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Global warming
Global warming

... affect the radiation balance through cloud forcings similar to greenhouse gases. Human activity since the Industrial Revolution has increased the amount of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere, leading to increased radiative forcing from CO2, methane, tropospheric ozone, CFCs and nitrous oxide. Accord ...
1 MALAWI SUBMISSION ON ISSUES RELATED TO
1 MALAWI SUBMISSION ON ISSUES RELATED TO

... agricultural sector, which also accounts for nearly 90 percent of foreign exchange earnings and 39 per cent of gross domestic product (GDP). Two main sub-sectors are recognised - the smallholder sub-sector that contributes more than 70 per cent, and the estate sub-sector that contributes less than 3 ...
Oppenheimer et al 2007
Oppenheimer et al 2007

... WAIS, which contains enough ice to raise sea level by about 5 m. Setting aside or minimizing the importance of key structural uncertainties in underlying processes is a frequent outcome of the drive for consensus (5, 10). For example, ranges of projected warming and atmospheric composition in AR4 in ...
2015 Ocean Science Conference Registration Form Name Gender
2015 Ocean Science Conference Registration Form Name Gender

... Carbon and Carbonate System Chemistry are all included □ Continental Shelf, Geo-environmental and Global Changes: This Agenda covers Plate Tectonics, Tectonophysics, Seismotectonics, Sedimentology, Stratigraphy, Coastal Geology, Geologic Hazard, Transform Mechanism of Organic Sediment, Paleoceanogrp ...
Support development/review of sub-regional climate change action
Support development/review of sub-regional climate change action

... • Azerbaijan: “Strengthening capacity and practice on climate change vulnerability assessment and adaptation planning in more vulnerable regions of Azerbaijan” (AF) • Georgia: “Technical assistance for assessing the feasibility of and building capacity in Ecosystem-based Adaptation (EbA) in Georgia’ ...
CCI Living Planet Fellowships
CCI Living Planet Fellowships

... •  Evaluation and application of passive and active optical remote sensing methods for the measurement of atmospheric aerosol properties •  Postdoc visit at KNMI: retrieval of tropospheric ozone with OMI •  ITICA: - estimate the effect of increasing temperatures on the aerosol direct radiative effec ...
Programme of the international conference "Architecture, the climate
Programme of the international conference "Architecture, the climate

... The consequences of climate change are known and scientists warned us long ago about our collective responsibility. According to the latest IPCC report the construction, maintenance and conversion of buildings are responsible for 19% of greenhouse gas emissions and 40% of the energy consumed globall ...
2 o C - Healthy India
2 o C - Healthy India

... (tested against recent record) ...
Slide 1
Slide 1

this file - Carbon Finance at the World Bank
this file - Carbon Finance at the World Bank

... – Mitigating the Risk that Climate Change Will Occur – Adapting to minimize the impacts of climate change • 1997 Kyoto Protocol requires Industrialized countries to reduce emissions an average of 5.2% below 1990 levels – In some countries, emissions are up by 30% since 1990. – How would such countri ...
Can aerosols spin down the water cycle in a warmer and moister
Can aerosols spin down the water cycle in a warmer and moister

... the recent decade of the 1990s reductions of aerosol concentrations were observed in many industrialised countries. Land use change may also have contributed to changes in the hydrological cycle during the last century, which is also not included in the model. [13] In conclusion, we were able to exp ...
Evaluation of the ASARECA
Evaluation of the ASARECA

... Tackling climate change is the pro-growth strategy for the longer term, and it can be done in a way that does not cap the aspirations for growth of rich or poor countries. A range of options exists to cut emissions; strong, deliberate policy action is required to motivate their take-up. Emissions ca ...
Detection and attribution of climate change for the
Detection and attribution of climate change for the

... - empirical evidence for an ongoing trend, and - theoretical reasoning for driver-response dynamics, and - forecasts of future driver behavior. ...
PDF
PDF

... more severe than those simulated in this study. We plan to extend and improve the research in this field. Different approaches to consider soil qualities at district level shall be compared. In order to understand farmers’ adaptation to different climatic conditions multinomial logit models will be ...


