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... also highly likely to increase in all areas due to higher temperatures. These increases will be larger in regions and seasons in which rainfall decreases. Increases in open water evaporation will affect wetlands and water storages. The combination of generally declining rainfall and increased evapor ...
Against the Grain: The United States and the Global Climate
Against the Grain: The United States and the Global Climate

... industries and the agricultural sector—tend to have particularly great lobbying power.7 Deep-rooted cultural traits derived from the origins of the US as a pioneer state upholding individual freedom, along with the state’s geographical isolation, sheer size and natural wealth, are other structural f ...
Potential Vegetation and Carbon Redistribution in Northern North
Potential Vegetation and Carbon Redistribution in Northern North

... on temperature, evapotranspiration rate, seasonality of precipitation, and severity of dry season to predict ecosystem type [1]. Holdrige’s diagram is considered the most iconic climate-ecosystem classification scheme and produced an ecosystem classification key based on temperature, precipitation, ...
Impacts Second National Communications
Impacts Second National Communications

... climate change into their areas of work - Changes in legislation or specific regulations to address climate change at national or local levels - Concrete efforts to address climate change at a broader level, for instance joint initiative to address climate risks management and ...
Future Directions - WCRP Strategic Framework
Future Directions - WCRP Strategic Framework

... science, which, in turn, have enabled WMO Members to provide improved climate information and services to their societies. WCRP has also enabled us to advance our understanding of the way the Earth's climate system works and upgrade continuously the methods and models needed to predict its evolution ...
Analysis of 3 decades temperature data for Athens and Thessaloniki
Analysis of 3 decades temperature data for Athens and Thessaloniki

Climate change and evolution: disentangling environmental and
Climate change and evolution: disentangling environmental and

... Under the assumption that much of the observed changes in avian breeding time in response to climate change are due to phenotypic plasticity as suggested by the evidence reviewed above, we can gain some insights on the potential importance of phenotypic plasticity by expressing the observed advances ...
Strategy for Fisheries, Aquaculture and Clilmate Change
Strategy for Fisheries, Aquaculture and Clilmate Change

... threats come from overexploited fishery resources and degraded ecosystems. Although some opportunities may arise if climate change improves local conditions for fisheries or aquaculture, the negative implications for food security and livelihoods in developing countries, and particularly in highly dep ...
http://www.fao.org/3/a-am434e.pdf
http://www.fao.org/3/a-am434e.pdf

... threats come from overexploited fishery resources and degraded ecosystems. Although some opportunities may arise if climate change improves local conditions for fisheries or aquaculture, the negative implications for food security and livelihoods in developing countries, and particularly in highly dep ...
iprc climate vol14 no1
iprc climate vol14 no1

... Until recently, the intense public and official interest in climate change in Hawai‘i perhaps was not matched by the activity of the climate research community. The physical science working group contribution to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) in ...
Supporting decision-making for effective adaptation
Supporting decision-making for effective adaptation

... Information on future climate change derived from climate models is a fundamental building block of adaptation decision-making. Some of the sources of uncertainty in future climate change projections are: ...
now - The City of Edinburgh Council
now - The City of Edinburgh Council

... climate change could mean for the city. 3. The potential risks to the city from these impacts were identified and weighted as to their likelihood and severity. ...
UNDP-TACC Pilot project Uruguay
UNDP-TACC Pilot project Uruguay

document Robock Presentation
document Robock Presentation

... Societal disruption, conflict between countries Conflicts with current treaties Whose hand on the thermostat? Effects on airplanes flying in stratosphere Effects on electrical properties of atmosphere Environmental impact of implementation Degrade terrestrial optical astronomy Affect stargazing Affe ...
Predicting species distribution of Sierra Nevada butterflies in
Predicting species distribution of Sierra Nevada butterflies in

... Introduction The 20th century witnessed a significant increase in Earth’s average surface temperature, rising sea levels, and greater frequencies and intensities of extreme weather events (IPCC, 2001). Even with efforts to curb fossil fuel emissions, climate scientists predict these trends will cont ...
Climate4you update October 2011
Climate4you update October 2011

