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Conserving Populations ESC 556 week 11 Conserving Populations Various levels of conservation Species populations 73% of 2290 plants in NA, < five populations Informed action for conservation 1. 2. 3. Factors controlling population density Identification of threats Predict the effects of management actions What is a population? Fixed geographic area Convenience to the investigator Scale Populations description Density BIDE Structure Monitoring Demographic Structure States of development Plants: juveniles, seedlings, reproductive, senescent Marsh gentian Invasive (bare soils), regressive (high ground cover percentage) Individual counts Census data Census data vs. survey data Spider orchid 80% decline in 50 years Endangered in Britain Chalk & limestone grassland Cattle vs. sheep grazing What is rarity? Some species naturally rare Changes in population size Classifying types of rarity Size of geographic range Habitat specificity Local population size Barn owl Ospreys Causes of Rarity Anthropogenic effects Patterns in the ecology of rare species Poor dispersal abilities (sedentary species) Plants, invertebrates No migration to favorable habitats Deterministic vs. stochastic process External and Internal Influences External Influences Habitat Change Other organisms Direct Human Influences Environmental Contaminants Environmental stochasticity Habitat Change Complete destruction to conversion to less suitable 36% of all animal extinctions 100 species/day Climate Habitat management Other organisms Introduced species Coconut moth and its parasitic fly in Fiji Thistles and herbivores Introduced diseases Direct human Influences Commercial exploitation Persecution Recreational hunting Non-target species Disturbance Environmental Contaminants DDT Bioaccumulation, biomagnification, biotransformation Environmental stochasticity Local climate Ectothermic species Endoterms affected indirectly Natural catastrophes Effective independently of population size Intrinsic Factors Demographic stochasticity Genetic stochasticity Loss of heterozygosity Inbreeding depression Genetic Drift Outbreeding depression Minimum Viable Population Effective Population Size Demographic Stochasticity Excluding external influences fecundity & mortality Large population predictions possible Small number chance effects Affect social functioning Defence, migration, lekking Allele effect Genetic Stochasticity Genetic uniformity a disadvantage Loss of Heterozygosity Allele hj = 1 – Σpij2 Recessive lethal alleles Differences between groups of organisms Results in inbreeding depression Genetic Drift Chance loss of alleles Ht+1 = Ht (1-(1/2N)) Bottlenecks vs. Founder events Genetic Drift Outbreeding Depression Outcrossing between divergent populations Incompatibilities between local genes Mountain ibex - two subspecies Minimum Viable Populations Critical minimum size MVA Survival probability over time Different between species & even populations Environmental stochasticity 50 – inbreeding depression 500 – genetic drift 50-100 individuals Effective Population Size 50-500 Based on certain assumptions Ne = 0.75N Grizzly bears (38 instead of 200) 0.4 – 0.05 Summary of Influences External events Catastrophic events Demographic stochasticity Importance of genetics Ex situ conservation Extinction vortex Heath hen < 50 inds. 2000 but fire, harsh winter, predation, inbreeding depression Interaction of factors Large Blue 50% lost by conversion < sheep grazing + < rabbits more vegetation Vegetation ant (Myrmica sabuleti) butterfly Prediction Models Limitations Sufficient data Replication PVA Probability of survival for a number of generations The model Population survival time Evaluation of management options Monitoring the results Northern spotted owl, grizzly bear Keystone species Small population paradigm vs. declining population paradigm Spatial perspective Fragmentation Size and distance of patches (habitat islands) Size – species diversity Distance – recolonization probability Population decline intrinsic effects Some +ve effects Metapopulations Rate of recolonization vs. rate of extinction Metapopulation persistence Number & size of populations Dispersal rate Smaller – more isolated populations Temporally independent extinctions Regionally acting environmental factors Metapopulations Types of meta-populations Ranges Population parameters vary Center vs. edge Center: optimal conditions Birth rate > death rate Edge equal rates Outside only through emigration (Source and sink) Conservation Implications Small populations not always expendable: Source- sink situation Habitat destruction @ the core Range size & population density correlation Corridors Connecting the patches – seminatural habitats e.g. disused train lines within agricultural landscapes Global change corridors Pros Increase species richness Encourage recolonization (Rescue effect) Reduce genetic problems (e.g. inbreeding depression) Cons Spread disasters Outbreeding depression Large & Expensive Role of Reserves Central National Parks or smaller sites SLOSS Metapopulation considerations Design and Dispersal The shape – Edge effect Not the solution for many species Low percentage Recovery Measures Extinction in the wild definite, then what? Captive breeding & Reinroductions Zoos All individuals California condor, black-footed ferret 1000 individuals 2000 land vertebrate species in the next 200 years Small populations Control of matings maximize genetic diversity Inoculations from outside Differentiation in captivity Captive Breeding Gene Introgression Przewalsky’s horse by domestic horse European bison by cattle Different subspecies Behavioural factors Cultural transmission Predator avoidance At introduction Removal of the external factors Numbers of individuals, how many sites, when Probe releases Translocations Transfer from one site to the other True introductions, reintroductions, augmentation Limited dispersal powers & fragmented habitats High population increase rate Not good for mammals and birds High genetic diversity Best at historical core range Invertebrates A Way Forward Not all species can be protected Charismatic species Which groups to concerve? Umbrella species Keystone species Hotspsots Global & Local