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Transcript
第十九屆亞太財務經濟會計及管理會議
Random Walk Hypothesis


E  rt   E  r  rt  E  r   0
“The series looks like a ‘wandering’ one, almost as if
once a week the Demon of Chance drew a random
number from a symmetrical population of fixed
dispersion and added it to the current price to
determine the next week’s price”
Kendall (1953)