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YANG WANG DOCTORAL CANDIDATE Jones Graduate School of Business 267 McNair Hall – MS 531 6100 Main Street Houston, TX 77005 Cell Phone: (702) 521-2401 Email: [email protected] Web: yangwangresearch.wordpress.com EDUCATION PhD, Business Administration, 2016 Jones Graduate School of Business, Rice University Dissertation Title: Empirical and Theoretical Investigations in Pricing (essays denoted by *) Dissertation Committee: Amit Pazgal (chair), Wagner Kamakura, Ajay Kalra, Natalia Sizova M.B.A, Finance, 2010 Lee College of Business, University of Nevada - Las Vegas B.S., Hotel Administration (Magna Cum Laude), 2008 University of Nevada - Las Vegas RESEARCH INTERESTS Causal inference with big data, revenue management, online reviews, dynamic pricing, channel structure, industrial organization, cross-disciplinary business research WORKING PAPERS AND RESEARCH IN PROGRESS The Effects of observing the service quality of peers (Job Market Paper) with Alex Chaudhry, Invited for revision at Journal of Marketing Research The current research paradigm of social influence in customer satisfaction in the digital age focuses on peer effects in the expectation formation stage. We propose that the broad class of publicly observable service interactions can also have satisfaction externalities for customers who observe these interactions. We test the social influence of observable peer service interactions in the context of managers’ response to online reviews. At the time of writing her review, a focal customer has already purchased and experienced the product or service. Even so, managers can still influence focal customers postconsumption satisfaction through their responses to other customers’ reviews. Through a novel naturalexperiment, we find empirical evidence using a dataset of more than 17 million hotel reviews that publicly stated satisfaction is positively (negatively) influenced by managers’ responses to negative (positive) reviews of previous customers. In addition, we apply latent Dirichlet allocation methods to model the tailoring of manager response to customer reviews. We find that response tailoring to negative (positive) reviews enhances (exacerbates) the positive (negative) effect on subsequent opinion. Keywords: Online reviews, tailored firm engagement, customer satisfaction, natural experiment, topic modeling (Sub)optimality of managerial dynamic pricing* (Working paper) Target Journal: Management Science This study contributes to the largely theoretical field of revenue management with an empirical investigation into the sub-optimality of managerial dynamic pricing policies as evidenced in the Las Vegas hotel market. We demonstrate that managers consistently choose prices that yield revenues approximately 25% below optimal levels. Specifically, managers appear to choose prices in a manner Yang Wang CV consistent with maximizing a mix of occupancy and revenue. We find support for the hypothesis that the unobservability of counterfactual revenues may drive managers’ suboptimal pricing policies when the hotel is expected to fill capacity. Additionally, we explore a novel managerial use of online reviews in pricing decisions and the effect of competitors’ pricing strategies on a focal hotel’s optimal prices. We discover that predicting mean reverting tendencies of online reviews can marginally improve the focal hotel’s bottom line during slow seasons. Similarly, we show that there is an economically significant impact of predicting competitors’ prices on the focal hotel’s pricing policies. Keywords: Revenue management, dynamic pricing, competitive pricing, online reviews A model of pricing and advertising competition in the presence of online sales agents* (Manuscript in preparation) with Amit Pazgal, Target Journal: Marketing Science Service providers have traditionally sold either directly to the consumer or through small independent sales agents (e.g. travel agents). The internet has consolidated the role of sales agents in the form of online travel agents (OTA’s, e.g. Expedia) and other internet sales agents (ISA’s, e.g. Ticketmaster), giving them bargaining power over service suppliers. However, few theoretical investigations have been made into why internet retailers or sales agents exist in markets where service providers can act as direct sellers. This paper presents a model of a horizontally differentiated duopoly in the presence of a sales agent where all three players can sell directly to the consumer. We show that agents can exist by appealing to consumers who are relatively indifferent between the competing service providers. The sales agent creates a prisoner’s dilemma for service providers in their decision to participate on the OSA platform. Additionally, we demonstrate that prices may be higher despite the increased competition on the OSA platform because of endogenously created loyal and switching segments. Finally, we propose a model that describes the mechanism by which online sales agents may reach indifferent consumers. In this model all firms advertise to reach consumers, but while direct sellers advertises their own brand, the OSA advertises for the entire product category. Keywords: Online sales agents, price competition, advertising, game theory, industrial organization The global diffusion of management best practice (Research in progress) with Alex Chaudhry Managers’ public response to online reviews has become a common practice as online review platforms have become a prominent source of information for consumers in their purchasing decisions. The broad adoption of this publicly observable management practice provides us the perfect laboratory in which to study the diffusion of management practice. Analyzing a dataset of nearly 100 million reviews across 500,000 tourism-related businesses located across the globe, we document the rise of the practice of public response to online customers reviews over the span of 12 years. In particular, we address the questions, are large chain businesses central to the diffusion of best practices, does competition drive new practice adoption, and do customers wield a voice strong enough to force management innovation in the digital age? We find support for all three forces by estimating a spatial-temporal diffusion