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WHAT DO THE INVESTORS NEED? Institutional Investors Non-listed real estate 29 June 2017 Maurits Cammeraat Director of Professional Standards Next 30 minutes… • • • Who the investors are What investors need to know in order to spend Investment intentions in Central Europe 2 3 Example: Dutch pension funds Invested capital Real Estate • Indirect Real Estate - Non Listed • Indirect Real Estate – Listed • Direct Real Estate Rest including stocks and bonds Total Source: DNB, 2017 4 Billion € 116 • 49 • 54 • 13 1,168 1,284 9% All investor types increase allocation to real estate Allocation to real estate 16% % of overall portfolio 14% 1.6% 12% 10% 1.5% 1.4% 8% 13.0% 6% 4% 10.0% 2.6% 9.1% 2% 3.6% 0% Pension funds Insurance companies Current allocations Note: Equally weighted allocations; excludes investors with 100% real estate allocations Other investors Increase to target 7 All investors Enthusiasm for real estate remains undimmed Diversification benefits Real estate continues to Real estate allocations continue to attract draw in capital have been increasing 8 Allocations set to rise across the board Allocation to real estate 20% 7.9% 16.3% 5% 12.9% 11.7% 6.1% 2.8% 0.4% 11.3% 10.6% 10.3% 0.7% 8.9% 0.9% 2.1% 6.3% 7.4% 6.8% 5.2% 4.0% Japan (6) 10% 0.9% Denmark (3) 0.6% Germany (5) 15% 0.3% The Netherlands (9) % of overall portfolio 25% Korea, Republic Of (3) Australia (10) Switzerland (3) United States (36) Canada (6) United Kingdom (4) Finland (7) 0% Investor domicile Current allocation Note: Equally weighted allocations; excludes investors with 100% real estate allocations Increase to target 9 WHAT INVESTORS NEED TO KNOW IN ORDER TO SPEND 10 Key requirements are captured in INREV Guidelines INREV Guidelines Real estate, investment vehicle and manager What are the assets / portfolio? How is the investment structured? Who is the manager? 12 Sustainability is important for most investors INREV Survey: How important are the ESG risk and performance aspects to you? 100% 32% 75% 50% 50% 0% Environmental very important moderately important 36% 50% 25% 55% neutral 36% 23% 9% 9% Social Governance 13 less important not important There are clear preferences Regulated Non-regulated Closed end Open end Discretionary Non-discretionary Similar by co type Dissimilar by co type Similar by domicile Dissimilar by domicile Small investor pool Large investor pool Blind pool Seeded pool GAV up to €500 million GAV above €500 million Single sector Multi sector Single country Multi country 0% 20% 40% 60% 14 80% 100% Value added has the most attractive prospects Investment style preferences 100% 90% 2.9 35.3 80% % of respondents 3.0 9.4 14.9 37.0 28.6 30.3 7.1 42.9 13.8 10.5 41.1 46.8 48.7 41.1 39.4 40.8 2015 2016 2017 41.7 43.6 50% 17.8 21.9 70% 60% 7.1 25.9 40% 58.8 68.6 30% 20% 68.8 66.7 50.0 41.5 51.2 37.0 10% 5.9 0% 2007 2008 2009 2010 Core 2011 2012 Value added 2013 2014 Opportunity This shift comes at the expense of opportunity 15 INVESTMENT INTENTIONS IN CENTRAL EUROPE ? 16 184 fund managers 119 investors 11 fund of funds managers 314 Respondents Assets under management 2,100,000,000,000 18 19 CE is in top-10 as seen by investors Turkey Other Europe Baltics Switzerland Eastern Europe Portugal Ireland Luxembourg Austria Norway Denmark Sweden Belgium Italy Central Europe Finland Spain Netherlands Germany United Kingdom France % of investor respondents How does CEE rank for investors? Preferred investment locations 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 20 CE is between Finland and Denmark as seen by all respondents Turkey Other Europe Baltics Switzerland Eastern Europe Portugal Ireland Austria Luxembourg Norway Denmark Central Europe Finland Sweden Belgium Italy Spain Netherlands France United Kingdom Germany % of all respondents Similar ranking applies for all respondents Preferred investment locations 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Investors are confident about the region 3.5% 7.0% Fund managers Fund of funds managers 24.6% 38.6% 57.9% Asia Pacific investors European investors North American investors 7.0% Note: 57 respondents indicated their preference for Central Europe; of those: 22 investors, 33 fund managers; 2 funds of funds managers 21 Anglo-Saxons are ahead of the queue Investors that indicated their preference for Central Europe by domicile Fund managers that indicated their preference for Central Europe by domicile 18.2% 30.3% 39.4% 50.0% 18.2% 9.1% 13.6% United States Finland Netherlands 21.2% Other United Kingdom 22 Germany Netherlands Other Industrial / logistics stands out from the crowd 1. Ind. / Logistics (77.3%) 2. Retail (59.1%) 4. Residential (27.3%) Note: investor preferences 3. Office (54.5%) 5. Student acc. (13.6%) 23 Thank you 24 Central Europe - Includes Czech Republic, Poland, Hungary, Slovakia, Slovenia Eastern Europe - Includes Romania, Croatia, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Serbia, Montenegro, Kosovo, Macedonia, Albania, Bulgaria, Russia, Ukraine 25