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Trophic Economics V.2 December 2013 Victor G. Martinez Doctoral candidate Northumbria University Contents: 1.- Term origin. 2.- A biophysical approach. 3.- Energy, exergy, emergy and entropy. 4.- Alternative macroeconomics: Ecological Economics. 5.- Trophic Economics. 6.- Trophic models. 7.- Conclusions and further work. Abstract There are important omissions in macroeconomics regarding the relation it has with the system where it operates, these can be explained thoroughly by the laws of thermodynamics which help us understand phenomena all across the universe and which humans can’t be an exception. In order to gain better understanding of the relevance to move towards new models of size and distribution of businesses and to help designers and entrepreneurs to come up with creative alternatives Trophec Economics and the Trophic Models are here presented, this is an ongoing research part of the online software TROPHEC. Term origin The word ‘Trophic’ has its origins in the Greek word τροφή (trophē), which meaning is feeding or nurturing. In biology it is used to describe the level that an organism occupies in a food chain or ‘Trophic Level’, there are three main levels: 1.- Producers (autotrophs) typically plants and algae, these organisms don’t find their food source in other organisms, they use nutrients from the soil or ocean and produce their own food through photosynthesis. 2.- Consumers (heterotrophs) animals, which can’t produce their own source of food and consume other organisms, they are subdivided in three types according to the organisms they consume: herbivores (eat only plants), carnivores (eat other animals) and omnivores (eat both animals and plants). www.vgmtheory.com www.trophec.com 3.- Decomposers (detritivores) fundamental organisms that break down dead plant, dead animals and waste, and releases it back into the ecosystem as nutrients (original compounds) to be used again by plants. These organisms are bacteria, some insects and fungi mainly. The linkage between Trophic Levels and economics was first made in fisheries, the earliest scientific reference found is Ney (Ney, 1990). In his study Ney describes relevant points for fisheries to be managed in a sustainable way, from biology point of view 2 main issues can be indentified to achieve balance: - Determination of source supply: which food type will be used, if the ‘prey’ selected is appropriate for the ‘predator’ in terms of the biomass available and energy embedded capable to be transferred into the ‘predator’. In terms of biomass is noted that not only the total amount is to be studied but also the reproduction rate and maturity growth of preys. - Assessment of viability: Ney defines 3 conditions for ‘successful feeding’ that must be sequentially met: 1.- Distributional availability: predator and prey must occur in the same place at the same time. 2.- Behavioural availability: prey must be recognised as a potential meal and be catchable by predator. 3.- Morphological availability: prey must be physically ingestible by its captor. Finally the magnitude of influence of these three conditions varies with predator, prey and the system containing them. Therefore prey distribution patterns, reproduction regulation and predator consumption manifested in growth, metabolism and waste are key factors for successful feeding. A biophysical approach In 2010 the United Nations Environmental Program produced the report ‘The Economics of Ecosystems and Biodiversity (UNEP, 2010) the concept behind it was to: “show how economic concepts and tools can help equip society with the means to incorporate the values of nature into decision making at all levels”. In it was identified two different approaches for the estimation of nature’s values: a preference-base and a biophysical-base; the former makes use of neoclassical economics, market theory and political science, and the latter in resilience theory and thermodynamics. This last one makes use of knowledge regarding universal principles of matter and energy transfer. The undeniable fact that Earth is a closed system and that all resources humans (and any other species) use for their development are or finite or linked to a population number and reproduction rate of other living species, was the main factor to select the biophysical approach as the most coherent base ground to search for a sustainable model of economy. www.vgmtheory.com www.trophec.com Thermodynamic laws dictate all matter and energy exchanges. In order to understand deeper the organisation of Trophic Levels a distinction must be made between the number of organisms, their biomass, reproduction rate and the energy they use and they have available for the next Trophic Level. In figure 1 are exposed the ‘Trophic Pyramids’. They are a helpful way to visualise the sustainability of the system (or the stability of a given community). Fig 1. Trophic Pyramids, left column sustainable systems, right not sustainable systems. If it was decided to account Trophic Levels by their population number, some ecosystems will show a greater quantity of consumers than producers, which could be translated into a non sustainable community; if the same is accounted by biomass the same can happen: a forest community has a low number of producers, but their biomass is by large greater that the one of the consumers; nevertheless it is not the case of an aquatic community in which producer’s biomass is very low (phytoplankton) but their reproduction rate is quite high. Therefore the most accurate method to determine the stability in any given community is through the accounting of the energy available for the next level. Producers make great quantities of energy, from which some is used by themselves (growth and metabolism), other is available for the next Trophic Level (exergy) and other is simply lost (entropy). In this way can be distinguished gross primary productivity and net primary productivity of any Trophic Level. www.vgmtheory.com www.trophec.com Energy, exergy, emergy and entropy In order to identify clearly what is happening with the energy being transferred between levels we need to use different