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Transcript
Chapters 3 - 4
Financial Statements, Cash Flow, and Analysis of Financial Statements
Balance Sheet
Assets
Liabilities and Shareholder’s Equity
Cash
Inventory
Accounts Receivable
Accounts Payable
Notes Payable
Accrued Wages
Property
Plant
Equipment
Bank Loans
Bonds
Total Assets
Common Stock
Retained Earnings
Total Liabilities and Shareholder’s Equity
Income Statement
Used to figure out how much money we are earning for:
(a)
(b)
(c)
(d)
vendors, employees, etc - Cost of Goods Sold, Operating Expenses
lenders, bondholders - Interest,
government - Taxes,
owners/stockholders - Dividends/Retained Earnings
Sales
revenues
(-) Cost of Goods Sold
cost to manufacture product
(-) Operating Expenses
general expenses
(-) Depreciation
expensing fixed assets
EBIT
earnings before int. and
taxes
(-) Interest
EBT
(-) Taxes
Net Income
to bondholders
earnings before taxes
rate set by government
payout or retain
(-) Dividends
payout
Additions to R/E
retain
Statement of Cash Flows
Cash Flow from Operations:
Net income (I/S)
+ depreciation (I/S)
- increases in current assets (B/S)
+ increases in current liabilities (B/S)
Cash Flow from Investments:
- investments in PPE (B/S)
+ sale of assets (B/S)
Cash Flow from Financing:
+ proceeds from issues of common stock or debt (B/S)
- payment of dividends (I/S)
- repurchase of common stock (B/S)
- repayment of debt (B/S)
Net increase/decrease in Cash Account
Cash Flow
Earnings before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation, and Amortization (EBITDA)
Cash Flow available to bondholders, to pay government, and to fund asset purchase. Adds back
in noncash items.
Net Operating Working Capital = Operating Current Assets - Operating Current Liabilities
Operating = those flows from normal operations
Operating Current Assets = Cash, A/R, Inv
Operating Current Liabilities = A/P, Accruals
Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT) = EBIT ( 1 - tax rate )
Free Cash Flow (FCF) = NOPAT - Net investment in operating capital
Net investment in operating capital = - change in current assets (operating) + change in current
liabilities (operating) - change in net capital assets
Current asset increase represents an investment
Current liability increase represents borrowing
Net capital assets = Increase in PPE - Depreciation
Market Value Added (MVA)
Consistent with shareholder wealth maximization
MVA = market value of common stock - initial value of equity capital
example: Google, Inc.
Google went public (IPO) on August 19, 2004 at $85 per share
Google stock value on July 23, 2010 was $490.06
Shares Outstanding = 1.2B
MVAGOOG = $588.07B - $102B = $486.07B
Economic Value Added (EVA)
EVA = NOPAT -
(After-tax dollar cost of capital used to support operations)
After-tax dollar cost of capital used to support operations =
(net operating working capital + net plant and equipment) * WACC
= (amount spent on B/S) * (cost of raising money)
“EVA is net operating profit minus an appropriate charge for the opportunity cost of all capital
invested in an enterprise”
http://www.sternstewart.com/
“EVA is the actual return from the company’s assets in place less the cost of raising the money to
purchase those assets. In other words, the actual net dollar return from the assets reported on the
balance sheet”
Zachary Sullivan
Five major areas to analyze.
(1)
(2)
(3)
(4)
(5)
Liquidity Position
Management of Assets
Management of Debt
Company's Profitability
Market's View of Company
(1)
Liquidity Ratios - use to investigate the relationship between a firm's current (shortterm) assets and current (short-term) liabilities.
(a)
Current Ratio =
Current Assets
Current Liabilities
higher the better
(b)
Quick Ratio =
Current Assets - Inventory
Current Liabilities
higher the better
(2)
Asset Management Ratios - Use to evaluate how efficiently management employs
assets.
(a)
Inventory
Turnover
=
Inventory
Turnover
=
Cost of Goods Sold
Inventory
Days
Sales
Outstanding
=
Accounts Receivable
Credit Sales/day
lower the better
Net Sales
Net Fixed Assets
higher the better
Net Sales
Total Assets
higher the better
(b)
(c)
(d)
Fixed Asset
Turnover
=
Total Asset
Turnover
=
Sales
Inventory
higher the better
(3)
Debt Management Ratios - use to evaluate riskiness of company (remember higher risk
equates to higher required return)
(a)
Debt Ratio
=
Total Liabilities
Total Assets
lower = less risk
(b)
Times-Interest-Earned =
(TIE)
EBIT
Interest
higher the better
(c)
EBITDA
Coverage
=
EBITDA + Lease Payments
Interest + Principal + Lease Payments
higher the better
(4)
Company's Profitability - Are the owner's earning an adequate return on their
investment.
(a)
Profit Margin
=
Net Income
Net Sales
higher the better
(b)
Return on Assets =
(ROA)
Net Income
Total Assets
higher the better
(c)
Return on Equity =
(ROE)
Net Income
Owner's Equity
higher the better
(5)
Market Value Ratios - use to determine how market views company
(a)
PE Ratio =
Price per share
EPS
higher the better
(b)
PEG Ratio =
PE Ratio
e(gEPS)
expected to equal one
(c)
Market to Book =
Ratio
Price
Book Value
higher the better
Du Pont Analysis
The DuPont equation provides us a method to evaluate the components that make up ROE.
ROE =
Net Income
Owner's Equity
ROE = (ROA)*(Equity Multiplier)
remember:
ROA =
Net Income
Total Assets
Equity Multiplier = Total Assets
Common Equity
shows the asset base supported by common equity; high equity multiplier shows a lot of risk or
may be due to low market value relative to book value.
ROE =
(ROA)
*
(Equity Multiplier)
ROE =
Net Income
Total Assets
*
Total Assets
Common Equity
ROA = (profit margin)*(total asset turnover)
where:
Profit Margin
=
Net Profit after taxes
Net Sales
Total Asset
Turnover
=
Net Sales
Total Assets
Extended DuPont Equation
may be most beneficial to use as analysis tool.
ROE =
PROFIT *
MARGIN
TOTAL
ASSET
*
EQUITY
MULTIPLIER
TURNOVER
ROE =
Net Profit *
Net Sales
Net Sales
Total Assets
*
Total Assets
Common Equity
ROE is separated into profitability of each $ of sales (profit margin), efficiency of asset
management (total asset turnover), and company risk (equity multiplier).
Can now get insight into whether company's return is due to high profitability, good
management, or compensation for risk.
Keys to using Ratio Analysis
(1)
(2)
(3)
Compare ratios to industry
Look at trend of ratios over time
Be aware of the limitations in using ratio analysis
LIMITATIONS TO RATIO ANALYSIS
(1)
Difficult to fit conglomerate into specific industry - or company make-up may
change over time.
(2)
Focus on some 'important' ratios may adversely effect overall firm performance.
(3)
Timing of cash flows affect balances in accounts.
(4)
Window Dressing Techniques - make ratios appear better than they are to improve
appearance of the company (fool investors).
(5)
Different Accounting Methods
(6)
No absolutes - high/low does not always mean good/bad or bad/good.
(7)
Industry averages may be distorted if all company's in industry very good or very
bad.