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The Magnetic Field of the Milky Way by Ronnie Jansson A dissertation submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy Department of Physics New York University January, 2010 ——————————– Prof. Glennys R. Farrar Acknowledgments This thesis would not have been possible if not for the keen insights and constant support of my advisor, Prof. Glennys Farrar. I have benefited greatly from her sage advice and owe her my deepest gratitude for guiding me through the thorny jungle of physics research these last five years. It has been – and continues to be – a pleasure working together with Glennys. I am indebted to many of the professors at the CCPP for always being willing to explain things to me: Andrew MacFadyen, David Hogg, Andrei Gruzinov, Patrick Huggins, Roman Scoccimarro and Michael Blanton. Particular thanks to Andrew and David for savvy career advice and writing recommendations. Special thanks to Prof. Paul Chaikin for enlisting in my thesis committee. Many thanks to my collaborators, Andre Waelkens and Torsten Ensslin. I am very grateful to Yosi Gelfand for his insights on the interstellar medium; Jo-Anne Brown, Bryan Gaensler and Ilana Feain for giving me access to their non-public data; and Mulin Ding for handling all my computer worries and always increasing my disk quota. I also want to thank Christine Waite for making sure I got paid. I owe a great deal of gratitude to my fellow graduate students: Ronin, Rakib, Phil, Grant, Rachel, Abhishek, Seba, Guangtun, Lisa, Jeff, Eyal, Jo and Morad. Finally, my warmest thanks to my family and friends – you didn’t help me with this thesis, but I like you anyway. iii Abstract The magnetic field of the Milky Way is a significant component of our Galaxy, and impacts a great variety of Galactic processes. For example, it regulates star formation, accelerates cosmic rays, transports energy and momentum, acts as a source of pressure, and obfuscates the arrival directions of ultrahigh energy cosmic rays (UHECRs). This thesis is mainly concerned with the large scale Galactic magnetic field (GMF), and the effect it has on UHECRs. In Chapter 1 we review what is known about Galactic and extragalactic magnetic fields, their origin, the different observables of the GMF, and the ancillary data that is necessary to constrain astrophysical magnetic fields. Chapter 2 introduces a method to quantify the quality-of-fit between data and observables sensitive to the large scale Galactic magnetic field. We combine WMAP5 polarized synchrotron data and rotation measures of extragalactic sources in a joint analysis to obtain best-fit parameters and confidence levels for GMF models common in the literature. None of the existing models provide a good fit in both the disk and halo regions, and in many instances best-fit parameters are quite different than the original values. We introduce a simple model of the magnetic field in the halo that provides a much improved fit to the data. We show that some characteristics of the electron densities can already be constrained using our method and with future data it may be possible to carry out a self-consistent analysis in which models of the GMF and electron densities are simultaneously iv optimized. Chapter 3 investigates the observed excess of UHECRs in the region of the sky close to the nearby radio galaxy Centaurus A. We constrain the large-scale Galactic magnetic field and the small-scale random magnetic field in the direction of Cen A, and estimate the deflection of the observed UHECRs and predict their source positions on the sky. We find that the deflection due to random fields are small compared to deflections due to the regular field. Assuming the UHECRs are protons we find that 4 of the published Auger events above 57 EeV are consistent with coming from Cen A. We conclude that the proposed scenarios in which most of the events within approximately 20◦ of Cen A come from it are unlikely, regardless of the composition of the UHECRs. v Contents Acknowledgments . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . iii Abstract . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . iv List of Figures . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . xi List of Tables . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . xiv Introduction 1 1 Galactic magnetism 5 1.1 Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5 1.2 Observables . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6 1.2.1 Faraday rotation measures . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6 1.2.2 Synchrotron emission . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12 1.2.3 Starlight polarization . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15 1.2.4 Zeeman effect . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16 1.2.5 Ultrahigh energy cosmic rays . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18 Ancillary data for magnetic field observables . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20 1.3 vi 1.3.1 Relativistic electron density . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20 1.3.2 Thermal electron density . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23 The magnetic field of the Milky Way . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25 1.4.1 The regular field . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27 1.4.2 Turbulent fields . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28 1.4.3 Fields in the halo . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28 1.5 Magnetic fields in external galaxies . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 30 1.6 Cosmological magnetic fields . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 31 1.7 The origin of cosmic magnetic fields . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 34 1.7.1 Generation of seed fields . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35 1.7.2 The α − Ω dynamo . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 36 1.7.3 Numerical simulations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 37 1.4 2 Constraining models of the large-scale Galactic magnetic field with WMAP5 polarization data and extragalactic rotation measure sources 42 2.1 Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 44 2.2 Input . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 46 2.3 Method . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 46 2.3.1 Quality-of-fit . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 48 2.3.2 Parameter estimation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 48 2.3.3 Producing simulated observables from models . . . . . . . . 49 vii 2.3.4 2.4 2.5 2.6 2.7 Disk - halo separation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 50 Data . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 51 2.4.1 Synchrotron radiation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 51 2.4.2 Extragalactic RM sources . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 55 3D models of the magnetized interstellar medium . . . . . . . . . . 63 2.5.1 large-scale magnetic field . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 63 Results and discussion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 73 2.6.1 Fitting models to entire data set . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 75 2.6.2 Fitting models to disk data . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 77 2.6.3 Fitting models to halo data . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 81 2.6.4 Scale heights of electron distributions . . . . . . . . . . . . . 83 2.6.5 Discussion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 85 Summary and conclusion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 88 3 Magnetic deflection of UHECRs in the direction of Cen A 92 3.1 Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 93 3.2 Centaurus A - an overview . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 96 3.3 Observables of the magnetic field toward Cen A . . . . . . . . . . . 98 3.3.1 Synchrotron emission . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 98 3.3.2 Extragalactic rotation measure sources . . . . . . . . . . . . 106 3.3.3 Other potentially useful data sets . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 106 3.4 Magnetic field modeling . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 108 viii 3.4.1 Results of the fit . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 113 3.4.2 Purely random fields . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 114 3.5 Estimated deflections . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 115 3.6 Results and discussion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 119 Conclusion 120 A Maximum Likelihood Method for Cross Correlations with Astrophysical Sources 126 A.1 Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 127 A.2 Maximum Likelihood Approach for the Cross-Correlation Problem . 129 A.2.1 The HiRes Maximum Likelihood method . . . . . . . . . . . 129 A.2.2 Extending method to differing luminosities . . . . . . . . . . 131 A.3 Simulation trials . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 135 A.3.1 Dilute source and UHECR data sets . . . . . . . . . . . . . 135 A.3.2 Dispersion in results . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 136 A.3.3 High source and UHECR densities . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 136 A.3.4 Sensitivity to experimental resolution . . . . . . . . . . . . . 138 A.3.5 Clustering of sources . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 141 A.4 Application to BLLacs and x-ray clusters . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 142 A.4.1 X-ray clusters . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 142 A.4.2 BLLacs . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 145 ix A.5 Summary and Conclusions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 148 Bibliography . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 151 x List of Figures 1.1 A hypothetical UHECR multiplet with deflections from various GMF models. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21 1.2 Comparison of two relativistic electron distributions. . . . . . . . . 24 1.3 The NE2001 thermal electron density model. . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26 1.4 The vertical distribution of the total magnetic field strength. . . . . 29 1.5 Magnetic field orientations of M51 and NGC 5775. . . . . . . . . . . 32 1.6 A schematic view of the α − Ω dynamo. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 38 1.7 A simulated galactic disk field. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 40 2.1 Overview of the implemented analysis. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 47 2.2 Polarized synchrotron intensity, Mollweide projection. . . . . . . . . 52 2.3 Sky maps of Stokes Q and U. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 53 2.4 Synchrotron mask. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 56 2.5 Extragalactic RM sources. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 58 2.6 Total variance of the RM sources. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 59 xi 2.7 Histogram of RM values as a function of galactic latitude. . . . . . 60 2.8 Field model examples. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 67 2.9 Field model examples, continued. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 68 2.10 The reduced χ2 for a selection of GMF models. . . . . . . . . . . . 75 2.11 The best-fit disk and halo models. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 79 2.12 The 1σ and 2σ confidence levels for the best-fit parameters of the Sun08D model. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 80 2.13 The 1σ and 2σ confidence levels for the best-fit parameters of the E2No model. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 82 2.14 The best-fit vertical magnetic scale height vs. the vertical scale height of the NE2001 thermal electron density of the thick disk. . . 86 3.1 The published Auger UHECR events above 57 EeV around Cen A. 95 3.2 Centaurus A in total intensity (Stokes I) at 408 MHz (Haslam et al. 1982). . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3.3 97 Polarized synchrotron radiation at 22 GHz with texture following the magnetic field. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 99 3.4 Polarized synchrotron intensity around Cen A. . . . . . . . . . . . . 102 3.5 PI with polarization angles added. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 103 3.6 Circled low-emission regions near Cen A. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 104 3.7 WMAP 22 GHz total synchrotron radiation. . . . . . . . . . . . . . 105 3.8 188 extragalactic sources with lines-of-sight outside Cen A. . . . . . 107 xii 3.9 The 7 pulsars within an angular distance of 10◦ from Cen A with measured RM. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 109 3.10 Polarized synchrotron intensity and starlight polarization bars. . . . 110 3.11 Estimates of UHECR source locations near Cen A . . . . . . . . . . 118 A.1 The number of correlations vs. the detector resolution. . . . . . . . 137 A.2 Comparison of the extracted number of correlations for specific realizations using the two ML methods. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 138 A.3 Correlations found by the HiRes method for the case of very high event densities. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 139 A.4 Average number of found correlations when resolution is incorrectly estimated. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 140 A.5 Sensitivity to clustering in source dataset. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 142 xiii List of Tables 1.1 Observables of the Galactic magnetic field. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2.1 Best-fit parameters and 1σ confidence levels for the best-fitting models. 78 3.1 Best fit GMF parameters . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 114 20 A.1 Correlations between X-ray clusters and UHECRs. . . . . . . . . . . 142 A.2 Correlations between BLLacs and UHECRs. . . . . . . . . . . . . . 146 A.3 HiRes UHECR cross correlations with BL Lacs using the noninteger implementation of the generalized Maximum Likelihood method. . . 147 xiv Introduction Magnetic fields are ubiquitous in the universe: they are present in planets, stars, galaxies, clusters of galaxies, and – though yet not measured – are likely to exist in the very voids separating galaxies and clusters. The effects of cosmic magnetic fields are diverse. They align the spinning micron-sized dust particles in the interstellar medium, accelerate and deflect cosmic rays, and slow the gravitational collapse of matter into galaxies and stars. In the Milky Way, typical field strengths are of order micro-Gauss, but up to three orders of magnitude greater in filaments in the Galactic Center. While the magnetic field exhibits regular large-scale structure reminiscent of the matter distribution in the spiral arms, small-scale random fields are comparable in strength. The average energy density of the Galactic magnetic field (GMF) is about 1 eV/cm3 , which is similar to the energy density of starlight and cosmic rays, and the kinetic energy density due to thermal motion of particles in the Galaxy. Thus we expect the GMF to have non-negligible effects on processes occurring throughout the interstellar medium, such as star formation, energy transport, cosmic ray 1 propagation, etc. The history of the study of Galactic magnetism started with the discovery of the polarization of starlight by Hiltner (1949). The phenomenon was presumed to be caused by magnetic fields permeating interstellar space, and was soon given a plausible explanation by Davis & Greenstein (1951) in terms of magnetically aligned dust grains. After the discovery of synchrotron radiation (Schwinger 1949) and the development of radio astronomy in the early 1950s several non-thermal radioemitting sources were argued to consist of energetic electrons spiraling in magnetic fields, emitting synchrotron radiation (Alfvén & Herlofson 1950; Shklovsky 1953). These were indirect observations of interstellar magnetic fields. Bolton & Wild (1957) suggested that magnetic fields could be studied directly by the Zeeman effect. Due to technical challenges, the discovery of Zeeman splitting in interstellar gas of neutral hydrogen did not occur until a decade later (Davies et al. 1968). At the same time, the first measurements of the Galactic magnetic field using Faraday rotation of the polarized radio emission from pulsars were made by Lyne & Smith (1968). Faraday rotation applied to polarized extragalactic radio sources led Davies (1968) to conclude that a large-scale, regular magnetic field permeated the Milky Way. The thesis is organized as follows. Details of the above observables, how they are related to the magnetic field, and a summary of what has been learned about the Galactic magnetic field up to now is covered in the next Chapter, and is 2 intended to provide the necessary background information and context for the subsequent chapters. Chapter 2 is the central piece of the thesis, where we constrain models of the large-scale Galactic magnetic field common in the literature by a joint analysis of the polarization data in the WMAP5 22 GHz band and rotation measures of extragalactic radio sources. The synergistic advantage of combining these two data sets goes beyond the benefit of achieving a larger number of data points; the two observables probe mutually orthogonal components (perpendicular and parallel to line-of-sight) of the magnetic field. We develop estimators of the variance in the two data sets due to turbulent and other small scale or intrinsic effects. We calculate the χ2 for a particular choice of GMF model and parameter choice, and use a Markov Chain Monte Carlo algorithm to optimize the parameters of each field under consideration. Thus we can quantitatively compare the validity of different models with each other. In Chapter 3 we extend the GMF modeling of Chapter 2 by adding more data, and combining separate field models for the disk and halo and simultaneously fit them to the combined RM and polarized synchrotron data sets. We predict the UHECR deflection in a particularly interesting region of the sky, in the direction of the nearby galaxy Centaurus A, to confirm or refute the claim that the galaxy is the source of numerous UHECR observed in its general direction on the sky. With models of the Galactic magnetic field improving, it may become possible 3 to correlate UHECR arrival directions – corrected for magnetic deflection – with a data set of UHECR source candidates. In appendix A, based on Jansson & Farrar (2008), we present a Maximum Likelihood method to evaluate the quality of the correlation between two such data sets. 4 Chapter 1 Galactic magnetism 1.1 Introduction This Chapter is intended to provide the necessary backround – theoretical and observational – to the subsequent chapters. Since the Galactic magnetic field was discovered 60 years ago (Hiltner 1949) the field (of research) has grown immensely. Hence, we will concentrate on issues directly relating to the results obtained in the later chapters, and lightly touch on more general topics that provide context for the research presented in this thesis. For a more in-depth treatment of galactic and cosmic magnetic fields, many excellent reviews exist, e.g. work by Beck et al. (1996), Widrow (2002) and Kulsrud & Zweibel (2008). The Chapter is organized as follows: section 1.2 discusses the relevant observables and their connection to the magnetic field; section 1.3 treats the important 5 ancillary data of Galactic electron distributions; sections 1.4 and 1.6 briefly review the knowledge of Galactic and extragalactic magnetic fields, respectively; the final section covers popular theories of the origin of cosmic magnetic fields. 1.2 Observables While direct measurements of the Galactic magnetic field are not possible, a host of indirect methods exists. In this section we briefly review the most common observables. Table 1.1 gives a summary of the currently available data sets. 1.2.1 Faraday rotation measures The derivation below follow Harwit (2006) and Rybicki, G. B. and Lightman, A. P. (1986). Preliminaries Under the assumption that charges are stationary and in vacuum, the electric field P P in the presence of a collection of charges i qi is E = F/q = i rq3i ri . If charges i are moving, they experience a magnetic force; and if not in vacuum but a dielectric medium, that medium cancels some of the electric field by rearranging itself. We can define D, the dielectric displacement, which is equal to the electric field caused 6 by the charge distribution if it were in vacuum. For a uniform dielectric, F= q X qi ri i ri3 and D = E. (1.1) Next, define the polarization field as P= D−E ( − 1)E = , 4π 4π (1.2) which is the field obtained from the rearrangement of charges in the dielectric (the 4π is just a convention), i.e., the field caused by the “bound” charges. The polarization field is also equal to the electric dipole moment per unit volume, P = nqd, (1.3) where n is the density of dipoles of charge q and separation d. Dispersion measures In an ionized medium, assuming electron-ion collisions are rare, an electromagnetic wave E(r, t) = E0 (r) cos ωt accelerates an electron according to mr̈ = −eE = −eE0 (r) cos ωt, 7 (1.4) with m and −e the mass and charge of the electron. Solving for r, we get r= e E. mω 2 (1.5) Following equations 1.2 and 1.3 we find, ne2 ( − 1)E E= , P = −ner = − 2 mω 4π (1.6) from which we obtain the dielectric constant of the ionized medium, =1− 4πne2 . mω 2 (1.7) For a wave propagating along the x-direction, its electric field amplitude can be expressed as E = E0 cos(kx ± ωt), where k 2 c2 k 2 c2 ω = = 2 , 1 − 4πne mω 2 2 (1.8) which gives the frequency, ω 2 = k 2 c2 + 4πne2 ≡ k 2 c2 + ωp2 , m 8 (1.9) where we have defined the plasma frequency, r ωp ≡ √ 4πne2 ∼ 5.6 × 104 n rad s−1 . m (1.10) When ω < ωp , the wave cannot propagate (which happens for instance at ω . 