the author for internal non-commercial research and education use, including for instruction at the authors institution and sharing with colleagues. Other uses, including reproduction and distribution, or selling or licensing copies, or posting to personal, institutional or third party websites are prohibited. In most cases authors are permitted to post their version of the article (e.g. in Word or Tex form) to their personal website or institutional repository. Authors requiring further information regarding Elsevier’s archiving and manuscript policies are encouraged to visit: http://www.elsevier.com/copyright Author's personal copy SC IE N CE OF T H E TOT AL E N V I RO N ME N T 4 0 7 ( 2 00 8 ) 6 9 2–6 97 a v a i l a b l e a t w w w. s c i e n c e d i r e c t . c o m w w w. e l s e v i e r. c o m / l o c a t e / s c i t o t e n v Carbon and nitrogen cycles in European ecosystems respond differently to global warming☆ C. Beier a,⁎, B.A. Emmett b,1 , J. Peñuelasc,2 , I.K. Schmidt d,3 , A. Tietemae,4 , M. Estiartec,2 , P. Gundersend,3 , L. Llorensc,2,5 , T. Riis-Nielsend,3 , A. Sowerbyb,1 , A. Gorissen f,6 a RISØ National Laboratory for Sustainable Energy, Risø DTU, P. O. Box 49, DK-4000 Roskilde, Denmark Centre for Ecology and Hydrology-Bangor, Environment Centre Wales, Deiniol Road, Bangor, Gwynedd LL572UP, UK c Ecophysiology and Global Change Unit CSIC-CEAB-CREAF, CREAF (Center for Ecological Research and Forestry Applications), Edifici C, Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona, 08193 Bellaterra, Barcelona, Spain d Forest and Landscape, Denmark, Royal Agricultural and Veterinary University, Hørsholm Kongevej 11, DK-2970 Hørsholm, Denmark e Center for Geo-ecological Research (ICG), Institute for Biodiversity and Ecosystem Dynamics (IBED) – Physical Geography, University of Amsterdam, Nieuwe Achtergracht 166, 1018 WV Amsterdam, The Netherlands f Plant Research International, P. O. Box 16, Bornsesteeg 65, NL-6700 AA Wageningen, The Netherlands b AR TIC LE D ATA ABSTR ACT Available online 19 October 2008 The global climate is predicted to become significantly warmer over the next century. This will affect ecosystem processes and the functioning of semi natural and natural ecosystems Keywords: Climate change Global warming Ecosystem effects C & N interactions in many parts of the world. However, as various ecosystem processes may be affected to a different extent, balances between different ecosystem processes as well as between different ecosystems may shift and lead to major unpredicted changes. In this study four European shrubland ecosystems along a north–south temperature gradient were experimentally warmed by a novel nighttime warming technique. Biogeochemical cycling of both carbon and nitrogen was affected at the colder sites with increased carbon uptake for plant growth as well as increased carbon loss through soil respiration. Carbon uptake by plant growth was more sensitive to warming than expected from the temperature response across the sites while carbon loss through soil respiration reacted to warming in agreement with the overall Q10 and response functions to temperature across the sites. Opposite to carbon, the nitrogen mineralization was relatively insensitive to the temperature increase and was mainly affected by changes in soil moisture. The results suggest that C and N cycles respond asymmetrically to warming, which may lead to progressive nitrogen limitation and thereby acclimation in plant production. This further suggests that in many temperate ☆ This paper was presented at the 5th International Symposium on Ecosystem Behaviour, held at the University of California, Santa Cruz, on June 25–30, 2006. ⁎ Corresponding author. Tel.: +45 4677 4161; fax: +45 4677 4160. E-mail addresses: [email protected] (C. Beier), [email protected] (B.A. Emmett), [email protected] (J. Peñuelas), [email protected] (I.K. Schmidt), [email protected] (A. Tietema), [email protected] (M. Estiarte), [email protected] (P. Gundersen), [email protected] (L. Llorens), [email protected] (A. Sowerby), [email protected] (A. Gorissen). 1 Tel.: +44 1248 376500; fax: +44 1248 362133. 2 Tel.: +34 9358 12199; fax: +34 9358 11312. 3 Tel.: +45 4576 3200; fax: +45 4576 3233. 4 Tel.: +31 20 525 7458; fax: +31 20 525 7431. 5 Present address: Department of Environmental Sciences, Faculty of Sciences, University of Girona, Campus Montilivi, E-17071, Girona, Spain. 