A Climate Chronology - University of Maine
A Climate Chronology - University of Maine

... and the rate is increasing every year. Today this factor is larger than any contribution from the inorganic world. Thus today man by his own activities is increasing the carbon dioxide in the atmosphere at the rate of 30 per cent a century….Even if there may be some question as to whether or not the ...
Climate Change Impact on Flow Discharge of Kunhar River
Climate Change Impact on Flow Discharge of Kunhar River

CBIS` Perspective on Fossil Fuel Divestment
CBIS` Perspective on Fossil Fuel Divestment

... fuel by cars, trucks, ships, trains and airplanes. Electricity production generates the largest share of greenhouse gas emissions, the majority of which comes from burning fossil fuels. Addressing these key economic sectors in a comprehensive manner may have a greater impact than focusing solely on ...
Document
Document

... Ethiopia to promote development which is resilient to climate change at the national and local levels. The project is focused on strengthening the capacity of national and sub-national entities to monitor climate change, generate reliable hydro-meteorological information (including forecasts) and to ...
cc-impact-by-State_FWS
cc-impact-by-State_FWS

... latitudes. On the Kenai Peninsula alone, researchers have documented rising tree line, drying wetlands, glacial breakup, shrub encroachment into peat lands, and a change in wildfire patterns — all as a result of climate change. Researchers are also unsure if other climate change impacts — including ...
Global Problems, african Solutions: african Climate Scientists
Global Problems, african Solutions: african Climate Scientists

... between climate change and other environmental problems, such as water pollution and deforestation. Finally, while Africa’s scientists value their involvement in international scientific assessments, they would welcome more opportunities to collaborate with their peers on the continent, more dialogu ...
Tree-Ring Amplification of the Early Nineteenth
Tree-Ring Amplification of the Early Nineteenth

... At the same time, a dispute concerning a potentially limited sensitivity to cold temperatures in trees growing near the tree line, causing missing rings after very large stratospheric volcanic eruptions (Anchukaitis et al. 2012; Mann et al. 2012a,b; D’Arrigo et al. 2013; Esper et al. 2013b; Mann et ...
What`s In A Name? Global Warming vs. Climate Change
What`s In A Name? Global Warming vs. Climate Change

... These diverse results strongly suggest that global warming and climate change are used differently and mean different things in the minds of many Americans. Scientists often prefer the term climate change for technical reasons, but should be aware that the two terms generate different interpretation ...
How Environmental Pollution from Fossil Fuels can be included in
How Environmental Pollution from Fossil Fuels can be included in

... atmosphere’s carbon content, it reduces the value of this common property resource. They suggest two possibilities to calculate the value of the change in the country’s capital assets: ...
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Attribution of recent climate change



Attribution of recent climate change is the effort to scientifically ascertain mechanisms responsible for recent changes observed in the Earth's climate, commonly known as 'global warming'. The effort has focused on changes observed during the period of instrumental temperature record, when records are most reliable; particularly in the last 50 years, when human activity has grown fastest and observations of the troposphere have become available. The dominant mechanisms (to which recent climate change has been attributed) are anthropogenic, i.e., the result of human activity. They are: increasing atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases global changes to land surface, such as deforestation increasing atmospheric concentrations of aerosols.There are also natural mechanisms for variation including climate oscillations, changes in solar activity, and volcanic activity.According to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), it is ""extremely likely"" that human influence was the dominant cause of global warming between 1951 and 2010. The IPCC defines ""extremely likely"" as indicating a probability of 95 to 100%, based on an expert assessment of all the available evidence.Multiple lines of evidence support attribution of recent climate change to human activities: A basic physical understanding of the climate system: greenhouse gas concentrations have increased and their warming properties are well-established. Historical estimates of past climate changes suggest that the recent changes in global surface temperature are unusual. Computer-based climate models are unable to replicate the observed warming unless human greenhouse gas emissions are included. Natural forces alone (such as solar and volcanic activity) cannot explain the observed warming.The IPCC's attribution of recent global warming to human activities is a view shared by most scientists, and is also supported by 196 other scientific organizations worldwide (see also: scientific opinion on climate change).
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