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INDIA-SPAIN BILATERAL RELATIONS ECONOMY Spain's mixed capitalist economy is the 15th largest in the world. However, after almost 15 years of above average GDP growth, the Spanish economy began to slow in late 2007 and entered into a recession in the second quarter of 2008. GDP contracted by 3.7% in 2009, ending a 16-year growth trend, and by another 0.3% in 2010; GDP expanded 0.4% in 2011, before contracting 1.4% in 2012. Key Economic Figures 2010(est.) GDP(PPP) $1.423 trillion GDP–official $1.41 trillion exchange rate GDP-real growth -0.3% rate Unemployment 20.1% Rate Public Debt 60.1% Inflation Rate 2% (consumer prices) Exports $253 billion Imports $ 315.3 billion Source: CIA World Factbook 2011(est.) $1.429 trillion $1.494 trillion 2012(est.) $1.409 trillion $1.347 trillion 0.4% -1.4% 21.7% 26% 68.5% 3.1% 85.3% 2.4% $309.6 billion $364.9 billion $303.8 billion $322.7 billion The ongoing stabilization of international financial markets, though taking root in numerous segments, was interrupted from February 2010 as a result of the fiscal crisis in Greece. Initially, the focal point was the sovereign debt markets, but it subsequently spread to stock and foreign exchange markets. This gave rise to various episodes of instability in Spain, which were particularly severe in the second half of April 2010; in the four months to end-April, the IBEX registered a loss of 12.1%, a more unfavorable performance than that of the Eurostoxx 50 index of the euro area stock markets (which had fallen by 5% as at the same date). On 28th April 2010 Fitch Ratings downgraded Spain’s long-term rating from AA+ to AA, though to a much lesser extent than was the case for sovereign debt issued by Greece and Portugal . The unemployment rate rose again in 2010, owing to the slowdown in the rate of decline of the labour force. Things turned positive in 2011, making Spain the last major economy to emerge from the global recession. The reversal in Spain's economic growth reflected a significant decline in construction amid an oversupply of housing and falling consumer spending, while exports actually begun to grow. The economy has once again fallen into recession as deleveraging in the private sector, fiscal consolidation, and continued high unemployment weigh on domestic demand and investment, even as exports have shown signs of resiliency. Government efforts to boost the economy through stimulus spending, extended unemployment benefits, and loan guarantees did not prevent a sharp rise in the unemployment rate, which rose from a low of about 8% in 2007 to 26.0% in 2012. STATUS REPORT- SPAIN Page 1 The economic downturn has also hurt Spain's public finances. The government budget deficit peaked at 11.2% of GDP in 2010 and the process to reduce this imbalance has been slow despite the central government's efforts to raise new tax revenue and cut spending. Spain reduced its budget deficit to 9.4% of GDP in 2011, and roughly 7.4% of GDP in 2012, above the 6.3% target negotiated between Spain and the EU. Although Spain's large budget deficit and poor economic growth prospects remain a source of concern for foreign investors, the government's ongoing efforts to cut spending and introduce flexibility into the labor markets are intended to assuage these concerns. The government is also taking steps to shore up the banking system, namely by using up to USD 130 billion in EU funds to recapitalize struggling banks exposed to the collapsed domestic construction and real estate sectors. The government oversaw a restructuring of the savings bank sector in 2010, and provided some USD 15 billion in capital to various institutions. Investors remain concerned that Madrid may need to bail out more troubled banks. The Bank of Spain, however, is seeking to boost confidence in the financial sector by pressuring banks to come clean about their losses and consolidate into stronger groups. Current State of Economy * USD Billion The Spanish recession deepened at the end of 2012, but the pace of contraction in the GDP(PPP) Forecast economy is expected to ease in the coming 2000 quarters, as signaled by a recent improvement 1500 in leading indicators. The GDP is expected to 1000 contract by 1.6% in 2013. Recessionary 500 conditions are expected to persist throughout this year as fiscal austerity continues to 0 dampen domestic demand, and the economy restructures away from production of nontradable