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Transcript
Serum Cortisol as a Useful Predictor of Cardiac Events in
Patients With Chronic Heart Failure
The Impact of Oxidative Stress
Masayuki Yamaji, MD; Takayoshi Tsutamoto, MD; Chiho Kawahara, MD; Keizo Nishiyama, MD;
Takashi Yamamoto, MD; Masanori Fujii, MD; Minoru Horie, MD
Downloaded from http://circheartfailure.ahajournals.org/ by guest on May 14, 2017
Background—The pathophysiological role of cortisol, which binds to the mineralocorticoid receptor with an affinity equal
to that of aldosterone (ALD), may be influenced by oxidative stress in patients with chronic heart failure. We evaluated
cardiac event prediction using cortisol levels in chronic heart failure, in comparison with ALD, adrenocorticotropic
hormone, and brain natriuretic peptide (BNP), and the impact of oxidative stress.
Methods and Results—We measured the plasma levels of biomarkers such as BNP, ALD, adrenocorticotropic hormone,
serum cortisol, and oxidized low-density lipoprotein (oxLDL), a biomarker of oxidative stress, in 319 consecutive
symptomatic patients with chronic heart failure, and we followed these patients for a mean period of 33 months. During
the follow-up period, 29 patients had cardiac events (death or hospitalization). Plasma levels of BNP, ALD,
adrenocorticotropic hormone, oxLDL, and serum cortisol (16.8⫾1.8 ␮g/dL versus 12.4⫾0.3 ␮g/dL, P⫽0.01) were
significantly higher in patients with cardiac events than in those without cardiac events. On stepwise multivariate
analyses, high levels of BNP (P⫽0.0003), renin (P⫽0.002), cortisol (P⫽0.02), and oxLDL (P⫽0.002) were
independent predictors of cardiac events, but ALD and adrenocorticotropic hormone levels were not. In patients with
serum cortisol ⱖ12.5 ␮g/dL, the hazard ratio of cardiac events in patients with oxLDL ⱖ12 U/mL was 3.5 compared
with that in patients with oxLDL ⬍12 U/mL (P⫽0.008).
Conclusions—These findings indicate that serum cortisol levels were a complementary and incremental cardiac event risk
predictor in combination with BNP in patients with chronic heart failure and that cardiac event prediction based on
cortisol levels was influenced by oxidative stress. (Circ Heart Fail. 2009;2:608-615.)
Key Words: cortisol 䡲 aldosterone 䡲 BNP 䡲 oxidative stress 䡲 cardiac events 䡲 prognosis 䡲 heart failure
S
uppression of increases in the renin-angiotensin-aldosterone (ALD) system is a cornerstone in the management
of patients with chronic heart failure (CHF), and monitoring
the renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system activity might be
useful for assessing CHF severity and response to therapy.1– 6
Higher plasma ALD concentrations were associated with
increased mortality and rehospitalization rates.4,5,7 A previous
report suggested that mineralocorticoid receptor (MR) antagonist decreased brain natriuretic peptide (BNP) and improved
left ventricular remodeling.8 In Randomized Aldactone Evaluation Study and Eplerenone Heart Failure Efficacy and
Survival Study, MR antagonist improved survival and lowered hospitalization in patients with severe CHF and postmyocardial infarction.9,10
tions are 100- to 1000-fold higher in plasma compared with
those of ALD and thus, in principle, would be expected to
preferentially occupy the MR. However, the enzyme 11␤hydroxysteroid dehydrogenase type 2, which converts cortisol to
the non-MR– binding metabolite cortisone, allows ALD to
selectively bind and activate MR.13–15 MR is expressed in the
heart16 and is upregulated in CHF.17,18 However, 11␤hydroxysteroid dehydrogenase type 2 levels in the heart are
almost negligible. Therefore, it has been proposed that cardiac
MRs are occupied by cortisol rather than by ALD.18 –20
However, cortisol usually acts as an MR antagonist in the
kidney and the heart.21,22 If an intracellular redox state
changes with tissue damage and generation of reactive
oxygen species in CHF, cortisol may act as MR agonist like
ALD.18 –20,23 However, the usefulness of predicting cardiac
events based on cortisol levels, which may also bind and
activate the MR, remains unclear. Güder et al24 reported that
higher serum levels of both cortisol and ALD were indepen-
Clinical Perspective on p 615
MR binds mineralocorticoids and glucocorticoids with
equal affinity.11,12 Circulating glucocorticoid concentra-
Received March 27, 2009; accepted September 10, 2009.
