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Selection and Mutation If either of the following occurs then the population is responding to selection. 1. Some phenotypes allow greater survival to reproductive age. -or2. All individuals reach reproductive age but some individuals are able to produce more viable (reproductively successful) offspring. If these differences are heritable then evolution may occur over time. Caution It needs to be mentioned that most phenotypes are not strictly the result of their genotypes. Environmental plasticity and interaction with other genes may also be involved. In other words it is not as simple as we are making it here but we have to start somewhere. 1. 2. Selection may alter allele frequencies or violate conclusion #1 Selection may upset the relationship between allele frequencies and genotype frequencies. Conclusion #1 is not violated but conclusion #2 is violated. In other words the allele frequencies remain stable but genotype frequencies change and can no longer be predicted accurately from allele frequencies. After random mating which produces 1000 zygotes we get: Initial frequencies B1= 0.6; B2 = 0.4 B1B1 B1B2 B2B2 1000 total Initial frequencies B1= 0.6; B2 = 0.4 360 B1B1 B1B2 B2B2 1000 total Initial frequencies B1= 0.6; B2 = 0.4 360 B1B1 480 B1B2 B2B2 1000 total Initial frequencies B1= 0.6; B2 = 0.4 360 B1B1 480 B1B2 160 B2B2 1000 total Initial frequencies B1= 0.6; B2 = 0.4 differential survival of offspring leads to reduced numbers of some genotypes 360 B1B1 480 B1B2 160 B2B2 1000 total Initial frequencies B1= 0.6; B2 = 0.4 differential survival of offspring leads to reduced numbers of some genotypes 360 B1B1 100% survive 480 B1B2 160 B2B2 1000 total Initial frequencies B1= 0.6; B2 = 0.4 differential survival of offspring leads to reduced numbers of some genotypes 360 B1B1 480 B1B2 100% survive 75 % survive 160 B2B2 1000 total Initial frequencies B1= 0.6; B2 = 0.4 differential survival of offspring leads to reduced numbers of some genotypes 360 B1B1 480 B1B2 160 B2B2 100% survive 75 % survive 50 % survive 1000 total Initial frequencies B1= 0.6; B2 = 0.4 differential survival of offspring leads to reduced numbers of some genotypes number surviving 360 B1B1 480 B1B2 160 B2B2 100% survive 75 % survive 50 % survive 1000 total Initial frequencies B1= 0.6; B2 = 0.4 differential survival of offspring leads to reduced numbers of some genotypes number surviving 360 B1B1 480 B1B2 160 B2B2 100% survive 75 % survive 50 % survive 360 1000 total Initial frequencies B1= 0.6; B2 = 0.4 differential survival of offspring leads to reduced numbers of some genotypes number surviving 360 B1B1 480 B1B2 160 B2B2 100% survive 75 % survive 50 % survive 360 360 1000 total Initial frequencies B1= 0.6; B2 = 0.4 differential survival of offspring leads to reduced numbers of some genotypes number surviving 360 B1B1 480 B1B2 160 B2B2 100% survive 75 % survive 50 % survive 360 360 80 1000 total Initial frequencies B1= 0.6; B2 = 0.4 differential survival of offspring leads to reduced numbers of some genotypes number surviving 360 B1B1 480 B1B2 160 B2B2 100% survive 75 % survive 50 % survive 360 360 80 1000 total 800 total Initial frequencies B1= 0.6; B2 = 0.4 differential survival of offspring leads to reduced numbers of some genotypes number surviving The genotype frequencies of mating individuals which survive is 360 B1B1 480 B1B2 160 B2B2 100% survive 75 % survive 50 % survive 360 360 80 1000 total 800 total Initial frequencies B1= 0.6; B2 = 0.4 360 B1B1 480 B1B2 160 B2B2 100% survive 75 % survive 50 % survive number surviving 360 360 80 The genotype frequencies of mating individuals which survive is .45 differential survival of offspring leads to reduced numbers of some genotypes 1000 total 800 total Initial frequencies B1= 0.6; B2 = 0.4 