goods toward a greater focus on foreign demand. The growth in economic activity is expected to finally resume from 2014. Investment expenditure is forecast to remain very weak this year, as continued recession undermines corporate profitability. The investments are expected to fall by 6.5% in 2013 and then by a further 0.2% in 2014. But, as the pressure on the economy from fiscal tightening begins to ease, this should promote an increase of about 2% in capital spending in 2015. *Source: Ernst & Young Eurozone Forecast Spring edition March 2013 STATUS REPORT- SPAIN Page 2 % The unemployment rate stood at 26% of Unemployment rate the workforce at the end of 2012 and it is Forecast expected that it will continue to rise until 30 25 early 2014. Amid ongoing wage restraint, 20 additional job losses will contribute to a 15 further decline in household income this 10 year. As a result, consumer spending is 5 expected to fall by 2.6% in 2013, before 0 stabilizing during 2014. As the economy starts creating new jobs, incomes will rise and lead to a gradual recovery of consumption in subsequent years. Exports are continuing to benefit from improvements in Spanish competitiveness and should be well placed to take advantage of the more favorable external environment later this year. Export volumes are expected to rise by 4.8% in 2013, which will help the current account to move into surplus for the first time since 1987. Expected budget deficit for 2012 was 7.5% of GDP, a little higher than the Government’s preliminary estimate of 6.7% and well above the official target of 6.3%. With the economy still in recession, the risk of continued fiscal slippage is significant, adding to the threat of an adverse financial market reaction. Spain (annual percentage changes unless specified) 2012 2013 GDP -1,4 -1,6 Private consumption -2,2 -2,6 Fixed investment -9,1 -6,5 Stockbuilding (% of GDP) 0,8 0,3 Government consumption -3,7 -4,5 Exports of goods and services 3,1 4,8 2014 0,2 -0,1 -0,2 0,2 -3,4 4,2 2015 1,1 1,0 2,0 0,1 -1,0 4,4 2016 1,4 1,4 2,1 0,2 -0,3 3,4 2017 2,0 1,6 2,1 0,4 0,7 3,3 -3,8 1,1 3,8 3,3 2,6 2,4 25,1 -0,8 2,0 26,7 1,4 1,0 26,7 1,4 0,9 25,9 1,4 1,0 25,1 1,4 1,0 24,0 1,5 -7,5 -5,8 -3,9 -2,4 -1,4 -0,4 82,0 90,3 95,5 98,4 99,9 99,6 Imports of goods and services -5,0 Consumer prices Unemployment rate (level) Current account balance (% of GDP) Government budget (% of GDP) Government debt (% of GDP) STATUS REPORT- SPAIN Source: Ernst & Young Eurozone Forecast Spring edition March 2013 Page 3 INDIA – SPAIN BILATERAL ECONOMIC RELATIONS Economic and commercial relations between India and Spain have been growing steadily. The last two years have seen substantial growth in trade relations between the two countries. Agreement on Avoidance of Double Taxation between the two countries was signed in February 1993 followed by a Bilateral Investment Protection Agreement in 1997. TRADE India-Spain bilateral trade for the year 2012-2013 stood at USD 4.68 billion decreasing by around 2.5% from the year 2011-2012. The balance of trade has been in India’s favour. Bilateral trade was impacted negatively in 2009 as a result of the financial/economic crisis of 2008-09. The trade which was showing signs of healthy growth, contracted by 12% in 2009, but for 2010 it registered a volume of USD 34.05 billion (+ 29.70% yoy growth). India-Spain Bilateral Trade (Fig in USD million) EXPORT %Growth IMPORT %Growth TOTAL TRADE %Growth India's Trade Balance Source: Ministry of Commerce and Industry, GoI 2006-2007 2007-2008 2008-2009 2009-2010 2010-2011 2011-2012 2012-2013 1,878.66 2,506.08 2,293.59 22.09 995.64 58.69 3,289.23 2,538.15 10.66 1,023.80 2.83 3,561.95 2,029.26 -20.05 1,095.53 7.01 3,124.79 2,565.29 26.42 1,487.58 35.79 4,052.87 2,999.27 16.92 1804.11 21.28 4,803.28 2,865.48 -4.46 1,814.69 0.59 4,680.17 1251.25 31.25 1,297.94 8.29 1,514.36 -12.27 933.73 29.70 1,077.71 18.52 1,195.17 -2.57 1,050.79 627.41 2013-14 (Apr-Jun) 648.25 425.47 1073.72 Spain ranks 40th in value terms of bilateral trade with India, among all countries of the world, featuring above economic giants such as Canada, Sweden, Norway, Finland and Ireland. Amongst countries exporting to India, Spain holds the 41st position. Amongst countries importing from India, Spain holds 28th position. Major items of India’s Exports to Spai n Major items of India’s exports to Spain include textiles, chemical products, leather goods, marine products, coffee, laminates, steel