1 MHz in Earth’s ionosphere). When ω > ωp , the group velocity becomes vg = dω c =q , dk 1 + ωp2 /c2 k 2 (1.11) i.e., the group velocity is frequency dependent. A pulse traveling a distance D will arrive in tD = D/vg . Assuming ω ωp we can approximate tD as D D tD = ' vg c ωp2 1− 2 ω − 12 D ' c ωp2 1+ 2 2ω 4πe2 D = + c 2mcω 2 Z D n ds, (1.12) 0 where the dispersion measure is defined as Z DM ≡ D n ds. (1.13) 0 The dispersion measure can be used to measure the distance to pulsars. The spectrum of each individual pulse contains a wide band of frequencies. This allows measurement of the arrival-time delay for different frequencies of the pulse, and hence the dispersion measure. By assuming an electron density (typical value 9 ∼ 0.03 cm−3 ) we can calculate the distance to the pulsar. Rotation measures A circularly polarized electromagnetic wave incident on a free electron induces circular motion of the electron. If an external magnetic field B is also present parallel to the direction of propagation of the radiation, the electron is subject to a Lorentz force F = (−e/c)v × B. Let r denote the displacement of the electron. Depending on whether the incident radiation has a right or left handed circular polarization, the Lorentz force will be directed along r or −r, respectively. The centripetal force experienced by the electron is then, −mω 2 r = −eE ± eωBr . c (1.14) Solving for r yields, eE r= m eωB mω ± mc 2 −1 , (1.15) which together with equation 1.2 and 1.3 we can use to identify the dielectric constant L,R 4πne2 =1− m eωB ω ± mc 2 −1 =1− 4πne2 , mω(ω ± ωc ) (1.16) where the gyrofrequency ωc ≡ eB/mc, is the frequency a non-relativistic electron spirals in a magnetic field of strength B. For B in µG , we obtain ωc ≈ 17B s−1 . Due to L 6= R , left- and right-handed polarized waves propagate at different 10 speeds. Since any linearly polarized wave can be seen as a sum of two circularly polarized waves with equal amplitude but opposite helicity, it follows that a linearly polarized wave has its direction of polarization rotated when propagating through √ a magnetized plasma. The refractive index of a medium is n = , so we can write L − R = n2L − n2R = 2nω ∆n, (1.17) where we approximate, assuming nω − 1 1, nω ≈ 1 − 2πne2 . mω 2 (1.18) Inserting this into equation 1.17, assuming ω ωc and ne2 /mω 2 1, we obtain ∆n = 4πne2 ωc . mω 3 (1.19) Using v = c/n, the difference in velocity of the left and right handed polarized waves are ∆v = c∆n/n2ω ≈ c∆n. Thus the lag in phase per unit time is ω∆n, with the direction of linear polarization rotating at half this rate, ∆θ ≈ ω∆n . 2 Substituting for ∆n and ωc , using ω = 2πc/λ, and identifying the magnetic field strength in our derivation to be the component of an arbitrary magnetic field parallel to the direction of propagation of the electromagnetic wave, we arrive at 11 the expression for Faraday rotation: e3 λ2 ∆θ ≈ 2πm2 c4 Z D nBk ds ≡ RM λ2 , (1.20) 0 which defines the Rotation Measure, RM . Thus, for a source with intrinsic linear polarization direction θ0 , the observed polarization direction will be θ = θ0 + RM λ2 . (1.21) For astrophysically interesting situations, we can write in units of cm−2 , ◦ Z RM ' 0.5 0 L n 0.1 cm−3 Bk µG ds kpc . (1.22) For example, at λ = 21 cm the net rotation is ∆θ ∼ 200◦ after traversing 1 kpc of a medium with n ∼ 0.1 cm−3 and Bk ∼ 1 µG. For the same medium, K-band photons (22 GHz, λ = 1.4 cm) is rotated ∼ 1◦ only. 1.2.2 Synchrotron emission Relativistic electrons spiralling along magnetic field lines radiate synchrotron radiation . For a power law distribution of relativistic electrons – commonly called “cosmic ray” electrons – the electron density ncre is characterized by a spectral 12 index s, ncre (E)dE ∝ ncre,0 E −s dE, (1.23) where ncre,0 is a normalization factor. The synchrotron emissivity (Rybicki, G. B. and Lightman, A. P. 1986) is 1+s jν ∝ ncre,0 B⊥2 ν 1−s 2 . (1.24) For a regular magnetic field and the above relativistic electron distribution, the emitted synchrotron radiation has a large degree of linear polarization, around 75% for a power law distribution of electron with spectral index s = 3. Observationally, the percentage of polarization is typically much lower than this due to depolarizing effects such as Faraday depolarization and the presence of turbulent or otherwise irregular magnetic fields which depolarize the radiation through line-of-sight averaging. The equipartition argument A widely used, and widely debated (see Beck & Krause (2005), and references therein) assumption about the interstellar medium (ISM) in the Miky Way and other galaxies is the energy equipartition between magnetic fields and cosmic rays. Equipartition assumes an equality between the magnetic and cosmic ray energy densities, B = cr . When this extremely useful relation is assumed to hold, it 13 enables the calculation of magnetic field strengths of other galaxies, interstellar clouds, or any other astrophysical object based on observable radio (synchrotron) emission. An illustrative example of equipartion is the estimation of the vertical scale height of the Galactic magnetic field. The observed Galactic synchrotron emissivity has an exponential scale height of z0syn ≈ 1.5 kpc (Beck 2001). Since B ∝ B 2 and cr ∝ ncre , equipartition applied to equation (1.24) yield for the synchrotron emissivity, j ∝ ncre B 1+s 2 ∝ B2B 1+s 2 ∝B 5+s 2 . (1.25) If then, j = j0 exp(−z/1.5 kpc), it implies that z 2 B = B0 e− 1.5 kpc 5+s (1.26) If we assume a synchrotron spectral index s = 3 (Bennett et al. 2003), it follows that the vertical exponential scale height of the Galactic magnetic field is z0 ≈ 6 kpc. The instances, and to what degree, the equipartition argument can be trusted are still under debate. Duric (1990) provide general arguments why equipartition should be reliable to at least within an order of magnitude. 14 1.2.3 Starlight polarization The polarization of optical starlight was first discovered by Hiltner (1949). As light from stars in the same vicinity were found to have similar polarization directions it was concluded that the interstellar medium was the cause of this effect, not the stars themselves. Soon after, Davis & Greenstein (1951) argued that the polarization was caused by the alignment of spinning, non-spherical grains through the mechanism of paramagnetic relaxation. This effect causes the long axis of the grains to align perpendicular to the ambient magnetic field and preferentially absorb light that is polarized in the direction of the grain’s long axis, and hence gives a net polarization of the unabsorbed light parallel to the magnetic field. However, since the discovery of the Davis-Greenstein effect, ten additional processes that affect the alignment of interstellar grains have been discovered (see Draine (2003) for a review). The various processes include effects due to, e.g., electron spin, nuclear spin, dust-gas temperature differences, radiative torques, and H2 formation on the grains. Each process may be the dominant cause of grain alignment for a particular grain size, temperature or shape, or depend on the ambient radiation field or magnetic field. It is humbling to note that of all those processes – even those discovered during the last ten years – none required any physics beyond what was known in 1950. Beyond the formidable challenges and incomplete nature of grain alignment physics, additional drawbacks of using starlight polarization to study the large 15 scale GMF exist: First, since individual stars must be observed, only the nearby (. 3 kpc) part of the Galaxy can be probed. Second, starlight polarization is a self-obscuring effect based on the extinction of light, and about 3% polarization corresponds to roughly one visual magnitude of extinction. For these reasons starlight polarization is best used as a probe of small scale magnetic structures, such as interstellar clouds, and not the large scale GMF. Currently, about 104 measurements of starlight polarization exist. This number is growing quickly through the use of automated surveys (e.g., Clemens et al. (2009)) and is approaching 106 within about a year. 1.2.4 Zeeman effect An electron orbiting a nucleus acquires a magnetic moment Z µ= i · da = L eme vr eL −ev 2 πr = − =− ≡ −µB 2πr 2me 2me ~ (1.27) where the Bohr magneton is defined as µB = e~/2me . The normal Zeeman effect is due to the magnetic moment caused by the electron’s orbital angular momentum. The interaction energy between a magnetic field and a magnetic dipole is ∆E = −µ · B. If we let the direction of the magnetic field define the z-axis, the orbital angular momentum of the electron projected on to the z-axis takes on values Lz = ml ~, with ml = 0, ±1, . . . , ±l. Measuring this splitting of atomic levels in 16 stars yield typical values of ∼ 1 G, but with fields greater than 3×104 G having been measured in some A stars. For the Sun, sunspots of 1000s G are common. In the interstellar medium, one typically measures Zeeman splitting in OH and water masers, or the 21 cm line for neutral clouds. In the latter case, three different transitions of the hyperfine splitting of the ground state are possible, with ∆ml = 0, ±1. The unshifted frequency, ν0 = 1.42 GHz, corresponds the case ∆ml = 0, and the frequencies ν± = ν0 ± eB 4πme c (1.28) correspond to ∆ml = ∓1. For a magnetic field of order 10 µG the difference in frequency is ∆ν = ν+ − ν− ∼ 30 Hz. This splitting in frequency is tiny compared to the Doppler broadening of the lines. Per km/s of random motion of the gas, the broadening is ∆ν = ν0 v/c ∼ 5 kHz. While it is thus impossible to actually measure the splitting of the 21 cm line directly, partial information of the magnetic field can be recovered due to the transitions having different polarization properties. Viewed along the magnetic field direction the two shifted components are left/right circularly polarized, and the unshifted component missing. Viewed perpendicular to the field, the shifted components are linearly polarized normal to the field line, and the unshifted component is linearly polarized in the direction of the field. In theory, measuring the Stokes Q, U (linear polarization) and V (circular polarization) is enough to determine Btot . In practice, however, Stokes Q and U are extremely weak (they are proportional to the second derivative of 17 the line profile) and only the Stokes V (the difference between the two circular polarizations, and proportional to the first derivative of the line profile) is possible to measure, yielding constaints on Blos only. 1.2.5 Ultrahigh energy cosmic rays Ultrahigh energy cosmic rays (UHECRs) are most likely atomic nuclei of extragalactic origin, accelerated in magnetic shocks to kinetic energies ∼ 1018−20 eV. The ultrarelativistic nuclei travel at the speed of light and have their trajectories deflected when traversing cosmic magnetic fields. The larmor radius for a UHECR is R = 110 kpc × ZB1µG , E100 EeV (1.29) which translates to a deflection angle of a few degrees for a 100 EeV proton using standard estimates of the Galactic magnetic field. One of the major unanswered questions in astrophysics is what astrophysical objects act as sources of cosmic rays at the highest energies. A multitude of sources has been proposed (e.g., AGNs, BLLacs, GRBs, radio galaxies, galaxy clusters), but the obfuscating nature of cosmic magnetic fields has so far left all cases of claimed correlations unconvincing. An accurate characterization of the large scale GMF will allow calculations of UHECR deflection angles if the composition of UHECRs are known. Even a modest improvement in correcting the source direc- 18 tions will significantly aid in the search for UHECR sources. A unique tool in studying the cosmic magnetic fields between us and the UHECR source is available if the composition and true source of a UHECR are known. Given its charge Z, the deflection angle of a cosmic ray is a direct meaR surement of B⊥ ds along its trajectory. Specifically, it is not dependent on any ancillary data, such as the electron density, As will be discussed in §1.3, electron densities are poorly known and introduce a large uncertainty to the best-fit parameters of models of the Galactic magnetic field inferred from synchrotron emission and rotation measures. Indeed, reliable measurements of B⊥ from UHECR observations would allow excellent constaints on, e.g., the distribution of relativistic electrons by measurements of synchrotron radiation. Until recently the highest energy cosmic rays have usually been presumed to be protons. However, in the analysis of air showers (The Pierre Auger Collaboration: J. Abraham et al. 2009a) evidence have been found that the composition of UHECRs becomes heavier at the highest energies. If this is true, the expected magnetic deflections become much larger than previously assumed, and the prospects of UHECR astronomy may become bleak. Multiplets A powerful way to break the degeneracy between symmetries in GMF models would be to use future UHECR multiplets. As the deflection angle of a UHECR 19 Table 1.1: Observables of the Galactic magnetic field. Dataset Synchrotron emission RM: pulsars RM: X-Galactic Starlight polarization Zeeman splitting UHECR multiplets measures what? B⊥ orientation Bk Bk B⊥ orientation Bk in situ B⊥ ancillary data ncre ne ne grain physics none CR charge data points 3×50k (WMAP) 529 ∼1500 ∼10k ∼100s none yet region covered full sky mainly disk; . 10 kpc roughly uniform mainly disk; . 3 kpc near quadrant - is inversely proportional to its energy and proportional to the transverse magnetic field, the arrival directions of an UHECR multiplet will roughly form a string on the sky; the highest rapidity (proportional to E/Z) cosmic ray closest to the direction of the source, and the lower rapidity cosmic rays further removed according to their energy. From their energies and angular position on the sky, their common source can be estimated. A hypothetical multiplet placed in the southern hemisphere is shown in figure 1.1, together with the arrival directions of the multiplet as predicted for an example spiral field with the four different GMF symmetries. It is clear that if a number of such multiplets would be discovered in future experiments they would be very useful in breaking the degeneracy of the model symmetries. 1.3 1.3.1 Ancillary data for magnetic field observables Relativistic electron density The Galactic density of relativistic electrons, also known as cosmic-ray electrons, is a poorly known quantity. Relativistic electrons and positrons (both contribute equally to synchrotron emission) are assumed to be accelerated in shocks of su20 −10 Source BSSS −20 BSSA DSSS −30 b DSSA −40 −50 −60 290 300 310 l 320 330 Figure 1.1: A hypothetical UHECR multiplet source along with the UHECR locations as predicted from bisymmetric (BSS, see §2.5.1) and disymmetric (DSS) spiral GMF models. UHECR are protons with energies selected in the 1019−20 EeV range, with the size of the markers proportional to the event energies. 21 pernova remnants (SNRs). Direct measurements have been made in the energy range 106 − 1012 eV, but at the lower end solar modulation completely obscures the Galactic contribution. Following Page et al. (2007) (who were influenced by Drimmel & Spergel (2001)) we use a simple exponential model for the spatial distribution of cosmic ray electrons, Ccre (r, z) = Ccre, 0 exp(−r/hr ) sech2 (z/hz ), (1.30) with the scale heights hr = 5 kpc and hz = 1 kpc. The quantity Ccre (r, z) is defined by N (γ, r, z)dγ = Ccre (r, z)γ p dγ, (1.31) where N is the number density. The normalization factor Ccre, 0 is such that for 10 GeV electrons, Ccre (Earth) = 4.0 × 10−5 cm−3 , the observed value for 10 GeV electrons at Earth (Strong et al. 2007). The number density for other energies is calculated assuming a power law distribution with spectral index p = −3 (Bennett et al. 2003). A numerical tool for cosmic ray propagation, GALPROP (Strong et al. 2009), could potentially be used to make better predictions of the 3D distribution of electrons. GALPROP uses observational data for nuclei, electrons and positrons, gamma rays and synchrotron radiation etc., and solves the transport equations taking into account effects such as diffusion, nuclear spallation, and various energy 22 losses. However, many estimates and assumptions of the sources of cosmic rays must be made in order to calculate the final distribution. In the case of relativistic electrons, GALPROP assumes that the production of electrons follows the distribution of supernova remnants. However, since it is difficult to determine the Galactic distribution of supernova remnants from observations, GALPROP uses a modeled pulsar distribution (Strong et al. 2004; Lorimer 2004), with the assumption that pulsars trace supernova remnants. Unfortunately, it is not clear if the dearth of observed pulsars close to the Galactic center is due to a lack of pulsars or selection effects. The modeled pulsar distribution used by GALPROP assumes that the number density of pulsars in the Galactic center is zero. How well this corresponds to reality is not clear (Bailes & Kniffen 1992), and is still under debate. Figure 1.2 compares the spatial term C(r, z) predicted by GALPROP with the the Drimmel-Spergel model used throughout this work. 1.3.2 Thermal electron density The best available 3D model of the Galactic distribution of thermal electrons is the NE2001 model (Cordes & Lazio 2002, 2003), based on pulsar dispersion measures, measurements of radio-wave scattering, emission measures, and multiple wavelength characterizations of Galactic structure. The model has four different components: a thin disk, a thick disk, spiral arms, and some local over/underdense regions (e.g., supernova remnants). The model is shown in figure 1.3. The thick 23 Figure 1.2: Top: Spatial term for relativistic electron density, C(r, z) in cm−3 , used in this work. Botton: Spatial term from GALPROP code (Andy Strong, 2009, private communication). 24 disk has a vertical scale height of 0.97 kpc. We adopt NE2001 as our baseline model for the thermal electron density. We note, however, that the vertical scale height in this model is poorly constrained due to uncertainties in pulsar distances. Gaensler et al. (2008) estimate the thick disk scale height to be 1.83+1.2 −2.5 kpc by only using pulsars with independently measured distances, and Sun et al. (2008) also suggest an increase in the scale height by a factor of two in order to avoid an excessively large magnetic field in the halo, when fitting to RM data. In section 2.6.4 we investigate the sensitivity of the best-fit magnetic field parameters on the choice of electron density scale height. 1.4 The magnetic field of the Milky Way Magnetic fields are ubiquitous in the Galaxy; they permeate the diffuse interstellar medium and extend beyond the Galactic disk, and are present in stars, supernova remnants, pulsars and interstellar clouds. The magnetic field in the diffuse ISM has a large scale regular component and also a small scale turbulent component. A standard estimate of the strength of the total Galactic magnetic field near the Sun is 6 ± 2 µG (Beck 2001). The ratio between regular and random field strength is estimated from starlight and synchrotron data to be 0.6 − 1.0, but is expected to vary throughout the Galaxy: it is believed that the total field in optical arms is the strongest, and mainly turbulent; in the inter-arm regions the regular field may 25 Figure 1.3: The NE2001 thermal electron density model. The figure shows a 30 × 30 kpc Galactic disk at z = 0. The grayscale is logarithmic. The light colored features in the solar neighborhood are a number of underdense regions. The small dark speck in one of the ellipsoidal underdensities is the nearby Gum nebula and Vela supernova remnant. 26 dominate, possibly forming “magnetic arms” that extend farther than the optical arms. Within (∼ 200 pc) of the Galactic center Ferriere (2009) estimates the field strength to be ∼ 10 µG and roughly poloidal in shape in the diffuse medium, and finds ∼ 1 mG fields in filaments and dense clouds. 1.4.1 The regular field Mapping the large scale geometry of the regular field in our own Galaxy is extremely challenging and require extensive modeling. That is the main topic of this thesis and covered in Chapter 2. Specific examples of models for the large scale field is given in §2.5.1. As seen in external galaxies, the regular field tends to have a spiral shape, reminiscent of the matter distribution in the disk. The local pitch angle is difficult to measure (Vallée 2005), but is estimated to p ' 10◦ (where p = 0◦ correspond to a completely azimuthal field). The pitch angle is likely spatially varying. The Sun is located between the Perseus and the Sagittarius spiral arms. Rotation measures indicate that the magnetic field is clockwise in the Perseus arm (located outside the solar circle), and counter-clockwise in the Sagittarius arm (Wielebinski & Beck 2005). The nature and number of large scale field reversals are still an open question, and several other reversals have been suggested (Han et al. 1999). 27 1.4.2 Turbulent fields The interstellar medium is turbulent over a very large range of scales. Armstrong et al. (1995) showed that the power spectrum of the interstellar thermal electron density was consistent with a power law with a Kolmogorov spectral index of 5/3 (Kolmogorov 1941) from scales of 107 to 1015 cm (∼ 10−11 to 10−3 pc). At the largest scales, Haverkorn et al. (2008) found that stellar winds or protostellar outflows dominate the energy injection of turbulent energy on parsec scales in spiral arms, while supernova and superbubble expansions are the main sources of energy in the interarm regions and occur on scales of 100 pc. 1.4.3 Fields in the halo The extent of the Galactic magnetic field away from the disk is very difficult to determine. Han & Qiao (1994) used pulsar RMs to determine the scale height of the regular field and found z0 ' 1.5 kpc. Another approach is to assume equipartition between cosmic rays and magnetic fields, and use the observed vertical distribution of synchrotron emissivity to estimate the vertical distribution of the magnetic field (see figure 1.4). This leads to estimates of the scale height to z0 ' 5 − 6 kpc. A third approach of Boulares & Cox (1990) is to assume that there is an approximate equipartition between the non-thermal pressure forms: magnetic, cosmic ray, and dynamic pressure. By estimating the non-thermal pressure as a function of z, and assuming that the magnetic field is aligned parallel to the plane, the vertical 28 Figure 1.4: The vertical distribution of the (total) magnetic field strength, taken from Cox (2005). The solid blue curve is derived from the vertical distribution of the synchrotron emissivity. The dashed red curve is derived under the assumption that a third of the non-thermal pressure is magnetic. 