6 Tel.: +31 3174 75046; fax: +31 3174 23110. 0048-9697/$ – see front matter © 2008 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved. doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2008.10.001 Author's personal copy S CIE N CE OF T H E TOT AL E N V I RO N ME N T 4 0 7 ( 2 00 8 ) 6 9 2–6 97 693 zones nitrogen deposition has to be accounted for, not only with respect to the impact on water quality through increased nitrogen leaching where N deposition is high, but also in predictions of carbon sequestration in terrestrial ecosystems under future climatic conditions. Finally the results indicate that on the short term the above-ground processes are more sensitive to temperature changes than the below ground processes. © 2008 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved. 1. Introduction Elevated atmospheric CO2 generated through human activities is predicted to affect the global climate by increasing the global mean surface temperature by 1.4–5.8 °C (IPCC, 2001). Different ecosystem processes and biological species may respond asymmetrically to climatic changes (Walther et al., 2002) and the overall effect on ecosystem functioning is therefore often highly complex and determined by the relative sensitivity of the different processes to climate change. Recently, significant changes in ecosystem functioning and structure for a wide range of biomes and ecosystems have already been demonstrated (Walther et al., 2002) as well as evidence for climate change related extended growth season, advancement of spring phenology and upward and northward movement of the plant species distributions (Myneni et al. 1997; Peñuelas and Filella, 2001; Root et al. 2003; Parmesan and Yohe, 2003). Predictions from different types of models have indicated that global warming may accelerate due to C-cycle feedbacks (Agren and Bosatta, 1996; Cox et al., 2000; Cramer et al., 2001), i.e. decrease terrestrial carbon sequestration, but very few realistic measurements have been available to test these predictions. Understanding the effects of warming on the balance between changes in C vegetation uptake and the loss of carbon through respiration is essential if we are to reliably predict climate change effects on net ecosystem carbon sequestration. The confounding effects of nitrogen have also been discussed (Luo et al., 2004) although very few data are available or it has generally been limited to the impacts of nitrogen deposition (Nadelhoffer et al., 1999) rather than differential responses of the internal carbon and nitrogen cycles that we describe here. The majority of previous studies of climate change effects on terrestrial ecosystems in the field face two limitations. First, studies are geographically unbalanced as the main focus has been on biomes from arctic, boreal or temperate regions (Van Breemen et al., 1998; Chapin et al., 1995) because ecosystem effects and feedback mechanisms have been expected to be largest in these regions and because global climate models predict greater temperature increases at higher latitudes (IPCC, 2001). Second, the methods used to experimentally warm ecosystems, which include soil electric heating cables (Van Breemen et al., 1998; Melillo et al., 2002), IR radiators (Harte and Shaw, 1995) and growth chambers (Chapin et al., 1995), are subjected to various artifacts and thus, concerns have been raised that they do not realistically simulate global warming (Schulze et al., 1999). Within two EU projects CLIMOOR and VULCAN (Beier et al., 2004) we studied effects of warming in so far underrepresented shrubland ecosystems at lower latitudes across Europe. We did this by combining a field scale experimental approach with a gradient (space for time substitution) approach. The combination of field-scale manipulations conducted along climatic gradients provides a tool to evaluate short-term (treatment) and longterm (gradient) effects and the relative sensitivity of different biomes to climatic perturbations. The aim of the study was to assess the short and long term effects of warming on key ecosystem processes and ecosystem functioning. The objectives of the present paper are: • To synthesise the effects of warming on carbon and nitrogen sequestration and on the main release processes in shrubland ecosystems. • To relate the short term response after 3 years of warming treatment to the long term changes represented by the temperature gradient across the sites. • To compare the above- and below-ground responses. 