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CHAPTER 21 International Financial Management Chapter 6 – Multiple Cash Flows 1 Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons Introduction to International Finance Management Globalization of the World Economy Globalization refers to the removal of barriers to free trade and the closer integration of national economies. Consumers in many countries buy goods that are purchased from a number of countries other than just their own. Chapter 6 – Multiple Cash Flows 2 Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons Introduction to International Finance Management Globalization of the World Economy The production of goods and services has also become highly globalized. Like product markets, the financial system has also become highly integrated. Chapter 6 – Multiple Cash Flows 3 Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons Introduction to International Finance Management Goals of International Financial Management Stockholder value maximization is the accepted goal for firms in the United States, as well as in some other countries that share a similar heritage, such as the United Kingdom, Australia, India, and Canada. In Continental Europe, for example, countries such as France and Germany focus on maximizing corporate wealth. Chapter 6 – Multiple Cash Flows 4 Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons Introduction to International Finance Management The European manager’s goal is to earn as much wealth as possible for the firm while considering the overall welfare of all stakeholders. In Japan, companies form tightly knit, interlocking business groups called keiretsu, such as Mitsubishi, Mitsui, and Sumitomo, and the goal of the Japanese business manager is to increase the wealth and growth of the keiretsu. As a result, they might focus on maximizing market share rather than stockholder wealth. Chapter 6 – Multiple Cash Flows 5 Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons Introduction to International Finance Management In China, which is making a transition from a command economy to a market-based economy, there are sharp differences between state-owned companies and emerging private-sector firms. The large state-owned companies have an overall goal that can best be described as maintaining full employment in the economy while the new privatesector firms fully embrace the Western standard of stockholder value maximization. Chapter 6 – Multiple Cash Flows 6 Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons Foreign Exchange Markets The foreign exchange market is a group of international markets connected electronically where currencies are bought and sold in wholesale amounts. Chapter 6 – Multiple Cash Flows 7 Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons Foreign Exchange Markets These markets provide three basic economic benefits. 1. A mechanism to transfer purchasing power from individuals who deal in one currency to people who deal in a different currency. 2. A way for corporations to pass the risk associated with foreign exchange price fluctuations to professional risktakers. 3. A channel for importers and exporters to acquire credit for international business transactions. Chapter 6 – Multiple Cash Flows 8 Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons Foreign Exchange Rates and the Equilibrium Exchange Rate A foreign exchange rate is the price of one monetary unit. One of two parties in a transaction will be forced to deal in a foreign currency and incur foreign exchange rate risk. Exhibit 21.4 shows the equilibrium exchange rate, which is at the point where the supply and demand curves intersect. Chapter 6 – Multiple Cash Flows 9 Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons Exhibit 21.4: The Equilibrium Exchange Rate Foreign Exchange Rates and the Equilibrium Exchange Rate Equilibrium occurs at the price at which the quantity of the currency demanded exactly equals the quantity supplied. In general, whatever causes U.S. residents to buy more or fewer foreign goods shifts the demand curve for the foreign currency. Similarly, whatever causes foreigners to buy more or fewer U.S. goods shifts the supply curve for the foreign currency. Chapter 6 – Multiple Cash Flows 11 Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons Exhibit 21.5: Spot Foreign Exchange Rates and Cross Rates Foreign Currency Quotations Foreign exchange dealers quote two prices: bid and ask quotes. The bid quote represents the rate at which the dealer will buy foreign currency. The ask quote is the rate at which the dealer will sell foreign currency. The difference between the bid and ask price is the dealer’s spread, which is often calculated in percent form. Chapter 6 – Multiple Cash Flows 13 Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons Foreign Currency Quotations Ask rate - Bid rate Bid ask spread = Ask rate (21.1) Suppose a dealer is quoting a bid rate for euros of $1.4337/€ and an ask rate of 1.4423/€. The bid-ask spread is: 1.4423 - 1.4337 Bid ask spread = = 0.596% 1.4423 When one is given two quotes of foreign exchange rates involving three currencies, it is possible to find the exchange rate between the third pair of currencies, and this is known as the cross rate. Chapter 6 – Multiple Cash Flows 14 Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons Foreign Currency Quotations The forward rate is the rate at which one agrees to buy or sell a currency on some future date. Note that the forward rate is established at the date on which the agreement is made and defines the exchange rate to be used when the transaction is completed in the future. Chapter 6 – Multiple Cash Flows 15 Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons Foreign Currency Quotations By contracting now to buy or sell foreign currencies at some future date, businesses can lock in the cost of foreign exchange at the beginning of the transaction and do not have to worry about the risk of an unfavorable movement in the exchange rate in the future. The difference between the forward rate and the spot rate is called the forward premium or forward discount. Chapter 6 – Multiple Cash Flows 16 Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons Foreign Currency Quotations Forward rate-Spot rate 360 Forward premium= 100 (21.2) Spot rate n (discount) Suppose the spot rate today on the British pound is $2.0172/£, while the three-month forward rate is $2.0113/£. $2.0113/£-$2.0172/£ 360 Forward premium = 100 $2.0172/£ 90 = -1.17% Chapter 6 – Multiple Cash Flows 17 Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons Hedging a