29 distribution of magnetic field strength can be calculated, as shown in figure 1.4. The field geometry is unlikely to be the same in the halo as in the disk, and rotation measure maps of the sky show less variation at larger latitudes, implying a simpler structure than the disk. Furthermore, as described below, external edge-on galaxies often exhibit significant vertical fields far from the disk. 1.5 Magnetic fields in external galaxies Niklas (1995) used synchrotron data and equipartition arguments to estimate the total magnetic field strength for a sample of 74 spiral galaxies and found the average value to be 9 ± 3 µG , although local values within the spiral arms could reach 20 µG . Turbulent fields tend to be strongest in the optical spiral arms, while regular fields dominate the interarm regions. Typical pitch angles of the magnetic spiral field are 10◦ to 40◦ , and are similar to the pitch angles of the corresponding optical arms. It is worth noting that if the large scale field was completely frozen into the gas – whose particles follow almost circular orbits – the magnetic field would be more tightly wound, with a smaller pitch angle than is observed. Flocculent and irregular galaxies exhibit magnetic field strengths of similar magnitude as spiral galaxies. More interestingly, these galaxies often have regular spiral magnetic fields. No large scale field reversal such as is thought to be present in the Milky Way 30 has ever been observed in an external galaxy. Only three large reversals have been observed (Beck 2008), and they are limited in extent (not an entire spiral arm) and could be explained by the magnetic field being a superposition of dynamo modes that for a localized region yield a change in the field direction. It has also been suggested by Beck (2008) that the Milky Way reversals may not be coherent over several kpc, or that they are restricted to a thin region near the plane only. Observations of edge-on galaxies reveal a magnetic field in the galactic disk that is mainly parallel to the disk. In the halo, however, a vertical component becomes more prominent (see figure 1.5), giving the halo field an “X”-shape if viewed edgeon. Numerous galaxies of this kind have been observed (Beck 2009). Golla & Hummel (1994) studied the specific case of NGC 4631 and found that the vertical field lines are connected to regions of star formation in the disk. Conversely, in regions of weaker star formation the magnetic fields were observed to be parallel to the disk. Presumably galactic winds and outflows drag the the magnetic field out from the disk, creating the X-shaped halo fields, and may also be the origin of intergalactic magnetic fields (Beck 2009). 1.6 Cosmological magnetic fields The nature of magnetic fields on cosmic scales is an important topic in cosmology. Primordial magnetic fields can have had significant effects on structure formation, 31 Figure 1.5: Left: M51 observed at 6cm, with color indicating total intensity and polarization bars rotated 90◦ to show the orientation of magnetic field lines. Copyright MPIfR Bonn (Beck, Horellou & Neininger). Right: NGC 5775, an edge-on spiral galaxy with contours of total emission at 6cm wavelength and bars oriented with the magnetic field. The contours are overlaid on an optical Hα image. Copyright: Cracow Observatory. 32 as well as big bang nucleosynthesis and neutrino physics (Enqvist et al. 1993). Indeed, cosmological observations can provide limits on certain large scale magnetic field scenarios (see Grasso & Rubinstein (2001) for a review). For instance, a uniform cosmological magnetic field with a coherence length equal to the Hubble length would introduce anisotropic pressure and break the observed isotropy seen in COBE data if the field strength is greater than ≈ 3 nG. No detection of magnetic fields in the intergalactic medium (IGM) has been reported. A widely quoted upper limit on magnetic fields in the IGM was derived by Kronberg (1994), who found BIGM ≤ 10−9 G for fields of coherence length of a Mpc from RM observations of QSOs. However, this limit was later found to be severely underestimated, and Farrar & Piran (2000) found RMs to instead yield the limit BIGM ≤ 10−6 G. Magnetic fields in clusters of galaxies have been measured. Recent examples are Govoni et al. (2005), who found ordered magnetic fields on the scale of ∼ 400 kpc in the galaxy cluster Abell 2255. Govoni & Feretti (2004) found µG strength fields in galaxy clusters, and fields reaching tens of µG at the center of cooling core clusters. 33 1.7 The origin of cosmic magnetic fields One of the major open questions in astrophysics is how cosmic magnetic fields are generated at all. For a recent review of this topic, see e.g., Kulsrud & Zweibel (2008). This section will only briefly cover the main issues of this important subject. While stellar magnetic fields are easily explained by a dynamo mechanism because of the short rotation period of the star, galactic magnetic fields are difficult to explain since a galactic dynamo would only have had ∼ 50 rotations and needs a strong seed field (∼ 10−21 G), whose origin is still unclear. Different theories of galactic magnetogenesis predict different topologies of the magnetic field and clues to the origin of galactic scale magnetic fields can be found by studying the symmetries of the large scale field, i.e., the existence of field reversals in or between spiral arms, or if the field orientation in the south of the galaxy is different from the north, etc. It was first noted by Fermi (1949) that the enormous inductance of the Galaxy would make the characteristic decay time of the Galactic magnetic field orders of magnitude longer than the age of the universe. The problem is thus how to explain what mechanism could oppose the inductive voltages and generate such a magnetic field to begin with. The standard explanation of generating a galactic magnetic field has two steps. First, the generation of a tiny seed field where previously no magnetic field existed 34 at all, followed by a process of which the seed field is magnified in strength to the observed values and made partially coherent on larger scales. Numerous processes that can supply a seed field has been suggested (Widrow 2002), some of which are covered below. The favored mechanism to achieve the amplification of seed fields is a galactic dynamo and is discussed in §1.7.2. 1.7.1 Generation of seed fields A way to generate a magnetic field from a nonexistent initial field was suggested by Biermann (1950). In a plasma with fluctuations in the electron pressure Pe (e.g., due to turbulence), electrons flow to low pressure regions which leads to an electric field, E=− ∇Pe . ne e (1.32) Applying Faraday’s law we get, ∂B c = −c∇ × E = ∇ × ∂t e ∇Pe ne . (1.33) By assuming the ideal equation of state for the electrons, Pe = ne kB Te , and using the identity ∇ × (f ∇g) = ∇f × ∇g, equation (1.33) becomes ckB ∂B =− ∇ne × ∇Te . ∂t ne e 35 (1.34) This is the essential mechanism of the so-called Biermann battery: if the electron density and temperature gradients are not parallel, the right-hand side of equation (1.34) is non-zero and a magnetic field is produced where there previously was none. Non-parallel density and temperature gradients are expected in astrophysical plasmas (Widrow 2002), and the generation of seed fields of order 10−21 G through the Biermann battery mechanism has been done in cosmological computer simulations by Kulsrud et al. (1997). Magnetic fields are thus expected to be generated during structure formation through the Biermann battery process. However, even if a star would be born with no magnetic field, a stellar Biermann battery will produce an internal seed field that will quickly be amplified by a stellar dynamo. Stellar winds or other ejecta could then propel magnetic fields into the ISM and act as a seed field for a galactic dynamo. Other scenarios for the creation of seed fields through, e.g., AGNs and early universe phase transitions, are described by Widrow (2002). 1.7.2 The α − Ω dynamo When a sufficient seed field is present in a galaxy it is believed that a dynamo mechanism can act on the seed field increasing its coherence length and exponentiating the field strength by transferring mechanical energy into magnetic energy. A pictorial view of the α − Ω dynamo powered by supernova explosions is 36 presented in figure 1.6. In panel (a) an initial seed field is directed in the forward motion of galactic rotation, with a star about to go supernova located below it. In the next panel the supernova creates a bubble in the ISM and stretches the field line in a (vertical) loop. Because of the expansion of the shell the moment of inertia of the shell has been greatly increased. By Conservation of angular momentum the bubble slows down in a fixed frame, and rotates opposite the galactic rotation in the galactic frame. This coriolis effect is called the α-effect, and is shown from above in panel (c). The points A and B of the field line, at the base of the bubble, lie at slightly different radii and are now stretched farther apart due to differential rotation, shown in panel (d-f). This is the Ω-effect, and will continue to amplify the field strength linearly in time. The flux lines above the plane are assumed to rise indefinitely, which will thus remove the negative magnetic flux, leaving the flux in the disk increased but with flux conservation upheld globally. This is a large-scale version of the mean-field α −Ω dynamo driven by turbulence and acting on smaller scales. For an in-depth review of the dynamo mechanism, see Kulsrud (1999). 1.7.3 Numerical simulations Past attempts to use numerical simulations to study magnetic fields were mainly for cosmological fields (Ryu et al. 1998; Dolag et al. 2002). Recently (Dubois & Teyssier 2009) used numerical MHD to follow the evolution of the magnetic field during formation of a dwarf galaxy, and the eventual formation of a galactic disk 37 Figure 1.6: A schematic view of the α − Ω dynamo, taken from Kulsrud & Zweibel (2008). In panels (a) and (b) a supernova creates a bubble in the ISM, stretching a magnetic field line into a loop. From the top view in (c), where dashed lines show the upper parts of the field line, coriolis forces twist the loop into the poloidal plane. Differential rotation then stretches the field lines, increasing the magnetic flux in the disk (d). Eventually, the upper part of the field line is expelled from the disk, shown in (e) and (f). 38 and the ejection of magnetic field lines into the IGM by a supernova driven wind. The authors provide an explanation for an IGM magnetic field of 0.1 nG, assuming equipartition magnetic fields in dwarf galaxies. These galactic fields were put in by hand, however, and need a separate explanation. Kotarba et al. (2009) use N-body and smooth particle hydrodynamics (SPH) simulations of the evolution of magnetic fields and gas in a galactic disk. The authors find that the homogeneous seed field is amplified by an order of magnitude after five rotations of the disk. This amplification is not sufficient to explain observations of high-redshift galaxies with µG magnetic fields reported by. e.g., Kronberg et al. (2008). The simulations do not include small-scale turbulent effects that lead to the α-effect in an α − Ω dynamo, and hence are not expected to cause the necessary exponentiating of the magnetic field strength. However, the simulations result in a disk field geometry closely resembling observed galaxies, as can be seen in figure 1.7, with magnetic field lines aligned with the spiral pattern of the gas. The most promising attempt to simulate a fully functioning dynamo leading to observed field strengths is the work by Hanasz et al. (2009). The authors simulate a “cosmic ray driven dynamo”, where the magnetized interstellar medium is dynamically coupled with the cosmic ray gas. The initial seed fields are randomly distributed magnetic dipoles associated with magnetic supernova ejecta. Hanasz et al. find that the seed fields get amplified exponentially, with an average e-folding 39 Figure 1.7: A simulated galactic disk field, taken from Kotarba et al. (2009). Color shows gas density, and vectors show the magnetic field (length of vectors scale logarithmically with field strength). 40 time of 270 Myr (approximately the galactic rotation period). The growth of the magnetic field saturates at approximately 4 Gyr with field strengths of 3-5 µG in the disk. The initially random seed field have developed into a large scale field with the shape of a tightly wound spiral. Moreover, viewed edge-on a thick halo field with an X-shaped structure becomes apparent, reminiscent of radio observations of external galaxies seen in figure 1.5. This recent development adds strong support to the dynamo theory of the origin of galactic magnetic fields. 41 42 Chapter 2 Constraining models of the large-scale Galactic magnetic field with WMAP5 polarization data and extragalactic rotation measure sources Chapter Abstract We introduce a method to quantify the quality-of-fit between data and observables depending on the large-scale Galactic magnetic field. We combine WMAP5 43 polarized synchrotron data and rotation measures of extragalactic sources in a joint analysis to obtain best-fit parameters and confidence levels for GMF models common in the literature. None of the existing models provide a good fit in both the disk and halo regions, and in many instances best-fit parameters are quite different than the original values. We note that probing a very large parameter space is necessary to avoid false likelihood maxima. The thermal and relativistic electron densities are critical for determining the GMF from the observables but they are not well constrained. We show that some characteristics of the electron densities can already be constrained using our method and with future data it may be possible to carry out a self-consistent analysis in which models of the GMF and electron densities are simultaneously optimized. 2.1 Introduction Among the probes of Galactic magnetism, Faraday rotation measures (RMs) and synchrotron radiation are among the best-suited for studying the large-scale Galactic magnetic field. Other probes are either mostly applicable to the nearby part of the Galaxy (starlight polarization) or mainly used to study small-scale structures like dense clouds (the Zeeman effect). While synchrotron radiation has been used extensively for studying external galaxies, Faraday rotation measure has been the method of choice for probing the magnetic field of our own Galaxy (e.g., Han et al. 44 2006; Brown et al. 2007). To most simply probe the large-scale Galactic magnetic field (GMF) with synchrotron radiation, a full-sky polarization survey is needed, at frequencies where Faraday depolarization effects are negligible and where other sources of polarized radiation (e.g., dust) are either negligible compared to synchrotron radiation or possible to exclude from the data. The 22 GHz K band of the Wilkinson Microwave Anisotropy Probe (WMAP) provides such a data set. In this Chapter we constrain models of the large-scale Galactic magnetic field common in the literature by a joint analysis of the polarization data in the WMAP5 K band and rotation measures of extragalactic radio sources. The synergistic advantage of combining these two data sets goes beyond the benefit of achieving a larger number of data points; the two observables probe mutually orthogonal components (perpendicular and parallel to line-of-sight) of the magnetic field. We calculate the χ2 for a particular choice of GMF model and parameter choice, and use a Markov Chain Monte Carlo algorithm to optimize the parameters of each field under consideration. Thus we can quantitatively measure the capability of different models to reproduce the observed data. The content of this Chapter is structured as follows: we briefly comment on the connection synchrotron radiation and Faraday rotation has with magnetic fields in section 2.2. Section 2.3 explains our general approach to constrain models of the GMF. Section 2.4 describes the two data sets used in the analysis. Section 2.5 details the various 3D models of the magnetized interstellar medium we have 45 studied. Section 2.6 give our results and a discussion, and is followed by a summary and conclusions. 2.2 Input As is clear from sections §1.2.2 and §1.2.1, the observables we are using are not direct measures of the Galactic magnetic field itself, but convolutions of the various ~ ne and ncre ). The ideal components of the magnetized interstellar medium (B, way to constrain models of the GMF would thus be to simultaneously and selfconsistently model the thermal and relativistic electron distributions together with the magnetic field. This is beyond the scope of the present work, but should become feasible when even larger data sets become available. Instead we use 3D models of ne and ncre present in the literature (detailed in section 2.5) and do not vary their parameters, except in a separate study of the magnetic field scale height’s dependence on the scale height of the thermal electron distribution in section 2.6.4. 2.3 Method Our strategy to model the GMF is straightforward. As illustrated in figure 2.1, starting from 3D models of the distribution of relativistic electrons (ncre ), thermal electrons (ne ) and a model of the large-scale GMF parametrized by a set of numbers p~0 we produce simulated data sets of polarized synchrotron radiation and Faraday 46 Figure 2.1: Overview of the implemented analysis. rotation measures. Generating the simulated data is done using the Hammurabi code (Waelkens et al. 2009). We compare the simulated data sets to the observational data and calculate χ2 , as a measure of the quality-of-fit. This value together with p~0 is passed to a Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampler that generates a new set of GMF parameters, p~1 , as described in section 2.3.2. This scheme is then iterated until we obtain a Markov Chain that has sufficiently sampled the parameter space. In this way we find the best-fit parameters and confidence levels for each GMF model, and can compare and quantify the capability of different models to reproduce the observed data. 47 2.3.1 Quality-of-fit We define χ2 in the usual way, χ2 = N X (data − model)2 σi2 i , (2.1) with i labelling the data points (pixels for synchrotron data, point sources for RMs). The variance, σi2 , is of utmost importance and obtaining it is a key accomplishment of this work. The variance is primarily not experimental or observational uncertainty (which will typically be a negligible contribution), but astrophysical variance stemming from random magnetic fields and inhomogeneities in the magnetized ISM. In the case of extragalactic RMs there is also a contribution to the variance from Faraday rotation in the intergalactic medium and the source host galaxy. The method we have developed to measure σ 2 from the data is described in §2.4.1 and §2.4.2. This variance map contains valuable information about the random magnetic fields. Indeed, when studying turbulent and small-scale magnetic fields this variance map is itself one of the observables that a given model of the random field should be able to reproduce. 2.3.2 Parameter estimation To minimize χ2 for a GMF model and find the best-fit parameters we implement a Metropolis Markov Chain Monte Carlo algorithm (Metropolis et al. 1953) to 48 explore the likelihood of the observed data. We use the approach outlined in, e.g., Verde et al. (2003). For a set of parameters p~j we calculate the (unnormalized) 1 2 (~ pj ) likelihood function L(~pj ) = e− 2 χ . We then take a step in parameter space to p~j+1 = p~j + ∆~p, where ∆~p is set of Gaussianly distributed random numbers with zero mean and standard deviation ~s (the “step length” of the MCMC). If L(~pj+1 ) > L(p~j ) this new set of parameters is accepted, and if L(~pj+1 ) < L(p~j ) the new step is accepted with a probability P = L(~pj+1 )/L(~pj ). If a step is not accepted, a new p~j+1 is generated, and tested. This process is continued until the parameter space has been sufficiently sampled. To decide when this has happened we use the Gelman-Rubin convergence and mixing statistic, R̂ (Gelman & Rubin 1992). In the vein of Verde et al. (2003) we terminate the Markov Chain when the condition R̂ < 1.03 is satisfied for all parameters. To achieve a smooth likelihood surface we run all Markov Chains to at least 50k steps. 2.3.3 Producing simulated observables from models We use the Hammurabi code developed by Waelkens et al. (2009) to simulate fullsky maps of polarized synchrotron emission and rotation measures from 3D models ~ The produced polarized synchrotron sky maps (Stokes Q and of ne , ncre and B. U parameters) are in HEALPix1 format (an equal-area pixelation scheme of the sphere, developed by Górski et al. (2005)) and are calculated taking Faraday depo1 http://healpix.jpl.nasa.gov 49 larization into account. The Galactic contribution to the rotation measure (RM) of extragalactic point sources can also be calculated. For details, see Waelkens et al. (2009). 