2. Methods 2.1. Study sites and experimental design The studies were carried out at 4 shrubland sites in Mols, Denmark (DK, 56°23′N 10°57′E, MAT 8.7 °C, MAP 750 mm year− 1, elevation 58 m); Oldebroek, the Netherlands (NL, 52°24′N 5°55′E, MAT 9.3 °C, MAP 1033 mm year− 1, elevation 25 m); Clocaenog, United Kingdom (UK, 53°03′N 3°28′W, MAT 7.0 °C, MAP 1607 mm year− 1, elevation 490 m) and Garraf, Spain (SP, 41°18′N 1°49′E, MAT 15.6 °C, MAP 456 mm year− 1, elevation 210 m). The soils cover an organic rich podzol in UK, nutrient poor podzols in DK and NL and an old weathered soil in SP. Vegetation is dominated by Calluna vulgaris and Deschampsia flexuosa (DK, UK and NL) or Erica multiflora and Globularia alypum (SP). In these four sites experimental night time warming was applied to three 20 m2 study plots at each site. The night time warming approach was chosen because greenhouse gas accumulation in the atmosphere reduces loss of long wave IRradiation from the earth back into the atmosphere mainly at night. Consequently, it is the increased minimum temperatures that have been shown to be mainly responsible for the global temperature increase observed so far (IPCC, 2001) and have been shown of significant importance for the effects (Alward et al., 1999). The experimental warming method employed in this study was designed to simulate this night time warming pattern. A light scaffold at the height of the vegetation (0.6– 1 m) carried a reflective aluminium foil (ILS ALU, AB Ludvig Svensson, Sweden) over each plot. The foils reflected 97% of the direct and 96% of the diffuse radiation. The curtains were automatically pulled over the vegetation at sunset (light intensity b200 lux) and automatically removed at sunrise to leave the plots open during daytime. During nocturnal rain Author's personal copy 694 SC IE N CE OF T H E TOT AL E N V I RO N ME N T 4 0 7 ( 2 00 8 ) 6 9 2–6 97 Fig. 1 – Relationships between a) above-ground plant productivity (gC m− 2 year− 1) and b) below ground soil respiration (gC m− 2 year− 1) and mean annual temperature in the control (open squares and solid line) and warming treatments (black diamonds and dashed lines) over the first 3 years of manipulation. Lines are simple best fitted lines. events and high wind speeds the curtains were removed to keep hydrological conditions unaffected and to avoid damage to the system respectively (Beier et al., 2004). The curtains reduced the heat loss during night by 64% from 33 W m− 2 to 12 W m− 2 increasing the temperature in the soil by 0.5–1.5 °C (DK), 0–2 °C (UK), 0–1 °C (NL), and 1–2 °C (SP). These moderate temperature elevations increased the average annual growth potential (Growing Degree Days — GDD (threshold 5 °C)) by 9–16% at the non-Mediterranean sites (UK, NL, DK, no change in SP) and reduced the number of days with frost by 19–44% (Beier et al., 2004). Three 20 m2 untreated reference plots at each site served as control for comparison of responses. The method has the advantage that unintended edge effects and artefacts were small as documented by measurements of curtain movement, temperatures, precipitation and water input to the plots, radiation balance during campaigns, relative humidity and wind speed (Beier et al., 2004). Light conditions were not affected since the plots were kept open during daytime (Beier et al., 2004). Disadvantages of the methodology include lack of control on the degree of warming, and little or no warming of plants during daytime and therefore no influence on daytime maximum temperatures. 