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Paleoclimate Implications for Human-Made Climate Change
Paleoclimate Implications for Human-Made Climate Change

... Paleoclimate data help us assess climate sensitivity and potential human-made climate effects. We conclude that Earth in the warmest interglacial periods of the past million years was less than 1 C warmer than in the Holocene. Polar warmth in these interglacials and in the Pliocene does not imply t ...
PDF
PDF

... and the other representing technical and economic conditions predicted for the year 2030. The impact of this climate on crop yields is captured using the EPIC model, and the direct effects of CO2 enrichment based on laboratory experiments are incorporated. Under the worst case scenario, where there ...
Simulating Sea Ice - An abrupt change perspective
Simulating Sea Ice - An abrupt change perspective

... • With thinner initial ice, melting translates more directly into open water formation and consequent albedo changes Complicates paleoclimate issues since “control state” not as well known ...
Excel exercise #1
Excel exercise #1

... Greenhouse gases, such as carbon dioxide (CO2), nitrous oxide (N2O) and water vapor, regulate the temperature on Earth by absorbing heat from the sunlight and releasing it slowly helping to maintain an averaged temperature in the atmosphere that make life possible. This is known as the Greenhouse ef ...
Lesson: Concerning Climate- Weather Matters
Lesson: Concerning Climate- Weather Matters

... category their card goes into on the poster (Supplement B). 4. Once the cards have been sorted correctly into two groups, let students know that climate change can affect our day-to-day weather. o The climate changes naturally over time, cycling between warm and cool periods. However, human activiti ...
Intended National Determined Contribution (INDC)
Intended National Determined Contribution (INDC)

... and north-west under both RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5. Rainfall totals might drop significantly over Lake Victoria (-20% from present). Recent studies, which require further refinement, have estimated that, in the absence of adaptation actions, the cost of the impacts of climate variability and change in Ug ...
filed a petition with the EPA - Center for International Environmental
filed a petition with the EPA - Center for International Environmental

... corporate accountability, and is supported by over 150,000 members throughout the United States. Petitioner Solar Energy Industries Association (SEIA) is located at 1111 North 19th Street, Suite 260, Arlington, VA 22209. The Solar Energy industries Association (SEIA), founded in 1974, is the U.S. i ...
The role of the Arctic and Antarctic and their impact on global climate
The role of the Arctic and Antarctic and their impact on global climate

... political communities[2-4]. The Nongovernmental International Panel on Climate Change (NIPCC) debates many aspects of the Fourth Report of the IPCC, which primarily concern the scientific uncertainties regarding climate change. These can be summarized as the belief that global warming is caused by n ...
On Modeling and Interpreting the Economics of Catastrophic
On Modeling and Interpreting the Economics of Catastrophic

... neither recognized in the literature nor incorporated into formal CBA modeling of disasters like climate-change catastrophes. These implications raise many disturbing yet important questions, which will be dealt with somewhat speculatively in the concluding sections of this paper. Partially answered ...
Weitzman2009-Modeling-Economics-ClimateChange.pdf
Weitzman2009-Modeling-Economics-ClimateChange.pdf

... neither recognized in the literature nor incorporated into formal CBA modeling of disasters like climate-change catastrophes. These implications raise many disturbing yet important questions, which will be dealt with somewhat speculatively in the concluding sections of this paper. Partially answered ...
Climate change and disaster management
Climate change and disaster management

... Populations are highly variable in their endowments and the developing countries, particularly the least developed countries . . . have lesser capacity to adapt and are more vulnerable to climate change damages, just as they are more vulnerable to other stresses.This condition is most extreme among ...
Humanists For Revolutionary Socialism
Humanists For Revolutionary Socialism

... the social scene. Behind the façade of the social commodity, everybody feels alone. The only way to escape this deep feeling of loneliness and separateness is by turning on the TV or the computer when one comes home. The alienated person must engage in mindless, passive activities in which independe ...
Gary Yohe - Evaulating Adaptation Methods
Gary Yohe - Evaulating Adaptation Methods

... potentially enormous significance for community located on the river bank. A significant degree of interannual variability is depicted there around a static mean; this is the no-climate change scenario. Panel A also portrays hypothetical upper and lower thresholds that define a coping capacity at a ...
Delaying climate action would be costly for Australia and the
Delaying climate action would be costly for Australia and the

... warming to the agreed goal of 2°C or less. This report summarises key findings from previous Australian and international studies and highlights findings that are relevant for Australia’s decision about post2020 emission reductions targets. It canvasses the economic case for Australia’s interest in ...
Intermodel variability of the poleward shift of the austral jet stream in
Intermodel variability of the poleward shift of the austral jet stream in

... stratospheric conditions in this season. Son et al. [2008b] document that differences in ozone forcing can change the sign of the jet shift in the 21st century: the jet shifts equatorward in CMIP3 models where recovery of the ozone hole is simulated, but continues to shift poleward in models where o ...
04 Morlot.P65
04 Morlot.P65

