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Modern Geopolitics How the World Got This Way Europe: Pre 1914 Europe’s Empires Militarism and Arms Races ► Land = resources ► Resources = wealth ► Wealth = power (military power) ► Military power = more land… and the cycle repeats itself; giving rise to imperialism through the build-up of military power (militarism) ► In order to compete in this imperial game you have to have bigger, better weapons than your competitor empires = arms race ► Europe was locked in an imperial arms race throughout the 19th century and into the 20th The System of Alliances ► Axis/Central Powers Germany/Prussia Austria-Hungary Ottoman Empire Italy (briefly) ► Allied Powers Britain France Russia (soon-to-be Soviet Union… revolution under way) How WWI Started: ► Austria-Hungary is looking to expand their territory by annexing Serbia… some Serbs are willing, but most value their sovereignty (ethnonationalism) ► A-H come up with a plan: they send Archduke Franz Ferdinand to Sarajevo as a display of power... Archduke Franz Ferdinand The “Black Hand” ► Serbian Liberation Organization looking to oppose A-H domination… they’d love to show this bully-empire who their messin’ with Gavrillo Princip ► One of a number of young, armed assassins sent by the Black Hand to Sarajevo to intercept and kill Ferdinand. Ferdinand’s Death Triggers a ChainReaction ► A-H declares war on Serbia ► Russia defends its ethnic cousins and declares war on A-H ► Germany declares war on Russia ► Britain and France declare war on the axis powers in defense of Russia Europe falls into the nastiest war ever The Bloody War Russian Revolution: (Simultaneous to WWI) ► Russia is: Really big Really ‘old-school’ (low-tech, agriculture society) A Huge population (compared to Europe) A Monarchy (like most of the others)… but becoming REALLY unpopular with the people due to lack of development and unfair treatment. ► Czar Nicholas II ► Czarina Alexandra ► The kids The Romanovs The Revolution: ► 1905 Revolt… serious revolt (not like the others) freaked out the Czar… so he gave the people a few rights. But he later took those rights away again… ► 1917 Revolt… Czar’s army couldn't stop them this time… They were led by a group called the Bolsheviks; originally a prodemocracy group until… Vladimir Lenin Vladimir Lenin ► Inspired by Karl Marx’s Economic Philosophy: Communism Stage 1: Capitalism is evil and the world will eventually reject it through revolution Stage 2: Socialism: strong central government controls distribution of wealth (force people to share everything evenly) Stage 3: Communism: “perfect world” no cops, jails, armies, money… everyone takes care of everyone Vladimir Lenin ► Rises through the ranks of the Bolsheviks and becomes leader… by the time WWI is over the Russian Revolution is over too… only the Czar isn’t in charge anymore… the Bolsheviks and their Red Army is, with Lenin in the lead. ► Lenin will install the world’s first Communist (socialist) government/economy. Results of WWI: Russians were fighting both a war AND a revolution… MANY died at the hands of the technologically superior German Army ► France: sooo many French were killed and maimed by the German invasion. ► Britain: they too suffered great casualties ► US: had we not shown up when we did the axis powers would have won and world history would be VERY different. ► A-H: near collapse at war’s end ► Ottoman Empire: near collapse at war’s end ► Europe: ripped to pieces. Families, economies, governments… all destroyed in the war… a competition arises between monarchy, democracy, and a new popular idea called communism which promises everybody an equal share in everything. ► The End of the War: Treaty of Versailles ► Signed on June 28th 1919 as an end to the First World War, The Treaty of Versailles was supposed to ensure a lasting peace by punishing Germany and setting up a League of Nations to solve diplomatic problems. Instead it left a legacy of political and geographical difficulties which have often been blamed, sometime solely, for starting the Second World War. The Treaty of Versailles ► Developed by the “Big Three” Britain, France, US ► Each wanted something different: US wanted security/peace: 14 Points (Wilson) France wanted revenge on Germany Britain wanted what US wanted but sided with France due to public outcry for revenge What Was In The Treaty: ► Germany: Forced to take blame for the war Loses territory (nearly half used to create Poland) Loses military power Loses monarchy: Weimar Republic installed Reparations forced on them Wilson’s 14 Points ► Woodrow Wilson brought with him a “blueprint” for World peace… the 14 Points: League of Nations Self Determination No more alliances The idea of Self Determination excited the colonized regions of the world… statehood seemed within reach for them. They were about to find out that self determination wasn’t intended for non-European peoples Austria-Hungary ► The Big Three divides the former empire along ethnic lines… giving rise to the more familiar Eastern Europe map you know today (for the most part)… Countries like Czechoslovakia, Romania, Hungary… are produced… they get statehood (self determination) The Ottoman Empire ► Here’s where the story gets really sticky… The Ottoman Empire was vast and multi-ethnic/ multinational. Many of these nations were hopeful that they too would finally experience independence like E. Europe… not so. ► The former Ottoman Empire was divided between Britain and France for each to temporarily hold as a “Mandate” or temporary custody. ► Why were the various ethnic groups of the Ottoman Empire not granted autonomy?? Greed Racism Politics The British Mandate ► Almost immediately, the Brits get out their map and a ruler and begin cutting up the region into more-easily governed parts. Places like Transjordan, Syria, Iraq, and Palestine are created without regard to ethnic, religious, or traditional boundaries already in existence. ► They will soon find that their “more-easily governed” parts are a real mess. However, the Brits refuse to admit their mistakes and try to make it work anyway. The British Mandate ► Immediately after receiving their mandate, the British are approached by two ethnic groups seeking statehood: Jews (found throughout Europe) Were political and military allies to the Brits during the war. Palestinians (living in “Palestine”) Were promised statehood by the Brits in an earlier negotiation. *The stage is set for one of the longest, bloodiest, territorial disputes of all time… one that has global consequences. Begin Israeli-Palestinian video. The Interwar Years (1919-1939) ► WWI turned the world upside down; the map of Europe, the Middle East, and parts of Africa and Asia have changed. ► Monarchies and Empires have been replaced with new governments operating in newly-formed countries. (Germany, former A-H) ► The destruction of the massive war gutted infrastructure and the working-age demographic from many European communities … the stage is set for more conflict. Italy ►A devastated economy leads to a revolution against the monarchy. ► A virtual nobody named Mussolini organizes thousands of war veterans (the “Black Shirts”) to oppose the crown and marches on Rome. The king is deposed! Mussolini sets up a new government with himself in complete control. The term ‘fascism’ is coined. ► The power goes to his head; Mussolini fancies himself to be a modern-day Caesar destined to rebuild the glory of the ancient Roman Empire Japan ► While all these changes were going on in Europe, Japan took advantage of the distraction. ► The empire invaded northern China and claimed it as their own, renaming it Manchuria. ► They also brutally seized the Korean Peninsula … ethnic cleansing is too gentle a term to described what happened there. ► Many other islands, including the Philippines, were next. ► The League of Nations did nothing to stop it. Emperor Hirohito USSR ► Lenin dies soon after WWI leaving a ‘power vacuum.’ A struggle for control of the new socialist government ends when a brut named Joseph Stalin seizes control (by killing anyone who got in his way). ► Stalin brutally oppresses anyone who stands in his way, shifting the government into a totalitarian regime. Stalin’s “5-Year Plan” ► USSR was still a back-woods, backwards place. Stalin was going to change that. ► Comprehensive long-term economic plans were set in place to develop a soviet: Industrial complex (factories and mines) Agricultural complex Military complex Infrastructure (roads, rail, power, dams…) Brutally strict deadlines and demands were made to quickly modernize… the result was as many as 12 million dead Russians, worked to death to meet the goals. However, the results were impressive. Germany ► The German people were furious and bitter after what happened to them in Versailles. ► Despite that, the Weimar government got off the ground and was a functioning democracy… ► However, the same economic problems that were plaguing Italy and the rest of Europe were even worse for the Germans. ► One of more than a dozen political parties to form was a pro-Germany nationalist movement led by thousands of young, angry war veterans… the NAZI party… Hitler’s real power. The 3rd Reich ► Soon after legally coming to power, Hitler began testing the will of the new League of Nations by invading Austria… the League barely twitched… so he moved on to Czechoslovakia… merely a slap on the wrist. ► Hitler makes an agreement with Stalin: the NonAggression Pact: split Poland and promise to never attack each other. ► Hitler (even after being warned by the Brits and French) attacks Poland… The allied powers FINALLY do something about it and declare war… WWII is under way. ► Hitler’s war machine will go on to capture much of E. and N. Europe, then invade and capture France, then brutally bomb Britain into near submission… ► At the last possible