2.2. Measurements Total plant productivity was estimated as the sum of the change in total above-ground biomass and litterfall. Total above-ground biomass was estimated through non destructive point frequency measurements conducted during summer each year in 5 fixed study areas (UK, DK and NL) or transects (SP) in each plot (n = 100 per quadrat/transect). At each site, conversion of the point frequency measurements to above-ground biomass was calibrated in harvested subplots outside the experimental plots (n = 5/site; p b 0.01) (Peñuelas et al., 2004). Litterfall from shrub plants was collected monthly or bimonthly by litterfall collectors placed randomly under the vegetation (n = 5–10/plot). Litterfall from grasses (Mols) was estimated by assuming that annual litterfall equals the aboveground biomass production. Plant material (current year shoots, branches and stems) was collected and chemically analysed for nitrogen and carbon in the lab according to standard procedures (Peñuelas et al., 2004). Below-ground soil respiration was measured seasonally or monthly in the 3rd treatment year by Infra Red Gas Analysers (IRGA — PP-systems EGM2 or EGM4) applied to 2 vegetation free permanent bases in each plot or by syringe sampling from static chambers and subsequent analyses by gas chromatography (Emmett et al., 2004). Single exponential response curves of soil CO2 emissions to temperature were fitted to all data as well as the site specific data. Annual soil CO2 fluxes for each site and treatment were estimated from these functions and monthly average temperatures. Below-ground net N mineralisation was measured seasonally in the second treatment year by the buried bag technique with parallel soil core incubation in the field for 0 and 1 month and N-mineralisation estimated from difference in inorganic N (Emmett et al., 2004). Soil water below the root zone was continuously extracted by porous cup soil water samplers (PRENART super quartz, Frederiksberg, DK) and nitrogen content was analysed monthly at UK, DK and NL sites. N leaching was estimated from soil water N content and model estimated water fluxes (Schmidt et al., 2004). Soil water surplus at the SP site was too low to allow soil water collection. Treatment and site effects were analysed by using a two-way ANOVA with treatment and site as factors (n=3/treatment/site) (plant and soil responses) and by a repeated measure ANOVA with temperature as the main factor (soil solution chemistry). ttests were conducted to compare control and warming in each particular site, and linear and/or non-linear multiple regression analyses were conducted to analyse the relationships between the studied response variables and soil moisture and temperature for the control and warming treatments at each site In all cases, pvaluesb 0.05 were considered as statistically significant. Analyses on plant responses were performed with software packages from Statview (Abacus Concepts Inc., Cary, North Carolina, USA) and Statistica (StatSoft, Inc. Tulsa, Oklahoma), on soil responses by Minitab (Minitab Inc., Coventry, UK) and on soil water by the GLM procedure in SAS (SAS Institute, Cary, North Carolina, USA). 3. Results 3.1. Plants Plant productivity in the control plots showed no temperature sensitivity among the sites since no significant differences were observed across the temperature gradient (ANOVA, Fig. 1a). On the other hand, warming increased total above-ground biomass production at the colder NL (68%, but not significant, t-test) and UK (156%, p b 0.05, t-test) sites (Fig. 1a). Warming had no effect on total above-ground biomass production at the warm Mediterranean ecosystem. 3.2. Soil carbon and nitrogen Below-ground carbon loss measured as soil respiration was 2– 6 times bigger than carbon assimilation with the biggest differences being at the cold and carbon rich site in Wales and at the warm site in Spain (Fig. 1a and b). Carbon loss from Author's personal copy S CIE N CE OF T H E TOT AL E N V I RO N ME N T 4 0 7 ( 2 00 8 ) 6 9 2–6 97 695 Fig. 2 – Relationship between soil respiration (gC m− 2 h− 1) and soil temperature in the control (open squares, solid line) and warming (black diamonds, dotted line) treatments at all four sites together with best fitted exponential response functions, r2 and Q10 values. C: control; W: warming. below-ground biological activity was largely controlled by temperature both across the natural temperature gradient across the sites with a Q10= 1.8 (r2 = 0.22, p b 0.01) as well as within each site (Fig. 2). The Q10 values had a strong relationship to the mean annual temperature with the biggest temperature sensitivity (Q10 = 7.8) at the colder site in UK and the lowest sensitivity (Q10= 1.4) in the warm dry site in Spain (Fig. 3). The response functions for soil respiration to temperature and the Q10 values were not affected by warming at any of the sites (Fig. 2) and thus soil respiration was stimulated at 7–26% by the imposed