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a reprint - Integrative Biology
a reprint - Integrative Biology

... 1991; McLaren et al., 1998; Carey and Harrington, 2001). Past work on voles indicates that they have excellent potential as climate and ecosystem indicators. Hadly et al. (2004) suggested that even moderate shifts in climate can affect population sizes and genetic variation in some voles, and geneti ...
Climate-Smart Agriculture Success Stories - CGSpace
Climate-Smart Agriculture Success Stories - CGSpace

... agriculture has been recognised for as long as people have been farming, climate change has high­l ighted this dependence like never before. Temperatures are rising, rainfall is increasing in some areas and declining in others, seasonal patterns and pest and disease distribution are changing, and ex ...
Wine Grape Suitability and Quality in a Changing Climate
Wine Grape Suitability and Quality in a Changing Climate

... Pennsylvania’s climate is varied throughout the state, due in part to topography and physiographic regions. Pennsylvania is characterized as being predominantly affected by continental climate, meaning that high pressure systems that move from the Mid-West and through Canada, and low pressure system ...
Peter Lee: Ethics of Climate Change Policy
Peter Lee: Ethics of Climate Change Policy

... decisions. What experimental support, beyond sophisticated computer projections, exists of the theories behind the current IPCC consensus? What proof iii ...
Climate predictability - Institut Català de Ciències del Clima
Climate predictability - Institut Català de Ciències del Clima

... The notion of climate predictability as the difference between a prior and a posterior distribution is somewhat differently interpreted when the PDF describing the relative density of states of the system is conditioned by a larger climate distribution (DelSole 2004). For example, the fundamental ai ...
Good Living for Whom? Bolivia`s Climate Justice Movement and the
Good Living for Whom? Bolivia`s Climate Justice Movement and the

... notes that the Amazonian regions have suffered terrible floods over the last few years: these floods have uprooted whole communities while destroying productive engines and possibilities for self-sufficiency. Increasingly, indigenous peoples in the highlands describe more extreme weather patterns, i ...
CONTENT ASSESSMENT
CONTENT ASSESSMENT

... 1. (T or F) Horses did not live in the Americas until the Spanish explorers introduced them about 500 years ago. 2. (T or F) Horses have always been grazers (feeding on grass). 3. (T or F) Multiple species of horses existed in North America at the same time. 4. (T or F) If there was no change in th ...
Earth`s Climate
Earth`s Climate

... An ice age is defined as a period of Earth’s history when permanent ice sheets (student book, p. 3) exist, usually centered over the poles. Glaciers (student book, p. 8) might also exist at high elevations far from the poles, such as on Mt. Kilimanjaro in Tanzania today, which sits only 3° south of ...
Managing water in the MDB under a variable and changing climate
Managing water in the MDB under a variable and changing climate

... to climate change in the Basin Plan was in the context of significant uncertainties in climate science (e.g. emission trajectories, modelling of the climate system) and how climatic influences would play out in the MDB (e.g. lack of suitable down-scaled models relevant at a catchment or even Basin s ...
What The Science Says: The trend in CO2 at Mauna Loa is
What The Science Says: The trend in CO2 at Mauna Loa is

... people.' (Andrew Walden) The following graph shows atmospheric CO2 levels over the last 10,000 years. It includes ice core data for CO2 levels before 1950. For values after 1950, direct measurements from Mauna Loa, Hawaii were used. ...
Climate Change Planning in Alaska`s National Parks
Climate Change Planning in Alaska`s National Parks

... Understanding the Science of Climate Change [See also ppt entitled “Understanding the Science of Climate Change: Climate drivers and climate effects”] ...
RIG chapter 2
RIG chapter 2

... Guardians of the deep: Australia's oceans and the unique creatures they support are suffering from increasing human activity and the vagaries of management by many different governments Michelle Grady. Habitat Australia Feb 2003 v31 i1 p8(2) Up to 85 per cent of the marine plants and animals in Aust ...
Climate Change and Children in the Brazilian Amazon Region
Climate Change and Children in the Brazilian Amazon Region

... States, European Union 2 and China. Brazilian emissions represent about 5% of global emissions. Unlike the other countries, whose main source is the burning of fossil fuels, in Brazil 75% of emissions occurs in land-use activities such as deforestation and burning for agriculture use. Only the Brazi ...
Divergences of Two Coupled Human and Natural - CHANS-Net
Divergences of Two Coupled Human and Natural - CHANS-Net

... metrics for measuring the overall functions of these components, respectively. Livestock (LSK) and its changes over time have been widely used because they are essential for land use, development, and climatic influence (Gutman and Reisell 2004). This is particularly true because of the importance o ...
Vulnerability and climate change hotspots in Africa
Vulnerability and climate change hotspots in Africa

... ABSTRACT: The climate of Africa varies from humid tropical climate to hyper-arid Saharan climate. The rainfall is highly variable in space. The coefficient of variation of rainfall is mapped in this paper and it revealed that rainfall variability is large in drought prone areas of the continent. Th ...
Climate change impacts on terrestrial ecosystems in metropolitan
Climate change impacts on terrestrial ecosystems in metropolitan

