impact of climate change on precipitation
... meteorological station data are used to develop and validate a Statistical downscaling model for establishing a statistical relationship between the data. Using this downscaling model the possible future scenarios of temperature and precipitation variations are generated using large-scale predictor ...
... meteorological station data are used to develop and validate a Statistical downscaling model for establishing a statistical relationship between the data. Using this downscaling model the possible future scenarios of temperature and precipitation variations are generated using large-scale predictor ...
Sea Level Rise - Sarasota Bay Estuary Program
... The Sarasota Bay Estuary Program, working with the Marine Policy Institute of Mote Marine Laboratory, has developed a local sea level rise web viewer covering the Sarasota Bay Estuary (Sarasota and Manatee Counties). This viewer can be accessed through the Sarasota Bay Estuary Program web site (www ...
... The Sarasota Bay Estuary Program, working with the Marine Policy Institute of Mote Marine Laboratory, has developed a local sea level rise web viewer covering the Sarasota Bay Estuary (Sarasota and Manatee Counties). This viewer can be accessed through the Sarasota Bay Estuary Program web site (www ...
... exponentially expand its cruise tourism sector within the next few years. Jamaica is one of the main ports of call for large cruise ships that ply the waters of the Caribbean Sea. At present, ships dock at the main resorts areas of Ocho Rios, Montego Bay and Port Antonio. The addition of Falmouth as ...
Adaptation Planning In New York City
... GCM based on all the available simulations with that GCM is an alternative approach; however, ...
... GCM based on all the available simulations with that GCM is an alternative approach; however, ...
Implications of climate warming for Boreal Shield lakes: a review
... Abstract: Climate change is a reality. A warming climate will have large effects on lakes of the Boreal Shield. Our ability to forecast these effects, however, is hampered by a very incomplete understanding of the actual interactions between weather and many aspects of lake ecosystems. Climate chang ...
... Abstract: Climate change is a reality. A warming climate will have large effects on lakes of the Boreal Shield. Our ability to forecast these effects, however, is hampered by a very incomplete understanding of the actual interactions between weather and many aspects of lake ecosystems. Climate chang ...
pdf of manuscript - Mark Williams
... Mountains are the water tower of the world (Immerzeel et al., 2010; Viviroli et al., 2007). They take important roles in the water supply of downstream areas. More than one sixth of the global population relies on water supplied by mountains (Barnett et al., 2005; Immerzeel et al., 2009). Meanwhile, ...
... Mountains are the water tower of the world (Immerzeel et al., 2010; Viviroli et al., 2007). They take important roles in the water supply of downstream areas. More than one sixth of the global population relies on water supplied by mountains (Barnett et al., 2005; Immerzeel et al., 2009). Meanwhile, ...
Directive IPPC : quelques remarques
... actual behaviour depends on their chemical composition, their state of mixing with other aerosols, ambient humidity,… The dependence on the chemical composition is very complex and not yet fully understood. However, it could be very schematically summarised as follows : Sulphate aerosols mainly scat ...
... actual behaviour depends on their chemical composition, their state of mixing with other aerosols, ambient humidity,… The dependence on the chemical composition is very complex and not yet fully understood. However, it could be very schematically summarised as follows : Sulphate aerosols mainly scat ...
Assessing the Impacts of Climate Change on Urban Forests in the
... Figure 1 displays the locations of climate recording stations and the boundary of the final primary dataset produced by CIG and used for this study. More detailed information can be found in chapter 3 of the CBCCSP study report (see Chap.3, UW-CIG, 2010). Future climate projections were also produce ...
... Figure 1 displays the locations of climate recording stations and the boundary of the final primary dataset produced by CIG and used for this study. More detailed information can be found in chapter 3 of the CBCCSP study report (see Chap.3, UW-CIG, 2010). Future climate projections were also produce ...
Climate and carbon cycle dynamics in a CESM simulation from 850
... millennium. Nevertheless, we find that structural uncertainties between different models can still dominate over forcing uncertainty for quantities such as hemispheric temperatures or the land and ocean carbon cycle response. Compared to other model simulations, we find forced decadal-scale variabil ...
... millennium. Nevertheless, we find that structural uncertainties between different models can still dominate over forcing uncertainty for quantities such as hemispheric temperatures or the land and ocean carbon cycle response. Compared to other model simulations, we find forced decadal-scale variabil ...
- Wiley Online Library
... to air conditioning technologies, as opposed to the large scale climate control being considered here. The word ‘engineering’ itself may also be misleading as we are considering here methods that try to influence one aspect of a complex system rather than control or ‘engineer’ the full system. Final ...
... to air conditioning technologies, as opposed to the large scale climate control being considered here. The word ‘engineering’ itself may also be misleading as we are considering here methods that try to influence one aspect of a complex system rather than control or ‘engineer’ the full system. Final ...
Adapting to Climate Change
... Responding to climate-related risks involves decision-making in a changing world, with continuing uncertainty about the severity and timing of climate-change impacts and with limits to the effectiveness of adaptation (high confidence). Risk management provides a useful framework for most climate cha ...
... Responding to climate-related risks involves decision-making in a changing world, with continuing uncertainty about the severity and timing of climate-change impacts and with limits to the effectiveness of adaptation (high confidence). Risk management provides a useful framework for most climate cha ...
Gulf Coast Wetland Sustainability in a Changing Climate
... Foreword Eileen Claussen, President, Pew Center on Global Climate Change In 2007, the science of climate change achieved an unfortunate milestone: the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change reached a consensus position that human-induced global warming is already causing physical and biological ...
... Foreword Eileen Claussen, President, Pew Center on Global Climate Change In 2007, the science of climate change achieved an unfortunate milestone: the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change reached a consensus position that human-induced global warming is already causing physical and biological ...
