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LG601: International Relations Theory Dr Ken McDonagh DCU 11.10.10 Overview: • Two stories to tell? • The case for scientific theory – Rationalism and explanation • The case for interpretive theories – Reflectivism responds • Still two stories to tell? Explanation & Understanding: two stories to tell? • “To understand is to reproduce the order in the minds of actors; to explain is to find causes in the scientific manner” (Hollis & Smith, p87) • Both allow for a degree of generalization • Explanation restricts the model of research and what counts as knowledge – ‘if I can’t count it, it doesn’t exist’ – Geoff Evans • Understanding is more expansive but can fall down on giving an adequate causal account Explanation: Positivism and the Social Sciences • Newton’s Mechanics • System of Cause and effects • The purpose of science is to uncover these forces that produce effects • Humean scepticism: observation and experience – ‘Constant conjunctions’ rather than certainty of causes – Probabilistic model • Explanation in the Social sciences seeks to uncover these ‘causal’ forces Is Science Science? Criticisms of the Scientific model • • • • Kuhn (1970) - Paradigms Feyeraband (1975) – Relativism Lakatos (1980) – Research Programmes Is Science about the world out there? Or is it a projection of itself? – WVO Quine – Dogmas of Empiricism – Pickering Constructing Quarks – One problem for ‘Scientific’ approaches to the Social world is there isn’t a single model that can be adopted from the Natural Sciences Understanding: • Max Weber: “The science of society attempts the interpretative understanding of social action” (1922) • Verstehen (understanding) • Social rules v Natural rules • Two stories: The man with the umbrella • Weber focuses on rationality of the individual – Instrumental and Value-based – Explanatory understanding: • Historical, Sociological, Ideal-typical Understanding: • Peter Winch- To learn about world is to master the relevant concepts – To know ‘how to go on’ – Not referenced to an independent external reality as such – Different ‘worldviews’ produce different realities – In a culturally diverse world, how can there be universal causal laws? • Hermeneutics, Post-positivism The case for a scientific approach • Bueno de Mesquita & the modest goals of rationalist research • Theories should be: – Explicit • Variables • Assumptions • Hypotheses – Internally Consistent • E.g. Morgenthau – Parsimonious – Judged based on their ability to account for variation in the observable outcomes – Falsifiable The Rationalist Research programe • Keohane: • Generalizations rather than ‘universal Laws’ • Verifiable body of knowledge – Testable hypotheses • Rationalist theory allows us to explain aspects of international relations • Institutions and practices – States, IO’s • How and when is cooperation likely, effective, inefficient? • Neo-Realism, Neo-liberalism The challenge to Reflectivism • Reflectivists highlight ommissions in Rationalist programmes – But all theories are limited • Lack of clear reflectivist research programme • Need for a-priori expectations, empirical evidence, evaluation • A synthesis may be possible, but only after such work is done Smith & the case for an Interpretive approach • Keohane – critique of early reflectivists – Ashley, Ruggie, Alker • Smith (2004) ‘Singing our world into existence’ • “I want to claim that the ways in which the discipline, our discipline, not their discipline or the U.S. discipline, constructs the categories of thought within which we explain the world, helps to reinforce Western, predominately U.S., practices of statecraft that themselves reflect an underlying set of social forces. In short, I aim to place on centre stage the relationship between social power and questions of what, and how, we study international relations.” Singing our world into existence • • • • Ethics and theory Power and knowledge Critique of Keohane and Rational Choice “My point is that the dominant method in the dominant IR academic community is producing a discipline that is marked by political assumptions masquerading as technical ones.” • Who defines the game, the actors, the assumptions? • Productive and efficient but to what effect? Singing our world into existence • Contrasts the violence of September 11th with other forms of ‘structural violence’ – Poverty, disease, inequality, • Why is one set of deaths significant? • The essence of a reflectivist approach is ‘questioning the nature of representation’ • “We sing our worlds into existence, yet rarely reflect on who wrote the words and the music, and Singing Our World into Existence virtually never listening out for, nor recognizing, voices or worlds other than our own until they occasionally force us into silence.” The debate: • “Reflective approaches are less well specified as theories: their advocates have been more adept at pointing out what is omitted in rationalistic theory than in developing theories of their own with a-prior content” (Keohane 1988) • “So, as a start, let us ask the victims of world politics to reinvent the future…The world they would conceive would surely point to ‘justice as fairness’ more closely than the world traditionally described and explained by the academics of the powerful. The victims of world politics would indicate different anchorages from which to start reinventing the future” (Booth 1995) Still two stories to tell? • What do the two approaches have in common: • An interest in analysing the world around us • An acknowledgement that we are limited in our capacity to grasp that world in theoretical & practical terms • A readiness to base our ideas on our experience of that world, although we disagree on the reliability, nature and meaning of that experience Still two stories to tell? • Where do they disagree: • The goal of theory: – For explanatory theories, prediction or accounting for variance in the dependent variables – For understanding theories, prediction is neither a desirable nor an attainable goal due to the open and malleable nature of social reality Questions: • Why is the rationalist research programme dominant? • Can reflectivists meet the challenge as Keohane defines it? • Are all theories of the Social World ethical by their nature? • How can we judge between competing theories?