2.3.4 Disk - halo separation Significant magnetic fields in galactic halos are observed in external galaxies (Beck 2008). However, the magnetic field in our own Milky Way galaxy has proven very difficult to study, and a long-standing question in Galactic astrophysics is the nature and extent of a magnetic Galactic halo. For instance it is unclear whether the Galactic halo field may be completely distinct from the magnetic field in the disk, in the sense that their topologies are different. In other words, are the disk and halo fields best modeled by the same GMF model (with perhaps different best-fit parameters) or distinctly different GMF models? To address this question we separate the sky into a disk part and a halo part, and optimize each GMF model under consideration using only data from one part at a time. In the case of polarized synchrotron emission it is very difficult to separate the contribution of the large-scale field from that of smaller, more nearby structures simply because the flux from a particular structure scales as 1/r2 . Thus we apply a mask on the synchrotron data that covers the disk and clearly defined nearby structures such as the Northern Spur (see section 2.4.1). Extragalactic rotation measures are not subject to the inverse square effect since the relevent sources are 50 point-like and the RM contribution of some volume of the ISM is independent of its distance from us (see Eq. 1.22). In this Chapter we will refer to the ‘disk’ and ‘halo’ as distinct regions on the sky, where the dividing line between the two is given by the set of directions pointing towards z = ±2 kpc at Galactocentric radii R = 20 kpc, i.e., |b| . 4◦ at l = 0◦ and |b| . 10◦ at l = 180◦ . This division is plotted in, e.g., figure 2.5. 2.4 2.4.1 Data Synchrotron radiation In the WMAP K-band (22 GHz) the observed polarized radiation is dominated by Galactic synchrotron emission. In the WMAP five-year data release the observed emission is further analyzed and separated into foreground components caused by synchrotron, dust and free-free emission (Gold et al. 2008). Throughout our analysis we will use this synchrotron component as our data set for polarized Galactic synchrotron emission. The polarized WMAP component was first included, and analyzed in the context of the GMF, in the three-year data release (Page et al. 2007); subsequent GMF modeling of that data set was done by, e.g., Jansson et al. (2008) and Miville-Deschênes et al. (2008). The WMAP polarization data is in the form of two HEALPix maps of the Stokes Q and U parameters. The resolution is ∼1◦ , with about 50k pixels on 51 Figure 2.2: Polarized synchrotron intensity (color) in a Mollweide projection with galactic longitude l = 0◦ at the center and increasing to the left, overlaid with a texture showing the projected magnetic field directions (i.e., the observed polarization angle rotated by 90◦ ). Image created using the line integral convolution code, ALICE, written by David Larson (private communication). the sky. To get a more easily interpreted map we can instead plot the polarized p intensity P = Q2 + U 2 and with the polarization angle rotated 90◦ to depict the projected magnetic field direction overlaid on the polarized intensity (see figure 2.2). It is clear from figure 2.2 that emission from the Galactic disk is strong, with polarization angles consistent with a magnetic field parallel to the disk. Also present is the prominent Northern Spur, a highly coherent structure stretching from the disk to high latitudes, and likely the result of the shock between two 52 Figure 2.3: Upper panel: sky maps of Stokes Q (left) and U (right), in 8◦ resolution. Lower panel: sky maps of σQ and σU , respectively. expanding nearby supernova shells (Wolleben 2007). While structures like the Northern Spur can be masked out when studying the large-scale GMF, smaller features and irregularities in the polarized emission abound due to the turbulent nature of the magnetized interstellar medium. Since we are interested in the large-scale regular magnetic field and want to avoid the random field in this study we smooth the synchrotron data to 8◦ and use maps with 768 pixels, as shown in figure 2.3. 53 Estimating the variance To calculate χ2 for the synchrotron data an estimate of the variance is needed that takes into account not just experimental uncertainties but fluctuations in the measured emission due to random magnetic fields. The variance should de-weight the χ2 of pixels in directions of strong random fields or other localized sources of polarized emission. We estimate the variance in Q (and similarly in U ) by 2 σQ,i = N X (Qi − qj )2 N j . (2.2) 2 Here σQ,i is the variance of the ith pixel in the 8◦ -pixel Q map, whose pixel has the value Qi . The quantity qj is a pixel value from the 1◦ -pixel Q map, where j enumerates the N = 69 1◦ -pixels that are within a 4 degree radius of the coordinate on the sky corresponding to the center of the 8◦ -pixel Qi . The lower panels of figure 2.3 show sky maps of σQ and σU . Masking As pointed out in section 2.3.4; because the synchrotron flux from structures such as supernova remnants scale as the inverse square of the distance to the object, flux from nearby structures in the disk can exceed emission caused by the largescale GMF in the diffuse ISM. However not all parts of the disk may be polluted 54 by bright nearby synchrotron emitters. For example, the large “Fan region”, a strongly polarized part of the sky around l ∼ 120◦ to 160◦ and |b| . 15◦ has been argued to be caused by an ordered, large-scale (∼kpc) magnetic field oriented transverse to our line-of-sight and with minimal Faraday depolarization (Wolleben et al. 2006). Other such regions may exist, but it would require more extensive analysis of polarized emission at lower frequencies that probe predominantly the nearby part of the Galaxy (due to Faraday depolarization obscuring more distant emission) in order to use them in the current analysis. In this work we take the simplest approach and mask out the disk and strongly polarized local structures such as the Northern Spur. We use the polarization mask discussed in Gold et al. (2008), degraded from 4◦ pixels to the 8◦ resolution maps we use for the Stokes Q and U data. In cases where an 8◦ pixel covers a region of both masked and unmasked 4◦ pixels, the larger pixel is made part of the mask. This mask covers 33.5% of the sky, shown in figure 2.4, and leaves 511 pixels unmasked. Because only a single of these pixels lies inside the ‘disk’, as defined in section 2.3.4, we only use polarized synchrotron data when fitting data in the ‘halo’, hence using 510 data points for each of the Q and U maps. 2.4.2 Extragalactic RM sources We use 380 RMs of extragalactic sources from the Canadian Galactic Plane Survey (CGPS, Brown et al. (2003)), 148 RMs from the Southern Galactic Plane Survey 55 Figure 2.4: The mask used for the polarized synchrotron data. The mask covers 33.5% of the sky. (SGPS, Brown et al. (2007)) and 905 RMs from various other observational efforts (Broten et al. 1988; Clegg et al. 1992; Oren & Wolfe 1995; Minter & Spangler 1996; Gaensler et al. 2001), for a total of 1433 extragalactic RM sources. The data set contains Galactic longitude and latitude (l◦ and b◦ ), rotation measure (RM) and observational uncertainty (σobs ). Typical values of RMs are ± a few hundred radians/m2 in the disk and ± a few tens of radians/m2 at large angles from the disk. The observational uncertainty reported for individual sources tends to be roughly a factor of ten smaller than the typical magnitude of the RM in a given direction. Some of these 1433 RMs are multiple measurements of the same extended source. Including multiple measurements of one source as if they were different sources would lead us to underestimate the total variance in the rotation measure of that region. To avoid this we round the l◦ and b◦ of each source to one decimal, and 56 if there are multiple RMs with identical coordinates we replace them with a single 2 2 RM, whose variance (σobs ) is the mean of the σobs ’s of the individual measurements; the rationale for this is discussed in §2.4.2. This procedure removes 103 ‘sources’, leaving 1330. Removing outliers The measured RM of an extragalactic source is the sum of contributions from the diffuse Galactic interstellar medium (the medium we wish to study), the intergalactic medium and the RM intrinsic to the source. In addition, sightlines that pass through specific structures such as supernova remnants or H II regions can receive very large contributions to their measured RM due the high electron density and possibly strong magnetic fields pervading these structures (Mitra et al. 2003). Thus it is expected that the variance in the distribution of RM values is significantly larger for sightlines close to the Galactic plane compared to those at large angles to the plane, and this is observed (see figure 2.7). In order to remove the sources whose rotation measure is likely dominated by either highly localized Galactic or purely non-Galactic contributions, whose variances are intrinsically different, we divide the RMs into a ‘disk’ component and a ‘halo’ component, in identical fashion to the division described in section 2.3.4. For each of these we calculate the mean and the standard deviation of the RM values. We use a modified z-scores method (Barnett & Lewis 1984) and exclude 57 Figure 2.5: Top: The full sample of 1433 extragalactic RMs, in Galactic coordinates (l = 0◦ at the center and increasing to the left). Blue squares represent negative RM values, corresponding to a magnetic field pointing away from the observer. Red circles show positive RM values. The area of the markers scale as the magnitude of the rotation measure. The black dotted lines marks our division between the disk and halo. bottom: The final sample of 1090 extragalactic RMs (559 in the disk, 531 in the halo) used in the quality-of-fit analysis. 58 Figure 2.6: The total variance, σEGS , of the 1090 RMs used in the data fitting. The area of the markers scale as σEGS and uses the same scale as the RM plots in figure 2.5. any extragalactic sources (EGS) with an RM value three standard deviations away from the mean. These two steps are then repeated until no values of RM are more than three standard deviations away from the mean of the remaining sample. This process removes 21 EGS from the disk and 72 EGS from the halo. Estimating the variance 2 As our objective is to study the large-scale regular field, the variance σEGS, i for the ith EGS should ideally account for rotation measure contributions of non-Galactic origin and contributions due to small-scale random magnetic fields. That is, when 2 these contributions to the rotation measure are large, σEGS, i should be large, so that the ith EGS has a small weight in the calculation of χ2 . There is more than one way to calculate this variance, and we settle on the following scheme to obtain 59 40 N 30 20 10 0 −2000 −1500 −1000 −500 0 500 RM (rad m−2) 1000 1500 2000 −2000 −1500 −1000 −500 0 500 RM (rad m−2) 1000 1500 2000 200 N 150 100 50 0 Figure 2.7: Histogram of RMs for the disk region (upper panel) and halo region (lower panel). Dashed lines demarcate RM values excluded as outliers (see section 2.4.2). 60 an estimate of the variance: 2 σEGS, i = N X (RMi − RMj )2 N j 2 + σobs, i, (2.3) 2 where j labels the sources closest to the ith source, and σobs, i is the observational variance. To get a decent estimate of the variance we require a minimum of N = 6 sources. For a source in the disk, we use all neighboring sources within θmin = 3◦ of the ith source. If less than 6 sources are found within θmin we increase the angular search radius until 6 sources are included or we reach θmax = 6◦ . If we still have fewer than 6 sources, we exclude the ith source from our sample. For EGS in the halo, where significant changes in the large-scale GMF are not expected to occur at as small angular scales as in the disk, we instead use θmin = 6◦ and θmax = 12◦ . 46 sources in the disk and 101 in the halo have an insufficient number of neighboring sources to give a satisfactory estimate of the variance and are excluded. The remaining sample, which will be used in the quality-of-fit calculation, consists of 1090 extragalactic sources and are shown in figure 2.5. The corresponding map of σEGS is shown in figure 2.6. Having explained the procedure for measuring σEGS , we now return to the issue of how to treat multiple observations of the same source. The correct procedure depends on the particular situation. If the source were pointlike and the observations perfectly aligned, then the actual variance in the results of the measurements 61 2 should in principle be the same as the mean value of the σobs ’s for the set of ob- servations. However if the source is extended and the measurements are not at exactly the same position, their variance probes the σEGS from the foreground turbulent ISM as well as from the RM in the source, which is characteristically much larger than the observational uncertainty in each individual measurement. Therefore assigning that variance to the combined observation in making the fit would incorrectly reduce its pull in the fit compared to sources with a single measurement. With the present dataset of RMs, there are only a limited number of cases of multiple measurements and it is possible to examine them individually. In only one case is the source extended enough that the variance in the observations 2 2 is significantly larger than the mean of the σobs , and for that case the σEGS value 2 we derive is nearly the same with either σobs assignment, vindicating a posteriori our procedure, described in section 2.4.2. For future large datasets this issue will require deeper analysis. If the prescription used here is not adequate, an automatic method will need to be developed to handle all cases, which is applicable for both extremes. 62 2.5 3D models of the magnetized interstellar medium To calculate simulated data sets of rotation measures and synchrotron emission we need 3D models of the thermal and relativistic electron densities as well as the Galactic magnetic field. For relativistic electrons we adopt the simple exponential model detailed in §1.3.1. For thermal electrons we adopt the NE2001 model of Cordes & Lazio (2002), also detailed in §1.3.2. 2.5.1 large-scale magnetic field Numerous models of the large-scale GMF have been proposed in the literature over the last couple of decades. In this Chapter we test a representative selection of models. Most of the considered models were originally proposed to describe either the entire GMF or just the disk field. All fields considered here are truncated at Galactocentric radius R = 20 kpc. For all models we set the distance from the Sun to the Galactic center to R = 8.5 kpc. This is the most commonly used distance in the original published forms of the models used in this thesis. We note that after a few years of confusion on this topic, the most reliable estimate of this distance is now 8.4 ± 0.6 kpc (Reid et al. 2009). 63 Logarithmic spirals This class of models contains the most common models in the literature (see, e.g., Sofue & Fujimoto (1983); Han & Qiao (1994); Stanev (1997); Harari et al. (1999); Tinyakov & Tkachev (2002)). We define the radial and azimuthal field components as Bθ = −B(r, θ, z) cos p, Br = B(r, θ, z) sin p, (2.4) where p is the pitch angle of the spiral. The function B is defined as r B(r, θ, z) = −B0 (r) cos θ + β ln r0 e−|z|/z0 , (2.5) with β = 1/ tan p. The pitch angle p is positive if the clockwise tangent to the spiral is outside a circle of radius r centered on the Galactic center. At the point (r0 , θ = 180◦ ), the field reaches the first maximum in the direction l = 180◦ outside the solar circle. We set the magnetic field amplitude B0 (r) to a constant value, b0 , for r < rc , and B0 (r) ∝ 1/r for r > rc . With the vertical scale height, z0 , the model has five parameters: b0 , rc , z0 , p and r0 . The above parametrization is usually named bisymmetric spiral (BSS) and exhibits field reversals between magnetic arms (see figure 2.8). By taking the absolute value of the cosine in equation (2.5) we get the disymmetric spiral (DSS). 64 This latter model is often referred to as an axisymmetric spiral in the literature. However, we prefer to reserve the term ‘axisymmetric’ to mean “independent of azimuthal angle”. A DSS (BSS) field is a logarithmic spiral field that is symmetric (antisymmetric) under the transformation θ → θ + π. Another distinction that can be made is a model’s symmetry properties under z → −z, i.e., reflection through the disk plane. We denote a field as symmetric (S) with respect to the Galactic plane if B(r, θ, −z) = B(r, θ, z), and antisymmetric (A) if B(r, θ, −z) = −B(r, θ, z). This notation agrees with, e.g., Tinyakov & Tkachev (2002), Harari et al. (1999), and Kachelrieß et al. (2007); however it conflicts with Stanev (1997) and Prouza & Smida (2003). We thus distinguish between four different sub-models of the logarithmic spiral on the basis of two symmetries; BSSS , BSSA , DSSS and DSSA . Sun et al. logarithmic spiral with ring Sun et al. (2008) test a variety of GMF models for the Galactic disk using extragalactic RMs. The authors find the model best conforming with data to be an axisymmetric field with a number of field reversals inside the solar circle. Following equation (2.4), Sun et al. defines B(r, θ, z) = D1 (r, z)D2 (r), with B0 exp − r−R − R0 D1 (r, z) = Bc exp − |z| z0 65 |z| z0 if r > Rc , (2.6) if r ≤ Rc . and D2 (r) = +1 r > 7.5 kpc −1 6 kpc < r ≤ 7.5 kpc (2.7) +1 5 kpc < r ≤ 6 kpc −1 r ≤ 5 kpc, where +1 corresponds to a clockwise magnetic field direction when viewed from the north pole. Since B(r, θ, z) does not depend on θ, this is an axisymmetric field in the true sense of the word. Sun et al. take the pitch angle to be the average for the spiral arms in the NE2001 model, p = −12◦ ; the other parameters are B0 = Bc = 2 µG, Rc = 5 kpc, R0 = 10 kpc and z0 = 1 kpc. We take these six quantities as parameters to vary in our fit. This field model (hereafter named Sun08D ) is plotted in figure 2.8. Sun et al. (2008) also include a separate halo component, detailed in §2.5.1. In section 2.6 we consider the full, composite Sun08 model, as well as the disk and halo components separately. Prouza-Smida halo field The halo component of the Sun08 model is a slightly modified version of the toroidal halo component proposed by Prouza & Smida (2003). The model (PS03 hereafter) consists of two torus-shaped fields, above and below the Galactic plane, 66 Figure 2.8: Top left: An example of a bisymmetric spiral (BSS) field model for p = −10◦ , rc = 10 kpc and r0 = 10 kpc. The corresponding disymmetric spiral (DSS) looks the same except that there is no field reversal between magnetic spiral arms. Top right: Sun08D , the favored disk model of Sun et al. (2008). Bottom left: The field proposed by Brown et al. (2007), based on the NE2001 thermal electron density model. Bottom right: Halo field model proposed by Prouza & Smida (2003), and the halo part of the Sun08 composite model. 67 Figure 2.9: Left: Toroidal disk field proposed by Vallée (2008). Right: The magnetic field model by the WMAP team (Page et al. 2007). with opposite field direction (i.e., antisymmetric in z). The magnitude of the field is given by BφH (r, z) = r − r0H r . 2 H exp − H |z|−z0H r0 r0 1 B0H 1+ (2.8) z1H The parameters used in Sun et al. (2008) are B0H = 10 µG , r0H = 4 kpc, z0H = 1.5 H H kpc, z1H = z1a = 0.2 kpc for |z| < z0H and z1H = z1b = 0.4 kpc otherwise. This model is plotted in figure 2.8. 68 Brown et al. field In Brown et al. (2007) the authors propose a modified logarithmic spiral model2 (hereafter Brown07) influenced by the structure of the NE2001 thermal electron density model with the aim to explain the SGPS rotation measure data only (i.e., the fourth quadrant region, 253◦ < l < 357◦ ). The model has zero field strength for Galactocentric radii r < 3 kpc and r > 20 kpc. Between 3 ≤ r ≤ 5 kpc (the “molecular ring”) the field is purely toroidal (i.e., zero pitch angle). For r > 5 kpc, eight magnetic spiral regions with pitch angle 11.5◦ are defined with individual field strength bj . The field in the molecular ring and the spiral region corresponding to the Scutum-Crux spiral arm is oriented counterclockwise, and the remaining regions clockwise. The field strength in region j has a radial dependence ~ j | = bj /r, with the Galactocentric radius, r, in kpc. The vertical extent of the |B field was not considered, as the model was proposed to explain the measured RMs in the Galactic disk. The model field is shown in figure 2.8. In our analysis we generalize this model by introducing three free parameters: β, which scales the overall magnetic field strengths (bj ) used in the original model; ~ j | ∝ bj /r for r > rc ; rc , such that the field strength is constant for r < rc and |B and an exponential vertical scale height z0 . 2 Details of the model parametrization are not given in Brown et al. (2007), but obtained through private communication with the authors, and not reproduced here. 69 Vallée field In Vallée (2008) and Vallée (2005) the author models the magnetic field in the disk as a perfectly toroidal field consisting of concentric rings of width 1 kpc. The model we consider here, Vallée08, has nine rings between 1 kpc and 10 kpc Galactocentric radii, each with a constant magnetic field strength (see Vallée (2008) for details). The field is clockwise as seen from the North Galactic pole, except between 5 kpc and 7 kpc where the field is reversed. In the published model the distance between the Galactic center and the Sun is set to 7.6 kpc. For this reason we rescale the radial location of the boundaries between the magnetic rings by 8.5/7.6. We note that this rescaling still does not allow an entirely fair comparison of the model. The model is shown in figure 2.9. The only two parameters we vary in the fit is a single, overall scaling factor for the field strengths and an exponential vertical scale height. WMAP field In Page et al. (2007) the authors cite Sofue et al. (1986) and Han & Wielebinski (2002) as reason to model the regular GMF with a bisymmetric spiral arm pattern. They choose the model B(r, φ, z) = B0 [sin ψ(r) cos χ(z)r̂ + cos ψ(r) cos χ(z)φ̂ + sin χ(z)ẑ] 70 (2.9) where ψ(r) = ψ0 + ψ1 ln(r/8 kpc) and χ(z) = χ0 tanh(z/1 kpc), and let r range from 3 kpc to 20 kpc. In Page et al. (2007) the distance from the Sun to the center of the Galaxy is taken to be 8 kpc. By fitting model predictions of the polarization angle γ to the WMAP K-band data by using the correlation coefficient rc = cos(2(γmodel − γdata )), they report a best fit for χ0 = 25◦ , ψ0 = 27◦ and ψ1 = 0.9◦ . With these parameters rc, rms =0.76, the rms average over the unmasked sky. This loosely wound spiral is plotted in figure 2.9. A few comments about the WMAP model: Firstly, Page et al. (2007) characterize their model as a bisymmetric spiral, while in fact it is not (for a fixed radius, |B| has the same value at all azimuths, and thus is an axisymmetric field). Secondly, using the rms average (as opposed to the arithmetic mean) of rc leads to an incorrect estimate of the best-fit parameters, since, e.g., a pixel with rc = −1 (worst possible fit) is indistinguishable to rc = 1 (best possible fit). Finally, equation 2.9 and the above quoted best fit parameters differ from the published quantities due to typos3 in Page et al. (2007). Because the authors of Page et al. (2007) only used the polarization angle in their analysis no constraints on B0 were found. When performing the model fitting with the WMAP field model in this Chapter we use a four parameter (B0 , χ0 , ψ0 , ψ1 ) model. In accordance with Page et al. (2007) no vertical scale height is used. 3 Errata: http://lambda.gsfc.nasa.gov/product/map/dr2/pub papers/threeyear/polarization/ errata.cfm 71 Exponential fields To investigate the efficacy of specific model features in lowering the total χ2 for the optimized model we test a very simple class of GMF models, and iteratively add some complexity. We start with a basic axisymmetric model defined by an overall field strength B0 , radial and vertical exponential scale heights r0 and z0 , and pitch angle p. As in the case of the logarithmic spirals we also test for symmetry/antisymmetry under the transformation z → −z. We denote these models “ES ” and “EA ”. We also test a somewhat more refined model, by introducing a single field reversal. We let B0 → −B0 for r < rc , and also allow the pitch angle to be different for r < rc . Again allowing for different symmetry under reflection in the Galactic plane, we label these six-parameter models “E2S ” and “E2A ”. The antisymmetry with respect to the Galactic plane of the signs of Extragalactic RMs at |b| & 15◦ has been used to support the idea that the magnetic field in the halo is antisymmetric with respect to reflection through the plane (Han et al. 1997). However, the antisymmetry of the signs of RMs seem to hold only for the inner part of the Galaxy, i.e., |l| . 