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Predictions From Darwinism 1. 2. 3. 4. Natural Selection is the only significant mechanism of evolution Evolutionary change is slow and gradual All evolutionary change is adoptive Macroevolution is the same as microevolution Criticisms Relative absence in fossil record of any transition types 1. • Punctuated Equilibrium (Steven Jay Gould) proposed as an alternative Possible limits to genetic variation 2. • Only so much could be contributed to random, small change in genes Blended inheritance 3. • Favorable variation “swamped out” by backcrossing with “ordinaries” Non-adaptive traits 4. • • Example: peacock’s tail - more energy to make, attractive to predators, etc Darwin’s response was sexual selection Evidence Darwin had a multitude of evidence he could point to Initially, it answered most questions critics had However, over time it wasn’t enough Fossil Record Observed many extinct species similar to those that were alive then Comparative Embryology Work by Ernst Haeckel provided support Idea behind similar embryos lead to understanding of homologous structures Minor Geographic Variation Galapagos Islands very important here Noted that each island had distinct species of finches, tortoises etc. Each variant was best suited for its unique environment Mendelian Genetics Available at the time, but not connected until 1930’s What Darwin Didn’t Know… Basically DNA Key idea was variation in offspring – mechanism unknown Today, we understand concepts of gamete formation, random mutation of germ line, “switches”, HOX genes etc. The more data that is gathered, the more evidence is provided for natural selection Causes of Microevolution The Hardy-Weinberg principle states that there are five requirements for stability Any deviation from the requirements below indicates the population is evolving 1. Very large population size 2. Isolation from other populations 3. No net mutations 4. Random mating 5. No natural selection Monitoring So now the question becomes, how do we watch for changes Recall the Hardy-Weinberg principle There is also an equation which can predict the relative frequencies of alleles in a gene pool Example Imagine a wildflower population of 500 plants In this, there are pink alleles A, completely dominant over white alleles a 20 are white, so they would be aa 320 are AA 160 are Aa Since they are dipliod, the pink allele accounts for 800 of the 1000, and white 200 of the 1000 We can use math to determine relative frequencies in the population Any deviation from that means the population is evolving Example Batten disease is a rare recessive neurodegenerative disease, affecting 3 out of every 100 000 people in North America. Based on this knowledge, what percentage of people are carriers and could pass it onto their offspring? Answer We define the dominant, normal allele as B, and the recessive as b Since occurrence is 3 out of 100 000, b2=0.00003 So, frequency of recessive allele is b=√0.00003 = 0.005 The frequency of the dominant allele is B = 1-b = 1-0.005 = 0.995 The frequency of carriers would be 2Bb=2 x 0.995 x 0.005 = 0.0095 So, approximately 1% of the population are carriers for this disease Example (try on your own) It is believed that approximately 4% of Canadians of South American decent are carriers for the recessive condition sickle cell anemia. If 98% of the alleles in this population are dominant, what should the prevalence of sickle cell anemia be?