360 B1B1 480 B1B2 160 B2B2 100% survive 75 % survive 50 % survive number surviving 360 360 80 The genotype frequencies of mating individuals which survive is .45 .45 differential survival of offspring leads to reduced numbers of some genotypes 1000 total 800 total Initial frequencies B1= 0.6; B2 = 0.4 360 B1B1 480 B1B2 160 B2B2 100% survive 75 % survive 50 % survive number surviving 360 360 80 The genotype frequencies of mating individuals which survive is .45 .45 .10 differential survival of offspring leads to reduced numbers of some genotypes 1000 total 800 total Initial frequencies B1= 0.6; B2 = 0.4 360 B1B1 480 B1B2 160 B2B2 100% survive 75 % survive 50 % survive number surviving 360 360 80 The genotype frequencies of mating individuals which survive is .45 .45 .10 B1 = B2 = differential survival of offspring leads to reduced numbers of some genotypes The resulting allelic frequencies in the new reproducing population is 1000 total 800 total Initial frequencies B1= 0.6; B2 = 0.4 360 B1B1 480 B1B2 160 B2B2 100% survive 75 % survive 50 % survive number surviving 360 360 80 The genotype frequencies of mating individuals which survive is .45 .45 .10 differential survival of offspring leads to reduced numbers of some genotypes The resulting allelic frequencies in the new reproducing population is B1 = .45+1/2(.45) = 0.675 1000 total 800 total Initial frequencies B1= 0.6; B2 = 0.4 360 B1B1 480 B1B2 160 B2B2 100% survive 75 % survive 50 % survive number surviving 360 360 80 The genotype frequencies of mating individuals which survive is .45 .45 .10 B1 = .45+1/2(.45) = 0.675 B2 = differential survival of offspring leads to reduced numbers of some genotypes The resulting allelic frequencies in the new reproducing population is 1000 total 800 total Initial frequencies B1= 0.6; B2 = 0.4 360 B1B1 480 B1B2 160 B2B2 100% survive 75 % survive 50 % survive number surviving 360 360 80 The genotype frequencies of mating individuals which survive is .45 .45 .10 B1 = .45+1/2(.45) = 0.675 B2 = 1/2(.45)+0.10 = 0.325 differential survival of offspring leads to reduced numbers of some genotypes The resulting allelic frequencies in the new reproducing population is 1000 total 800 total Initial frequencies B1= 0.6; B2 = 0.4 360 B1B1 480 B1B2 160 B2B2 100% survive 75 % survive 50 % survive number surviving 360 360 80 The genotype frequencies of mating individuals which survive is .45 .45 .10 B1 = .45+1/2(.45) = 0.675 B2 = 1/2(.45)+0.10 = 0.325 an increase of .075 a decrease of .075 differential survival of offspring leads to reduced numbers of some genotypes The resulting allelic frequencies in the new reproducing population is 1000 total 800 total Initial frequencies B1= 0.6; B2 = 0.4 360 B1B1 480 B1B2 160 B2B2 100% survive 75 % survive 50 % survive number surviving 360 360 80 The genotype frequencies of mating individuals which survive is .45 .45 .10 B1 = .45+1/2(.45) = 0.675 B2 = 1/2(.45)+0.10 = 0.325 an increase of .075 a decrease of .075 differential survival of offspring leads to reduced numbers of some genotypes The resulting allelic frequencies in the new reproducing population is 1000 total 800 total Thus, conclusion #1 is violated and the allele frequencies are changing; we are not in equilibrium. The population is evolving! analyze the population on the basis of the fitness of the offspring produced. The fittest individuals will survive the selection process and leave offspring of their own. We are going to define fitness as the survival rates of individuals which survive to reproduce. MEAN FITNESS If : w11 = fitness of allele #1 homozygote (exp B1B1) w12 = fitness of the heterozygote (exp B1B2) w22 = fitness of allele #2 homozygote exp (B2B2) mean fitness of the population will be described by the formula: ŵ = p2w11 + 2pqw12 + q2w22 CAUTION! Use ONLY allele frequencies