100◦ , which may imply that the GMF in the halo is not globally antisymmetric. To quantify this, we also investigate a third pair of models: “E2No ” and “E2So ”. These are identical to E2S, A , except that for E2No the only field reversal occurs at r < rc , z > 0 (North), and at r < rc , z < 0 (South) for E2So . 72 2.6 Results and discussion To quantitatively compare the different GMF models introduced in section 2.5.1 we use the χ2 per degree of freedom, also known as the reduced χ2 , χ2dof = χ2tot /(N − P ), where N is the number of data points and P is the number of free parameters used in the minimization. For each GMF model we find χ2dof for three separate cases: using the complete data set, using only the data in the disk region, and finally using only the halo region data. Each model will thus have three separate sets of best-fit parameters. There is no obvious way to best present the results graphically; in figure 2.10 we put the reduced χ2 of the “single” field models (i.e., not the Sun08 composite model, but see §2.6.1) for the three cases on three parallel axes, and connect the points for each model. For comparison, we also calculate ~ = 0), which serves as a upper bound on the the reduced χ2 for the null case (B possible range of χ2dof , and is marked by a red bar in figure 2.10. It should be noted that the relative value of the reduced χ2 for different models is of greater importance than the absolute value for a given model, since the latter is sensitive to somewhat arbitrary choices in the calculation of σEGS and σQ,U . We also recall that in this Chapter we are not aiming to find the best possible model of the GMF, as that would require including random fields and testing a larger set of 73 models. Our purpose is to present a new method of constraining GMF models and draw broad conclusions regarding GMF models currently used in the literature. From figure 2.10, a few general things are clear. • There is no overall tendency of field topologies to simultaneously be a good (or bad) fit to both the disk and halo data. This may imply that the Galactic magnetic field in the halo has a topologically distinct structure compared to the disk, i.e., that the GMF is not a “single” field with the same form but slightly different parameters in the halo. • The spread of minimized χ2dof for disk data is significant; the models that are antisymmetric under z → −z are all strongly disfavored. • The spread of χ2dof between models when fitting to the halo data alone is much less than when fitting to disk data alone. This is to be expected since ~ polarized synchrotron data is only used in the halo and is identical for B ~ making for instance a symmetric model indistinguishable from an and −B, antisymmetric model. The synchrotron data set also has roughly twice the number of data points as the RM data set in the halo. • For the class of axisymmetric models “E2”, the quality of fit to halo data is remarkably sensitive to the model’s specific symmetry with respect to the z = 0 plane. The case where only the inner region of the Galactic magnetic field is antisymmetric is strongly favored over the completely symmetric or 74 E2S E2No Brown07 Sun08D BSSS E2A E2So WMAP DSSS PS03 Vallee08 BSSA ES DSSA EA Full sky Disk 1 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.8 χ2 2 2.2 2.4 2.6 Halo Figure 2.10: The reduced χ2 for a selection of GMF models. Each model has been optimized to fit the data for the full data set, the disk data, and the halo data, respectively. In each case a separate set of best-fit parameters has been obtained. The model names are ordered according to the reduced χ2 for the full sky data ~ = 0. sample. The red bars mark the reduced χ2 for the null case, B antisymmetric model. 2.6.1 Fitting models to entire data set As noted above, figure 2.10 suggests that the magnetic structure of the Galactic disk is significantly different from that of the halo. To test this hypothesis further we investigate the GMF models with the best performance in the disk and the halo. For these two models, Sun08D and E2No , we note in table 2.1 the reduced χ2 for the models when fitted to the region (disk or halo) it performs best in, as well as the reduced χ2 for the same model when fitted to the other regions (disk, halo, 75 all sky) when the same parameters are used as for the best performing region. It is evident that there is a strong tendency for a model to do poorly in regions not used in the optimization. Indeed, this effect is so pronounced that when fitted to the disk (halo) data the Sun08D (E2No ) model predictions for the halo (disk) is ~ = 0. We thus conclude that the disk and halo even worse than the null case, B magnetic fields should be studied separately, and later combined into a complete model of the Galactic magnetic field; as done in, e.g., Prouza & Smida (2003) and Sun et al. (2008). Imposing continuity and flux conservation is in general a non-trivial challenge. Sun08 composite model The Sun08 model warrants some additional comments, as it is unique among those considered in this Chapter in that it has separate components for the disk and the halo. The full model is not included in figure 2.10, since it only makes sense to fit a “composite” model to the full sky data set. Instead we note the reduced χ2 for two interesting cases in table 2.1. When the full 11 parameter Sun08 model is optimized to the full data set, the lowest χ2 for any model is achieved. Note however that both the reduced χ2disk and reduced χ2halo are 0.2 larger than the lowest χ2 achieved when fit by separate components (Sun08D and E2No ). From figure 2.10 it is clear that the PS03 halo component is a relatively poor model of the magnetic field in the halo and is thus forcing the disk component to depart from its 76 preferred parameters to improve the fit in the halo. Because of the large number of parameters (11) we refrain from calculating the confidence levels for the best-fit parameters of the full model. Instead we consider the case when the parameters of the disk component are fixed to their optimized values (obtained using disk data only), except for the vertical scale height, z0 , which is allowed to vary together with the halo field parameters. The best-fit parameters are summarized in table 2.1. We note that in combination with the halo field the preferred scale height of the disk component is relatively small (∼ 0.5 kpc). The preferred halo field strength is considerable, but as discussed in Sun et al. (2008) this is most likely due to an underestimation of the thermal electron scale height (see also §2.6.4 for further discussion). 2.6.2 Fitting models to disk data 77 Table 2.1: best-fit parameters and 1σ confidence levels for the bestfitting models. The ‘Region’ column refer to what data set was used to optimize parameters. The set of reduced χ2 has been calculated from the model predictions of the listed best-fit parameters. a b The full Sun08 model with 11 parameters. The full Sun08 model when keeping the parameters of the disk component (except the vertical scale height) fixed to their best-fit values, and varying the halo parameters only. ? Note: the likelihood function of rc for the E2No model has a complicated shape, and thus has a less well defined error range (see figure 2.13). Model best-fit Parameters Sun08D B0 = 1.1 ± 0.1 µG, Bc = 0.16 ± 0.20 µG p = 35 ± 3◦ , rc = 5.7 ± 0.2 kpc Region χ2f ull χ2disk χ2halo disk 2.27 1.35 2.61 halo 1.86 2.94 1.48 all 1.63 1.55 1.68 all 1.68 1.42 1.78 R0 = 5.1 ± 0.9 kpc E2No B0 = 2.3 ± 0.1 µG, rc = 8.72 kpc? p1 = −2 ± 2◦ , p2 = −30 ± 1◦ Sun08a Sun08b z0disk = 0.44 ± 0.05 kpc, B0H = 4.9 ± 0.7 µG H z1a = 0.12 ± 0.05 kpc H z1b = 8.5 ± 1.5 kpc r0H = 18 ± 4 kpc z0H = 1.4 ± 0.1 kpc The best-fit field model for the disk data is Sun08D , the axisymmetric field with multiple field reversals presented in Sun et al. (2008). The best-fit parameters 78 Figure 2.11: Left: The best-fit Sun08D -type model for the magnetic field in disk of the Milky Way. Right: The best-fit GMF field for the halo data, E2No . The plot shows the field for z > 0. In the south (z < 0), the field direction in the inner region (r < 8.7 kpc) is flipped. The relative normalization is arbitrary. are summarized in table 2.1 and figure 2.12. Note that some of these best-fit parameters are very different from the choices in Sun et al. (2008). Some differences are expected since the parameter values were arrived at using slightly different data and a significantly different method of analysis which probes a much larger parameter space. If, e.g., the pitch angle is enforced to the originally proposed value of p = −12◦ the reduced χ2 optimized for the disk data increases from 1.35 to 1.44, causing the model to lose its lead position. The runner-up for the best-fit disk field is the Brown07 model. It is not surprising that these two models perform the best, since in addition to the parameters allowed to vary in the fit (three parameters for Brown07, six for Sun08D ) both 79 45 40 p (deg) rc (kpc) 6 5.8 5.6 30 25 5.4 1 1.2 1.4 b0 (µ G) 1 45 1.2 1.4 b0 (µ G) 0.8 0.6 bc (µ G) 40 p (deg) 35 35 30 0.4 0.2 0 −0.2 25 −0.4 5.4 5.6 5.8 rc (kpc) 6 2 4 6 r0 (kpc) 8 10 Figure 2.12: The 1σ and 2σ confidence levels for the best-fit parameters of the Sun08D model when fitted to disk data. 80 models have several fixed parameters that were originally obtained using extragalactic RM data sets similar to the one used in the present analysis. These fixed parameters make a fair comparison of the two models difficult. 2.6.3 Fitting models to halo data The best-fit field model for the halo data is ’E2No ’, by a significant margin. bestfit parameters are summarized in table 2.1 and confidence levels plotted in figure 2.13, while the field itself is plotted in figure 2.11. Because of the limited radial and vertical extent of the electron distributions, the contribution to the simulated synchrotron emission and rotation measures from regions far from the center of the disk are effectively zero, regardless of the magnetic field in that region. We allow the radial and vertical scale height parameters of the E2No magnetic field to vary in the MCMC up to 30 kpc and 10 kpc, respectively. Figure 2.13 makes it clear that very large magnetic scale heights are preferred. If the assumed ne , ncre are correct, we interpret this to mean that a fairly constant field strength is preferred (the spatial extent of which we cannot infer). Alternatively, it can be a sign that the scale heights of the electron distributions are underestimated. 81 8.76 2 0 p1 (deg) rc (kpc) 8.74 8.72 8.7 −2 −4 −6 8.68 2.2 2.4 b0 (µ G) 2.6 2.8 −34 8 28 6 26 r0 (kpc) z0 (kpc) 2 −8 4 −30 −28 p2 (deg) −26 24 22 2 0 2 −32 2.2 2.4 b0 (µ G) 2.6 2.8 20 2 2.2 2.4 b0 (µ G) 2.6 2.8 Figure 2.13: The 1σ and 2σ confidence levels for the best-fit parameters of the E2No model when fitted to halo data. 82 2.6.4 Scale heights of electron distributions It should be emphasized that synchrotron emission and rotation measures are not observables of the Galactic magnetic field alone, but the magnetized interstellar ~ ne , ncre ). To properly model the GMF a comprehensive and selfmedium (B, consistent treatment – where parameters of all three components of the magnetized ISM are optimized simultaneously – would be desirable, which falls beyond the scope of this Chapter. In this section we briefly investigate how changes in the scale height of electron distributions affect the best-fit parameters of some GMF models. This is by no means an exhaustive study, and is mainly intended to test the versatility of our general method of analysis, and to be considered a precursor to future work. The vertical scale height of thermal electrons A result common for all GMF models under consideration is that constraints on their vertical scale height are extremely weak. For the disk, the majority of RMs lie within |b| < 1.5◦ and no useful constraint in the vertical magnetic scale height can be obtained. For the halo, constraints on the scale height are also weak. An illustration of this is that a field like the WMAP model which lacks a vertical scale height altogether still can achieve a fairly good χ2 in the halo. The reason the magnetic scale height is poorly constrained is because the observables depend on the product of the magnetic field and an electron density (ne 83 for RM and ncre for synchrotron emission). The models of these electron density distributions have their own vertical scale heights and thus significantly reduce the RM and synchrotron emission at larger vertical distances from the disk independently of whether a significant magnetic field exists there or not. Recent work by Gaensler et al. (2008) has shown that the vertical scale height of thermal electrons may be significantly underestimated in the NE2001 model, possibly by a factor of two. It is thus important to consider the impact of a change in the thermal electron scale height on the best-fit vertical magnetic scale height. To investigate this we modify the vertical scale height, h0 , of the thick disk in the Cordes & Lazio (2002) NE2001 model (keeping fixed the product of the mid-plane density and the vertical scale height, which is constrained by pulsar DMs), and fit the E2No model to the RM and polarized synchrotron data in the halo. All magnetic field parameters except B0 and z0 are kept fixed to their best-fit values with the original NE2001 scale height. As seen from the results, which are plotted in figure 2.14, the preferred vertical magnetic scale height and its uncertainty decrease as the electron density scale height is increased. For a large electron density scale height, h0 > 1.5 kpc, the preferred vertical magnetic scale height is z0 ≈ 1.3−2 kpc. Additionally, if the vertical scale height of the relativistic electron density tracks h0 and this should be increased as well, the resulting best-fit value of z0 would be smaller still. When in a future analysis both random and regular magnetic fields are considered together, equipartition arguments could be invoked 84 to relate the magnetic field and cosmic ray electron density scale heights. Radial scale length of relativistic electrons The analysis method introduced in this Chapter can readily be extended from a formal point of view, to include varying parameters of the electron densities as well as of the GMF models. We test the feasibility of this by letting the galactocentric radial scale length of the relativistic electron model vary (but enforcing the overall normalization such that ncre (Earth) is at its measured value). Redoing the parameter estimation for the halo model E2No with this added parameter, we find the new best-fit parameters to be within the previously noted confidence levels, and the best-fit radial scale length becomes rcre = 6.6 ± 1.5 kpc, which is close to the fixed value rcre = 5 kpc. 2.6.5 Discussion An obvious but important comment is that a best-fit model is not necessarily a ‘good’, or correct, model. And best-fit parameters and confidence levels have little relevance if the underlying model is a poor depiction of reality. For example, most of the models under consideration in this Chapter have a pitch angle as a free parameter, but the best-fit pitch angles differ by a factor of a few between models. Hence, if we lack confidence in the veracity of a given model we cannot trust the optimized value of the pitch angle. 85 5 4.5 4 z0 (kpc) 3.5 3 2.5 2 1.5 1 0.5 0 0.5 1 h0 (kpc) 1.5 2 Figure 2.14: The best-fit vertical magnetic scale height vs. the vertical scale height of the NE2001 thermal electron density of the thick disk when fit to halo RMs and polarized synchrotron data. The E2No field model was used, keeping all parameters except B0 and z0 fixed to their best-fit values. The error bars contain 90% of the MCMC sampled points. 86 So how do we achieve confidence in a GMF model? More data, in particular RM sources in “empty” regions of figure 2.5, will strongly reduce the number of GMF models that can reproduce the data well. Of special importance are the large gaps of RM data in the disk at 0◦ . l . 60◦ and 150◦ . l . 250◦ . At present, a few topologically distinct GMF models considered in this Chapter reproduce the RM data almost equally well, while at the same time making significantly different predictions for the rotation measure in the regions of the disk lacking data. For example, in the disk the Sun08D , Brown07 and E2s models fit the data best, yet the latter model has only one field reversal and the others three; thus even the sign of RM will differ between the models for part of the disk. Filling these gaps in the data is thus crucial. In addition, more data at high Galactic latitude will enable regions of the sky to be constrained where now there are too few RMs to measure σ. Pulsar RMs are abundant in the disk, and future work will incorporate this data set as well. In addition, polarized synchrotron data in the disk can be used if the contamination due to local synchrotron features are modeled and subtracted. A complimentary approach is to introduce a χ2theory term that incorporates ~ = 0) and information gained through our understanding of physics (e.g., ∇ · B observations of magnetic fields in external galaxies similar to the Milky Way (e.g., that pitch angles only vary within some specific range). Adding χ2theory to χ2tot would be a first step toward a fully Bayesian analysis. It would act to disfavor unphysical models that, at present, are able to reproduce the current data well. Similarly, 87 using predictions from a theory of galactic magnetogenesis, such as dynamo theory, could possibly provide powerful constraints on our freedom to build models of the GMF. However, with the genesis of galactic magnetism still not fully understood, we believe it prudent to study the Galactic magnetic field in the most empirical way possible. Hopefully, a firm observational understanding of the magnetic field of the Milky Way will be a significant aid in resolving the theoretical question of the formation of such a magnetic field. Model-building When building a model of the Galactic magnetic field it is essential to be able to quantify the improvement of the model by the inclusion or modification of a particular model feature. This is especially true when models become more complex than what can be described by a handful of parameters, as we have shown in this work is necessary. The reduced χ2 provides such a tool as outlined above. In combination with codes to simulate mock data sets and perform parameter estimation, the reduced χ2 creates a simulation laboratory where one can easily assess and compare the pull on χ2 of any proposed model feature. 2.7 Summary and conclusion In this Chapter we combined the two main probes of the large-scale Galactic magnetic field – Faraday rotation measures and polarized synchrotron emission – to 88 test the capability of a variety of 3D GMF models common in the literature to account for the two data sets. We used 1433 extragalactic rotation measures and the polarized synchrotron component of the 22 GHz band in WMAP’s five year data release. To avoid polarized local features we applied a mask on the synchrotron data, covering the disk and some prominent structures such as the North Polar Spur. We developed estimators of the variance in the two data sets due to turbulent and other small-scale or intrinsic effects. Together with a numerical code to simulate mock RM and synchrotron data (the Hammurabi code, by Waelkens et al. (2009)) this allows us to calculate the total χ2 for a given GMF model, and then find best-fit parameters and confidence levels for a given model. This enables us to quantitatively compare the validity of different models with each other. From applying our method on a selection of GMF models in the literature we conclude the following: • None of the models under consideration are able to reproduce the data well. • The large-scale magnetic field in the Galactic disk is fundamentally different than the magnetic field in the halo. • Antisymmetry (with respect to z → −z) for the magnetic field in the disk is strongly disfavored. For the halo, antisymmetry of the magnetic field in the inner part of the Galaxy is substantially preferred to both the completely 89 symmetric or antisymmetric case. We find the existence of several false maxima in likelihood space to be a generic trait in the models considered. Specifically, for the best-fit disk model in this work, the true maximum is far removed from the configuration considered in its original form. However, we caution that this optimized configuration should not be trusted as its structure is clearly unphysical. We posit a combination of two explanations for this fact: firstly, the underlying model may not be sufficiently detailed to explain the GMF or may be otherwise incorrect. Secondly, the lack of RM data in large sections of the disk may create both local and global likelihood maxima that would not otherwise exist. From this and other observations we recommend the following regarding future GMF model-building: • It is necessary to probe a large parameter space to avoid false likelihood maxima. • A more complete sky coverage of RM data is necessary to derive a trustworthy GMF model. • Optimized parameters are sensitive to the underlying electron distributions, and these quantities should be included in the optimization for selfconsistency and to achieve correct estimates of confidence levels. 