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Comparison of Experimental Designs Artificial selection 1 Artificial Selection Artificial Selection R1 μ2 μ1 μ0 Trait value offspring Rcum R2 Trait value parents R = h2S μ0 μ0,S= μ1 μ1,S= μ2 S1 S2 Scum 2 Artificial Selection Wing-length in milkweed bugs (Oncopeltus fasciatus) Artificial Selection R1 = (μ1 − μ 0 ) = h 2 (μ S , 0 − μ 0 ) = h 2 S1 R2 = (μ 2 − μ1 ) = h 2 (μ1, S − μ1 ) = h 2 (μ1, S − μ 0, S ) = h 2 S 2 R2,cum = R1 + R2 = h 2 S1 + h 2 S 2 = h 2 (S1 + S 2 ) n n t =1 t =1 Rt ,cum = ∑ Rt =h 2 ∑ S t = h 2 S t ,cum → h2 = Rt ,cum S t ,cum Eq. 1 Eq. 2 t: index for generation One way to obtain an estimate of the „realized heritability“ from selection experiments is to calculate the proportion of the total evolutionary response over the total amount of applied selection (Eq. 2). More commonly used is, however, the method of fitting a regression line of the cumulative response to selection on the cumulative selection differential over the course of the selection experiment (Eq. 1; see next slide). 3 Artificial Selection Wing-length in milkweed bugs (Oncopeltus fasciatus) Artificial Selection The intensity of selection i A generalized way of expressing the selection differential in terms of the phenotypic standard deviation (standardized scale). (see standard normal distribution) R = h 2 S ; S = iσ p i and proportion selected R = ih 2σ p Net selection on a trait when the applied selection is not equal between the sexes corresponds to the mean of selection on the two sexes S= 1 (Sm + S f ) 2 If selection is only on females: 1 1 S = (0 + S f ) = S f 2 2 1 2 →R= h S 2 4 Artificial Selection The intensity of selection i This artificial selection experiment on 6-week body weight mice (carried out over 30 generations in the upward and 24 generations in the downward direction) demonstrates how the intensity of selection (proportion selected) predicts the response to selection. Natural selection opposing artificial selection in the downward line due to fertility problems are visible). From Falconer & Mackay 1996 Artificial Selection Population size and the response to selection The „Robertson model“ (1960) Rmax = 2 N eih 2σ p = 2Neh2S Ne: effective population size Maximal response to selection after an infinite number of generations Faster loss of additive genetic variance in small populations due to inbreeding. This equation only models the loss of variance from inbreeding, not due to selection. And it does not incorporate the effect of mutation on maintained variance. Under these assumptions, the optimal selection strategy that maximizes the total response is to select 50% from the population. From Falconer & Mackay 1996; Roff, 1997 5 Artificial Selection Limits of selection • faster in small populations due to inbreeding • faster under higher intensity of selection Trait value 1. Loss of additive genetic variation 2. Natural selection opposing artificial selection Generations 3. Mutational variance to small (by definition rare at occurrence) 4. Extrinsic limit for trait (e.g., there are specific limits for how small an organism can become) Artificial Selection (No) Limits of selection Reversal of selection 2. Mutations R = 2 N ei VA + VM σp VM: additive variance generated by mutations The longer the duration of artificial selection experiments, the larger the influence of „new mutations“ on the process. Realized heritabilities from long-term artificial selection experiments do not represent the heritability in the founder population. Extrinsic limit 6 Artificial Selection Trait value Asymmetric responses to selection Asymmetric response to selection → There can only be one possible heritability for any trait Generations Artificial Selection Asymmetric responses to selection From Roff, 1997 7 Artificial Selection Asymmetric responses to selection Possible underlying causes: • Random drift (solution: replicate lines) • Natural selection asymmetrically interferring with artificial selection (solution: measure natural selection) • Biased mutation (mutations tending to affect phenotype in one direction) • Inbreeding depression (solution: control lines) • Maternal effects • Genetic asymmetry • Scalar asymmetry 8