From the Department of Cardiovascular and Respiratory Medicine, Shiga University of Medical Science, Tsukinowa, Seta, Otsu, Japan.
Correspondence to Takayoshi Tsutamoto, MD, Department of Cardiovascular and Respiratory Medicine, Shiga University of Medical Science
Tsukinowa, Seta, Otsu 520-2192, Japan. E-mail [email protected]
© 2009 American Heart Association, Inc.
Circ Heart Fail is available at http://circheartfailure.ahajournals.org
608
DOI: 10.1161/CIRCHEARTFAILURE.109.868513
Yamaji et al
dent predictors of increased mortality risk in patients with
CHF. However, they did not evaluate BNP, adrenocorticotropic hormone (ACTH), and a biomarker of oxidative stress.
This study evaluated the cardiac events prediction based on
serum cortisol levels in patients with CHF in comparison with
that based on ALD and ACTH, which stimulates the secretion
of ALD and cortisol, and in combination with BNP, which is
a well-established prognostic predictor. Furthermore, we
assessed the impact of oxidative stress on the prognostic role
of cortisol, which has been reported in relation to cortisol-MR
complex activation.18 –20,23
Methods
Patients
Downloaded from http://circheartfailure.ahajournals.org/ by guest on May 14, 2017
The study population was drawn from 520 consecutive symptomatic
patients with CHF admitted to our hospital between 2003 and 2008
for management of CHF. Among these patients, the study population
consisted of 319 consecutive patients with CHF under cardiac
catheterization for clinical indication several days after the management of CHF. We prospectively followed up these patients for a
mean period of 33 months, and cardiac events were defined as
cardiac death (including sudden death) or hospitalization for CHF.
Patients with acute myocardial infarction, congenital heart disease,
renal failure (serum creatinine ⬎2.5 mg/dL), or malignancy were
excluded. New York Heart Association functional class was evaluated on the day of cardiac catheterization. Informed consent was
obtained from each patient for participation in the study, according to a protocol approved by the institutional Committee on
Human Investigation.
Study Protocol
All patients underwent cardiac catheterization. Hemodynamic measurements and blood samples for measuring the plasma levels of
neurohumoral factors (ie, BNP, norepinephrine [NE], plasma renin
concentration [PRC], angiotensin II and ALD, ACTH, oxidized
low-density lipoprotein [oxLDL], and serum levels of cortisol),
sodium, and creatinine and other laboratory data were collected from
a peripheral vein before the procedure after at least 20 minutes of
supine bed rest. Blood was centrifuged at 4°C, and then, the plasma
was frozen in aliquots and stored at ⫺30°C until assay. The plasma
levels of BNP, NE, PRC, angiotensin II, and ALD were measured as
previously reported.4 The plasma oxLDL levels were measured by
specific immunoradiometric assay using a commercial kit (Kyowa
Medex, Tokyo, Japan), as previously reported.25,26The serum cortisol
levels and plasma ACTH levels were measured using a commercial
radioimmunoassay kit (SRL, Tokyo, Japan). Left ventriculography
was performed using contrast medium or radioisotope after hemodynamic measurements and blood sampling. Oxidative stress was
estimated by oxLDL,25 and oxLDL ⱖ12 U/mL was defined as
positive, as previously reported.26 This cutoff level was calculated by
receiver operating characteristics analysis to detect cardiac events.
The attending physicians were unaware of the neurohumoral data.