experimental warming at the 3 colder Northern sites (UK, DK and NL) (Fig. 1b) with a sensitivity to the experimental warming similar to the sensitivity across the natural temperature gradient represented by the sites (Figs. 1b, 4a). In contrast to the colder northern sites warming slightly reduced soil respiration in the warm and water limited Spanish site (Figs. 1b, 4a). In contrast to carbon mineralisation inorganic-N production by soil microbes (net N-mineralisation) was sensitive to soil moisture extremes when compared over the climatic gradient across the sites (r2 = 0.49; p b 0.001). Temperature explained only 24% (p = 0.06) of the variation in net Nmineralisation with a Q10 of 1.5 and only when soil moisture was neither limiting (b20%) or in excess (N60%) (Emmett et al., 2004). In agreement with the N mineralisation observed from the climatic gradient across sites, the results from the experimental warming showed that temperature was not the primary control of N mineralisation (Fig. 4b). N leaching was not directly related to climatic factors but rather reflected site-specific differences in N deposition rates and N-status across the sites. Only the NL site, which received high inputs of atmospheric N-deposition and already leached significant levels of nitrate, responded significantly to warming by doubling N-leaching from 18 to 35 kgN ha− 1 year− 1 (Schmidt et al., 2004, Fig. 4c). 4. Discussion 4.1. Plants The stronger response of plant growth to warming at the colder sites may seem surprising given the lag of response in Fig. 3 – Relationship between Q10 calculated for soil respiration and mean annual temperature in the control plots at the four sites. Author's personal copy 696 SC IE N CE OF T H E TOT AL E N V I RO N ME N T 4 0 7 ( 2 00 8 ) 6 9 2–6 97 Fig. 4 – Relationships between below-ground ecosystem processes — a) annual average soil respiration (gC kg soilC− 1 year− 1), b) seasonal average nitrogen mineralisation rate (mgN kg soilC− 1 year− 1) and c) annual average NO3-leaching (gN m− 2 year− 1) in the control (open squares and solid line) and warming treatment (black diamonds and dashed lines) and environmental gradients (mean annual temperature, seasonal soil moisture and NO3-deposition respectively) across the sites over the first 3 years of manipulation. The indicated lines are simple best fitted lines. N-mineralisation as well as the relatively small difference in plant growth across the sites despite big differences in ambient climatic conditions. On the other hand the lag of a warming effect on total above-ground biomass production at the warm Mediterranean ecosystem agrees with the expectation of these ecosystems being water limited with temperatures already close to the optimum for photosynthesis (Larcher, 2000) and reinforce the expectation of greater responses of plant production to warming in the colder environments, which are often limited by temperature and short growing season (van Cleve et al., 1991). The increased plant growth by warming may be a direct effect of the small constant temperature increase on top of the annual mean, a reduction in the number of days with frost or an indirect effect of the warming such as an extension of the growing season. 4.2. Soil carbon and nitrogen The results from the first 3 years of the experiment showed that warming caused an increase in soil respiration in accordance with the general Q10 function for each site as neither the response functions nor the Q10 for soil respiration was affected by warming at any site and thereby no acclimation was observed. This is opposite to findings by other groups who have demonstrated acclimation of soil respiration due to limitation of the labile soil carbon pool (Melillo et al., 2002; Luo et al., 2001) or stimulation of physico-chemical reactions which transfer organic-C to more stable and, thus, unavailable carbon pools (Thornley and Cannell, 2001). At the northern sites the increased soil carbon loss may partly be a consequence of increased availability of labile carbon from increased litter production since plant productivity was also increased by warming, or it may be related to depletion of existing soil carbon pools or both. However, over time both, plant production and depletion of “old” soil carbon pools, should stabilise at a new steady state and soil carbon loss should acclimate, but