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Ecological and Evolutionary Limits to Species Geographic Ranges. Author(s): Monica A. Geber Reviewed work(s): Source: The American Naturalist, Vol. 178, No. S1, Ecological and Evolutionary Limits to Species Geographic Ranges (October 2011), pp. S1-S5 Published by: The University of Chicago Press for The American Society of Naturalists Stable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/10.1086/661899 . Accessed: 22/02/2012 16:25 Your use of the JSTOR archive indicates your acceptance of the Terms & Conditions of Use, available at . http://www.jstor.org/page/info/about/policies/terms.jsp JSTOR is a not-for-profit service that helps scholars, researchers, and students discover, use, and build upon a wide range of content in a trusted digital archive. We use information technology and tools to increase productivity and facilitate new forms of scholarship. For more information about JSTOR, please contact [email protected]. The University of Chicago Press and The American Society of Naturalists are collaborating with JSTOR to digitize, preserve and extend access to The American Naturalist. http://www.jstor.org vol. 178, supplement the american naturalist october 2011 Ecological and Evolutionary Limits to Species Geographic Ranges* Monica A. Geber† Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Cornell University, Ithaca, New York 14853 Introduction The study of geographic ranges and their limits necessarily draws on diverse areas of organismal biology, ecology, micro- and macroevolution, genetics, and paleobiology (Gaston 2003, 2009; Holt and Barfield 2011). Understanding range limits requires the integration of theoretical, analytical, and empirical approaches, and this integration is equally relevant to paleontological, contemporary, and future timescales. “Ecology and Evolutionary Limits to Species Geographic Ranges” was therefore a “natural” theme for the 2010 Vice Presidential Symposium of the American Society of Naturalists, clearly meeting the Society’s stated goal of “enhance[ing] the conceptual unification of the biological sciences.” A fundamental goal of ecology is to understand the distribution and abundance of organisms (Elton 1930; Andrewartha and Birch 1954). This goal leads naturally to the study of species geographic range limits. There is no clearer setting in which to examine the determinants of distribution—a species is present on one side of the boundary but absent on other. Explanations of range limits therefore must consider ecological causes: the diverse abiotic and biotic factors that could limit distribution. Another fundamental perspective on range limits is historical. The history and geography of species origins explain why certain clades are found in some parts of the world but not others (Wallace 1876; Darwin 1859; Lomolino et al. 2006). Dispersal limitation and barriers to movement (e.g., mountain ranges, oceans) are the simplest explanations for why taxa are absent from seemingly suitable habitat. Such explanations are confirmed by wellknown examples of vicariance events (e.g., Knowlton and Weigt 1998) and (as if by experiment) by species invasions over the last several centuries, which were facilitated by * This issue originated as the 2010 Vice Presidential Symposium presented at the annual meetings of the American Society of Naturalists. † E-mail: [email protected]. Am. Nat. 2011. Vol. 178, pp. S1–S5. 䉷 2011 by The University of Chicago. 0003-0147/2011/178S1-53120$15.00. All rights reserved. DOI: 10.1086/661899 human-mediated transport of organisms (Williamson 1996). Explanations for range limits also must consider ecological and evolutionary dynamics operating at various time scales. Ranges are expected to expand and contract relatively rapidly as environments change, especially in vagile species (Parmesan 2006). But even over the typical timescales of climate change (e.g., Pleistocene glaciation cycles), low dispersal speed may still limit some taxa from precisely tracking suitable environments (Svenning and Skov 2004). Ideally, investigations of the causes of geographic range limits should attempt to discern whether range limits are expanding and have recently done so or whether range boundaries have been stable over long periods of time (Moeller et al. 2011). This requires good historical information from the fossil record on species distributions or studies of population genetics and phylogeography combined with climate reconstruction or, failing such information, experimental transplant studies to establish whether populations can persist beyond their current range boundaries (see Sexton et al. 2009 for list of transplant studies). If a species distribution can be shown to be in equilibrium with its current environment, then the geographic range roughly corresponds to the organism’s niche, sensu Grinnell (1917) and Hutchinson (1957), that is, the constellation of environmental conditions, both abiotic and biotic, where the long-term population growth rate is, at minimum, 1 (Pulliam 2000). The study of geographic range limits is therefore allied with the study of limits on niche expansion, that is, niche conservatism (Wiens et al. 2010). Phrased another way, why does a species fail to adapt to environmental conditions beyond its current range boundaries (Antonovics 1976)? We know that populations can evolve rapidly in response to environmental change (Hendry and Kinnison 1999) and that invading species are currently adapting to novel conditions in their new range. What hampers adaptation at the margins of stable range boundaries (Hoffmann and Blows 1994)? This is where the rapidly expanding theory on ecological and