Statistical Analysis
All results are expressed as mean⫾SEM. Categorical variables were
presented by frequency counts and percentages, and intergroup
comparisons were analyzed by ␹2 test. Univariate analyses were
performed using Student t test. Because BNP, NE, PRC, angiotensin
II, ALD, ACTH, and cortisol levels were not normally distributed,
differences between the groups were detected by Mann–Whitney U
test, with 2-tailed P values ⬍0.05. Variables with nonnormal
distribution were transformed logarithmically before linear regression analysis. Associations between serum cortisol levels and measurement variables were examined through Pearson’s correlation
coefficient and linear regression. Multivariate linear regression
analyses were performed to examine the independent correlates of
log-transformed cortisol levels, including baseline variables that
Cortisol and oxLDL as a Cardiac Event Predictor
609
were associated with cortisol levels at P values ⬍0.10 on univariate
analysis. The ␤-coefficients were standardized regression coefficients. The prediction of cardiac events was tested by Cox proportional hazards regression analysis with categorized variables dichotomized at the cutoff levels. The cutoff level was defined by the
maximal point of (sensitivity⫹specificity) on receiver operating
characteristics analysis. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards analyses were performed as stepwise regressions, and the main models
were adjusted by variables that were considered traditional risk
factors for mortality in CHF and that were associated with cardiac
events at P values ⬍0.10 on univariate analysis in this study.
Kaplan–Meier analysis was performed on the cumulative rates of
cardiac event-free status in patients with CHF divided into 2 groups
based on cutoff levels of BNP, NE, PRC, ALD, and cortisol, and
differences between the cardiac event-free curves were analyzed by
log-rank test. The cardiac event prediction utility of the combination
of cortisol and BNP and oxLDL was analyzed by Cox proportional
hazards regression analysis. A P value ⬍0.05 was considered
significant.
Results
Clinical Characteristics
Patients were divided into 2 groups: with and without cardiac
events (Table 1). Twenty-nine patients had cardiac events (17
patients died because of worsening heart failure or sudden
death and 12 patients were admitted to hospital for decompensated heart failure) during the mean follow-up period of
33 months. Neurohumoral data such as BNP, NE, PRC,
angiotensin II, ALD, ACTH, cortisol, and oxLDL levels were
significantly higher in patients with cardiac events than in
those without cardiac events.
Univariate and Multivariate Predictors of
Cardiac Events
Patients with CHF were divided into 2 groups based on cutoff
levels for each variable calculated by receiver operating
characteristics analysis to detect cardiac events, and cardiac
event prediction was evaluated by Cox proportional regression analysis (Table 2). The cutoff level was determined as
187 pg/mL for BNP, giving a sensitivity of 65.5% and a
specificity of 67.2%; 378 pg/mL for NE, giving a sensitivity
of 65.5% and a specificity of 66.5%; 54 pg/mL for PRC,
giving a sensitivity of 69% and a specificity of 72.8%; 89
pg/mL for ALD, giving a sensitivity of 58.6% and a specificity of 77.7%; and 12.5 ␮g/dL for cortisol, giving a
sensitivity of 82.8% and a specificity of 52.1%. Kaplan–
Meier analysis was performed on the cumulative rates of
cardiac event-free status in patients with CHF divided into 2
groups based on cutoff levels of BNP, NE, PRC, ALD, and
cortisol. Patients with higher plasma BNP, NE, PRC, ALD,
and cortisol showed a high risk of cardiac events (Figure 1).
On stepwise multivariate analyses, only high levels of
plasma BNP (P⫽0.0003), PRC (P⫽0.002), serum cortisol
(P⫽0.02), and oxLDL (P⫽0.002) were significant independent predictors of cardiac events, but plasma ALD and ACTH
levels were not (Table 2). Hazard ratios (HRs) of cardiac
events for neurohumoral factors adjusted for age, sex, and
body mass index (BMI) were shown in Figure 2.
Cardiac Event Prediction Stratified by the
Combination of BNP and Cortisol
Patients were stratified into 4 groups based on cutoff levels of
the combination of BNP and cortisol (Figure 3). Compared
610
Circ Heart Fail
Table 1.
