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Advanced Derivatives: (plain vanilla to Rainbows) advanced swaps Structured notes exotic options S. Mann, 2006 1 Equity Swaps Example: Thai Bank prohibited from holding domestic equity Bank circumvents regulation with total return swap: Thai bank buys US government securities Tiger fund buys Thai equity Enter into total return swap: returns swapped, not asset. Thai Financial Institution Thai equity return Tiger Fund or other Hedge Fund US Bond return Return details (what currency?) denoted by distinct swap names 2 Asset swaps: Quantos Total return swap with exchange rate risk eliminated Payments determined by total return on different assets, multiplied by notional principal in one currency. Example: swap S&P 500 for CAC-40 (France) + spread (CAC-40 return + spread) x Notional principal U.S. Global Portfolio French Pension Fund S&P 500 total return x Notional Principal Payment details on next slide 3 Quanto swap outcome example A possible sequence of events Quanto swap: Pay S&P 500 return, receive CAC-40 + swap spread Notional principal ($millions) 25 payments all in dollars swap spread (basis points) date days 2/17/98 5/15/98 8/17/98 11/16/98 2/16/99 88 92 89 90 70 S&P 500 S&P 500 total return index % ret payment 955 964 0.94% 235,027 986 2.24% 558,759 1032 4.65% 1,162,832 1012 -1.86% -463,847 day count = actual/360 CAC-40 (France) CAC-40 total return index % ret payment 2230 2179 -2.3% -564,964 2536 16.4% 4,093,328 2514 -0.9% -215,181 2681 6.6% 1,653,370 spread payment 42,778 44,722 43,264 43,750 net payment (757,213) 3,579,291 (1,334,749) 2,160,967 4 Zero-cost collar: sell call to pay for put: choose put so that loss possibility at least 10%. (Investor is “at risk”, not an IRS “constructive sale”). Collar value Monetarize position without realizing gain. (% of original stock price) Equity Collars +25% Long Stock Stock plus collar -10% ST Borrow against hedged position at advantageous rate (Libor + 100 bp). Standard contracts available for large ($2 million) positions in liquid stock. Longer the term, higher upside percentage available. Cite: Braddock, 1997, “Zero-cost Collars,” Risk, November 1997. 5 Swap floating for floating Basis Swap: Libor - spread T-bill Payer Libor payer T-bill rate Constant Maturity swap Constant Maturity Payer Libor + spread Libor payer Five-year T-note Constant maturity yield 6 Amortizing swap Notional principal reduced over time (e.g. mortgage) N1 N2 N3 N4 T1 T2 T3 T4 Valuation: 0 = B(0,T1)(SFR - F1)N1 + B(0,T2)(SFR - F2)N2 + B(0,T3)(SFR - F3)N3+ B(0,T4)(SFR - F4)N4 where Ft SFR = appropriate forward rate = swap fixed rate 7 Diff swaps: (currency hedged basis swap) Floating for floating swap Floating rates are in different currencies All swap payments in one currency Example: swap 5 year gilt (£) yield for 5 year CMT T-note yield swap payments in $ (5-year £ gilt yield) x Notional principal ($) U.S. Firm desiring exposure to UK yield U.S Firm reducing exposure to UK yield (5 -year CMT yield) x Notional principal ($) 8 Commodity derivatives Commodity-linked loans Merrill Lynch - $250 mil Aluminum-linked bond for Dubal (Barrick) Price protection standard for project financing hedging to assure break-even as loan requirement. Gold hedging used to raise LBO funds. Gas swaps Basis swaps (Enron) Oil swaps Crack Spread swaps 9 Credit derivatives First generation: Bankers Trust (BT) and Credit Suisse (CS) notes (Japan 1993) objective: free up credit lines to Japanese financial sector note payoffs: coupon = Libor + 100 bp ; but: coupon and principal reduced if defaults occur. one lego (building block) is credit default swap: Notional Principal x (40 bp) Protection Buyer Protection Seller Floating payment contingent on defaults; payment mirrors loss incurred by creditors Contingent payment based on post-default value of reference security 10 Enron Credit