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Using Additional Explanatory Variables Topic 12: Multiple Regression CCLS standards Interpreting Categorical and Quantitative Data Summarize, represent, and interpret data on two categorical and quantitative variables. Represent data on two quantitative variables on a scatterplot and describe how the variables are related. o Fit a function to the data; use functions fitted to data to solve problems in the context of the data. Use given functions or choose a function suggested by the context. Emphasize linear, quadratic, and exponential models. o Fit a linear function for a scatterplot that suggests a linear association. Interpret linear models Interpret the slope (rate of change) and the intercept (constant term) of a linear model in the context of the data. Distinguish between correlation and causation. Making Inferences and Justifying Conclusions Make inferences and justify conclusions from sample surveys, experiments, and observational studies. Evaluate reports based on data. Homework 3, 4, 5, 6, 9, 10, 11, 12 Using Additional Explanatory Variables Name: ___________________________ Probability & Statistics 1. Date: ____ CW/HW #56 In the last chapter, we used a ‘Pythagorean’ model to predict the winning percentage of teams in the NFL using their points scored and their points allowed. We can also use multiple regression to predict the number of wins for a team (𝑦̂) based on their points scored (x1) and their points allowed (x2). Using data from the 2010 NFL regular season, the following model was obtained: 𝑦̂ = 9.2177 + 0.0264𝑥1 − 0.0298𝑥2 s = 1.30 In the 2010 regular season, the New York Jets scored 367 points and allowed 304 points. a. Predict the number of wins for the 2010 Jets. b. The Jets actually won 11 games in the 2010 regular season. Calculate their residual. c. Interpret the residual. d. Interpret the value s = 1.30. e. Explain how to determine which model, the multiple regression model or the Pythagorean model, gives better predictions. Using Additional Explanatory Variables 2. f. What is the benefit of using multiple regression with two explanatory variables rather than simply calculating a leastsquares regression line using one explanatory variable? What factors affect the number of calories in food products at McDonald’s? Using 112 food items, a multiple regression model was created to predict y = calories using x1 = grams of fat, x2 = grams of carbs, and x3 = grams of protein. The multiple regression model is 𝑦̂ = 0.22 + 9.00𝑥1 + 4.00𝑥2 + 3.95𝑥3 s = 4.15 a. Calculate the residual of the Big Mac, which has 540 calories, 29 grams of fat, 45 grams of carbs, and 25 grams of protein. b. Interpret the residual. c. Interpret the value s = 4.15 d. Interpret the coefficients of: x1: x2: x3: e. If McDonald’s wanted to reduce the calories in one of its products, would it be best to reduce the fat, reduce the carbs, or reduce the protein? Explain. Using Additional Explanatory Variables