Currency Transaction In finance, to hedge means to engage in a financial transaction to reduce risk. Companies can use forward transactions to lock in (hedge) the cost of foreign exchange. Sometimes forward contracts may prevent the firm from receiving the benefits of a change in exchange rates. However, speculation is not a logical and legitimate function of businesses that import and export goods and services. Chapter 6 – Multiple Cash Flows 18 Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons Determining Cash Flows A number of issues complicate the determination of cash flows from overseas capital projects. First, most companies find it more difficult to estimate the incremental cash flows for foreign projects. Second, problems with cash flows can arise when foreign governments restrict the amount of cash that can be repatriated, or returned, to the parent company. Chapter 6 – Multiple Cash Flows 19 Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons Exchange Rate Risk Financial managers have to deal with foreign exchange rate risk on international capital investments. To convert the project’s future cash flows into another currency, we need to come up with projected or forecast exchange rates. One of the problems with obtaining currency rate forecasts for use in analysis of capital projects is that many projects have lives of 20 years or more. Chapter 6 – Multiple Cash Flows 20 Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons Country Risk Financial managers must also incorporate a country risk premium when evaluating foreign business activities. If a firm is located in a country with a relatively unstable political environment, management will require a higher rate of return on capital projects as compensation for the additional risk. At the extreme, a local government could take over the plant and equipment of the overseas operation without giving the company any compensation. Chapter 6 – Multiple Cash Flows 21 Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons Global Money and Capital Markets The Emergence of the Euromarkets A Eurodollar is defined as a U.S. dollar deposited in a bank outside the United States, primarily in Europe. The banks accepting these deposits are called Eurobanks. The Euromarkets are vast, largely unregulated money and capital markets with major financial centers in Tokyo, Hong Kong, and Singapore. Chapter 6 – Multiple Cash Flows 22 Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons Global Money and Capital Markets The Eurocurrency Market The Eurocurrency market is the short-term portion of the Euromarket. A Eurocurrency is a timed deposit of money held by corporations and governments in a bank located in a country different from the country that issued the currency. The most widely quoted Eurocurrency interest rate is the London Interbank Offer Rate, or LIBOR, which is the short-term interest rate that major banks in London charge one another. Chapter 6 – Multiple Cash Flows 23 Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons Global Money and Capital Markets International Bond Markets International bonds fall into two generic categories: foreign bonds and Eurobonds. Foreign bonds are long-term debt sold by a foreign firm to investors in another country and denominated in that country’s currency. Chapter 6 – Multiple Cash Flows 24 Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons Global Money and Capital Markets Firms sell foreign bonds when they need to finance projects in a particular foreign country. Eurobonds are long-term debt instruments sold by firms to investors in countries other than the country in whose currency the bonds are denominated. Multinational firms can use Eurobonds to finance international or domestic projects. Chapter 6 – Multiple Cash Flows 25 Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons Global Money and Capital Markets Eurodollar and other Eurocurrency bonds have a number of characteristics that differ from similar U.S corporate bonds. Eurobonds are bearer bonds and do not have to be registered. Eurobonds also pay interest annually. Historically almost all Eurocurrency bonds were sold without credit ratings. Today, more than half of the Eurodollar bonds sold in Europe have credit ratings. Chapter 6 – Multiple Cash Flows 26 Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons Risks Involved in International Bank Lending The principles of loan administration and credit analysis are similar for domestic and overseas loans. There are differences, however, including some additional risk exposures for overseas lending. Credit risk is the same whether a loan is domestic or international. However, it may be more difficult to obtain or assess credit information abroad. Chapter 6 – Multiple Cash Flows 27 Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons Risks Involved in International Bank Lending Bank loans that have foreign-exchange risk will carry an additional risk premium. If an international loan or investment is expected to suffer some loss in value, the loan will carry an additional risk premium. Chapter 6 – Multiple Cash Flows 28 Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons Eurocredit Bank Loans The loan rate is equal to a base rate, such as LIBOR, which represents the bank’s cost of funds, plus a markup. Eurocredits typically are floating-rate loans structured as “rollovers”. The general equation for Eurocredit pricing is expressed in the following equation: k = BR + DRP + FXR + CR + GPMAR Chapter 6 – Multiple Cash Flows 29 (21.3) Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons Eurocredit Bank Loans Suppose Citibank is considering making a Eurocredit loan to a Mexican manufacturer. The loan will be structured as a six-month floating-rate loan. The bank’s credit department believes the credit risk premium is 3 percent, the country risk for Mexico is an additional 1 percent, and the bank’s gross profit is 0.125 percent. The bank can buy the funds in the Euromarket: the sixmonth LIBOR rate is 1.75 percent. The Eurocredit pricing for this loan is: k = 1.75% + 3.00% + 1.00% + 0.125% = 5.875% Chapter 6 – Multiple Cash Flows 30 Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons Forward premium: Bank of America quoted the 180day forward rate on the Swiss franc at $0.7902. The spot rate was quoted at $0.7737/SF. What is the annualized forward premium or discount on the Swiss franc? 31 Forward premium or (discount) = [(Forward rate - Spot rate) / Spot rate] x [360 / n] x 100 = [(0.7902 - 0.7737) / 0.7737] x [360 / 180] = 4.27% The Swiss franc is at a 4.27 percent forward premium against the dollar. 32