November 2009
Clinical and Hemodynamic Characteristics of Patients With CHF
Characteristics
All Patients
(n⫽319)
Cardiac Events (⫹)
(n⫽29)
Age, y
65.8⫾0.6
64.2⫾2.7
Sex, male/female
244/75
BMI, kg/m2
22.9⫾0.2
22.2⫾1.1
23⫾0.2
0.27
Etiology, IHD
185 (58)
12 (41.4)
173 (59.7)
0.09
25/4
Cardiac Events (⫺)
(n⫽290)
P
66⫾0.6
0.42
219/71
0.29
NYHA, II/III/IV
211/74/34
12/8/9
199/66/25
0.0004
Mean blood pressure,
mm Hg
79.8⫾1.5
79.1⫾3.1
79.9⫾1.6
0.88
PCWP, mm Hg
11.2⫾0.4
17.3⫾1.8
10.6⫾0.3
⬍0.0001
Cardiac index, L/min
per m2
2.81⫾0.04
2.53⫾0.13
2.84⫾0.04
0.03
LVEF, %
Downloaded from http://circheartfailure.ahajournals.org/ by guest on May 14, 2017
46.7⫾0.7
38.3⫾2.2
47.5⫾0.7
BNP, pg/mL
214.2⫾15.4 (119)
534.4⫾105.3 (285)
182.1⫾11.9 (110.5)
0.0002
NE, pg/mL
381.2⫾12.3 (326)
559.8⫾60.2 (529)
365.2⫾11.8 (322)
0.005
PRC, pg/mL
113.1⫾15.2 (24.5)
464.4⫾109.2 (310)
77.6⫾10.7 (23)
⬍0.0001
0.01
⬍0.0001
Angiotensin II, pg/mL
20.4⫾2.1 (9)
30.1⫾8.2 (18.5)
19.5⫾2.1 (9)
ALD, pg/mL
70.8⫾3.2 (56.7)
117.3⫾16 (98)
66.1⫾3.0 (55)
0.0003
Cortisol, ␮g/dL
12.8⫾0.3 (12.5)
16.8⫾1.8 (14.8)
12.4⫾0.3 (11.9)
0.01
ACTH, pg/mL
31.9⫾1.9 (24.7)
36.5⫾4.7 (32.5)
31.6⫾2.0 (23.6)
0.05
Hemoglobin, g/dL
12.9⫾0.1
12.5⫾0.4
12.9⫾0.1
0.27
Creatinine, mg/dL
1.00⫾0.02
1.15⫾0.1
0.99⫾0.02
0.009
oxLDL, unit/mL
13.7⫾0.5
17.6⫾2.0
13.2⫾0.6
0.02
Treatments
Spironolactone
129 (40.4)
20 (69)
109 (37.6)
0.002
Loop diuretics
134 (42)
21 (72.4)
134 (46.2)
0.01
ACEI/ARB
254 (79.6)
24 (82.6)
230 (79.3)
0.84
␤-blocker
158 (49.5)
18 (62.1)
140 (48.3)
0.27
Data are presented as mean⫾SE (median) or n (%). IHD indicates ischemic heart disease; NYHA, New York Heart Association;
PCWP, pulmonary capillary wedge pressure; LVEF, left ventricular ejection fraction; ACEI, angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors;
ARB, angiotensin receptor blockers.
with patients who had low levels of both BNP and cortisol,
patients with high levels of both variables had a 15.5-fold
higher cardiac event risk (P⫽0.0003). Furthermore, in patients with plasma BNP ⱖ187 pg/mL, the HR of cardiac
events in patients with serum cortisol ⱖ12.5 ␮g/dL was 3.4
compared with that in patients with serum cortisol ⬍12.5
␮g/dL (P⫽0.04).
Influence of Oxidative Stress
Patients were further stratified into 4 groups based on cutoff
levels of the combination of cortisol and oxLDL (Figure 4).
Among patients with serum cortisol ⱖ12.5 ␮g/dL, none of
the patients with oxLDL ⬍12 U/mL showed significant
prediction of cardiac events compared with patients with
serum cortisol ⬍12.5 ␮g/dL. However, in patients with serum
cortisol ⱖ12.5 ␮g/dL, the HR of cardiac events in patients
with oxLDL ⱖ12 U/mL was 3.5 compared with that in
patients with oxLDL ⬍12 U/mL (P⫽0.008).