model of management response to online reviews. Additionally, we examine the moderating effects of a business’ reliance of repeat customers, the size of the business, and cultural barriers in the diffusion process Keywords: Best practice, social diffusion, customer communication, online reviews Risk premium of the bullwhip effect in a networked B2B economy (Research in progress) with Edwin Hu Yang Wang CV There has been a long tradition in the finance literature of studying systematic economic risk factors in the pricing of financial assets. The majority of proposed risk factors have been derived from characteristics of firms in isolation. We propose that the interconnectedness of firms in an economy can pose additional systematic risks to firms in upstream positions due to the bullwhip effects. The bullwhip effect describes the increased volatility in production as downstream demand shocks propagate upstream due to information asymmetry, time to production, shipping time, and other frictions. To test our hypothesis of this additional risk factor, we data mine customer disclosures in the footnotes of the SEC 10-K and 8-K, constructing a B2B sales network dataset of more than 4000 unique seller nodes per year for 36 years. We are able to identify evidence of the bullwhip effect in the form of amplified cash flow volatility when we control for industry supply chain diversification of upstream firms based on firms’ position in the economic network. However, we find no evidence of the bullwhip effect being priced as a risk factor, suggesting a possible systematic mispricing by financial markets. Keywords: B2B sales, networks, supply chain, bullwhip effect, risk premiums, factor models HONORS & AWARDS AMA-Sheth Foundation Doctoral Consortium Fellow, Northwestern University ISMS Doctoral Consortium Fellow, Emory University ISMS Doctoral Consortium Fellow, Boston University ISMS Doctoral Consortium Fellow, Rice University Structural Econometrics Workshop, Duke University UH Doctoral Symposium Fellow (Presenter), University of Houston MGM Mirage Graduate Education Grant (full tuition) Weinberger Hotel Scholar (1/2 tuition) Nevada Millennium Scholar (1/3 tuition) National Merit Scholar (full tuition) 2014 2014 2012 2011 2013 2012 2008-2010 2006-2008 2006-2008 2006-2008 PRESENTATIONS & CONFERENCE ATTENDANCE (Sub)optimality of managerial dynamic pricing in a competitive oligopoly Marketing Science Conference 2014 Uncertain demand in a mature market: nonparametric dynamic pricing in the Las Vegas resort market Marketing Science Conference 2012 A model of online service retailers in horizontally differentiated markets University of Houston Doctoral Symposium 2012 UT Dallas FORMS Conference Annual Rice University Marketing Camp Marketing Science Conference, Houston, TX 2012-2014 2012-2015 2011 TEACHING INTERESTS Principles of Marketing, Marketing Research, Pricing, Data Analysis, Digital Marketing ACADEMIC/TEACHING EXPERIENCE Jones Graduate School of Business, Rice University Research Assistant to Drs. Amit Pazgal, Randy Batsell, Wagner Kamakura, and Sharad Borle 2010 – Current Yang Wang CV Teaching Assistant to Dr. Amit Pazgal’s MGMT719 class, Thinking Strategically (Spring 2011), Dr. Randy Batsell’s MGMT895 class, Data Analytics for EMBA, and Dr. Sharad Borle’s MGMT595 class, Data Analytics for PMBA. Course Development (February 2016 launch) for Rice University’s Coursera specialization – Data Analysis with Excel. Ad hoc referee for Production and Operations Management 2014 – Current College of Education, University of Nevada – Las Vegas 2006 – 2007 Research Assistant for Spencer Foundation grant project on international comparative education Coding and translation of video recorded Chinese elementary school mathematics lectures. Creating Microsoft Access database and queries for easy data extraction of lecture coding. 2006 – 2007 TestSmart, Las Vegas SAT and AP Calculus Instructor INDUSTRY EXPERIENCE Cangrade, Cambridge, MA 2013 – Current VP of Scientific Research R&D related to employee hiring, retention, and training selection algorithms. Las Vegas Sands (Venetian and Palazzo resorts) Revenue Management Analyst Call Center and Resort Operations Analyst 2009 – 2010 MGM Grand Resort Channel Distribution Specialist Inventory Specialist 2007 – 2009 COMPUTING Python, STATA, MATLAB, VBA, R, SAS, Linux, Amazon Web Services (EC2, S3), web crawling PROFESSIONAL AFFILIATIONS AMA, INFORMS PERSONAL USA citizen, speaks native English and fluent Mandarin, avid ice hockey player (Fall 2014 Space City rec. league champion), winner of multiple state and regional violin competitions. DOCTORAL COURSEWORK MARKETING Analytical Models in Marketing Business Game Theory Behavioral Economics Consumer Behavior (x3 semesters/diff readings) Managerial Research Measurement Theory Hierarchical Bayes Models in Marketing ECONOMICS Amit Pazgal Amit Pazgal Amit Pazgal Ajay Kalra Vikas Mittal Wagner Kamakura Sharad Borle Yang Wang CV Mathematics for Economists Microeconomic Theory I Microeconomic Theory II Econometrics I Econometrics II Empirical Microeconomics Industrial Organization Dynamic Optimization Siyang Xiong Simon Grant Camelia Bejan Bill Brown Robin Sickles Vivian Ho / Richard Boylan Marc Dudey Peter Hartley FINANCE Empirical Methods in Finance James Weston ACCOUNTING Analytical Models in Accounting Thomas Hemmer STATTISTICS Statistical Learning (audit) Genevera Allen PSYCHOLOGY Social Psychology Mikki Hebl REFERENCES Amit Pazgal Professor of Marketing and Operations Mgmt. Jones Graduate School of Business Rice University P.O. Box 2932-MS 531 Houston, TX 77252 (713) 348-5404 [email protected] Wagner Kamakura Jesse H. Jones Professor of Marketing Jones Graduate School of Business Rice University P.O. Box 2932-MS 531 Houston, TX 77252 (713) 348-6307 [email protected] Ajay Kalra Herbert S. Autrey Professor of Marketing Jones Graduate School of Business Rice University P.O. Box 2932-MS 531 Houston, TX 77252 (713) 348-2387 [email protected] Randy Batsell Associate Professor of Marketing Jones Graduate School of Business Rice University P.O. Box 2932-MS 531 Houston, TX 77252 (713) 348-5390 [email protected] Sharad Borle Associate Professor of Marketing Jones Graduate School of Business Rice University P.O. Box 2932-MS 531 Houston, TX 77252 (713) 348-4349 [email protected]