evolutionary limits to range expansion becomes informative (Holt and Barfield 2011), inspiring empirical S2 The American Naturalist tests of the role of demography, ecology, dispersal (including gene flow), and patterns of environmental variation in selection in constraining range limits. Contributions to the symposium consist of a mix of articles, theoretical and empirical. With demographic, ecological, genetic, or comparative approaches, they address questions concerning the limits on geographic range expansion, the determinants of geographic range size, and how limits on expansion might explain differences in regional species diversity. Articles in the symposium place particular emphasis on the joint effects of ecology, demography, and contemporary or historical evolution on geographic range limits. Several excellent reviews of limits on geographic range expansion have recently been published (Gaston 2003, 2009 (and articles therein); Holt and Keitt 2005 (and articles therein); Bridle and Vines 2007; Kawecki 2008; Sexton et al. 2009; Bridle et al. 2010). Rather than review the theory in its entirety, Holt and Barfield (2011) present new models on adaptive evolution at range margins as affected by the interaction between demography, environment, and selection in patchy landscapes. Holt has been enormously influential in the development of theory on range limits, especially in demonstrating the crucial interplay between demographic performance (a reflection of both the degree of local adaptation and persistence through immigration), gene flow, and landscape patterns of environmental variation that define patterns of selection (see references in Holt and Barfield 2011). Using individual-based models incorporating demography and genetics, Holt and Barfield consider a species, such as the cladoceran Daphnia magna, which occupies a heterogeneous landscape of patches (water bodies) coupled by dispersal. The authors ask how and when adaptation evolves to the environments of sink habitats—those where conditions are outside the species original niche. They show that the likelihood of observing niche evolution (and thus range expansion) into sink habitats depends on the magnitude of initial maladaptation; the pattern (pulsed vs. continuous, uni- vs. bidirectional), timing (juvenile vs. adult), and rate of dispersal; the mutation rate (a function of population size); and whether reproduction is asexual or sexual. Interestingly, the architecture of polygenic adaptation is influenced by the interplay of selection and dispersal. A thorough understanding of the evolutionary limits to range expansion therefore will need to incorporate fine-scale landscape studies of environmental variation, demography, and genetics. Direct tests of whether a species is absent beyond its current range margin because of limited adaptation or limited dispersal require transplanting populations into unoccupied areas. Ideally, transplants should include all life stages and be followed over multiple years. Because of the difficulty of such experiments, and perhaps also for ethical reasons, transplant studies beyond range boundaries have been rare (Sexton et al. 2009). Another approach is to construct species distribution models (SDMs), also known as niche models, to assess whether a species is absent from large areas of apparently suitable habitat, suggesting dispersal limitation, or whether a species appears to occupy the full geographical extent of suitable habitat, suggesting limits on adaptation. The most common approach to constructing SDMs uses information on species presences (and sometimes absences, and occasionally abundances) along with varying numbers of geo-referenced environmental variables (e.g., precipitation, temperature) to generate predictions of where species ought to be found (Elith and Leathwick 2009). A second approach is to generate mechanistic or process models of individual or population performance in relation to environmental variables and to map locations that permit a threshold level of performance (Morin and Thuiller 2009; Kearney et al. 2010). Comparison of the actual and predicted distributions can then be used to assess limitation due to dispersal vs. maladaptation. In the second article of the symposium, Eckhart et al. (2011) use a third approach to assess dispersal limitation versus maladaptation along the eastern range margin of a native California annual plant, Clarkia xantiana ssp. xantiana. Given that the niche requirements of a species are defined as the environmental conditions that allow longterm population persistence, Eckhart et al. modify standard SDMs based on presence data and environmental variables with estimates of stochastic population growth rate (lS) obtained from multiyear studies of demography on populations spanning the species geographic range in the southern Sierra Nevada. Stochastic ls are used to “weight” the importance to population performance of changing environmental conditions across the range. Weighted SDMs, compared to distribution models based solely on presences, place the eastern range margin closer to its actual margin and support the hypothesis that the species border is set by limited adaptation. Theoretical models of range limits implicate demographic processes, including colonization history, population turnover, and population size changes, that often take place over timescales too lengthy for the average biologist to study. Absent a good fossil record, insight into historical population dynamics can be gleaned from the signatures that they leave on the population structure of molecular genetic variation. In the third contribution to this symposium, Moeller et al. (2011) discuss