in these formulas NOT genotype frequencies! B1= 0.6 and B2 = 0.4 and fitness of B1B1 = 1.0 (100% survived) fitness of B1B2 = .75 ( 75% survived) fitness of B2B2 = .50 (50% survived) Figure the mean fitness now. B1= 0.6 and B2 = 0.4 and fitness of B1B1 = 1.0 (100% survived) fitness of B1B2 = .75 ( 75% survived) fitness of B2B2 = .50 (50% survived) Figure the mean fitness now. ŵ= (.6)2(1)+ B1= 0.6 and B2 = 0.4 and fitness of B1B1 = 1.0 (100% survived) fitness of B1B2 = .75 ( 75% survived) fitness of B2B2 = .50 (50% survived) Figure the mean fitness now. ŵ= (.6)2(1)+(2(.6)(.4)(.75)) + B1= 0.6 and B2 = 0.4 and fitness of B1B1 = 1.0 (100% survived) fitness of B1B2 = .75 ( 75% survived) fitness of B2B2 = .50 (50% survived) Figure the mean fitness now. ŵ= (.6)2(1)+(2(.6)(.4)(.75)) + (.4)2 (.5) = .80 B1B1 = P2w11 ŵ B1B2 = 2pqw12 ŵ B2B2 = q2w22 ŵ We can use these formulas which can calculate the new expected genotype frequencies based on the fitness of each genotype and the allele frequencies in the current generation. B1 = p2w11+pqw12 ŵ B2 = pqw12+q2w22 ŵ Δ B1 = Δp = p (pw11+qw12 – ŵ) ŵ Δ B2 = Δq = q (pw12+qw22 – ŵ) ŵ Go back to the problem we did in class last time. Taking this current population that you have already analyzed, figure out what the new genotype and allele frequencies will be if the fitness of these individuals is actually as follows: SS individuals 0.8 ; Ss individuals 1.0 and the ss individuals 0.6. Last time we calculated S = .82 and s = .18 Now we set the fitnesses at w11(SS)=.8;w12(Ss)=1;w22(ss)=.6 Calculate the ŵ and B1B1; B1B2; and B2B2 values for the next generation now ŵ = p2w11 + 2pqw12 + q2w22 ŵ= (.82) 2 (.8) + 2(.82)(.18)(1.0) + (.18)2 (.6) ŵ = .537 + .295 + .019 = .85 B1B1 = P2w11 ŵ ; SS = (.82)2(.8) / .85 = .633 B1B2 = 2pqw12 ŵ ;Ss = 2(.82)(.18)(1.0) / .85 = .347 B2B2 = q2w22 ŵ ;ss = (.18)2(.6) / .85 = 0.023 Hint: Do they add up to 1.0? We an also calculate the new allele frequencies as well B1 = B2 = p2w11+pqw12 ŵ pqw12+q2w22 ŵ S = (.82)2(.8) + (.82)(.18)(1.0) = .806 .85 s = (.82)(.18)(1.0) + (.18)2(.6) = .196 .85 So…… B1B1 = .63 B1B2 = .35 B2B2 = .02 and B1 = .80 B2 = .20 Is this population in equilibrium? Have the allele frequencies changed? Can we predict the genotype frequencies from the allelic frequencies? Fruit fly experiments of Cavener and Clegg Worked with fruit flies having two versions of the ADH (alcohol dehydrogenase) enzyme, F and S. (for fast and slow moving through an electrophoresis gel) Grew two experimental populations on food spiked with ethanol and two control populations on normal, non-spiked food. Breeders for each generation were picked at random. Took random samples of flies every few generations and calculated the allele frequencies for AdhF and AdhS Figure 6.13 pg 185 only difference is ethanol in food no migration assured random mating population size, drift? no mutation. Must be selection for the fast form of gene. Indeed studies show that AdhF form breaks down alcohol at twice the rate as the AdhS form. Therefore offspring carrying this allele are more fit and leave more offspring and the make-up of gene pool changes. Selection may upset the relationship between allele frequencies and genotype frequencies. Conclusion #1 ( allele frequencies do not change) is not violated but conclusion #2 (that we can predict genotype frequencies from allele frequencies) is violated . Initial B1 = 0.5 Initial B2= 0.5 250 B1B1 500 B1B2 250 B2B2 Differential fitness of the genotypes Fitness .50 Fitness 1.0 Fitness .50 125 500 125 Number of survivors to reproductive age 1000 Total 750 total Initial B1 = 0.5 Initial B2= 0.5 250 B1B1 500 B1B2 250 B2B2 Differential fitness of the genotypes Fitness .50 Fitness 1.0 Fitness .50 125 500 125 Number of survivors to reproductive age The genotype frequencies of mating individuals which