plates and pipes, dyes and pigments, auto components and automobiles (Tata 4 wheel drives), spices, vegetable extracts, mica, wood, silk, jute products, carpets, two-wheeler accessories, artificial jewellery, etc. New products such as marble and granite, Indian furniture and silk furnishings, stainless steel ware also have started coming into Spain. Major items of India’s Imports from Spain Major items of India’s imports from Spain include amino compounds, laminated products, opaque pigments, halogenous derivatives, antibiotics, piston motors, ketone and quinone, raw aluminium, iron and steel products, vegetable (mainly olive) oil, nuts and fruits, rubber products, leather items, STATUS REPORT- SPAIN Page 4 pharmaceuticals, petroleum derivatives, polymers, electrical products, hand-tools, machinery and automobile accessories. Spain also exports electronics for Indian defense Industry. INVESTMENTS Spanish Investments in India Spain ranks 12th in terms of investment with cumulative FDI inflows into India amounting to USD 1.57 billion (April 2000 – June 2013), accounting for 0.79% of total FDI inflows. (Inflows received through FIPB/SIA route RBI’s automatic route & acquisition of existing shares) More than 140 Spanish companies have activities in India having investments in infrastructure, renewable energy, auto components, water desalination/purification and single brand retail. According to Invest in Spain, Spanish investments in India rose five-fold to USD 158 million in 2008 compared to the previous year. Spanish investment in India was USD 158 million during the first three quarters of calendar year 2008; this had increased by 500% from the 2007. Spanish firms such as Navantia (naval construction) Dragados (container terminal), Grupo Roca (parryware), Gropo Antolin (auto components) Mapfre (insurance) Televent (urban infrastructure), Isolux (infrastructure) Cobra (infrastructure) and Indolink (consultancy) set shop in the country in the during 2008-2009. Though some major Spanish companies - Duro Fulguera, Cipsa, Isolux, Acciona, Simon, Banco Popular etc. have entered into India, it is felt that Spanish investment in India is not commensurate with the potential that exists in sectors such as tourism, infrastructure, food processing, energy-both renewable and non-renewable, and the automobile industries. Major Spanish investment in India : One of the Spanish firms, Caf (Constructions y Auxiliar de Ferrocarriles), worked with Reliance on the stretch of the Delhi metro project connecting the railway station to the airport (Source: Embassy of Spain). After Tata-Inditex tie up in 2009, Spanish fashion retail giant Zara has opened its retail stores in Bombay and Delhi in 2010. Gestamp Automotive India Ltd, a subsidiary of the Spanish company GESTAMP Automocion, inaugurated its Metal parts manufacturing facility in Chakan in 2010(Source: The Punekar). Set up with an investment of over Rs 475 crore, the plant at Chakan is one of the biggest investments by a Spanish company in India. Important food-processing group Agrolimen. Steel major Sidenor has a 50% share in MUSCO (Mahindra Ugine Steel Ltd- a speciality steel maker of the Mahindra and Mahindra group). STATUS REPORT- SPAIN Page 5 El Corte Inglés, the Spanish departmental store giant, regularly buys Indian goods, particularly garments and since 2004, have opened a Liaison Office in Gurgaon and maintains a warehouse in India. Gamesa, the biggest Spanish company in the Wind Energy sector has started operations in India and have already set 17 wind turbines in the state of Tamil Nadu. Acciona has set up two wind farms in Karnataka and is looking forward for expanding its presence in India. Iberdrola is looking at some options in the renewable energy in India. ARIES is exploring possibility of establishing solar thermal plants in India. P4R, a Consultancy Company under the Ministry of Industry, Tourism and Trade has opened a representative office in India in 2008. Banco Santander is in the process of having its presence in India. In March 2006, three major Spanish companies signed agreements for investing in India: The sanitary ware company ROCA bought 50% of Parryware at the cost of € 50 million (USD 78 million approx) to become the largest company for sanitary fittings in the world. ROCA invested USD 111 million in 2008 in India. M/s Duro Felguera had won the contract (at the cost USD 100 million) of equipment building for the new port of Gangavaram