how different models of range dynamics make different predictions about demographic history and population genetic structure. Although the predictions of alternative range limits models are not mutually exclusive, molecular population genetic analyses can assist in determining whether range Limits to Geographic Ranges S3 limits are unstable (i.e., contracting versus expanding) or whether stable range limits are set by demographic (e.g., metapopulation dynamics) versus evolutionary phenomena (e.g., maladaptive gene flow). With this background, Moeller et al. (2011) analyze DNA sequence and microsatellite variation from central and peripheral populations of C. x. ssp. xantiana, the same species used in Eckhart et al.’s (2011) study. They show that peripheral populations contain a subset of the diversity of central populations but have large effective population sizes and show little evidence for population bottlenecks. Central populations, by contrast, exhibit a history of population expansion with bias in gene flow from the range center to periphery, consistent with the abundant center hypothesis (Brown et al. 1995). These results tend to discount strictly demographic models and more strongly support evolutionary-genetic models where responses to selection at the range edge are constrained by a lack of adaptive genetic variation or maladaptive gene flow. In the fourth contribution to the symposium, Paul et al. (2011) tackle head-on the oft-cited hypothesis of Ernst Mayr (1963) that maladaptive gene flow from central to peripheral populations limits adaptation and thus range expansion at the periphery, using Mimulus cardinalis, a perennial plant native to the western United States as a model. First, for a series of populations from the southern Sierra Nevada of California to a northern range limit in southern Oregon, they establish, through growth chamber studies, the temperature optimum for plant growth, because plant relative growth rate is closely tied to fitness. They then use environmental data on July maximum temperature from each population’s field location to determine the phenotypic deviation (PD) between the populations’ measured temperature optimum for growth and July field temperatures during the period of maximum growth. They hypothesize that PD should be correlated with the amount of maladaptive gene flow that populations receive, which should be a function of both the amount of gene flow and how far away genes are coming from, since gene flow from distant populations with dissimilar environments is likely to be more deleterious than an equivalent amount of gene flow from nearby populations with similar environments. Furthermore, if the maladaptive gene flow hypothesis on limits to range expansion is correct, peripheral populations should exhibit greater phenotypic deviation from the field temperature and should be receiving greater amounts of maladaptive gene flow. The authors find that, for contemporary gene flow estimates, net immigration into northern populations is from hotter environments, while net immigration into more southerly populations is from cooler environments. The magnitude of phenotypic deviation between observed and predicted temperature optima is correlated with latitude- weighted (but not temperature-weighted) estimates of contemporary gene flow, but there is no evidence that range limit populations exhibit greater PDs or receive greater amounts of maladaptive gene flow than central populations. The approach developed by Paul et al. (2011)—to connect the degree of mismatch between an observed phenotype and the optimum phenotype for a population’s environment (PD) to the amount of maladaptive gene flow a population receives—is a powerful one that can be applied to many populations and many landscape contexts, not just range limit contexts. The last two contributions turn the focus from plants and population biology to animals and macroecological and macroevolutionary patterns in geographic range. The authors of the first use a comparative phylogenetic approach to ask whether trait plasticity affects range size in Australian Drosophila (Overgaard et al. 2011). Those of the second ask whether conservatism in climatic niche limits account for differences in bird diversity between regions of the Himalayas (Price et al. 2011). There have been many attempts to identify characteristics that influence variation in range size among species (Bohning-Gaese et al. 2006; Garcia-Barros and Romo Benito 2010) and to determine whether range size is heritable, with mixed results (Webb and Gaston 2003; Mouillot and Gaston 2007, 2009). There has been particular interest in the literature on invasive species on what traits distinguish invasive taxa (with large new ranges) from taxa that fail to become invasive (e.g., van Kleunen et al. 2010). It has been suggested that adaptive trait plasticity, the ability of an individual to adjust its phenotype in response to environmental variation, might lead to larger geographic distributions. In an interesting twist on long-term studies of plant species persistence in the famed Thoreau woods in Concord, Massachussetts, Willis et al. (2008) have shown that species that have declined in abundance over the last century and a half are ones that exhibit low flowering time plasticity in response to warming climate and that conservatism in plasticity is phylogenetically biased. In this symposium, Overgaard et al. (2011) use a careful series of rearing experiments to compare adult thermal limits to both cold (temperate) and warm (tropical) temperatures across five widespread species and five narrowly distributed tropical species of Drosophila from eastern Australia. In