survive 1000 Total 750 total Initial B1 = 0.5 Initial B2= 0.5 250 B1B1 500 B1B2 250 B2B2 Differential fitness of the genotypes Fitness .50 Fitness 1.0 Fitness .50 125 500 125 Number of survivors to reproductive age The genotype frequencies of mating individuals which survive 125 / 750 0.167 1000 Total 750 total Initial B1 = 0.5 Initial B2= 0.5 250 B1B1 500 B1B2 250 B2B2 Differential fitness of the genotypes Fitness .50 Fitness 1.0 Fitness .50 125 500 125 125 / 750 0.167 500 / 750 0.667 Number of survivors to reproductive age The genotype frequencies of mating individuals which survive 1000 Total 750 total Initial B1 = 0.5 Initial B2= 0.5 250 B1B1 500 B1B2 250 B2B2 Differential fitness of the genotypes Fitness .50 Fitness 1.0 Fitness .50 125 500 125 125 / 750 0.167 500 / 750 0.667 125 / 750 0.167 Number of survivors to reproductive age The genotype frequencies of mating individuals which survive The resulting allelic frequencies in new mating population 1000 Total 750 total Initial B1 = 0.5 Initial B2= 0.5 250 B1B1 500 B1B2 250 B2B2 Differential fitness of the genotypes Fitness .50 Fitness 1.0 Fitness .50 125 500 125 125 / 750 0.167 500 / 750 0.667 125 / 750 0.167 Number of survivors to reproductive age The genotype frequencies of mating individuals which survive The resulting allelic frequencies in new mating population B1 = .167+1/2 (0.667) = 0.5 1000 Total 750 total Initial B1 = 0.5 Initial B2= 0.5 250 B1B1 500 B1B2 250 B2B2 Differential fitness of the genotypes Fitness .50 Fitness 1.0 Fitness .50 125 500 125 125 / 750 0.167 500 / 750 0.667 125 / 750 0.167 B1 = .167+1/2 (0.667) = 0.5 B2 = ½ (.667) + .167 = 0.5 Number of survivors to reproductive age The genotype frequencies of mating individuals which survive The resulting allelic frequencies in new mating population 1000 Total 750 total Initial B1 = 0.5 Initial B2= 0.5 250 B1B1 500 B1B2 250 B2B2 Differential fitness of the genotypes Fitness .50 Fitness 1.0 Fitness .50 125 500 125 125 / 750 0.167 500 / 750 0.667 125 / 750 0.167 B1 = .167+1/2 (0.667) = 0.5 B2 = ½ (.667) + .167 = 0.5 No change No change Number of survivors to reproductive age The genotype frequencies of mating individuals which survive The resulting allelic frequencies in new mating population 1000 Total 750 total Initial B1 = 0.5 Initial B2= 0.5 250 B1B1 500 B1B2 250 B2B2 Differential fitness of the genotypes Fitness .50 Fitness 1.0 Fitness .50 125 500 125 125 / 750 0.167 500 / 750 0.667 125 / 750 0.167 B1 = .167+1/2 (0.667) = 0.5 B2 = ½ (.667) + .167 = 0.5 No change No change Number of survivors to reproductive age The genotype frequencies of mating individuals which survive The resulting allelic frequencies in new mating population 1000 Total 750 total Thus conclusion #1 is not violated therefore this population has not evolved…..but….. Initial B1 = 0.5 Initial B2= 0.5 250 B1B1 500 B1B2 250 B2B2 Differential fitness of the genotypes Fitness .50 Fitness 1.0 Fitness .50 125 500 125 125 / 750 0.167 500 / 750 0.667 125 / 750 0.167 B1 = .167+1/2 (0.667) = 0.5 B2 = ½ (.667) + .167 = 0.5 No change No change Number of survivors to reproductive age The genotype frequencies of mating individuals which survive The resulting allelic frequencies in new mating population 1000 Total 750 total Change in allele frequency Thus conclusion #1 is not violated therefore this population has not evolved….but….. Conclusion #2 is violated. We are not in equilibrium. Frequency of B1B1 =.167 which is not equal to (.5)2 Kuru example among the Foré in New Guinea ◦ Pg 188-191 ◦ Wanted to determine if there was a genetic basis to the resistance of kuru infection. Ritualistic mortuary feasts, only young women ate the contaminated nervous system tissue leading to CJD (similar to mad cow disease) Among young women who never participated he Met allele = 0.48 and the Val allele 