terminologies: Energy: defining energy is a complex task, for our purposes we can simply say that it is the capacity to perform work. Exergy: is the amount of energy available to be used. Emergy: is the total amount of exergy used up in all transformations to make something (directly or indirectly). Entropy: also complex to define, again for our goal we can state that is the energy lost in every transformation or exchange (2nd law of thermodynamics). Fig. 2 Energy flow through the Trophic Levels In figure 2 it is displayed a simplified example of the energy flow and its different classifications; can be deducted as well how, when an organism requires more transformations to be created, the higher the emergy embedded and entropy generated. www.vgmtheory.com www.trophec.com Alternative macroeconomics: Ecological Economics Our current macroeconomic model has been questioned since its conception, one of the first and more renowned is Thomas Malthus; in the 18th century there was a popular believe that mankind could improve limitlessly and Malthus concerned about the linkage between that improvement and the consumption of natural resources, and saw endless population growth as a great danger. His work influenced highly relevant figures like Darwin, Keynes and Marx among many others. The most widely used method for measuring economic progress is the Gross Domestic Product (GDP). It’s creator, Simon Kuznets stated in the US congress in 1934 “the welfare of a nation can scarcely be inferred from a measure of national income” (Kuznets, 1934). One definition of GPD is: “the sum of all value added to raw materials by labour and capital at each stage of production, during a given year” (Daly & Farley, 2004). From this definition it can be inferred that the more efficient labour is, the less capital is needed and more added value can be achieved. This principle drives technological improvements, and underpins a continuous search for efficiency; which in turn creates another complex linkage with the balance of unemployment (Jackson, 2009). In order to keep people employed and avoid social collapse more products must be created and economies should always seek growth. This trend is well defined by Jevons’ paradox (Jevons, 1865), where technological efficiency instead of easing pressure on the planet and people, creates more demand, consumption and dependency. The way we design, build and use products, and even keep social cohesion is based on a constant structural need for avoiding collapse, fed by positive feedback loops that only increase its negative impacts. This model for economic growth ignores one crucial objective: bringing wellbeing to people. A strong evidence of this can be found in the relationship between the Human Development Index and GDP per capita; figure 3 shows that after a certain level of income is achieved, little or no improvement on human development can be seen. This figure also clearly shows a more dense area in low-income countries and hence illustrates an unevenness that the current macroeconomic system has been unable to beat down (UNDP, 2011). www.vgmtheory.com www.trophec.com Fig. 3. 167 countries’ GDP per capita as horizontal axis and Human Development Index as vertical axis. (In colour the GINI index (equality in economic distribution) and different shape for each continent) From all these considerations some economists have frequently raised the question: what size the economy should be? If it is accepted that macroeconomics is not an isolated system but a subsystem dependant on the Earth’s ecosystem services (Daly, 1991) it is physically impossible to sustain perennial growth within the current model (Daly & Farley, 2004; Georgescu-Roegen, 1971; Latouche, 2009; Meadows, 2004). With this idea present, size and distribution of businesses become key to achieve long term sustainability as well as to empower local development, biodiversity protection and thus a more equitable human development. The works of Georgescu-Roegen (Georgescu-Roegen, 1971) and Schumacher (Schumacher, 1974) conceptually conceived Ecological Economics in the second half of the 20th century. The former clearly identified the “connection between low entropy and economic value”. The linkage to thermodynamics and its universal laws gave rise to a multidisciplinary approach; recognised contributors are the ecologist H.T. Odum with his emergy calculation method of economic value (Odum, 1996) and Robert Constanza and his important contribution on calculation of value of ecosystem services and natural capital (Constanza et al., 1997), economist H. Daly with his highly controversial “steadystate economics” (Daly, 1992) plus many other biologist, physicists and even geographers. In his book Ecological Economics, principles and applications (Daly & Farley, 2004) Daly states: ‘The common denominator of all usefulness, consist of low-entropy matterenergy. Technological knowledge helps us use low entropy more efficiently; it does not enable us to eliminate or reverse the direction of metabolic flow’. In an account of a conference held at the University of Vermont in 2003, published in (GundInstitute, 2011), Daly describes the focus of ecological economics through: Allocation of resources, Distribution of income and Scale of the economy relative to the ecosystem upon which is www.vgmtheory.com www.trophec.com reliant. His view on scale is particularly important due to the exponential growth of population and uneven distribution and the difference of ecological services among ecosystems. Trophic Economics For designers, engineers, creators and entrepreneurs in general the challenge lies in accepting that “business as usual” is no longer feasible, their creativity and innovation should include the above described characteristics of universal cyclic metabolic flow and diversity among ecosystems. Translating this into human economic systems it refers to the creation of business that achieve: Size and distribution accordingly to the resources locally available, empowers diversity by adapting business models to local characteristics and needs without neglecting possible global strategies. Resources are considered capital and not