... Article 2 and long-term goals of climate policies. Uncertainty complicates such an interpretation, especially since the risks of accelerated climate change will play out over decades or even centuries. There is also a disconnect between the location of mitigation action and the location of where pol ...
Climate Change Workshop Proceedings
Climate Change Workshop Proceedings

... federal government, the public health sector and non-governmental organizations presented evidencebased information on climate change and its implications. In their presentations, these experts considered the impact of climate change on human health and the importance of both adaptation and mitigati ...
Coproduction of Indigenous and Scientific Knowledge as a
Coproduction of Indigenous and Scientific Knowledge as a

... anthropology, ecology and snow physics. Observations include a variety of data such as: (i) quantitative climatic data from automatic weather stations and temperature probes placed at a number of sites within the territory of the reindeer herding community; (ii) qualitative data from Sami herders ab ...
Environmental - Successor-agreement to the extended Kyoto protocol
Environmental - Successor-agreement to the extended Kyoto protocol

... gases like carbon dioxide (CO2), methane (CH4), nitrous oxide (N2O), hydro fluorocarbons (HFC's), per fluorocarbons (PFC's), sulphur hexafluoride (SF6) or nitrogen trifluoride (NF3) are rising into the air and causing the greenhouse effect. That effect is when those gases concentrate in a great numb ...
Climate change and the Antarctic marine ecosystem: an essay on
Climate change and the Antarctic marine ecosystem: an essay on

... potentially introduces a greater level of ecosystem uncertainty, successful ecosystem outcomes potentially mean that management practices may need to be more conservative. A recent synthesis of Antarctic climate change (Turner et al. 2009a) summarizes some of the most important physical effects and ...


... borne illnesses, and gastroenteritis were examined. The total number of new dengue cases for the period 2008 to 2050 was 204,786 for BAU, 153,725 for A2 and 131,890 for the B2 scenario. With regard to the results for leptospirosis, A2 and B2 seem to be following a similar path with total number of n ...
Climate Change and the World Council of Churches
Climate Change and the World Council of Churches

... The most direct lineage for the WCC Climate Change work comes from the work of the former WCC Church in Society which convened a pivotal consultation in Budapest in 1974 to launch a study on science and technology which culminated in a major conference at Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) ...
Target Atmospheric CO2: Where Should Humanity Aim?
Target Atmospheric CO2: Where Should Humanity Aim?

... vegetation distribution, and continental shelf exposure, was 3.5 ± 1 W/m2 [14] relative to the Holocene. Additional forcing due to reduced amounts of long-lived GHGs (CO2, CH4, N2O), including the indirect effects of CH4 on tropospheric ozone and stratospheric water vapor (Fig. S1) was -3 ± 0.5 W/m2 ...
GEOG F412 - Geography of Climate and Environmental Change
GEOG F412 - Geography of Climate and Environmental Change

... ATTACH COMPLETE SYLLABUS (as part of this application). Note: The guidelines are online: http://www.uaf.edu/uafgov/faculty/cd/syllabus.html The department and campus wide curriculum committees will review the syllabus to ensure that each of the items listed below are included. If items are missing ...
WWF Climate Savers
WWF Climate Savers

... Current Roundtables/Dialogues/Certification Schemes supported by WWF ...
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Attribution of recent climate change



Attribution of recent climate change is the effort to scientifically ascertain mechanisms responsible for recent changes observed in the Earth's climate, commonly known as 'global warming'. The effort has focused on changes observed during the period of instrumental temperature record, when records are most reliable; particularly in the last 50 years, when human activity has grown fastest and observations of the troposphere have become available. The dominant mechanisms (to which recent climate change has been attributed) are anthropogenic, i.e., the result of human activity. They are: increasing atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases global changes to land surface, such as deforestation increasing atmospheric concentrations of aerosols.There are also natural mechanisms for variation including climate oscillations, changes in solar activity, and volcanic activity.According to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), it is ""extremely likely"" that human influence was the dominant cause of global warming between 1951 and 2010. The IPCC defines ""extremely likely"" as indicating a probability of 95 to 100%, based on an expert assessment of all the available evidence.Multiple lines of evidence support attribution of recent climate change to human activities: A basic physical understanding of the climate system: greenhouse gas concentrations have increased and their warming properties are well-established. Historical estimates of past climate changes suggest that the recent changes in global surface temperature are unusual. Computer-based climate models are unable to replicate the observed warming unless human greenhouse gas emissions are included. Natural forces alone (such as solar and volcanic activity) cannot explain the observed warming.The IPCC's attribution of recent global warming to human activities is a view shared by most scientists, and is also supported by 196 other scientific organizations worldwide (see also: scientific opinion on climate change).
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