0.52; Genotypes were: Met/Met 0.22; Met/Val 0.51 and Val/ Val 0.26 very close to the values expected for H-W. Met = 0.52 and Val = 0.48 The expected genotypes are Met/Met 0.27 ; Met/ Val 0.5 and Val/Val 0.23 The actual were: Met/Met 0.13 ; Met/ Val 0.77 and Val/Val 0.10 Appears homozygotes are susceptible but heterozygotes are protected. HIV example in book. pg 191 Two conditions must be met 1. Need a high enough frequency of the beneficial allele in the population gene pool 2. There must be high selection pressure for the allele in the same area. In this case a high incidence of HIV infection. If selection is acting, does the rate of evolution of a particular allele depend on whether it is…. dominant or recessive? heterozygote or homozygote? Tribolium Beetle example Dawson’s Flour beetle example Studied a gene locus that had a wild type (+) allele and a lethal allele. +/+ or +/L are normal L/L is lethal. Two experimental populations composed of all heterozygotes +/L Therefore started with + = 0.5 and L =0.5. Expected populations to evolve toward lower frequency of the L allele. Results showed that the recessive lethal did drop rapidly at first but slowed down over successive generations. WHY? In each succeeding generation all LL are lost and ++ makes up a greater proportion of the survivors. As you go on there are less and less homozygous lethals for selection to act on and the lethal allele hides in the heterozygotes Dawson showed that dominance and allele frequency interact to determine the rate of evolution when acted on by selection If a recessive allele is common evolution is rapid because there are a lot of homozygotes that express the phenotype for selection to act on. If recessive allele is rare, evolution is slow because the rare allele is hidden in the heterozygotes where selection cannot act. His experiments also demonstrated that ◦ controlled lab situations can accurately predict the course of evolution ◦ populations do what you would expect if selection is occurring as predicted by the evolutionary theory. Normally in a recessive/ dominant gene, the fitness of the heterozygote will be equal to one of the homozygotes Also, it is possible for the heterozygotes to have a fitness intermediate to the two homozygotes. Thirdly we may find Heterozygote Superiority or Inferiority Studied a gene in which Homozygotes for one allele are viable Homozygotes for the other allele are not viable and are lethal. Heterozygotes have a higher fitness than either homozygotes Started with all heterozygotes to establish a new population (each allele =.5) After several generations equilibrium was reached at .79 frequency for the viable allele This means that the lethal allele was maintained at frequency of 0.21! How could this be? Started more populations beginning with frequency of .975 of viable allele. Expect the population to eliminate all lethal alleles and fix the viable allele at 1.0. But ..... The viable allele dropped in frequency and the same equilibrium around a frequency of .79 was reached for the viable allele! Figure 6.18 pg 200 There is some advantage to the heterozygote condition and the heterozygote actually has a superior fitness to either homozygote. Example in humans is sickle cell anemia Leads to the maintenance of genetic diversity = balanced polymorphism Where the heterozygote condition is inferior to either of the homozygotes What do you predict would happen to the allele frequencies here? Leads to fixation of one allele in the population, while the other is lost. Either allele may be fixed depending on conditions and beginning frequencies of each allele in the gene pool. Leads to a loss of genetic diversity Although if different alleles are fixed in different populations can help maintain genetic diversity among populations When one allele is