moment, the US saves the day. WWII ► Terrible war… just like WWI in several ways Germans came close to winning US entered the war just in time Italy switched sides part way through The world’s political and economic structure was reorganized (again). Evolution of the “Bipolar International System” (Cold War) ► The “Big Three” this time, included a fourth; the Soviet Union… and they were clearly not like the others. The first showdown between Democratic/Capitalist powers and the newlyestablished Communist powers was about to begin. A war/contest of ideas was about to begin… the “Cold War” (1945-1991) ► The Cold War was a contest of: Territorial dominance Economics (who could outproduce the other) Politics (who could gather greater international influence) Shatterbelt Theory ► Saul Cohen 1950(modified Mackinder’s Heartland Theory) “pivot area” “inner crescent” “outer crescent” ► Accurately predicted “shatterbelts”: areas of highly probable conflict based on geographic significance Containment Theory ► George Kennan (US diplomat) ► US strategic policy for dealing with the Soviet Union in this new global contest of ideas. ► Marshall Plan: use of US military and economic force to stop communism’s spread. Worked in Greece, Iran, Malaysia, W. Germany, Italy, Japan. Didn’t work in Korea, Hungary, Czechoslovakia, Angola, Cuba, Nicaragua ► Domino effect: fear of communist take-over in one state would lead to the fall of neighboring states too (Eisenhower)… theory led us into Vietnam War NATO and the Truman Doctrine ► The North Atlantic Treaty Organization was a military alliance grouping all the prodemocratic/capitalist countries together in defense against Communism ► In order to more specifically draw the boundaries of American political and economic power, president Harry Truman declared that the continental shelf too was part of our jurisdiction (widening our sphere of influence). This touched off a widening debate over maritime law and sovereignty. UNCLOS I-II-III ► United Sea Nations Conference on the Law of the The Territorial Sea: 12 nautical miles out The Exclusive Economic Zone (EEZ): 200 miles out, if continental shelf extends further, 350 miles out The UN and many other supranational organizations began providing rules and frameworks to govern how states behave within the community of states (the world)… the beginning of a process we call Globalization Globalization ► Is it the integration of economic, political, and cultural systems across the globe? Or is it the dominance of developed countries in decision-making, at the expense of poorer, less powerful nations? ► Is globalization a force for economic growth, prosperity, and democratic freedom? Or is it a force for environmental devastation, exploitation of the developing world, and suppression of human rights? ► Does globalization only benefit the rich or can the poor take advantage of it to improve their well-being? Globalization ► The irony of the Cold War is that it pulled the world together in a weird way… fear of global destruction from nuclear weapons improved political negotiations and economic relationships (especially on the pro democratic/capitalist side) ► When the Cold War ended in 1991 (dismantling of the Soviet Union) the world left the old “Bipolar International System” for what was imagined as a “New World Order” Soviet Devolution ► Ethnic Issues: reversing the artificial ethnic grouping under soviet control (Chechniya) stateless nation ► Historic Issues: old centers of power ► Cultural Issues: reversing the artificial diffusion imposed during soviet control ► Economic Issues: reversing the artificial economic organization under soviet control ► Boundary issues underlie the majority of the above. (see pg 258-261 in your text) Democratization (sometimes referred to as “westernization”) ► The adoption and spread of democraticstyled systems of government as decolonization, devolution, reform, and revolutions occur in recent decades. ► Advantages and disadvantages Problems with the “New World Order” Concept ► By the 1990s the world was filled with a number of regional and global political, economic, social, ethnic, and religious organizations all pulling for influence or control (UN, EU, NATO, NAFTA, IMF, World Bank…) Do they have an impact on a state’s sovereignty?? ► Devolution: is it common? (Slovakia, Croatia, Eritrea, Moldova) not really. So power is not shared/spread so easily. When major instances of devolution take place, it may not be a benefit to the “New World Order” ideal… take the devolution of the Soviet Union for example: Problems Caused by Globalization and Democratization ► Environmental: Wildlife Trade in wildlife Invasive species Loss of biodiversity Ecosystem destruction Ocean degredation Desertification Climate change Ozone depletion Pollution Water supply Problems: cont. ► Fundamentalism, ► How Extremism, Terrorism could the coming together of the world community cause these problems??