Univariate and Multivariate Linear Regression
Model of Serum Log Cortisol
On univariate analysis, 11 clinical, neurohumoral, and hemodynamic variables were significant predictors of high serum
log cortisol (Table 3). On stepwise multivariate analyses, 3
parameters such as plasma levels of NE, ALD, and ACTH
were significant independent predictors.
Effect of Spironolactone
Spironolactone was more frequently prescribed for patients
with cardiac events than for those without cardiac events
(Table 1), probably because patients receiving spironolactone
had more severe CHF. The mean dose of spironolactone did
not differ significantly between patients with and without
cardiac events (26.9⫾2.4 mg/d versus 25.8⫾1.6 mg/d,
P⫽0.76). Plasma ALD levels were significantly higher in
patients receiving spironolactone than in those not receiving
spironolactone (93.8⫾6.1 pg/mL versus 55.2⫾2.9 pg/mL,
P⬍0.0001), and serum cortisol levels were slightly higher in
patients receiving spironolactone than in those not receiving
spironolactone (13.4⫾0.6 ␮g/dL versus 12.4⫾0.4 ␮g/dL,
P⫽0.18), but the difference was not significant. Furthermore,
intake of spironolactone was significantly associated with
plasma ALD levels (r⫽0.315, P⬍0.0001) but not with
cortisol levels (r⫽0.08, P⫽0.18). Moreover, spironolactone
administration to patients was a significant predictor of
Yamaji et al
Cortisol and oxLDL as a Cardiac Event Predictor
611
Table 2. Univariate and Multivariate Cox Regression Analysis of Risk Factors for Cardiac Events in
Patients With CHF
Variables
HR
95% CI
P
Age, y
0.99
0.96 to 1.02
0.44
Sex, male⫽1
1.93
0.67 to 5.54
0.22
NYHA, III/IV⫽1
3.19
1.52 to 6.69
0.002
Mean blood pressure,
⬍80 mm Hg⫽1
3.08
1.43 to 6.64
0.004
LVEF, ⬍47.5%⫽1
3.25
1.39 to 7.61
0.007
PCWP, ⱖ15 mm Hg⫽1
4.04
1.94 to 8.41
0.0002
Cardiac index, ⬍2.2 L/min
per m2⫽1
2.1
0.97 to 4.53
0.05
BNP, ⱖ187 pg/mL⫽1
4.11
1.9 to 8.88
0.0003
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NE, ⱖ378 pg/mL⫽1
3.37
1.56 to 7.25
0.002
PRC, ⱖ54 pg/mL⫽1
4.6
2.08 to 10.1
0.0002
Angiotensin II, ⱖ12 pg/mL⫽1
4.08
1.8 to 9.22
0.0007
ALD, ⱖ89 pg/mL⫽1
4.34
Cortisol, ⱖ12.5 ␮g/dL⫽1
4.71
1.8 to 12.3
0.002
ACTH, ⱖ21.8 pg/mL⫽1
3.65
1.23 to 10.9
0.02
Hemoglobin, ⬍11.9 g/dL⫽1
1.71
0.82 to 3.56
0.15
Creatinine, ⱖ1.25 mg/dL⫽1
2.34
1.06 to 5.13
0.03
oxLDL, ⱖ12 units/mL⫽1
3.22
1.37 to 7.56
0.007
2.07 to 9.1
HR
95% CI
P
4.4
1.96 to 9.84
0.0003
3.6
1.58 to 8.21
0.002
3.19
1.16 to 8.74
0.02
3.93
1.64 to 9.45
0.002
0.001
NYHA indicates New York Heart Association; PCWP, pulmonary capillary wedge pressure; LVEF, left ventricular ejection fraction.
cardiac events on univariate analysis (P⫽0.002) but not on
multivariate analysis.
Discussion
MR Activation by Cortisol
Cortisol usually acts as an MR antagonist in the kidney and
the heart.21,22 Funder19,20,23 indicated that if an intracellular
redox state changes with tissue damage and generation of
reactive oxygen species, cortisol may act as an MR agonist
like ALD. In patients with CHF, intracellular nicotinamide
adenine dinucleotide phosphate oxidase is activated and
generation of reactive oxygen species is increased in cardiomyocytes,27 and then, cortisol may act as an MR agonist under
those conditions. In this study, high serum cortisol was an
independent predictor of cardiac events. However, there was no
significant difference in the prediction of cardiac events between
patients with high cortisol and low oxidative stress and those in
whom both variables were low (P⫽0.13), and only patients with
high levels of both cortisol and oxidative stress showed a
significantly higher risk of cardiac events (P⫽0.008; Figure 4).