90 • When possible, combining separate data sets should be done to maximize the number of data points in the analysis, to probe orthogonal components of the magnetic field, and to ensure the final model’s consistency with the most observables. We also emphasize that by having a well-defined measure of the quality-of-fit, such as provided in this work, the efficacy of any given model feature (i.e., symmetry, extra free parameter, etc.) can be quantified, which is essential when building the next generation of models of the GMF. In the comparatively near future the number of measured extragalactic RMs will increase by more than an order of magnitude (see e.g., Taylor (2009); Gaensler et al. (2004); Gaensler (2009)) and Planck data will become available, which together should allow large parts of the currently valid model and parameter space to be excluded. 91 Chapter 3 Magnetic deflection of UHECRs in the direction of Cen A Chapter Abstract The Pierre Auger Observatory has observed an excess of Ultrahigh Energy Cosmic Rays (UHECRs) in the region of the sky close to the nearby radio galaxy Centaurus A. We constrain the large-scale Galactic magnetic field and the small-scale random magnetic field in the direction of Cen A, using WMAP 22 GHz data and extragalactic rotation measure sources, including 188 sources around Cen A. From the best fit models of the GMF we estimate the deflection of the observed UHECRs and predict their source positions on the sky. We find that the deflection due to random fields are small compared to deflections due to the regular field. Assuming 92 the UHECRs are protons we find that 4 of the published Auger events above 57 EeV are consistent with coming from Cen A. We conclude that the proposed scenarios in which most of the events within approximately 20◦ of Cen A come from it are unlikely, regardless of the composition of the UHECRs. 3.1 Introduction Centaurus A, our nearest active radio galaxy, was first considered as a possible source of UHECRs by Cavallo (1978). Farrar & Piran (2000) considered a scenario where most UHECRs originate from Cen A. With the recently completed Pierre Auger Observatory, numerous events have been observed close to Cen A (see figure 3.1) and interest in Cen A as a possible UHECR source has been revived. Wibig & Wolfendale (2007) consider Cen A to be one of three sources that combined are responsible for all observed UHECRs. An analysis of the significance of correlation between UHECRs and Cen A was performed by Gorbunov et al. (2008). Hardcastle et al. (2009) and Croston et al. (2009) investigate the plausibility of the giant radio lobes of Cen A as acceleration sites of UHECRs. Kachelrieß et al. (2009) consider the case of the radio jet at the core of Cen A as an accelerator. Rachen (2008) considers various mechanisms that could accelerate UHECRs in radio galaxies such as Cen A. Fargion (2008, 2009) argues that Cen A is the source of the dozen or so events in the region of the sky surrounding Cen A; he suggests that the CRs 93 consist of light nuclei (He, Be, B, C, O) that are smeared by Galactic random magnetic fields oriented parallel to the Galactic plane, causing the observed CRs to be aligned along a “string” perpendicular to the plane, as seen in figure 3.1. Whether Cen A can be the source of several or of many of the highest energy Cosmic Rays depends on the nature of the Galactic and extragalactic magnetic fields along the line of sight in the general direction of Cen A. If a large-scale coherent field dominates the deflection and this field is known, then the magnitude and direction of the deflection of each CR can be calculated assuming they are protons, or for any other charge assignment. In order for many of the highest energy UHECRs to be produced by Cen A, deflections in turbulent fields must dominate coherent fields – otherwise, UHECRs from Cen A would be arranged according to decreasing rigidity (E/Z) along some (one-sided) arc originating at Cen A which is manifestly not observed. In this chapter, we constrain models of the magnetic fields between Cen A and the solar system, using extragalactic Faraday rotation measures and synchrotron radiation observed by WMAP. By constraining both the regular and random magnetic fields, we predict the direction to the sources of the observed UHECRs in the vicinity of Cen A and assess the plausibility of Cen A as a source of a subset of the observed UHECRs. The chapter is organized as follows: in section 3.2 we give a brief overview of the relevant facts that are known about Centaurus A as an astrophysical object. 94 Figure 3.1: The published Auger UHECR events above 57 EeV around Cen A. Energies are marked in EeV, with contours from radio data (Haslam et al. 1982) outlining Cen A (center) and parts of the Galactic plane. Section 3.3 discusses the available observational data that can constrain the magnetic field in the direction of Cen A. Section 3.4 describes our best model of the regular and random magnetic field. Section 3.5 discusses the expected deflection and source location of observed UHECRs. We end with section 3.6, a summary and discussion. 95 3.2 Centaurus A - an overview Centaurus A (NGC 5128) is a Fanaroff-Riley Class I (FR-I) radio galaxy (Israel 1998). The massive elliptical host galaxy is located at (l, b) = (309.5◦ , 19.4◦ ). Thanks to its proximity and size, its enormous radio lobes combine into the largest extragalactic object on the sky, with an angular size of 8◦ -by-4◦ , corresponding to a physical size of 500×250 kpc at the distance of 3.4 Mpc. Figure 3.2 show Cen A in total intensity at 408 MHz (Haslam et al. 1982). About 5 kpc from the central galaxy, jets from the accretion disk surrounding the central supermassive black hole expand into plumes as they plow into the ambient intergalactic medium. These plumes are called the inner radio lobes. Some material goes farther, creating the northern middle lobe, which extends to 30 kpc and lacks a southern counterpart. The giant outer radio lobes extend 250 kpc in projection both in the north and the south. The 3D orientation of the lobes is not well-known, but the northern lobe is believed to be closer to us than the southern lobe. It has often been suggested that Cen A is in fact a “misaligned” BL Lac1 . 1 A sub-class of active galactic nuclei (AGN), with a relativistic jet closely aligned with the observer’s line-of-sight. 96 Figure 3.2: Centaurus A in total intensity (Stokes I) at 408 MHz (Haslam et al. 1982). 97 3.3 Observables of the magnetic field toward Cen A Estimating the magnetic field structure of the Milky Way (and beyond) in a particular direction is very challenging. From studies of external galaxies (see chapter 1) we know that even galaxies that exhibit highly regular large-scale magnetic fields often have smaller irregularities that can make predictions of the magnetic field in a given direction based on the correct ‘global’ GMF model incorrect. However, in the absence of extensive observational data in the direction of interest, relying on global GMF modeling is a necessary crutch. The study of the magnetic field in the direction of Cen A serves as a useful case study in how to estimate Galactic magnetic fields in any given direction. While we will end up not including starlight polarization data or pulsar rotation measures, these data sets could in general be extremely useful in constraining the GMF in a given direction. A detailed description of the observables below and their connection to magnetic fields is given in chapter 1. In this section we discuss only that part of the analysis that specifically relates to Cen A. 3.3.1 Synchrotron emission The low frequency radio image of Cen A in figure 3.2 clearly shows the giant lobes as well as the northern middle lobe. Galactic foreground emission – mainly 98 Figure 3.3: Polarized synchrotron radiation at 22 GHz (Page et al. 2007), capped at 0.1 mK. The texture follows the magnetic field (the measured polarization angle rotated 90◦ ). The inset show a zoomed view of Cen A. 99 synchrotron radiation – is also visible in this image at lower galactic latitude (b). To extract information about the large-scale regular magnetic field, however, it is preferable to study the polarized intensity and polarization angle at a frequency not strongly affected by Faraday rotation, which acts to obfuscate polarized radiation emitted from larger distances. The WMAP5 22 GHz synchrotron maps (Gold et al. 2008) provide such a data set. Figure 3.3 shows a large part of the sky, with color scale indicating polarization intensity and texture tracing the projected magnetic field (i.e., the polarization angle rotated by 90◦ ). The texture gets more prominent in regions with strong PI. A blow-up of the Cen A region is shown in the inset. It is clear from figure 3.3 that Cen A is located in a special position on the sky: at the very edge of the highly polarized region that is part of the nearby North Polar Spur (NPS) or radio loop 1 (Wolleben 2007). Figure 3.4 make this point clearer by plotting the PI along the meridian passing through Cen A. The significant polarization intensity bordering Cen A to the left is hence most likely coming from very nearby (. 200 pc) and is not a good indicator of the magnetic field structure in the diffuse interstellar medium, which presumably has the greatest impact on UHECR deflections because of its great extent. Fortunately, Cen A lies at the edge of this local synchrotron emission, and to the right of Cen A the radiation is much weaker and probably dominated by emission from the diffuse ISM. Figure 3.5 show the same WMAP data in greater detail, with bars indicating the polarization angle. The low emission region to the right of Cen A could theoretically contain significant 100 information about the magnetic field: the polarized intensity can be used to infer the strength of the transverse magnetic field (also the relevant quantity for the deflection of UHECRs), and the polarization angle to infer the orientation of the transverse magnetic field and hence also the UHECR deflection. Unfortunately, the signal-to-noise is poor in the low emission region, and a reliable estimation of the polarization angle is not possible with the WMAP data. The estimated 1σ errors in the polarized synchrotron map in this region is approximately 2 µK (Dunkley et al. 2009). To compare simulated PI with observational data it is necessary to first estimate the PI due to Galactic synchrotron emission and its variance due to random magnetic fields. We use the same method described in §2.4 and average the WMAP Stokes Q and U parameters over a circle of radius 4◦ to estimate the PI in the circled region. The variance of the PI is calculated from the 1◦ pixels within the circle. The measured PI in the direction of Cen A is obviously dominated by emission from Cen A itself, and cannot be used. Local features dominate much of the surrounding sky. While the area adjacent Cen A to the right appear mostly uncontaminated by local emission, the PI averaged over a 4◦ circle is quite sensitive to the exact placement of the circle. For this reason we manually pick four locations (see figure 3.6) to place 4◦ circles and compute the average PI and variance of these regions. In this way we estimate the polarized intensity to be PI = 0.006 ± 0.009 mK in the general direction of Cen A. The total intensity is less sensitive to local 101 Figure 3.4: Polarized synchrotron intensity (WMAP, 22 GHz) of the b=19.4◦ meridian after averaging Stokes Q and U over 4 degree radii circles. The Cen A value marked is the average PI for the Cen A region, as estimated in §3.3.1. The North Polar Spur and Fan region are marked. 102 Figure 3.5: Polarized synchrotron radiation at 22 GHz around Cen A, with bars showing the polarization angle. The central contour mark the boundary of Cen A. 103 Figure 3.6: WMAP 22 GHz polarized synchrotron radiation and circles marking the regions used to estimate the Galactic contribution to the PI in the direction of Cen A. variations, but more sensitive to Galactic latitude (see figure 3.7). Thus we only use the 4◦ circle adjacent to Cen A, which yields the estimate I = 0.10 ± 0.07 mK. This data will be crucial in estimating the presence of random fields, done below in §3.4. 104 Figure 3.7: WMAP 22 GHz total synchrotron radiation. 105 3.3.2 Extragalactic rotation measure sources In addition to synchrotron data, Faraday rotation measures yield complementary constraints on the large-scale GMF. Feain et al. (2009) recently measured the RMs of 188 extragalactic sources with lines-of-sight near, but outside, Cen A (see figure 3.8). This data set can provide an excellent constraint on the line-of-sight component of the intervening magnetic field. The average RM of the sources is −54 rad m−2 , with a standard deviation of 32 rad m−2 . 3.3.3 Other potentially useful data sets Pulsars Pulsar rotation measures could conceivably provide powerful constraints on the line-of-sight component magnetic field toward Cen A. The benefit of pulsars RMs compared to EGS RMs is that the former only probe the Galactic RM contribution between the observer and the pulsar, while the latter may be contaminated by RM contributions of extragalactic origin or RM intrinsic to the source. However, as seen in figure 3.9, only 7 pulsars within 10◦ of Cen A have measured RMs. Moreover, the distances of the pulsars can only be estimated by their dispersion measure and assuming a 3D model of the thermal electron distribution (for details, see §1.2.1). The distances labeled in the figure have been estimated using the NE2001 thermal electron model (Cordes & Lazio 2002, 2003), with modifications according 106 Figure 3.8: 188 extragalactic sources with line-of-sights outside Cen A (Feain et al. 2009). Red squares denote positive rotation measures (corresponding to a line-ofsight electron-density-weighted average magnetic field toward the observer), blue circles denote negative rotation measures. The size of the markers is proportional to the magnitude of the rotation measure. 107 to Gaensler et al. (2008), i.e., a thick disk mid-plane density of 0.014 cm−3 with a vertical scale height of 1.83 kpc. It is clear from figure 3.9 that there is significant differences in the measured pulsar RMs, with the pulsar probing the farthest even having a different sign than the EGS RMs in figure 3.8. An explanation of this is the significance of random fields and the somewhat lower latitude of the pulsar compared to the EGS. Because the number of EGS available, and the relatively low variance of their RMs, we do not include any pulsar RMs in our analysis and interpret the average EGS RM as the total Galactic contribution of rotation measure in the direction of Cen A. starlight polarization Starlight polarization (see §1.2.3) provides mainly directional information on the transverse magnetic field. As such, it could be very useful in predicting the direction of the deflection of UHECRs. Unfortunately, as seen in figure 3.10, the numerous starlight polarization measurements that exist are all from very nearby stars, and thus probe only a small fraction of the magnetic field between Earth and Cen A. Hence we will not include the starlight polarization data in our analysis. 3.4 Magnetic field modeling The above estimates of the RM, I and PI are not sufficient to fix the Galactic magnetic field structure in the direction of Cen A because they are given by line108 Figure 3.9: The 7 pulsars within an angular distance of 10◦ from Cen A with measured RM. Red squares (blue circles) denote positive (negative) rotation measures with area proportional to the magnitude of the RM. Distances in kpc are given in black rectangles, inferred from the pulsar dispersion measures using the NE2001 thermal electron model (with modifications according to Gaensler et al. (2008)). 109 Figure 3.10: Polarized synchrotron intensity (WMAP, 22 GHz) and starlight polarization bars. Length of bars indicate polarization fraction. Distances are labeled in kpc. 110 of-sight integrals along which the field reverses. Thus, we determine the parameters of the best-fit global GMF model by using all-sky PI and RM data as in Chapter 2 and Jansson et al. (2009), then test the quality of the resultant total field in the Cen A direction by comparing predicted and observed RM and PI for that direction in particular. At a later stage we use the observed total intensity to estimate the strength of random fields in the Cen A direction. In Chapter 2 we investigated the quality of most of the large-scale GMF models proposed in the literature to explain polarized synchrotron and extragalactic RM data. The magnetic field in the disk was found to have a fundamentally different form to the field in the halo. In this paper we combine the best models of the disk and the halo from Chapter 2 into a global GMF model. For the halo this is the E2No model, while for the disk, we choose the Brown07 model (Brown et al. 2007) instead of the optimized Sun08 disk model (Sun et al. 2008), which had unphysical best-fit parameters; see Chapter 2 for details. We generalize the analysis of Jansson et al. (2009) by replacing the vertical scale height of the disk field with a parameter, hdisk , that defines the height of the sharp transition between the disk and halo field. The model of the Galactic halo field is further generalized to include an out-of-plane component, as suggested by radio observations of edge-on external galaxies (Beck 2009). The out-of-plane component of the halo field is taken to be axisymmetric and specified by its field strength just X X X above (below) the Galactic disk, B0,N orth (B0,South ), pitch angle p , elevation angle 111 θX , and radial and vertical exponential scale lengths r0X and z0X . The B0X ’s can be negative, to allow for various symmetries (magnetic field lines directed toward or away from the disk, ‘quadrupole-like’; or having the same direction both above and below the disk, ‘dipole-like’). Hereafter, we will refer to the out-of-plane halo component as the “X-field” component, since it is partially motivated by the Xshaped field structures observed in external, edge-on galaxies (Beck 2009). To constrain the random dispersion of UHECRs about their coherent deflection it is crucial to put robust limits on random fields. We include two types of random fields in our analysis: purely random fields and “striated” random fields. Supernovae and other outflows are expected to produce randomly-oriented fields with a coherence length λ of order 100 pc or less. Differential rotation will shear these random fields, producing a striated configuration whose predominant orientation is plausibly aligned with the local coherent field. Striated fields produce a net polarized intensity emission even if the average field vanishes, but do not contribute in the leading order to rotation measures. We include the effects of striated magnetic fields by adding a multiplicative factor to the calculation of PI, such that if this factor is equal to unity we recover the original expression. We let the factor be a free parameter in the large-scale GMF model. There is an obvious degeneracy between the strength of striated magnetic fields and the relativistic electron density: if we write the multiplicative factor as α(1 + β), we can interpret 2 2 α as being the scaling of the relativistic electron density, with Bstri = βBreg . The 112 distribution of relativistic electrons in the Galaxy is not well enough known to permit this degeneracy to be disentangled at present. Of course, since β > 0 if α(1 + β) is found to be less than unity we can conclude that α < 1, and that ncre has been underestimated. To avoid underestimating the random deflection of UHECRs, we here assume α = 1 if α(1 + β) > 1. 3.4.1 Results of the fit We apply the method detailed in Chapter 2 to find the field parameters which best fit the WMAP 22 GHz polarized synchrotron emission and all published extragalactic RMs (including the recent addition of 188 RMs in the Cen A direction, from Feain et al. (2009)). The reduced χ2 of the best fit is 1.24. This is a substantial improvement over the previous-best global GMF model, with χ2 = 1.63, although an exact comparison is not possible due to the different number of data points and parameters. The predicted PI and RM in the Cen A direction for the best-fit field parameters are 0.013 mK and -49 rad m−2 , respectively, and are thus in good agreement with the observed values. The best-fit GMF parameters are summarized in table 3.1. The transition between disk and halo field occurs at a relatively low height, 0.14 kpc, i.e., more akin to a thin disk than a thick disk. Most other best-fit parameters are similar to those found in Chapter 2, and we refer to that Chapter for parameter definitions. The out-of-plane halo component is found to be contained in the inner part of 113 Table 3.1: Best fit GMF parameters. Due to the large number of parameters, those whose error ranges are small (. 