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ICE CORES and CLIMATE Decoding Clues from the Past to Inform Decisions for Our Future Glaciers and Ice Sheets: Natural Archives of Past Climate U.S. Ice Drilling Program Understanding earth’s climate is like reading a detective story Ice cores are an important climate forensics resource U.S. Ice Drilling Program Movie: Ancient Ice and Our Planet’s Future http://www.waisdivide.unh.edu/multimedia/ ancient-ice-and-our-planets-future.shtml U.S. Ice Drilling Program Key Messages • Our climate is changing now • Scientific evidence provides a basis for decisions • Burning fossil fuels is contributing to current climate change; we must take action today U.S. Ice Drilling Program Increasing Greenhouse Gases in the Atmosphere are causing warming of Earth’s average temperature, changing our climate now U.S. Ice Drilling Program Earth is a system of systems Climate changes will not be uniform. Changes in one part of the system will affect other parts U.S. Ice Drilling Program Patterns of weather that persist for a long time determine climate Different, lasting patterns will change our lives, either directly or indirectly U.S. Ice Drilling Program Scientists use evidence to figure out how today’s climate compares to the past U.S. Ice Drilling Program The moving atmosphere carries environmental evidence to the polar ice sheets U.S. Ice Drilling Program Searching for clues? WAIS Where to look for evidence depends on the question to be answered U.S. Ice Drilling Program Evidence becomes archived in ice sheets Isotopes Pollutants Falling Snow Sea salts Dust Surface Layer Radioactive fallout Firn (old snow), with trapped air Firn to ice transition 60 to 110 m CO2 CH4 Isotopes Ice 2000 to 5000 m, with bubbles of gas Chemistry Volcanic Tephra U.S. Ice Drilling Program Polar ice cores yield the highest resolution natural archive of evidence of past climate U.S. Ice Drilling Program Drilling technology helps scientists retrieve cores from a variety of depths Shallow hand coring The business end! Coring many tens of meters with a portable drill Large volume core from Blue Ice Drill DISC drill for coring several miles deep U.S. Ice Drilling Program Movie: How Ice Core Drills Work http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lXniTZBTBNo U.S. Ice Drilling Program Movie: Ice Core Processing http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gESJSAXsL0Q U.S. Ice Drilling Program Major discoveries from ice cores 1) Climate can change abruptly, in less than 10 years!! U.S. Ice Drilling Program Major discoveries from ice cores 2) CO2 and temperature are closely linked 3) CO2 levels now are higher than evidence from hundreds of thousands of years U.S. Ice Drilling Program Movie: CO2 in the Ice Core Record http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oHzADl-XID8 U.S. Ice Drilling Program Biggest rise in greenhouse gases after the industrial revolution U.S. Ice Drilling Program Global warming since the industrial revolution is primarily due to burning fossil fuels, and secondarily to net land use change emissions We have enough evidence to warrant taking action. . . U.S. Ice Drilling Program Movie: It’s Us http://youtu.be/-PrrTk6DqzE U.S. Ice Drilling Program Models are useful tools for thinking about future impacts U.S. Ice Drilling Program Key Messages • Our climate is changing now • Scientific evidence provides a basis for decisions, and ice core science provides important information • Burning fossil fuels is contributing to current climate change; actions we take now can help mitigate future impacts U.S. Ice Drilling Program Additional Resources http://www.icedrill.org/index.shtml http://climate-expeditions.org/ [email protected] U.S. Ice Drilling Program