this may clearly not happen instantaneously. The limitation of key soil processes at extreme water conditions across the sites is in agreement with findings elsewhere (e.g. Savage and Davidson, 2001; Borken et al., 2006) but could in this study potentially be a result of differences in vegetation characteristics. However, it was previously reported from the same sites how experimental drought reduced N mineralization in accordance with the response function across the sites indicating the importance of extreme water conditions on N-mineralisation (Emmett et al., 2004). The high variability in net N-mineralisation in response to warming across the sites agrees with previous observations across a range of ecosystems evaluated by metanalysis (Rustad et al., 2001). The lag of direct connection between temperature and nitrogen mineralization suggests that changes in the nitrogen cycle appear to occur more slowly and to have little direct influence on the carbon cycle. Further, it suggests that the effect on the overall carbon balance on the short term may be controlled by the direct influence of temperature on soil respiration rather than the water controlled N mineralization. At sites being limited by excess or lag of water, which often coincide with relatively cold and warm sites respectively, the lack of response in N mineralization may lead to progressive N limitation for plant and microbial growth and therefore limit carbon sequestration. It may be noted that in this study with temperature elevation of c. 1 °C the treatment had no measurable effect on soil moisture but if climate change leads to larger temperature elevations this may also affect soil moisture and thereby lead to interaction between temperature and moisture conditions which may cause changes in water controlled processes like N mineralization. Clearly, elevated N deposition in many areas of Europe may interact with climate change by reducing N limitation to enhance N leaching and C sequestration. Therefore it may have to be considered when dealing with effects of near future global warming on carbon sequestration in terrestrial ecosystems. In accordance with the expectations given by the natural gradients, warming induced a temporary change in the balance between the above-ground and below-ground carbon processes, with plant production being more sensitive to warming than soil C fluxes. This is in contrast to evidence from other studies where soils have been found to have greater sensitivity to warming than plant production (Agren and Bosatta, 1996) and to model predictions with GCMs (Cox et al., 2000) and DGVMs (Cramer et al., 2001) predicting a reduction in the carbon sink strength of terrestrial ecosystems Author's personal copy S CIE N CE OF T H E TOT AL E N V I RO N ME N T 4 0 7 ( 2 00 8 ) 6 9 2–6 97 as a consequence of elevated temperatures. On the other hand, the small difference in plant production along the climatic gradient suggests that the enhanced C fixation by plants induced by warming during the 3 years experiment may not be maintained in the long term. This may occur as a consequence of progressive nutrient limitation (Luo et al., 2004; Hungate et al., 2004), since our results do not indicate any consistent increase in net N mineralisation to provide the additional inorganic-N required for continued enhanced plant growth. The strong sensitivity and response of both plant production and soil respiration to warming within the first 3 years suggests that changes in N deposition and N availability may have to be accounted for in predictions of carbon sequestration by terrestrial ecosystems under future climatic conditions. Limitations in other nutrients such as phosphorus may also become progressively important mechanisms controlling acclimation in these areas (Peñuelas et al., 2004). Acknowledgements We thank all the people involved in the extensive activities of running and maintaining the treatments and the measurements in the CLIMOOR and VULCAN projects. The work was financially supported by EU (Contracts ENV4-CT97-0694 and EVK2-CT-2000-00094) and the participating research institutes. REFERENCES Agren GI, Bosatta E. Quality: a bridge between theory and experiment in soil organic matter studies. Oikos 1996;76:522–8. Alward RD, Detling JK, Milchunas DG. 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