default swaps – Fall 2001 Enron Credit Default Swaps Bid/Offer Band (basis points) 1400 1200 1000 800 600 400 200 0 11/21/01 11/14/01 11/7/01 10/31/01 10/24/01 60 Month Maturity 10/17/01 10/10/01 10/3/01 9/26/01 9/19/01 9/12/01 9/5/01 8/29/01 8/22/01 8/15/01 8/8/01 8/1/01 120 Month Maturity 12 Month Maturity 11 GM Credit default swaps: 2002-2004 12 GM Credit default swaps – Fall 2005 13 Structured notes: Range Floaters (Range contingent accrual bonds) Bonds that accrue interest only on days when range conditions satisfied. Example: $10 million bond: 12% coupon, accrual range contingent; range is ($.50, $.59) $/DM semiannual coupon = $10m x (.12) x (S (days within range)/365) (this is a restart accrual; can be barrier terminal accrual) 14 Structured notes - Inverse floater Example: GNMA 10-year note; maturity 12/15/07 coupon paid semi-annually: 6/15 and 12/15 coupon = max(0.02, (0.18- 2xLibor)) x (180/360) x Face coupon on $1 million note a function of Libor: Libor coupon Coupon .050 40,000 40,000 .055 35,000 T-note coupon .060 30,000 30,000 .070 20,000 20,000 .080 10,000 Floater coupon .090 10,000 10,000 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% Libor 15 Exotic options Binaries: Digital ; Gap ; Ranges. Chooser (as you like it) Rainbow (welcome to OZ) option on best of two Asian (average price or average strike) Bermudan (exercise windows) Lookback (no regret) barrier options: knockouts: up and out; down and out Knockins: up and in; down and in many, many more, including “Down and in” Arrow, or Arrow-Debreu (advanced*) (* see Carr and Chou, 1997, RISK magazine, vol 10 #9) 16 Digital and Gap options Examples: 1) European Gap call option, with G=0 Payoffs: ST - G 0 if ST > K if ST < K PayoffT K 2) digital European call Payoffs: K 0 if ST > K if ST < K K ST 17 Range Binary options Example: 1) binary $/DM range option with range = ( $.56, $.575) PayoffT Payoff: 3x premium if $.56 < ST < $.575 0 if ST < $.56 or ST > $.575 Typical underlying: exchange rates, interest rates commodity prices 3x premium $0.56 Usage example: Corp long DM, buys put and range. Outcomes: 1) DM up : gain on long DM position 2) DM down: hedged with put 3) unchanged: range pays off, pays for put. $0.575 ST 18 Quattro option (Banker’s Trust 1996) binary quad-range option: four ranges! Payoff: 8x premium 6xpremium 4xpremium 2xpremium 0 PayoffT 8x premium if all four ranges unbroken if only one range broken if two ranges unbroken if only one range unbroken if all ranges broken All four ranges! ST Note this allows sale of volatility with limited loss (as opposed to sale of straddle) 19 Rainbow Options Rainbow option: Option on best of two assets $180 $160 Asset A asset prices $140 $120 $100 Asset B $80 $60 Option payoff = max(0, AT-K,BT-K) if K=$100; AT = 110; BT = $143 $40 $20 Rainbow payoff = $43 $0 1 9 17 25 33 41 49 57 65 73 81 89 97 105 113 121 129 137 145 153 161 169 177 185 193 201 209 217 225 233 241 249 Time (days) 20 Asian (Average price) Options Price history for Asian option payoff 140 Asset price 120 Average=94.75 100 80 60 40 20 Option life (averaging period= 180 days) 0 1 12 23 34 45 56 67 78 89 100 111 122 133 144 155 166 177 188 199 210 221 232 243 Time (days) 21 Barrier Options: down and out Down and Out call option 120 Asset price 100 80 60 Lower barrier 40 Option ceases to exist 20 0 1 12 23 34 45 56 67 78 89 100 111 122 133 144 155 166 177 188 199 210 221 232 243 Time (days) 22 Barrier Options: down and in Down and In put option 90 80 Asset price 70 Lower barrier 60 Lower barrier 50 Option is activated 40 30 20 10 0 1 12 23 34 45 56 67 78 89 100 111 122 133 144 155 166 177 188 199 210 221 232 243 Time (days) 23 Up and out knockout put Up and Out Put Option 120 100 Asset price Knockout upper barrier 80 60 Option ceases to exist 40 20 0 1 12 23 34 45 56 67 78 89 100 111 122 133 144 155 166 177 188 199 210 221 232 243 Time (days) 24