These findings suggested that oxidative stress was required for
cortisol to be a cardiac event predictor and might provide one
explanation of the phenomenon that oxidative stress activates the
cortisol-MR complex as an MR agonist and that serum cortisol
levels had a cardiac event prediction value.
Moreover, in this study, there was a close correlation
between serum cortisol levels and plasma ACTH levels
(Table 3), which are considered a nonspecific indicator of
stress, and these levels were higher in patients with cardiac
events than in those without cardiac events. Both cortisol and
ACTH levels were significant predictors of cardiac events on
univariate analysis (Table 2). However, on multivariate anal-
ysis, only serum cortisol levels were an independent predictor
of cardiac events, but plasma ACTH levels were not (Figure
2), suggesting that cortisol is not only a nonspecific indicator
of stress but may also increase the risk of cardiac events by
acting as an MR agonist.
Predictor of Cardiac Events
In this study, BNP and PRC were significant independent
predictors of cardiac events in patients with CHF, consistent
with previous reports.3,5,6,28,29 Furthermore, this study indicated that serum cortisol levels were an independent predictor
of cardiac events even after adjusting for traditional risk
factors, but plasma ALD levels were not (Figure 2), which
was not consistent with the findings from a previous study.24
The prognostic importance of BNP, a biomarker of ventricular wall stress,29 has been confirmed by many clinical
studies, as previously reported.8,28,30,31 Although patients with
CHF with higher ALD levels showed a high risk of cardiac
events (Figure 1) and ALD levels were positively associated
with cardiac event risk with a HR of 4.08 (95% CI, 1.36 to
12.2) for the highest versus lowest quartile of ALD (data not
shown) in this study, the prognostic role of ALD remains
controversial because many factors, including therapy for
heart failure, influence the plasma levels of that marker.
Especially, MR blockers may increase plasma ALD levels,32,33 and actually, plasma ALD levels were significantly
higher in patients receiving spironolactone than in those not
receiving spironolactone in this study. Therefore, plasma
ALD levels may not be appropriate for assessing reninangiotensin-aldosterone system activity in patients with CHF
receiving standard therapy.
In the Randomized Aldactone Evaluation Study and the
Eplerenone Heart Failure Efficacy and Survival Study, al-
612
Circ Heart Fail
November 2009
A
B
C
Cumulative event free (%)
Cumulative event free (%)
Cumulative event free (%)
100
100
90
100
90
BNP < 187pg/mL (n=205)
80
80
70
70
NE < 378pg/mL (n=201)
70
10
20
60
30
40
50
PRC > 54pg/mL (n=111)
NE > 378pg/mL (n=118)
Logrank test, p<0.0001
0
PRC < 54pg/mL (n=208)
80
BNP > 187pg/mL (n=114)
60
90
60
0
70
60
Logrank test, p=0.001
10
20
30
40
50
Months
60
70
Logrank test, p<0.0001
0
10
20
30
40
50
Months
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D
E
Cumulative event free (%)
Cumulative event free (%)
100
100
60
70
Months
Cortisol < 12.5μg/dL (n=159)
ALD < 89pg/mL (n=235)
90
90
80
80
70
70
60
ALD > 89pg/mL (n=84)
Logrank test, p<0.0001
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
60
Cortisol > 12.5μg/dL (n=163)
Logrank test, p=0.0005
0
70
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Months
Months
Figure 1. Kaplan–Meier event-free curves for patients with CHF divided into 2 groups based on cutoff levels of BNP (A), NE (B), PRC
(C), ALD (D), and cortisol (E).