in Andhra Pradesh. The project has been completed in July 2009 and they are looking at some more opportunities in India. Aldeasa-ITDC combine has bagged the Mumbai International Airport’s duty free retail contract for Rs 571 crore (USD 98 million approx) for the next three years. Besides, an Indian subsidiary of ELSAMEX S.A. was awarded a contract for developing part of Orissa highway by NHAI in March 2001. In October 2007, a big Spanish infrastructure company FCC, was selected by Delhi Metro Rail Corporation to complete the metro connection up to the airport. Banco Sabadell and Banco Popular in a JV with Capital Trust have already established branches in India. Important Spanish companies such as Acciona (wind energy), ACS (infrastructure, for a container terminal in Mumbai port), Estampaciones Sabadell (auto components), Gamor (machinery), and Telvent (Information Technology) invested in the Indian market in 2007. During the year 2011, the Spanish infrastructure companies, such as Isolux and San Jose bagged transmission line and road contracts in Uttar Pradesh and Rajasthan respectively. Acciona, Gamesa and Windar expanded their wind and solar energy projects in Tamil Nadu, Andhra Pradesh and Gujarat. STATUS REPORT- SPAIN Page 6 Spanish Investment by sectors Investment from Spain to India (2000-2012) (fig in thousand €) Sector Food and beverage industry Source: Ministry of Economy and Competitiveness, Spain Stock 14.900,00 % 1,19 505.960,00 12.360,00 40,54 0,99 2.540,00 0,2 214.030,00 17,15 Manufacture of other mineral products, except machinery 62.690,00 5,02 Manufacture of electrical equipment 12.690,00 1,02 21.930,00 155.140,00 1,76 12,43 8.090,00 0,65 148.290,00 11,88 1.790,00 0,14 Specialised construction activities 15.010,00 1,2 Wholesale except motor vehicles 16.590,00 1,33 Retail trade except motor vehicles 32.440,00 2,6 Warehousing and support activities for transportation 23.190,00 1,86 Architectural and engineering activities Total 350 1.247.990,00 0,03 100 Chemical industry Manufacture of pharmaceutical preparations Manufacture of rubber and plastic products Manufacture of other non-metallic mineral products Manufacture of machinery and equipment N.E.C. Manufacture of motor vehicles, trailers and semitrailers Manufacture of other transport equipment Electricity, gas, steam and air conditioning supply Construction of buildings Indian investments in Spain Indian investment in Spain has been growing and presently stands around USD 900 million. Around 39 Indian companies have an investment presence in Spain, through 100 subsidiaries including Telco, TCS, Ranbaxy and Infosys having a presence in the field of IT, automobiles, pharmaceuticals and road maintenance. Together they account for the creation of 10,000 direct jobs and a very significant amount of indirect employment. The presence of Indian-owned companies in Spain has increased, through the subsidiaries of foreign companies established in Spain and purchased by Indian companies. Examples of this phenomenon include the takeover of the Land Rover, Jaguar and Rover brands from the Ford group along with their Spanish subsidiaries, by Tata, and the merger of Arcelor with Mittal Steel, resulting in Arcelor Mittal, which has a major presence in Spain. STATUS REPORT- SPAIN Page 7 In addition to these indirect operations made in the domestic market, Spanish companies have also been purchased directly by Indian companies, as in the case of Hispano Carrocera bought by Tata and the Elsamex Group bought by Indian firm IL&FS. Moreover, some Indian companies have begun direct investment processes in Spain; Greenfield projects, in sectors with a high technological content and high value-added, such as Suzlon in the renewable energy sector and the Ranbaxy company in the pharmaceutical sector. From 2003 to 2010 India has announced 8 Greenfield projects, with an estimated investment of € 474 million (USD 737 million approx) and the creation of 1,472 jobs (source: FDI Markets, 2010) Despite significant presence of Indian companies in Spain, the figures for investment remain modest. Worthy of special mention is one Indian investment made in the Spanish construction sector in 2007, which was worth € 596 million (USD 928 million approx) and accounted for 1.6% of total incoming FDI in Spain that year. By Autonomous Regions, the Basque Country comes in first as the main receiver of FDI, also as a result of that major operation registered in 2007. The