consistently favored it will be driven to fixation When heterozygote is favored both alleles are maintained and at a stable equilibrium (balanced polymorphism) even though one of the alleles may be lethal in the homozygous state. The Elderflower orchid example in book Population’s allele frequencies remain at or near an equilibrium but it is due to the direction of selection fluctuating. First one allele is favored and then the other. The population fluctuates around an equilibrium point. Bumblebees visit yellow and purple flowers alternately The least frequent phenotype is visited more often and receives more pollination events. In subsequent generations this color becomes more and more frequent until it becomes the dominant color. Once this happens then the same color becomes less frequently visited and the other color becomes favored. Oscillation between the two colors continues and the favored allele alternates over time around some mean equilibrium value. Mutation is the source of all new alleles Mutation provides the raw material on which selection can act Mutation alone is a weak or nonexistent evolutionary force If all mutations that happened, occurred in gametes so that they would be immediately passed on to their offspring and …. the rate of mutation were high, say Aa at a rate of 1 in 10,000 per generation. then the rates are very slow as shown in figure 6.23 Figure 6.23 pg. 211 In concert with selection, mutation becomes a potent evolutionary force. Used a strain of E. coli that cannot exchange DNA (conjugation) so the only possible source of genetic variation is mutation. Showed steady increases in fitness and size over 10,000 generations in response to a demanding environment. (little over 4 years) However, increases in fitness occurred in jumps when a beneficial mutation occurred and then spread rapidly through the population Figure 6.25 pg 213 When mutations are deleterious Selection acts to eliminate them Deleterious Mutations persist because they are created anew over and over again When the rate at which deleterious mutations are formed exactly equals the rate at which they are eliminated by selection the allele is in equilibrium. = mutation-selection balance If the mutation is only mildly deleterious and therefore selection against it is weak; and Mutation rate is high then ◦ The equilibrium frequency of the mutated allele will be relatively high in the population. If, on the other hand, there is strong selection against a mutation (the mutation is highly deleterious) and the mutation rate is low then ◦ Equilibrium ratio of the mutated allele will be low in the population Spinal muscular atrophy, second most common lethal autosomal recessive disease in humans. Selection coefficient is .9 against the disease mutations. However, among Caucasians 1 in 100 people carry the disease causing allele. Research shows that the mutation rate for this disease is quite high Mutation selection balance is proposed explanation for persistence of mutant alleles. http://www.smafoundation.org Cystic fibrosis is the most common lethal autosomal recessive disease in Caucasians Mutation-selection balance alone cannot account for the high frequency of the allele = .02 Appears to also be some heterozygote superiority involved Heterozygotes are resistant to typhoid fever bacteria and have superior fitness during typhoid fever epidemic. At the current time it is believed that CF is an example of heterosis and not mutationselection balance An autosomal dominant allele Is actually increasing in the human population. Any ideas why? May be because it increases the tumor supressor activity in cells dramatically lowering the incidence of cancer in those with the defective allele. They survive through the reproductive years and leave more offspring than their unaffected siblings.