though MR antagonist reduced mortality and the rate of
sudden death in patients with severe CHF and postmyocardial
infarction, ALD levels were within the normal range and salt
status was unremarkable.19 Moreover, Nagata et al18 reported
that MR blockade resulted in the attenuation of left ventricular hypertrophy and failure, without an antihypertensive
BNP > 187pg/mL
4.4 (1.96-9.84)
NE > 378pg/mL
1.47 (0.51-4.2)
effect, in rats with low-ALD hypertension. Cortisol, which
manifests the same affinity for the MR as ALD,11,12 has been
described as one explanation for the activation of MR in
previous reports.18,19,23
The cause or effect of the prognostic impact of high
cortisol remains unknown in this study; however, combined
measurements of BNP and cortisol may be useful for monitoring patients with CHF (Figure 3). Further studies are
needed to determine whether serial measurements of cortisol
provide useful information for the management of patients
with CHF.
PRC > 54pg/mL
3.6 (1.58-8.21)
Correlation With Serum Cortisol Levels
ALD > 89pg/mL
2.18 (0.78-6.06)
Cortisol > 12.5μg/dL
3.19 (1.16-8.72)
ACTH > 21.8pg/mL
1.42 (0.4-4.96)
oxLDL > 12unit/mL
3.93 (1.64-9.45)
Variables
HR (95%CI)
0.5
1
10
Figure 2. HRs of cardiac events. Estimates were adjusted for
age, sex, and body mass index. The square shows the HRs and
95% CIs for cardiac events, with patients stratified according to
subgroups prespecified in the statistical analysis plan.
Higher cortisol levels have been reported in acute heart
failure and CHF with cardiac cachexia,34,35 but those levels in
patients with CHF remain unclear. Certainly, mean serum
cortisol levels were almost within the normal range in this
study population, but Güder et al24 suggested that normal
circulating cortisol concentrations may be sufficient to
occupy cardiac MR. In this study, serum cortisol levels
were positively correlated with pulmonary capillary wedge
pressure and NE and negatively correlated with left ventricular ejection fraction and cardiac index (Table 3),
suggesting that serum cortisol levels may reflect worse
hemodynamic parameters and systemic sympathetic nerve
Yamaji et al
Cortisol and oxLDL as a Cardiac Event Predictor
613
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Figure 3. A, Kaplan–Meier event-free curves for patients with CHF stratified into 4 groups based on cutoff levels of the combination of
BNP and cortisol. B, Usefulness of cardiac event prediction using a combination of plasma brain BNP levels and serum cortisol levels.
HR for comparison with the referent (ie, “cortisol low-BNP low”): for “cortisol low-BNP high,” 4.6 (P⫽0.05); for “cortisol high-BNP low,”
4.8 (P⫽0.04); for “cortisol high-BNP high,” 15.5 (P⫽0.0003). Interaction (⫺) (P⫽0.725).
activity in CHF because cortisol is considered a nonspecific indicator of stress.
Furthermore, in this study, serum cortisol levels were correlated with plasma ALD levels (Table 3). The mechanism of
cortisol secretion is mainly regulated by ACTH. Alternatively,
ACTH is one of the mechanisms involved in ALD secretion,
thus there would be a positive correlation between serum cortisol
and plasma ALD in this study. Actually, serum ACTH levels were
positively correlated with plasma ALD (r⫽0.379, P⬍0.0001) and
serum cortisol (r⫽0.597, P⬍0.0001) in this study.
Figure 4. A, Kaplan–Meier event-free curves for patients with CHF stratified into 4 groups based on cutoff levels of the combination of serum
cortisol and plasma oxLDL, a biomarker of oxidative stress. B, Usefulness of cardiac event prediction using a combination of serum cortisol
levels and plasma oxLDL. HR for comparison with the referent (ie, “cortisol low-oxLDL low”): for “cortisol low-oxLDL high,” 3.6 (P⫽0.25); for
“cortisol high-oxLDL low,” 5.2 (P⫽0.13); for “cortisol high-oxLDL high,” 18.4 (P⫽0.004). Interaction (⫺) (P⫽0.976).