... According to the authors, only a small number of nations are willing to assume this responsibility and this shows that the international system is dominated by conservative forces. One of the most structural of requirements is that most nations need to gradually abandon sovereignty as planetary limi ...
Climate CHANGE ADAPTATION
Climate CHANGE ADAPTATION

... greenhouse gases. Mitigation can mean using new technologies and renewable energies, making older equipment more energy efficient, or changing management practices or consumer behavior (UNEP, ...
Peter Stott`s Presentation
Peter Stott`s Presentation

... climate system is clear • Better understanding of the changing risks of extreme weather will help people cope with the effects of anthropogenic climate change. • Extreme weather and seasons result from the interplay of natural climate variability and anthropogenic climate ...
observed changes and projections
observed changes and projections

Speech at the
Speech at the

... transcends boundaries. As the COP15 is drawing near, I sincerely hope joint efforts will be made in the following aspects: First, we should take enough confidence towards COP15. I have noted that the concrete United Nations climate talks seemed rather tough in the process. However, it is against thi ...
The air has no residence
The air has no residence

... something present and something absent. This can be understood in terms of the space-time of the encounter, the conflict between two different forms of sensibility and the designation of two different spaces of doing and making. I would argue that the aesthetics of climate change are such that work ...
PowerPoint Presentation - Agriculture and Climate Change
PowerPoint Presentation - Agriculture and Climate Change

...  Breakoff of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet ...
the physical basis for earth`s climate system
the physical basis for earth`s climate system

... Climate is commonly described by properties (for example, temperature and precipitation) throughout the atmosphere in a set of long-term atmospheric statistics, but it is much more. Climate, climate variability, and climate change result from complex mass and energy flows, transformations, and feedb ...
Workshop of the Abdus Salam International Center for Theoretical
Workshop of the Abdus Salam International Center for Theoretical

... The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) was established by the World Meteorological Organization and the United Nations Environmental Program to assess scientific information on climate change. The IPCC publishes reports that summarize the state of the science (and currently working in ...
Presentation on Climate Change to Members of Parliament
Presentation on Climate Change to Members of Parliament

... • National Strategy 14-4: Develop mechanisms to influence the global rate of climate change(linked to National Outcome 10) • Sector Strategy: Identify strategic priorities for Climate Change ...
PowerPoint - Princeton University
PowerPoint - Princeton University

... Over the US, radiative forcing due to sulfate aerosols is -2 Wm-2. cooling ...
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Attribution of recent climate change



Attribution of recent climate change is the effort to scientifically ascertain mechanisms responsible for recent changes observed in the Earth's climate, commonly known as 'global warming'. The effort has focused on changes observed during the period of instrumental temperature record, when records are most reliable; particularly in the last 50 years, when human activity has grown fastest and observations of the troposphere have become available. The dominant mechanisms (to which recent climate change has been attributed) are anthropogenic, i.e., the result of human activity. They are: increasing atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases global changes to land surface, such as deforestation increasing atmospheric concentrations of aerosols.There are also natural mechanisms for variation including climate oscillations, changes in solar activity, and volcanic activity.According to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), it is ""extremely likely"" that human influence was the dominant cause of global warming between 1951 and 2010. The IPCC defines ""extremely likely"" as indicating a probability of 95 to 100%, based on an expert assessment of all the available evidence.Multiple lines of evidence support attribution of recent climate change to human activities: A basic physical understanding of the climate system: greenhouse gas concentrations have increased and their warming properties are well-established. Historical estimates of past climate changes suggest that the recent changes in global surface temperature are unusual. Computer-based climate models are unable to replicate the observed warming unless human greenhouse gas emissions are included. Natural forces alone (such as solar and volcanic activity) cannot explain the observed warming.The IPCC's attribution of recent global warming to human activities is a view shared by most scientists, and is also supported by 196 other scientific organizations worldwide (see also: scientific opinion on climate change).
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