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Climate Change, driving force for biofuels Regional Seminar Tartu 23-24 of March 2011 Lennart Hallgren Project Manager www.balticbiogasbus.eu 1 ■ ■ ■ ■ ■ ■ ■ Climate Change Peak Oil Energy security Diesel shortage Air Quality Congestion Increase of transportation ■… Drivers for Sustainable Transports www.balticbiogasbus.eu 2 Global Climate change • Climate is one of humanity’s biggest challenges • Huge commitments have to be made globally to reduce green house gases www.balticbiogasbus.eu 3 Climate change. Carbon dioxide • Concentration of CO2 in the atmosphere is the highest for more than thousand years • It is growing fast • Main causes are burning of the fossil fuel, cutting of forests ...... www.balticbiogasbus.eu 4 The oil age – in perspective www.balticbiogasbus.eu Global Warming • During the last century global temperature has risen continuously • Year 2010 one of the warmest ever • Glaciers melts away • water level increases • Climate related catastrophes increases • Flooding • Heat waves …….. www.balticbiogasbus.eu 6 Interrelation of Atmospheric CO2 - Temperature 700 ppm (2100) 375 ppm (now) Glaciers of Greenland and South Pole have shrunk in volume and size. www.balticbiogasbus.eu Photo: Richard Ryan/Stockholm Visitors Board 8 Not only an Environmental problem! Oil dependency and CO2 causes: Environmental problems! Problems with security and supply! Financial problems! ■ ■ ■ ■ ■ ■ ■ Climate Change Peak Oil Energy security Diesel shortage Air Quality Congestion Increase of transportation ■… Drivers for Sustainable Transports www.balticbiogasbus.eu 10 “The world needs new oil fields!” ExxonMobil “By 2025, we need to find, develop and produce a volume of “new” Oil & Gas that equals 8 out of every 10 barrels produced today.” Source: Uppsala University 2004-06-16 ■ ■ ■ ■ ■ ■ ■ Climate Change Peak Oil Energy security Diesel shortage Air Quality Congestion Increase of transportation ■… Drivers for Sustainable Transports www.balticbiogasbus.eu 13 Transportation, a large-scale green house driver • The transport-sector accounts for 70 % of CO2 emissions • Congestion and local emissions www.balticbiogasbus.eu 14 Drivers for Sustainable transport Energy Security, shortage of diesel & End of Cheap Oil www.balticbiogasbus.eu Source: Uppsala University ? A driver for sustainable transport Local energy security ■ Finding local energy solutions is a very important driver for nations, cities, Regions, and companies ■ Advantages with local biofuels ■ Local production ■ Job opportunities ■ local energy security ■ replacing oil dependency ■ Stable, long-term contracts for fuel supply and price of fuel possible for operators www.balticbiogasbus.eu Financial problems Scientists and oil industry agree that there will be a shortage of oil in the near future; Oil price likely to be sluggish and high Cost of emissions rights in industrial/energy sector is booming; CO2 taxes, km-taxes, etc; It will cost you to be oil addicted and to cause fossil CO2 emissions! www.balticbiogasbus.eu We need Sustainable Transports Climate Change Air Quality Are you a part of the problem? Or a part of the solution? Oil & Energy Security www.balticbiogasbus.eu Congestion Strategic long term decisions Strategically and financially very important for everyone dependent on fuels to secure the supply of renewable fuel! www.balticbiogasbus.eu Only 3 ways to reduce oil dependency and fossil CO2 from transportation! Curb the uncontrolled growth of transport Increase energy efficiency Increase the use of renewable fuels, biofuels Renewable Fuels… …but which one? www.balticbiogasbus.eu Parameters to consider • Potential to reduce local and global emissions • Quality • Availability, scale standardisation • Economy • Security of supply • Future production potential? • Ethics, labelling, certificate of origin etc. – Competition with food, energy supply, medicines, – Biodiversity www.balticbiogasbus.eu Local Emissions (PM, NOx) Biodiesel Diesel Petrol LPG Petrol E 95 Biogas E85 (electric hybrid) CNG H2, electricity electricity (water power) (EU mix) Global effect (CO2) 3 commercial sustainable biofuels Ethanol • 90 % of World´s biofuel • Local and global fuel • Sustainable volume production • Stable fuel • CO2 reduction 71 % www.balticbiogasbus.eu Biodiesel Biogas •Local waste to fuel •Good for local fleets •Can be combined with CNG •Expensive infrastructure •CO2 reduction > 95 % • • • • • • Many feedstocks Similar to diesel Fuel quality issues Not for infrequent use High and low blends CO2 reduction 38 % The benefits of biogas • Biogas is the most renewable biofuel today • waste products from households, restaurants, farms and sewage treatment plants • similar to natural gas (CNG) but renewable • locally produced Xxx xxx Clear political ambitions and targets is necessary as a foundation for the planning In Stockholm Visions and Targets are set by the politicians in the County Council and the board of SL: – All train traffic shall use electricity from renewable sources – January 1st 2012, 50 % of SL buses shall use renewable fuels – January 1st 2026 all SL traffic should be 100 % free from fossil fuels National Biogas Strategy • Long-term national vision • Estimation of national biogas/biomethane production and market potential • Set national targets (10-20 year) • Incentives to reach targets National Biogas Strategies (Taxation) • Higher energy tax on fossil fuels • Higher C02 tax on fossil fuels • Tax exemption on renewable fuel (e.g. Biomethane) • Tax exemption on bio-fertiliser National Biogas Strategies (Subsidies) • Investment support for Biogas plants • Investment support for Biomethane infrastructure, e.g. biogas grids, filling stations • Eco-car subsidies • Other ? Regional and Municipal Biogas Strategies (Regional and Municipal incentives) • Environmental requirements in transport precurement (Taxi and mobility service) • Requirement on eco-cars in all procurements • Free parking for eco-cars in city areas • Municipal investment in Biogas and Biomthene plants and infrastructure Renewable fuels in Sweden Fordonsgas FAME E85 350000 300000 Delivered m3 250000 200000 150000 100000 50000 0 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Year www.balticbiogasbus.eu 31 Number of Gas Vehicles in Sweden 40000 Tunga fordon/bussar 6 % 30000 20000 Personbilar 94 % 10000 0 1995 2000 2005 2010 32.000 Vehicles 2010, 40% up from 2009 www.balticbiogasbus.eu 32 Sales of Gas in Sweden Naturgas Biogas 100 miljoner Nm3 Total 80 60 40 20 0 1995 2000 2005 2010 60 milj Nm3 Biogas 2010, up 35% www.balticbiogasbus.eu 33 Baltic Biogas Bus Project Thank you for your attention Lennart Hallgren, Stockholm Public Transport [email protected] www.balticbiogasbus.eu 34