614
Circ Heart Fail
November 2009
Table 3. Univariate and Multivariate Predictors of Serum
Cortisol Levels in Patients With CHF
Variables
Univariate
Correlation
Coefficients
P
⫺0.227
⬍0.0001
Sex, male⫽1
0.197
0.0004
NYHA, III/IV⫽1
0.128
0.02
Mean blood
pressure, mm Hg
0.1
0.07
Age, y
PCWP, mm Hg
0.217
Cardiac index, L/min
per m2
-0.01
LVEF, %
Disclosures
None.
References
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Multivariate
␤-Coefficients
P
0.116
0.02
0.0001
0.86
-0.174
0.002
Log BNP, pg/mL
0.029
0.61
Log norepinephrine,
pg/mL
0.151
0.007
Log PRC, pg/mL
0.158
0.005
Log angiotensin II,
pg/mL
0.169
0.003
Log ALD, pg/mL
0.415
⬍0.0001
0.162
0.004
Log ACTH, pg/mL
0.597
⬍0.0001
0.512
⬍0.0001
Hemoglobin, g/dL
0.147
0.01
Creatinine, mg/dL
0.031
0.58
oxLDL, unit/mL
0.023
0.68
␤-coefficients indicates standardized regression coefficients; NYHA, New
York Heart Association; PCWP, pulmonary capillary wedge pressure; LVEF, left
ventricular ejection fraction.
Study Limitation
Several limitations should be noted in the interpretation of
these results. First, this study was performed as a singlecenter study analyzing a small number of subjects, and only
a small number of cardiac events occurred. Therefore, it
might be insufficient to determine independent predictors by
multivariate analyses. A larger study is warranted to confirm
the prediction of cardiac events based on serum cortisol levels
in patients with CHF.
Second, serum cortisol levels show changes throughout the
day. Although blood samples for measuring the serum cortisol levels were collected between 9:00 AM and 12:00 PM in all
patients in this study, the best time to collect samples for the
prediction of cardiac events remains unclear. Further studies
are needed to clarify this problem.
Conclusions
In conclusion, serum cortisol levels were a complementary
and incremental cardiac event risk predictor in combination
with BNP in patients with CHF, and cardiac event prediction
based on cortisol levels was influenced by oxidative stress.
Acknowledgments
We thank Yoko Watanabe for excellent technical assistance. We also
thank Mr. Daniel Mrozek for assistance in preparing the manuscript.
Sources of Funding
This study was supported by a Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research
in Japan.
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CLINICAL PERSPECTIVE
Our research shows, for the first time, that cardiac event prediction based on cortisol levels is influenced by oxidative stress.
Mineralocorticoid receptor (MR) antagonist improved survival and reduced hospitalization in patients with severe chronic
heart failure and postmyocardial infarction in the Randomized Aldactone Evaluation Study and Eplerenone Heart Failure
Efficacy and Survival Study trials. However, in these trials, plasma aldosterone levels were within the normal range in most
patients, raising a question of what the MR antagonist was actually blocking to have such a beneficial effect. Recently, it
has been proposed that cardiac MRs are occupied by cortisol rather than by aldosterone because cortisol manifests the same
affinity for MR like aldosterone. However, cortisol usually acts as an MR antagonist in heart. Funder et al indicated that
if the intracellular redox state changes with tissue damage and generation of reactive oxygen species, cortisol may act as
an MR agonist like aldosterone. In this study, high serum cortisol levels were an independent predictor of cardiac events.
However, there was no significant difference in the prediction of cardiac events between patients with high cortisol and
low oxidative stress and those in whom both variables were low, and only patients who had high levels of both cortisol
and oxidative stress showed a significantly higher cardiac event risk. In conclusion, the cardiac event prediction value
based on cortisol levels was significant only in patients with chronic heart failure with higher levels of oxidative stress, and
a clinical outcome that confirmed part of hypothesis derived from the basic experiments by Funder et al might be obtained.
Serum Cortisol as a Useful Predictor of Cardiac Events in Patients With Chronic Heart
Failure: The Impact of Oxidative Stress
Masayuki Yamaji, Takayoshi Tsutamoto, Chiho Kawahara, Keizo Nishiyama, Takashi
Yamamoto, Masanori Fujii and Minoru Horie
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Circ Heart Fail. 2009;2:608-615; originally published online September 28, 2009;
doi: 10.1161/CIRCHEARTFAILURE.109.868513
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