income, thus continuous flows of materials are strictly maintained. Therefore, searches economic growth in non-material values and equity in its distribution. There is a clear relation to other concepts like Product-Service-System, Cradle to Cradle or even Circular Economy, they all share common principles. The interconnectivity and interdependence force us to think in systems and the clear limits to perennial growth in creating circular or cyclic flows of matter. Nevertheless it is thought to lack a specific concept regarding the metabolic flow of these and its relationship towards the design of business models and therefore product design as well. Trophic Models In order to gain a better understanding of these relations between levels and their relative size and distribution of metabolic flow, a graphic analogy of Trophic Levels is presented in figure 4; where producers, herbivores and carnivores are simply displayed in three main network topographies, just as in natural ecosystems would work. Fig. 4 Trophic levels in nature Moving forward in this analogy, in figure 5 it is presented the Trophic Levels translated into producers, distributors and consumers. Acknowledging that human systems are created in a wide variety of configurations, it can be stated that due to the previously discussed macroeconomic model characteristics, there is a generalised trend where a centralised and large size is found in producers, and consumers are widely distributed and diverse. Therefore performing in particularly opposite way to the metabolic flow explained through thermodynamics. www.vgmtheory.com www.trophec.com Fig. 5 Human productive systems In figure 6 are presented the Trophic Models in all the possible combinations of distribution of businesses. According to each case, they may have different meanings to explore within the characteristics of the Trophic Economics. Fig. 6 Trophic models in all possible combinations Next a first reflection of those possible meanings: Consumers - Distributed, highly diverse, careful not to increase complexity in global strategies. - Decentralised: regional level, careful about empowering diversity. - Centralised: does not promote diversity “one size fits all”; global scale of consumption. www.vgmtheory.com www.trophec.com Distributors - Distributed: low energy; close human customer relation, careful not to increase complexity in global strategies. - Decentralised: regional level; hard to build close human customer relation. - Centralised: high energy demanding; very hard to build close human customer relation. Producers - Distributed: ‘distributed manufacturing’; use of local resources and handcraft; promotes diversity; careful not to increase complexity in global strategies. - Decentralised: regional scale, careful to have enough local resources. - Centralised: normally not enough local resources, they must be brought from far away; very-high energy demanding; does not promote diversity. Conclusions and further work It has been discussed the characteristics of our current macroeconomic model and the incoherence of its performance under the laws of thermodynamics, which do rule the system from where our entire economic model feeds. The need for alternatives has been an ongoing challenge for many decades with important contributions from different fields. In the search for widening the perception of designers, engineers, creators and entrepreneurs to this issue and translate it into a manageable business strategy, the concept of Trophic Economics and the Trophec Models were presented, these are in early development phase and attempt to enable creative contributions towards more thermodynamically coherent and therefore more sustainable business models. It is intended to gain better understanding of these concepts in the upcoming months where diverse professionals will be using the Trophic Models inside the TROPHEC platform. It is acknowledged that some of the Trophic Models may look incoherent with the described metabolic flow of the Trophic Levels; nevertheless the intention of leaving all possible combinations is founded in the principle of avoiding any subjectivity, bias or assumptions in this research. www.vgmtheory.com www.trophec.com References Constanza, R., d'Arge, R., Groot, R., Farber, S., Grasso, M., Hannon, B., . . . van den Belt, M. (1997). The value of the world's ecosystem services and natural capital. Nature, 387(15 May), 253-260. Daly, H. (1991). Towards an environmental macroeconomics. Land Economics, World Bank, 67(2), 255-259. Daly, H. (1992). Steady-state economics (2nd ed.). London: Earthscan. Daly, H., & Farley, J. (2004). Ecological Economics, principles and applications. Washington DC: Island Press. Georgescu-Roegen, N. (1971). The entropy law and the economic process. Cambridge, Mass.: Harvard University Press. GundInstitute (Producer). (2011, October 2011). Dr. Herman Daly: Sustainability and the scale of the economy. Retrieved from http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rgeV3dpaRJ0 Jackson, T. (2009). Prosperity without growth, economics for a finite planet (3rd ed.). London: Earthscan. Jevons, W. S. (1865). The Coal Question; an inquiry concerning the progress of the nation and the probable exhaustion of our coal-mines, an inquiry concerning the progress. London: Macmillan and Co. Kuznets, S. (1934). National Income (Vol. 1929.1932, 73rd congress report, 2nd session). Washington DC: US Senate. Latouche, S. (2009). Farewell to growth. Cambridge: Politi Press. Meadows, H. D. R., J; Meadows, D. (2004). Limits to growth: the 30-year update. London: Earthscan. Ney, J. (1990). Trophic Economics in Fisheries: Assessment of Demand-Supply Relationships Between Predators and Prey. Aquatic Sciences, 2(1), 55-81. Odum, H. T. (1996). Environmental Accounting: Emergy and Environmental Policy Making. New York: John Wiley and Sons. Schumacher, E. F. (1974). Small is beautiful: a study of economics as if people mattered. London: Abacus. UNDP. (2011). Human Development Index Report: United Nations. UNEP. (2010). The Economics of Ecosystems and Biodiversity: Ecological and Economics Foundations. London & Washington: Earthscan. www.vgmtheory.com www.trophec.com