... This paper describes the potential impacts of warming temperatures and changing precipitation on plants, wildlife, invasive species, pests, and agricultural ecosystems across the multi-state region centered on Chicago, Illinois. We examine a geographic area that captures much of Lake Michigan, inclu ...
European atmosphere in 2050, a regional
European atmosphere in 2050, a regional

... of radiative forcing explored by the RCP scenarios. The corresponding emissions of short lived species are used in the global chemistry model that will be used to constrain the regional air quality model at its boundaries. The RCP2.6 is designed to keep global warming below 2 ◦ C by the end of the c ...
Sensitivity of marine systems to climate and fishing - Archimer
Sensitivity of marine systems to climate and fishing - Archimer

... is on the effects of fishing on the responses of marine systems to climate forcing. We also consider management approaches which may mitigate the effects of human exploitation on marine systems when climate is changing. In addition, we provide recommendations for research needed to further explore a ...
Economic and social benefits of meteorology and
Economic and social benefits of meteorology and

... decision-making process that can be used to reduce uncertainty and improve economic and other decisions. In the case of storms or floods public emergency services, after having received timely and accurate warnings, can provide personnel and equipment to minimize damage. In each case, the economic v ...
Climate  Extremes:  Challenges  in  Estimating
Climate Extremes: Challenges in Estimating

... not its primary focus. Extremes are not discussed on paleo time scales, in the context of the present (i.e., short term forecasting), or in the context of climate surprises (tipping points). These choices reflect our desire not to attempt too broad a review of the topic due to space constraints, as ...
Livestock and climate change
Livestock and climate change

... Vector-borne diseases could be affected by: (i) the expansion of vector populations into cooler areas (in higher altitude areas: malaria and livestock tick-borne diseases) or into more temperate zones (such as bluetongue disease in northern Europe); and (ii) changes in rainfall pattern during wetter ...
speaking out on global warming: public attitudes toward the papal
speaking out on global warming: public attitudes toward the papal

... percentage points at the 95 percent confidence level, including the design effect. The margin of sampling error may be higher for subgroups. Once the sample has been selected and fielded, and all the study data has been collected and made final, a poststratification process is used to adjust for any ...

 Sustainability
and
Climate
Models
for
the
Intermountain
West
 ‐An
Annotated
Bibliography‐ Marianne
A.
Buehler
&
William
E.
Brown,
Jr.


 Sustainability
and
Climate
Models
for
the
Intermountain
West
 ‐An
Annotated
Bibliography‐ Marianne
A.
Buehler
&
William
E.
Brown,
Jr.


... water
quality
either
for
human
uses
or
for
wildlife…
Utah
is
the
second
driest
state
in
the
nation;
Utah
 has
the
second
highest
per
capita
water
use.
However,
we
are
told
to
expect
more
people,
and
the
 climate
section
will
show
that
Utah
can
most
likely
expect
longer,
hotter
droughts
at
the
least
 ...
Chapter 7 CLIMATE CHANGE, SOCIAL POLICY AND GLOBAL
Chapter 7 CLIMATE CHANGE, SOCIAL POLICY AND GLOBAL

... in the US switched to fuel-efficient cars the savings would alone offset the emissions generated in providing electricity to 1.6 billion people in the South (World Bank 2010: p.3). But the situation is changing rapidly. China now accounts for 29% of global CO2 emissions, almost double that of the U ...
Climate Change as a Regulator of Tectonics on Venus
Climate Change as a Regulator of Tectonics on Venus

... that the various sets formed at different times in response to stress fields in which the direction of greatest compressive stress differed. Nonetheless, a regional trend dominates ridge orientation for 80% of the ridged plains (6), and it is these regional trends that are well fit by gravitational ...
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Attribution of recent climate change



Attribution of recent climate change is the effort to scientifically ascertain mechanisms responsible for recent changes observed in the Earth's climate, commonly known as 'global warming'. The effort has focused on changes observed during the period of instrumental temperature record, when records are most reliable; particularly in the last 50 years, when human activity has grown fastest and observations of the troposphere have become available. The dominant mechanisms (to which recent climate change has been attributed) are anthropogenic, i.e., the result of human activity. They are: increasing atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases global changes to land surface, such as deforestation increasing atmospheric concentrations of aerosols.There are also natural mechanisms for variation including climate oscillations, changes in solar activity, and volcanic activity.According to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), it is ""extremely likely"" that human influence was the dominant cause of global warming between 1951 and 2010. The IPCC defines ""extremely likely"" as indicating a probability of 95 to 100%, based on an expert assessment of all the available evidence.Multiple lines of evidence support attribution of recent climate change to human activities: A basic physical understanding of the climate system: greenhouse gas concentrations have increased and their warming properties are well-established. Historical estimates of past climate changes suggest that the recent changes in global surface temperature are unusual. Computer-based climate models are unable to replicate the observed warming unless human greenhouse gas emissions are included. Natural forces alone (such as solar and volcanic activity) cannot explain the observed warming.The IPCC's attribution of recent global warming to human activities is a view shared by most scientists, and is also supported by 196 other scientific organizations worldwide (see also: scientific opinion on climate change).
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