Seager and Battisti, 2007
... had established themselves in the preceding warm epoch died. The Younger Dryas ended with a second abrupt warming, that occurred over only a decade or so, that shifted temperatures back to those of the Holocene and of today. The idea that the climate system goes through such abrupt shifts did not ta ...
... had established themselves in the preceding warm epoch died. The Younger Dryas ended with a second abrupt warming, that occurred over only a decade or so, that shifted temperatures back to those of the Holocene and of today. The idea that the climate system goes through such abrupt shifts did not ta ...
NATIONAL PARKS|Fall 2009
... COPENHAGEN. 03-Dec-2009 ................................................................................ 21 FINANCING CLIMATE CHANGE: The OECD is ready to assist G20 countries in their efforts to find lasting solutions to finance action on climate change, building on the long-standing work of the or ...
... COPENHAGEN. 03-Dec-2009 ................................................................................ 21 FINANCING CLIMATE CHANGE: The OECD is ready to assist G20 countries in their efforts to find lasting solutions to finance action on climate change, building on the long-standing work of the or ...
magnitude and frequency
... rainfall totals by the 2080s. One study claims that past greenhouse gas emissions (the ‘human fingerprint’) have already increased the risk of major flooding events like autumn 2000. Observed records show variability in flooding from one decade to the next but convincing long-term trends are harder ...
... rainfall totals by the 2080s. One study claims that past greenhouse gas emissions (the ‘human fingerprint’) have already increased the risk of major flooding events like autumn 2000. Observed records show variability in flooding from one decade to the next but convincing long-term trends are harder ...
Course on review of higher tiers non
... warming potentials used to calculate the CO2 equivalence of GHG in Annex A to the KP shall be those in the column entitled “Global Warming Potential for Given Time Horizon” in table 2.14 of the Errata to the contribution of WG I to the AR4, based on the effects of GHG over a 100-year time horizon, t ...
... warming potentials used to calculate the CO2 equivalence of GHG in Annex A to the KP shall be those in the column entitled “Global Warming Potential for Given Time Horizon” in table 2.14 of the Errata to the contribution of WG I to the AR4, based on the effects of GHG over a 100-year time horizon, t ...
Equilibrium Response of an Atmosphere–Mixed Layer Ocean Model
... less than 10⫺3 W m⫺2 at any grid point, and thus are too small to have any practical importance, we conducted an additional control simulation that also introduced these very small changes in background aerosol concentrations. The new control simulation is integrated for another 80 years, and the la ...
... less than 10⫺3 W m⫺2 at any grid point, and thus are too small to have any practical importance, we conducted an additional control simulation that also introduced these very small changes in background aerosol concentrations. The new control simulation is integrated for another 80 years, and the la ...
Not a Problem, Someone Else`s Problem, My Problem or Our
... 4. People’s emotional responses to climate change are important predictors of their willingness to mitigate – both personally and through policy support. “Fear appeals” can trigger people to disengage, especially when impacts seem remote and outside of personal control. In contrast, people appear t ...
... 4. People’s emotional responses to climate change are important predictors of their willingness to mitigate – both personally and through policy support. “Fear appeals” can trigger people to disengage, especially when impacts seem remote and outside of personal control. In contrast, people appear t ...
9 Holocene rapid land-cover changes – evidence and theory
... North Africa revealed a stability as indicated by case III in Figure 9.4 with only one, green solution IIIg. Because of the change in insolation, the dashed line P*(V,E) shifts to the left until around 6000 years BP and a situation is reached that is sketched as case II in Figure 9.4, with a desert ...
... North Africa revealed a stability as indicated by case III in Figure 9.4 with only one, green solution IIIg. Because of the change in insolation, the dashed line P*(V,E) shifts to the left until around 6000 years BP and a situation is reached that is sketched as case II in Figure 9.4, with a desert ...
Time series analyses reveal possible responses by the lichen
... the projected warmer and wetter weather with concomitant decreased irradiance, due to ...
... the projected warmer and wetter weather with concomitant decreased irradiance, due to ...
Global warming hiatus
A global warming hiatus, also sometimes referred to as a global warming pause or a global warming slowdown, is a period of relatively little change in globally averaged surface temperatures. In the current episode of global warming many such periods are evident in the surface temperature record, along with robust evidence of the long term warming trend.The exceptionally warm El Niño year of 1998 was an outlier from the continuing temperature trend, and so gave the appearance of a hiatus: by January 2006 assertions had been made that this showed that global warming had stopped. A 2009 study showed that decades without warming were not exceptional, and in 2011 a study showed that if allowances were made for known variability, the rising temperature trend continued unabated. There was increased public interest in 2013 in the run-up to publication of the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report, and despite concerns that a 15-year period was too short to determine a meaningful trend, the IPCC included a section on a hiatus, which it defined as a much smaller increasing linear trend over the 15 years from 1998 to 2012, than over the 60 years from 1951 to 2012. Various studies examined possible causes of the short term slowdown. Even though the overall climate system had continued to accumulate energy due to Earth's positive energy budget, the available temperature readings at the earth's surface indicated slower rates of increase in surface warming than in the prior decade. Since measurements at the top of the atmosphere show that Earth is receiving more energy than it is radiating back into space, the retained energy should be producing warming in at least one of the five parts of Earth's climate system.A July 2015 paper on the updated NOAA dataset cast doubt on the existence of this supposed hiatus, and found no indication of a slowdown. This analysis incorporated the latest corrections for known biases in ocean temperature measurements, and new land temperature data. Scientists working on other datasets welcomed this study, though the view was expressed that the short term warming trend had been slower than in previous periods of the same length.