Madrid region and Catalonia come in second and third places for incoming investment. Major Indian investments in Spain In July 2013 Mahindra & Mahindra announced that they are set to pick up a 13.5% stake in Spain's auto component maker CIE Automotive for about USD 134 million. M&M will merge all its auto components businesses into Mahindra Forgings. Mahindra Forgings will be renamed Mahindra CIE Automotive, where the Spanish auto components maker will hold 51.1% and Mahindra 20.2%. Crompton Greaves acquired Spain’s smart grid automation firm ZIV Group for USD 185 million in 2012. Tata: Tata Indica was launched in February 2002 after up gradation to Euro III standards. The distribution of TATA vehicles in Spain has been taken over by an important Spanish group Bergé Automocion. Tata Group Company, Telco Construction Equipment Company (TELCON), signed a deal in March 2008 to acquire a 79 per cent controlling stake in Spain-based Serviplem SA at a cost of Euros 45 million. Serviplem focuses on manufacturing and sale of transit mixers, dry bulk tanks and pumps. The Tata group also hopes to get a significant presence in the Aragon region in Spain as it is already present in the region through its partnership with Hispano Carrocera SA, a bus-building company. Tata increased its investment to total of Euro 117 million in 2009. (Tata Motors in Hispano: Euro 67 million; TELCON n Baryval Serviplem: Euro 50 million). After Tata acquiring Jaguar and Landrover, they have now become part of Indian companies in Spain. Mahindra and Mahindra also have marked their presence in Spain since Feb. 2002 with their tractors. TCS set up its Spanish branch in Madrid in 2003. Indian travel and tour agencies, Cox & Kings (India), Travel Corporation of India and Sita have their representatives in Barcelona. STATUS REPORT- SPAIN Page 8 Suzlon has won a contract for supplying wind turbines to Spain in early 2008, following which they established an office in Madrid. Cadila Zydus bought a pharmaceutical plant of Combix and established themselves as Zydus Combix in Spain. Indian Investments by Sector Investment from India to Spain (2000-2012) ( fig in thousand €) SECTOR Source: Ministry of Economy and Competitiveness, Spain Stock % Chemical industry 40.910,02 7,69 Manufacture of pharmaceutical preparations 49.203,51 9,25 Manufacture of rubber and plastic products 29.048,80 5,46 4.626,96 0,87 119.154,51 22,39 Wholesale and retail trade; repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles 80.171,00 15,07 Wholesale except motor vehicles 61.834,59 11,62 129.806,96 24,40 4.268,90 0,80 12.860,15 2,42 212,68 0,04 532.098,08 100,00 Manufacture of motor vehicles, trailers and semitrailes Civil engineering Warehousing and support activities for transportation Computer programming, consultancy and related activities Real state activities Central offices activities: business and other management consultancy activities Total RECENT BREAKTHROUGHS In pursuance of a Memorandum of Understanding on Scientific and Technological Cooperation concluded on 12th June 2007 at Madrid during the visit of the Minister for Science and Technology, both sides agreed upon having a Programme of Cooperation in the fields of Science and Technology for the period of 2009-11. The Programme identified six areas for cooperation, viz. Renewable Energy, Information Technology, Health and Medical Research, Life Sciences and Biotechnology including Pharmaceuticals, Agriculture Technology and Food Processing, Nano Technology. 25 Joint Research Projects have already been identified, a Workshop on Information Technology has taken place in Bangalore in June 2010 and a Workshop on Renewable Energy in March 2011 in Seville, Spain. The two sides expressed the hope that while ensuring continuity in cooperation in these fields, new areas of cooperation would be agreed for the next programme of work. A Statement of Intent on cooperation in the field of Space was signed between ISRO and INTA (Spanish Aeronautical Institute). STATUS REPORT- SPAIN Page 9 PROMISING SECTORS OF INDO - SPANISH COOPERATION Science and Technology Energy (particularly wind energy, where Spain and India are respectively the third and the fourth largest producers in the world) Information and Communication Technology Biotechnology including Pharmaceuticals, Life Sciences and Nano Technology Agriculture Technology & Food Processing Infrastructure Environment & Tourism STATUS REPORT- SPAIN Page 10