10%), or have negligible affect on the final estimation of UHECR deflections have been set to their best-fit values in the final MCMC analysis and thus lack error estimates. For the vertical scale height of the out-of-plane field only a lower bound is possible with the current data. See Chapter 2 for parameter definitions. Model Best fit Parameters Brown07 disk αD = 0.2, rc = 15 kpc, hdisk = 0.14 kpc E2No halo B0H = 1.7 ± 0.2 µG, z0H = 4.4 ± 2.6 kpc rcH = 9 kpc p1 = 11 ± 3◦ , p2 = −33 ± 2◦ , r0H = 29 kpc X X X halo B0,N orth = 15 ± 9 µG, B0,South = 20 ± 6 µG, θX = 55 ± 5◦ , pX = −77 ± 6◦ , r0X = 2.2 ± 0.2 kpc z0X & 4 kpc Striated fields β = 1.4 ± 0.3 the Galaxy (r0X =2.2 kpc) with a significant vertical extent (z0X & 4 kpc). This halo component is very strong (15-20 µG ), with a prominent vertical component X X X upward (B0,N = 55◦ elevation), and a weak azimuthal orth , B0,South > 0, and a θ component (pitch angle pX ≈ −80◦ ). We find evidence of striated magnetic fields (or underestimated relativistic electron density), with β = 1.4 ± 0.3 if the standard ncre is accepted. 3.4.2 Purely random fields We can now estimate the strength of purely random fields in the particular direction of Cen A, by comparing the observed total intensity, Iobs , of synchrotron emission, to the simulated total intensity, Isim , from the modeled global and striated fields alone. If Iobs > Isim , the difference can be attributed to a random component of the GMF. Taking the magnetic field energy in the purely random component 114 2 to be proportional locally to the energy in the global component, i.e., B⊥,rand = 2 γB⊥,regular , and assuming a spectral index p = −3 for the relativistic electron γ 2 . Fitting I in the direction of distribution so that I ∝ B⊥ , gives Iobs /Isim ≈ 1 + 1+β Cen A, with β = 1.4, gives γ = 11 ± 9. With the best-fit values for β and γ, the magnetic energy division comes to roughly 10% − 10% − 80% for regular, striated, and purely random fields, respectively. An analysis by Jaffe et al. (2009) of the magnetic field in the Galactic disk only, found the corresponding values 10% − 40% − 50%, but this is not a worrying discrepancy. One expects the proportion of random field to differ in the disk and halo (e.g., toward Cen A) due to differences in structure of the turbulence and the effects of differential rotation; moreover both estimates have large uncertainties. 3.5 Estimated deflections In the limit of small-angle deflections, the deflection angle is inversely proportional to the cosmic ray rigidity (the ratio of CR energy and charge). Using our best-fit global GMF model, we find that the deflection of a UHECR in the regular magnetic field in the direction of Cen A is δθreg ≈ 4◦ ± 0.5◦ (Z/E100 ), where Z is the charge and E100 is the energy of the CR in units of 100 EeV. Given β and γ, we can estimate the magnetic dispersion due to striated and random fields as follows. Striated fields are oriented with the regular field, and 115 cause dispersion along the direction of the deflection due to the regular field. The random fields cause dispersion in all directions. Because deflection is linear in the magnetic field strength we can treat striated and random fields separately. To estimate the magnetic dispersion we propagate each CR through domains of size λ through the Galaxy, taking the field in the ith domain to be the sum of the ~ i , and a random part: B ~ i + √γ|Bi |n̂ for random fields and local model GMF, B √ ~ i + β|Bi |n̂ for striated fields, where n̂ is a unit vector chosen to have a different B random direction in each step (n̂ = ±1 in the case of striated fields). The domain size λ corresponds to the maximum coherence length of the turbulent field; this is uncertain but is plausibly of order ≈ 100 pc. Repeating the propagation many times for a given CR rigidity, the smearing angle σrand is defined to be the opening angle of a cone containing 68% of the arrival directions. As one would expect, √ σrand ∼ λ. In the direction of Cen A, we find p λ100 , σrand = 1.6◦ +0.8 (Z/E ) 100 −1.2 p σstri = 0.4◦ ± 0.2◦ (Z/E100 ) λ100 . (3.1) (3.2) where λ100 is the coherence length of the turbulent field in units of 100 pc. The quoted uncertainties are obtained by adding in quadrature the standard deviation of the arrival directions and the uncertainty in σ due to the uncertainty in β and γ. We note that a more sophisticated treatment with a Kolmogorov spectrum 116 would be expected to give a somewhat lower amount of dispersion, since in that case power is shared over a range of scales rather than being concentrated in the largest coherence length which is most effective at deflecting UHECRs, so Eq. 3.1, 3.2 give maximum estimates of the magnetic dispersion from Galactic fields. Given a model of the GMF, the observed UHECR arrival directions can be backtracked through the field assuming the CRs are protons, to find the true source direction in that case. Auger estimates an ≈ 14% statistical and ≈ 22% systematic uncertainty on the CR energies (The Pierre Auger Collaboration: J. Abraham et al. 2009b). Adding them in quadrature produces a ≈ 26% energy uncertainty for each event. Figure 3.11 shows the inferred source directions of the published Auger UHECR’s in the vicinity of Cen A, assuming the CRs are protons deflected by our best-fit GMF. The source region shown for each CR is obtained as follows. Repeatedly backtracking a CR using global field parameters randomly drawn from the (converged and well-mixed) Markov chain used in the GMF parameter optimization, and only selecting from the subset of parameters contained in the 68% of the Markov chain with lowest χ2 , as well as accounting for the 26% energy uncertainty and event resolution, yield the dashed contours. Including as well the dispersion due to striated and random fields yields the solid contours. 117 Figure 3.11: Estimates of source locations (black contours) for individual Auger events using backtracking through the best-fit GMF model. Dashed contours show the spread in the predicted UHECR source locations due to the uncertainty in the best-fit GMF parameters, the angular resolution of the Auger observatory, and energy uncertainty of the observed cosmic rays. The solid contours include the dispersion due to random and striated magnetic fields. Gray arrows point from a source region to the corresponding UHECR, originating at the position of the source for the best-fit GMF and no magnetic dispersion. Energies are labeled in EeV. Colored regions indicate the regions where UHECRs are expected to be observed if the source is the Cen A central galaxy. The green, red and blue regions are for UHECRs of rigidity 200, 60 and 40 EeV/Z, respectively. The regions take into account the event resolution of the Pierre Auger Observatory, the dispersion due to random and striated magnetic fields, and the spread due to the uncertainty of the best fit GMF parameters. 118 3.6 Results and discussion In our best-fit model, a 60 EeV proton with Cen A as its source is deflected by approximately 7 degrees, predominantly toward the Galactic plane. Smearing due to random magnetic fields is sub-dominant to the deflection due to the regular field. The dispersion can be seen in Fig. 3.11. Taking a generous view of the possible deflections and assuming the UHECRs are protons, we conclude that 4 of the 27 published Auger UHECRs are consistent with originating from Cen A or its radio lobes. UHECRs coming from Cen A must lie on an arc or swath originating within its giant radio lobes, with events of lower rigidity further from the source – unless the intergalactic medium surrounding the Milky Way in the hemisphere toward Cen A has a much-larger-than-expected random magnetic field Farrar & Piran (2000). Fig. 3.11 shows the expected swath of CRs for three different rigidities, E/Z = 40, 60, and 200 EeV, with Cen A as the source. The opening angle of the swath is approximately given by 2σrand /|δθreg | ≈ 50◦ . For small deflections, the numerator and denominator in this expression are both inversely proportional to the rigidity of the cosmic rays. Thus the opening angle of the swath is independent of the charge, or composition, of the UHECRs. Hence, regardless of their composition, it is unlikely that significantly more than 4 of the 27 Auger CRs can be attributed to Cen A, so that those scenarios in which the majority of UHECRs surrounding Cen A originate from Cen A can be excluded. 119 Summary In this thesis we have investigated, optimized, and developed models of the Galactic magnetic field; and constrained the deflection of UHECRs towards a specific potential source, Centaurus A. In chapter 2 we combined the two main probes of the large scale Galactic magnetic field – Faraday rotation measures and polarized synchrotron emission – to test the capability of a variety of 3D GMF models common in the literature to account for the two data sets. We used 1433 extragalactic rotation measures and the polarized synchrotron component of the 22 GHz band in WMAP’s five year data release. To avoid polarized local features we applied a mask on the synchrotron data, covering the disk and some prominent structures such as the North Polar Spur. We developed estimators of the variance in the two data sets due to turbulent and other small scale or intrinsic effects. Together with a numerical code to simulate mock RM and synchrotron data (the Hammurabi code, by Waelkens et al. (2009)) this allowed us to calculate the total χ2 for a given GMF model, and then 120 find best fit parameters and confidence levels for a given model. This enabled us to quantitatively compare the validity of different models with each other. From applying our method on a selection of GMF models in the literature we concluded that none of the models under consideration are able to reproduce the data well. We noted that the large scale magnetic field in the Galactic disk is fundamentally different than the magnetic field in the halo. Antisymmetry (with respect to z → −z) for the magnetic field in the disk is strongly disfavored. For the halo, antisymmetry of the magnetic field in the inner part of the Galaxy is substantially preferred to both the completely symmetric or antisymmetric case. We found the existence of several false maxima in likelihood space to be a generic trait in the models considered. Specifically, for the best-fit disk model in this work, the true maximum is far removed from the configuration considered in its original form. However, we caution that this optimized configuration should not be trusted as its structure is clearly unphysical. We posit a combination of two explanations for this fact: firstly, the underlying model may not be sufficiently detailed to explain the GMF or may be otherwise incorrect. Secondly, the lack of RM data in large sections of the disk may create both local and global likelihood maxima that would not otherwise exist. We made several recommendations for future GMF model-building. To avoid false likelihood maxima two steps are important: first, it is necessary probe a large parameter space; and second, to use a more complete sky coverage of the RM data. 121 To achieve correct estimates of confidence levels it is necessary to self-consistently include the underlying electron distributions in the optimization. Finally, when possible, combining separate data sets should be done to maximize the number of data points in the analysis, to probe orthogonal components of the magnetic field, and to ensure the final model’s consistency with the most observables. We also emphasized that by having a well-defined measure of the quality-offit, such as provided in this work, the efficacy of any given model feature (i.e., symmetry, extra free parameter, etc.) can be quantified, which is essential when building the next generation of models of the GMF. In chapter 3 we investigated the plausability of the nearby radio galaxy Cen A to have been the source of several UHECRs observed in the vicinity of Cen A. We extended the work done in chapter 2, by combining two models of the disk and halo GMF, and simultaneously fit them both to the combined RM and polarized synchrotron data sets, now also extended to include 188 extragalactic RM sources near Cen A. We found the best-fit transition between the disk and halo field to occur at ' 140 pc above and below the mid-plane of the Galaxy. The predicted RM and polarized synchrotron intensity in the direction of Cen A by our GMF model, when optimized to the full sky data set, was found consistent with the observed data in that direction. With this model, we estimated that a 60 EeV proton arriving from the direction of Cen A is deflected by approximately 3 − 8 degrees, predominantly toward the Galactic plane. We found that deflections are 122 consistent with four of the 27 published Auger UHECRs being protons originating from Cen A. Using WMAP total synchrotron intensity, we constrained the strength of the turbulent field of the Galaxy, along the sightline toward Cen A. This allowed us to estimate the smearing of UHECR arrival directions due to propagation through this random field: ≈ 0.7◦ Z/E100 . This smearing is sub-dominant to the deflection due to the regular field, and makes it unlikely that significantly more of the 27 Auger CRs can be attributed to Cen A, even assuming some of them are iron. This smearing is too low to allow significantly more of the 27 Auger CRs to be attributed to Cen A, even assuming some of them are iron. In all cases, UHECRs coming from Cen A must lie on an arc or swath originating within its giant radio lobes, with events of lower rigidity further from the source. The width of the swath is small and dominated by measurement uncertainty if the UHECRs are protons and Galactic random fields are more important than extragalactic ones, or it may be large if some UHECRs are iron and the extragalactic deflection is maximal. However in every case there will be a residual asymmetry in the distribution of CR arrival directions, about Cen A, in the direction of the GMF deflection. The presence or absence of such asymmetry can help answer the question of how many UHECRs are produced by Cen A. 123 Conclusion There are two common – and extreme – perceptions of the state of Galactic magnetic field research among astrophysicists: those who believe that realistic GMF models exist and the magnetic field is well understood, and those who believe modeling the GMF is a hopeless enterprise, bound to fail. In this thesis, it is demonstrated that both these views are wrong. Over the last 40 years, progress in understanding, and modeling, the GMF has been slow. The interstellar medium is a mess; it is a turbulent, out-of-equilibrium system with many utterly different components (gas, dust, cosmic rays, magnetic fields, radiation). The interconnectedness of these components make understanding one without the others difficult. However, as knowledge and data on one component increase – so does our understanding of the others. There are good reasons to believe that our understanding of the GMF can be greatly improved in the near future. In this thesis we present a systematic approach to GMF modeling that incorporates multiple observables and can self-consistently include underlying variables 124 such as electron densities in the model fitting. We show that new insights are possible with the current data. In future work, we will extend the analysis of the random magnetic fields, include the synchrotron total intensity, and self-consistetly include the relativistic electron density (e.g., using the GALPROP code). We will go further with modelbuilding, and use, e.g., cross-validation to find the optimal model complexity. The available extragalactic RM data will increase an order-of-magnitude within a year, which will enable the use of more complex models, and greatly reduce degeneracies in the current set of models. Synchrotron data from, e.g., PLANCK will provide excellent additional constraints. A much improved thermal electron density model is scheduled to appear within the next couple of years. Combined, the prospects for significant improvements of Galactic magnetism are good indeed. 125 Appendix A Maximum Likelihood Method for Cross Correlations with Astrophysical Sources Appendix abstract We generalize the Maximum Likelihood-type method used to study cross correlations between a catalog of candidate astrophysical sources and Ultrahigh Energy Cosmic Rays (UHECRs), to allow for differing source luminosities. The new method is applicable to any sparse data set such as UHE gamma rays or astrophysical neutrinos. Performance of the original and generalized techniques is evaluated in simulations of various scenarios. Applying the new technique to data, we find an 126 excess correlation of about 9 events between HiRes UHECRs and known BLLacs, with a 6 × 10−5 probability of such a correlation arising by chance. A.1 Introduction Correlation studies play a fundamental role in establishing or ruling out candidate sources for rare events such as the highest energy cosmic rays and UHE gamma rays. When the number of events is low, it is necessary to use sensitive methods to be able to identify the sources and quantitatively assess the possibility of an incorrect identification. The purpose of the present work is to evaluate and improve these methods. If the hypothetical sources are commonplace rather than rare, so that the typical separation between candidate sources is not large compared to the directional uncertainty of individual events, then an entirely different approach must be used, requiring much larger datasets. Fortunately, the GZK horizon allows the surface density of source candidates to be reduced by increasing the energy threshold; this played an essential role in the recent Auger discovery (Abraham et al. 2007) of a correlation between UHECRs and galaxies in the Veron-Cetty Veron Catalog of Quasars and AGNs. Furthermore, it is plausible that only unusual astrophysical objects can produce very rare events, in which case the candidate source catalog may naturally be sparse. Hints of excess correlations were reported earlier between ultrahigh energy cos- 127 mic rays (UHECRs) and BLLacs by Tinyakov & Tkachev (2001), Gorbunov et al. (2004), Abbasi et al. (2006) and between UHECRs and x-ray clusters by Pierpaoli & Farrar (2005). The analyses in Tinyakov & Tkachev (2001), Gorbunov et al. (2004), and Pierpaoli & Farrar (2005) determine the number of correlated events within some given angular separation between UHECR and source, and calculate the “chance probability” of finding a correlation at the observed level by doing a large number of simulations with no true correlations. The (Abraham et al. 2007) analysis in addition “scans” to find the optimal UHECR energy threshold and maximum source redshift. In order to incorporate the experimental resolution on an event-by-event basis, Abbasi et al. (2006) proposed a Maximum Likelihood-type procedure and applied it to studying correlations between UHECRs and BLLacs. This procedure (denoted the HiRes procedure, below) is motivated under the unphysical assumption that every candidate BLLac source has the same apparent luminosity. Even if BLLacs were standard candles with respect to UHECR emission, the BLLacs in the catalog have a large range of distances which would imply an even larger range of apparent luminosities, so one does not want to rely on such an assumption. Furthermore the validity of the method was not demonstrated via simulations. In this work we introduce a ML prescription which avoids the assumption of equal apparent source luminosity and allows the potential sources to be ranked according to the probability that they have emitted the correlated UHECRs. We 128 test and compare both methods with simulations in a variety of situations. We find that the HiRes method gives the correct total number of correlated events even when the sources do not have equal apparent luminosities, as long as the numbers of events are sufficiently low and the candidate sources are not too dense or clustered themselves. We find that our new method performs better in these more challenging cases. In a final section, we apply the new procedure to BLLacs and x-ray clusters. A.2 Maximum Likelihood Approach for the Cross-Correlation Problem A.2.1 The HiRes Maximum Likelihood method In the HiRes Maximum Likelihood method of Abbasi et al. (2006), the aim is to find, among N cosmic ray events, the number of events, ns , that are truly correlated with some sources, of which the total number is M . Hence, there are N −ns background events whose arrival directions are given by a probability density R(x), which is simply the detector exposure to the sky as a function of angular position, x. For a true event with arrival direction s, the observed arrival direction is displaced from s according to a probability distribution Qi (x, s). Note that Qi is governed only by the detector resolution. For the analysis given in Abbasi et al. 129 (2006), Qi is taken to be a 2d symmetric Gaussian of width equal to the resolution σi , of the ith event. (Note that, throughout, the parameter σ is related to σ68 , the radius containing 68% of the cases, by σ68 = 1.51σ.) Dispersion due to random magnetic fields can be incorporated into the Qi by generalizing the variance to 2 2 2 σef f ective = σdetector + σmagnetic , where σmagnetic may vary with direction and event energy. In practice the magnetic dispersion is not well known and has to be treated as an unknown or argued to be smaller than σdetector . The probability density of observing the ith event in direction xi is Pi (xi ) = ns PM Q(xi , sj )R(sj ) N − ns + R(xi ), PM N N k=1 R(sk ) j=1 and the likelihood for a set of N events is defined to be L(ns ) = (A.1) QN i=1 Pi (xi ), which is maximized when ns is the true number of correlated events. Since L is a very small number, which depends on the number of events, it is more useful to divide L by the likelihood of the null hypothesis, i.e., ns = 0, to form the likelihood ratio R(ns ) = L(ns )/L(0). The logarithm of this ratio is then maximized to obtain the number of correlated events, ns . The significance of the correlation is evaluated by measuring the fraction F of simulated isotropic data sets with as large or larger value of ln R. 130 A.2.2 Extending method to differing luminosities If the source candidates for UHECRs were standard candles with known distances, or if the relative fluxes from different sources were known, we could generalize the above method by simply attaching the appropriate relative weight for each source and maximizing the likelihood ratio to obtain the number of correlations, ns . However, for the applications we have in mind we do not know the relative luminosities of the putative sources, nor do we expect them to be standard candles. Thus, to generalize the HiRes method to allow for sources with differing luminosities we assign an a apriori unknown number of cosmic rays, nj , separately for each source, P with ntot = M j=1 nj . The probability density generalizes to PM Pi (xi ) = where R̄s = PM j=1 j=1 nj Q(xi , sj )R(sj ) N R̄s + N− PM j=1 nj N R(xi ), (A.2) R(sj )/M . As above, we divide the likelihood L by the likelihood of the null hypothesis, L({nj } = 0), to obtain the likelihood ratio R= N Y i=1 " 1 N PM j=1 nj Q(xi , sj )R(sj ) R(xi )R̄s − M X ! nj # +1 . (A.3) j=1 Maximizing ln R, with respect to the set {nj } of M numbers, determines the most probable values of the set {nj } of M numbers as well as the set {(ln R)i } of N numbers. The numbers {(ln R)i } are figures of merit, providing information about 131 how strongly correlated the individual cosmic ray events are to the catalog of sources, and allow us to rank the cosmic rays in order of their likelihood of being correlated to the source data set (similar information can be obtained in the HiRes approach from the contributions of individual cosmic rays to the sum in ln R(ns )). A crucial difference between the generalized method and the HiRes method P is that in the new method ntot = nj provides an estimate of all correlations, i.e., both true and random correlations, whereas the HiRes method yields only an estimate of the number of true correlations. In the generalized method one obtains nj > 0 if any cosmic ray event is close enough to any source, regardless of the degree of correlation between the two data sets elsewhere. For the HiRes method, the single optimized parameter, ns , will be greater than zero only if the degree of correlation between the two data sets are greater than what is expected for a random sample of cosmic rays (weighted by the detector exposure). We now turn to the estimation of ns with the new method. A crude estimate of the number of true correlations for the new method is ntot − n̄rand , where n̄rand is the average number of correlations obtained when cosmic rays are uncorrelated to the data set of potential sources, i.e., cosmic rays drawn from an exposure-weighted isotropic distribution. A better measure of ns is summarized by the following equations, where the superscript in parentheses labels the “order” of refinement, giving successively 132 better approximations to ns : n (0) = ntot = M X nj (A.4) j n(1) = f¯−1 (n(0) − n̄rand (N )) (A.5) n(2) = f¯−1 (n(0) − n̄rand (N − n(1) )), (A.6) where n̄rand (N ) is the average total number of correlations found with N events drawn from an isotropic distribution weighted by the detector exposure, and where f¯ is the average fraction of true events that are recovered as correlated. This fraction will typically be slightly smaller than unity since under the assumption that true correlations are separated according to a Gaussian distribution, some events are separated too far from their sources to be accepted as correlated events. We measure f¯ by simulations. Up to this point, we have not specified whether {nj } are real numbers or integers. Indeed, the method allows either choice. A non-integer implementation has the virtue of encoding more information into the set of numbers, {nj }, while in the integer case it is necessary to also study {(ln R)i } in order to rank the sources in terms of correlation quality to the set of cosmic rays. An integer approach may be preferred as it provides a more concise answer as to which are the likely correlated sources. Moreover, in the case of strong correlations and ample statistics, the integer implementation is likely to offer a more intuitive result in terms of singlets, 133 doublets, etc.. In the following sections we will use the integer implementation, unless noted otherwise. The procedure to maximize ln R may depend on whether {nj } are non-integers or integers. In the present work, we use a commercial non-linear optimization package for the former case. One might expect to encounter problems when the number parameters to be fitted (M ) exceeds the number of data points (N ). How2 ever, in practice this never becomes an issue as long as M πσmean is small compared to the solid angle observed so the number of random correlations is not too large. Then, most potential sources are well separated from most UHECR events, and thus have nj = 0, thanks to the rapid cutoff of Q for s σ, where s is the separation between cosmic ray and source. For the integer case we first note that the exponential form of Q and the diluteness of the source data set will make it extremely rare for a correlated event to be ascribed to the wrong source. In other words, a cosmic ray event must be at almost the exact same (small) angular distance from two potential sources for there to be any ambiguity as to from which source the event originated. For the ith cosmic ray, this allows us to consider only the source j that maximizes the quantity Q(xi , sj )R(sj ), and put that quantity to zero for all other sources. The maximization of equation A.3 is then a matter of testing, for each source, whether ln R decreases when nj is increased from 0 to 1. If it does, then nj = 0. If ln R increases, then we repeatedly increase nj by unity, until ln R decreases and we find the correct number of correlations, nj , for that 134 source. A.3 Simulation trials In vetting the two methods with simulations, we test their ability to correctly reproduce the number of true correlations on mock data sets. This allows us to explore the effect of large event and source densities, the effect of anisotropy in the source distribution, and the consequences of having incorrect event resolutions. A.3.1 Dilute source and UHECR data sets We begin by testing the ability to reproduce the number of true correlations in the simplest case of dilute, random sources. A first simulation is done using half the sky, uniform detector exposure R(x), 156 randomly distributed sources and 271 cosmic rays (the numbers relevant to the BLLac studies of Gorbunov et al. (2004) and Abbasi et al. (2006)). Ten of the cosmic rays are Gaussianly aligned (a cosmic ray paired to a source, with angular separation according to the probability density Q, taken to be a 2d Gaussian of width σ), for various event resolutions. A second simulation uses the actual BLLacs source positions; these are more clustered than the random case. As shown in figure A.1, both methods reproduce well on average the correct number of correlations. The error bars shown include 90% of the 10k realizations, and are similar for both methods. As σ increases, the variance in the 135 number of found correlations increases rapidly. A.3.2 Dispersion in results To test the extent of agreement between the two methods in individual realizations, we generate 156 source positions at random on one hemisphere, align 10 cosmic rays to 10 of the sources and distribute 161 cosmic rays at random, then determine the number of correlations identified, with both procedures. Figure A.2 shows the results of 1000 repetitions, for σ = 0.4◦ and for 0.8◦ . From this exercise we conclude that the two ML methods do not generally agree for individual realizations, in spite of the fact that both methods reproduce the correct value in the mean. A.3.3 High source and UHECR densities When there are very large numbers of events and of potential sources, we expect the generalized ML method to perform worse than the HiRes method, beacause n(2) is obtained by taking the difference of two very large numbers, n(0) and n̄rand . Moreover, as the source density becomes very large it becomes impossible to reliably distinguish the “contributing” sources. The total number of correlations becomes the only interesting quantity to calculate. Thus, only the HiRes method should be used for the case of very high event densities. However, the HiRes method also deteriorates at high densities, as shown in figure A.3. 136 25 HiRes n(2) 20 n 15 10 5 0.1 0.4 0.7 σ [°] 1 1.3 1.6 0 25 HiRes n(2) 20 n 15 10 5 0.1 0.4 0.7 σ [°] 1 1.3 1.6 0 Figure A.1: The number of correlations vs. the detector resolution. Error bars (slighly separated horizontally for readability) contain 90% of the cases. Top: Random sources; Bottom: actual BLLac positions −30◦ ≤ δ ≤ 90◦ . 137 25 20 20 nHiRes nHiRes 25 15 10 10 5 5 0 15 0 5 10 15 20 0 25 (2) n 0 5 10 15 n(2) 20 25 Figure A.2: Comparison of the extracted number of correlations for specific realizations using the two methods. 1000 realizations of ten cosmic rays aligned to sources. Left: For cosmic rays with event resolution σ = 0.4◦ . The banding is due to using the integer implementation of the generalized method. Right: σ = 0.8◦ . A.3.4 Sensitivity to experimental resolution If the resolution of cosmic ray events are consistently over- or underestimated in a given data set, the extracted correlations will be incorrect. To test the sensitivity of the two methods to this problem we repeat the first type of simulations, but rescale the event resolution when aligning a cosmic ray to a source. Figure A.4 shows the average number of correlations found, as a function of the amount by which σ is rescaled, for the two methods. The new method is far less sensitive to incorrectly estimated resolution than is the HiRes method. 138 12 10 8 N=20 n N=60 6 N=150 N=300 4 N=500 2 0 0 100 200 300 400 number of sources, M 500 600 Figure A.3: Correlations found by the HiRes method with 10 true correlations, M sources and N events in 100 square degrees. The method’s prediction becomes increasingly inaccurate, as the dilute approximation becomes less valid. 139 13 HiRes method n(2) method 12 11 found correlations 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 0 0.5 1 1.5 rescaling factor of event resolution 2 Figure A.4: Average number of found correlations as a function of the factor by which σ is rescaled by when “Gaussianly aligning” sources. 140 A.3.5 Clustering of sources As seen in the lower panel of figure A.1, spatial correlations within the data set of potential sources may skew the number of UHECR correlations found. In figure A.5 we show the results of a simulation with clustering of potential sources. The figure shows the mean for 10k realization of 271 cosmic ray events with σ = 0.4◦ , and two different scenarios for the correlation with source clustering, for 156 candidate sources. In both cases, candidate sources and CRs are distributed over one hemisphere; 100 sources are placed in ten randomly positioned clusters with ten sources distributed around each cluster center according to a 2d Gaussian of width d, and the remaining 56 candidate sources are placed at random in the hemisphere. In the first case, a randomly selected source in each cluster has one cosmic ray event Gaussianly aligned to it and the remaining 261 cosmic rays are placed at random. In the second case, ten CRs are Gaussianly aligned with ten of the randomly placed source candidates not in any cluster and the remaining CRs are placed at random. As figure A.5 demonstrates, the HiRes method significantly overestimates the true number of correlations if the sources are in clustered regions and underestimates it when the candidate sources show significant clustering but the UHECRs do not come from the clustered regions. By contrast the new method performs well in this test. 141 11 n 10 9 HiRes: case A HiRes: case B 8 n(2): case A n(2): case B 7 0 1 2 3 4 5 d [°] Figure A.5: Sensitivity to clustering in source dataset, for UHECRs from (A) dense or (B) sparse regions. A.4 Application to BLLacs and x-ray clusters In this section we apply both the HiRes method and the generalized method on two previously investigated data sets of suggested UHECR sources. A.4.1 X-ray clusters Table A.1: Correlations between X-ray clusters and UHECRs. The integer implementation has been used for the generalized method. For comparison, using the non-integer implementation we find n(2) = 3.3 and n(2) = 9.6 for the HiRes and AGASA event sets, respectively. Generalized ML Method HiRes Method 142 UHECR HiRes AGASA Both N n(0) n(2) F nHR FHR 143 22 5.2 0.3 1.5 0.3 36 24 9.9 6 10−3 9.2 9 10−3 179 37 12.7 0.06 4.6 0.1 The possibility that X-ray clusters are sources for UHECRs was investigated by Pierpaoli & Farrar (2005) using a binned analysis; a correlation was found between AGASA events and x-ray clusters taken from the NORAS catalog (Bohringer et al. 2000). Here we study the correlation between X-ray clusters and two samples of UHECRs, both separately and combined. We use the 375 X-ray clusters (Bohringer et al. 2000) in the region 0◦ < dec < 80◦ , and |b| > 20◦ . For cosmic rays, we use the 143 HiRes events with E > 1019 eV, and 36 AGASA events with E > 4 × 1019 eV, in the same angular region. Note that in Pierpaoli & Farrar (2005) the authors restricted the correlation search to x-ray sources within the estimated GZK maximum distance for each UHECR event. Imposing the GZK restriction reduces the number of found correlations in simulated random samples, but Pierpaoli & Farrar (2005) found that it does not significantly decrease the number of correlations between UHECRs and x-ray clusters so that it increases the significance of the correlation. In this work we have not taken the GZK distance restriction into account, as our focus is on comparing the two ML methods. When applying the Maximum Likelihood methods to x-ray clusters, we need to take the angular size of the clusters into account, as they can be of the same 143 order as the cosmic ray event resolution. Therefore we introduce an effective event √ resolution to be used in the calculation of Q, σef f = σ 2 + r2 , where r is the angular radius of the cluster. When combining the data sets we calculate the P P detector exposure by R(x) = i Ni Ri (x)/ i Ni , with i labelling the different data sets. For the generalized method we use the integer implementation. The results of the various analyses are shown in table A.1. We see that the two Maximum Likelihood methods are in fair agreement in all cases about the significance of the correlation, measured by F. However, the number of correlations inferred differs strikingly between the two methods for the combined HiRes-AGASA dataset. Perhaps surprisingly, the HiRes method finds more correlations in the AGASA sample alone than in the combined dataset. This is a hazard of using the HiRes method that we have probed by simulations. Consider the case of combining two sets of events, one with poor event resolutions with a number of events aligned to the set of sources, and the other set with good event resolutions but all events uncorrelated to the set of sources. In such a case the HiRes method significantly underestimates the number of correlated events. Conversely, if the aligned events all are taken from the set with good resolutions, the HiRes method overestimates the correct number of correlations. This explains the discrepancy between the methods for the combined data in table A.1, since the AGASA events have poor event resolutions relative to the HiRes events. In effect, the HiRes method imposes a sort of internal consistency on the distribution of correlations, which could be 144 inappropriate, if one data set had systematically incorrect σ values for instance. A.4.2 BLLacs The binned analysis performed in Gorbunov et al. (2004) on the sample of 156 BLLacs with optical magnitude V < 18 from the Veron 10th Catalog (VeronCetty & Veron 2001) and the 271 HiRes events with E > 1019 eV showed a correlation at the 10−3 level. Applying the HiRes method on this sample we find ns = 8.5 correlations, and the fraction F of Monte Carlo runs with greater likelihood than the real data to be 2 × 10−41 . Analyzing the same UHECR-BLLac data with the generalized ML method we find the number of correlations is n(2) = 9.2 with the integer implementation and 9.3 with the non-integer implementation, and F = 6 × 10−5 for both. In fact from figure A.1, we see that the HiRes method underestimates ns by 0.7 on average under these conditions, so on average this is the expected discrepancy. However as seen from figure A.2, the difference between the estimated number of correlations is also consistent with the variance from one realization to the next. With 1σ error bars, our best estimate is 9.2 ± 2.5 correlations. Now including AGASA events too, in Table A.2 we list the results for the generalized method (integer implementation) and the HiRes method when applied 1 This ns differs from the value (ns = 8.0) quoted in Abbasi et al. (2006) probably due to the HiRes exposure map provided to us by HiRes (S. Westerhoff, private communication) being slightly different than the one used in the published HiRes analysis. For purposes of comparison of the two methods we do not require a perfect exposure map. 145 to HiRes and AGASA data, both separately and combined. We note that while the calculated number of correlations differ between the methods, the difference is within the expected dispersion. One of the advertised benefits of the generalized ML method is that it provides a way to rank sources according to the likelihood of them being correlated with cosmic ray events. To exemplify this we list in Table A.3 the individual BLLacs and correlated HiRes cosmic rays ranked according to the non-integer number of correlations found per source (cf. Table 1 in Gorbunov et al. (2004)). The list includes all cosmic rays with positive ln R, which brings the number of cosmic rays listed to 16. Note that the sixth listed cosmic ray is not deemed a correlation by the generalized method, but is kept in the list to clarify why the corresponding source is found to have nj > 1 by the non-integer implementation of the method. Finally, we note that it would be desirable to impose restrictions on the sample of BLLacs to include only those within an estimated GZK maximum distance for each cosmic ray event, but unfortunately the redshift is known for only a fraction of the BLLacs. Table A.2: Correlations between BLLacs and UHECRs. The integer implementation has been used for the generalized method. Generalized ML Method UHECR HiRes HiRes Method N n(0) n(2) 271 15 9.2 146 F nHR FHR 6 10−5 8.5 2 10−4 AGASA Both 57 13 6.4 328 21 12.0 0.04 2.6 0.1 3 10−5 10.8 1 10−4 Table A.3: HiRes UHECR cross correlations with BL Lacs using the noninteger implementation of the generalized Maximum Likelihood method. BLLacs UHECRs Name z V nj ∆θ (◦ ) ln R E (EeV) RA (◦ ) dec (◦ ) SBS 1508+561 ... 17.3 1.905 0.83 3.18 21.7 226.56 56.61 0.89 2.90 11.0 228.86 56.36 0.60 4.20 64.7 162.61 49.22 1.04 2.08 24.1 165.00 49.29 0.32 4.33 12.0 118.77 48.08 1.37 0.21 15.7 120.10 47.40 MS 10507+4946 GB 0751+485 0.140 ... 16.9 17.1 1.858 1.268 1ES 1959+650 0.047 12.8 0.991 0.12 4.61 16.4 300.28 65.13 FIRST J11176+2548 0.360 17.92 0.990 0.12 4.60 30.2 169.31 25.89 Ton 1015 0.354 16.50 0.986 0.37 4.24 13.3 137.22 33.54 RXS J01108-1254 0.234 17.9 0.986 0.37 4.24 10.5 17.79 12.56 RXS J03143+0620 ... 17.9 0.980 0.50 3.89 27.1 48.53 5.84 RXS J13598+5911 ... 17.9 0.970 0.62 3.47 24.4 210.02 59.80 RGB J1652+403 ... 17.3 0.958 0.70 3.15 16.5 253.62 39.76 RXS J08163+5739 ... 17.34 0.950 0.74 2.99 20.7 123.78 56.93 OT 465 ... 17.5 0.849 0.95 1.98 10.5 265.37 46.72 1ES 2326+174 0.213 16.8 0.527 1.12 1.08 38.1 352.40 18.84 147 A.5 Summary and Conclusions We have introduced a generalization of the HiRes Maximum Likelihood method, which allows the most likely sources of individual events to be identified and ranked. Using simulations we have tested the two Maximum Likelihood methods and find that they complement each other well: the HiRes method allows a fast way to estimate the number of true correlated events, while the new method gives the quality of correlation between individual sources and cosmic rays rather than just the total number of correlated events. Furthermore, the new method is less sensitive to the validity of the estimated angular resolution, and has less systematic bias when candidate sources are clustered (as astrophysical sources such as BLLacs are). Of course, for any given data set, mere statistical fluctuations can result in conclusions that would not be borne out with a larger data set. We conclude that both methods should be used: if they disagree markedly on the total number of correlations the data may have some statistical anomaly and be difficult to interpret. Although we have tested both Maximum Likelihood methods’ ability to reproduce the true number of correlations under many different conditions, it is impossible to test for every conceivable statistical property of future data sets to which these methods could be applied. Thus we recommend, when applying these methods on new data samples, that the methods first be tested by simulations using the candidate source positions but randomly generated cosmic ray directions with some fraction of them Gaussianly aligned to some randomly chosen sources. By 148 repeating this procedure, the variance and possible systematic bias in the extracted number of correlations can be determined for that particular detector exposure, source and event statistics, resolution, etc. We applied the ML methods to find correlations between x-ray clusters and AGASA events with E > 4 × 1019 eV, as done in Pierpaoli & Farrar (2005) but without imposing the GZK horizon. We find ≈ 10 excess correlations, with a chance probability of 6 × 10−3 . The same analysis for HiRes data with E > 1019 indicates 3 − 5 excess correlations, which is expected by chance about 30% of the time. Imposing the restriction that the correlated x-ray cluster not be farther than the GZK distance cutoff was found in Pierpaoli & Farrar (2005) to reduce the number of chance correlations without significantly decreasing the number of true correlations. Since in this work we did not impose the GZK restriction, we cannot compare the present analysis with that of Pierpaoli & Farrar (2005). Finally, we applied the generalized Maximum Likelihood method to check previously claimed correlations between UHECRs and BLLacs. We corroborate that there is a significant correlation between BLLacs of the Veron 10th catalog and HiRes cosmic rays with E > 1019 eV (Abbasi et al. 2006). 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