many ectotherms, geographic distributions are related to thermal tolerance limits (Stevens 1989; Angilletta 2009), and those that occupy variable thermal environments are expected to evolve physiological or behavioral plasticity to accommodate variable temperatures (Chown and Terblanche 2007). The authors assessed thermal limits following both long-term developmental acclimation as well as the effect of gradual hardening on upper and lower thermal limits in order to obtain both innate thermal re- S4 The American Naturalist sistance and the ability to modify thermal tolerance during chronic and gradual exposure to temperature extremes. Contrary to expectation, while widespread species were more resistant to colder temperatures, they were not more plastic in their thermal limits to either cold or warm temperatures, suggesting that range distributions in these Drosophila are more closely tied to innate differences in thermal limits than to differences in plasticity of those limits. In the final contribution to the symposium, Price et al. (2011) assess the role of niche conservatism, that is, adaptive evolutionary limits on range (niche) expansion, in explaining a twofold decline in bird species diversity from the southeastern to the northwestern Himalayas. Climate modeling shows the two regions to differ in the amount and seasonality of precipitation and maximum and range of temperatures, with the northwest being more seasonal, cooler, and drier than the southeast and also lacking the warm and humid tropical broad-leaf forests of the southeast. Regional differences in species diversity arise from differences in speciation versus extinction rates, colonization rates, or carrying capacities (MacArthur 1969; Wiens and Donoghue 2004; Jablonski et al. 2006; Mittelbach et al. 2007; Roy and Goldberg 2007). The authors hypothesize that in vagile taxa, such as birds, where movement per se is not a constraint, the failure to colonize (establish in) new climate zones (niches) may account for reductions in diversity. Using a comparative phylogenetic approach, they find that while there is a phylogenetic signal to evolutionary changes in elevational and latitudinal extents and in habitat use of southeastern bird species, only habitat use (forest vs. open) is highly conserved. Furthermore, using climate modeling to predict which southeastern species should extend their ranges northwestward, they find that more species than expected do extend their ranges, and they do so by occupying climates zones not present in the southeast. These results suggest that climate aspects of niche conservatism do not account for the paucity of species in the northwest. Instead, comparisons of vegetation cover in the two regions indicate that the quantity and quality of forest, the habitat that accounts for the greatest discrepancy in species number between the two regions, are lower in the northwest. Whether or not the northwestern Himalayas have been fully recolonized by bird species following Pleistocene climate change (i.e., whether the region is at full carrying capacity), their results suggest a contribution of differences in resource diversity as a contributing factor to regional variation in species diversity. In a single symposium, we have of necessity left out many relevant and exciting areas of research on species geographic ranges, including species responses to past and contemporary environmental change, the promise of invasive species as models for studying range expansion, and the opportunities provided by genomics to assess the genetic basis of traits and trait combinations that confer adaptation in limiting environments. Neverthless, the symposium’s contributions to the study of geographic range limits are helpful in identifying the limits of our current knowledge. On historical timescales, we are just beginning to amass data on which “niche traits” are conserved and which are not, and why. The models of Holt and Barfield show how complex microevolutionary processes of adaptation can be in heterogeneous landscapes, and they indicate that the time required to adapt to novel conditions can often be protracted. While empirical studies are beginning to characterize the abiotic, biotic, demographic, and genetic factors that impinge on the likelihood of adaptation at range limits, we do not yet know how often and under what circumstances range limits are in equilibrium with their environment, how abiotic and biotic factors combine to create limiting environmental conditions, how demography and gene flow interact to accelerate or retard adaptation to novel circumstances, and how the genetics of traits and trait combinations factor into limits on range expansion. Acknowledgments I thank the American Society of Naturalist for the opportunity to organize this symposium, to showcase new work on the determinants of species geographic ranges. I appreciate the hard work of all of the contributors to bringing this volume to a successful conclusion and the comments of V. Eckhart and D. Moeller on a draft of this introduction. M.A.G. was supported by National Science Foundation grant DEB-0515428. Literature Cited Andrewartha, H. G., and L. C. Birch. 1954. The distribution and abundance of animals. University of Chicago Press, Chicago. Angilletta, M. J., Jr. 2009. Thermal adaptation: a theoretical and empirical analysis. Oxford University Press, New York. Antonovics, J. 1976. The nature of limits to natural selection. Annals of the Missouri Botanical Garden 63:224–247. Bohning-Gaese, K., T. Caprano, K. van Ewijk, and M. Veith. 2006. Range size: disentangling current traits and phylogenetic and biogeographic factors. American Naturalist 167:555–567. 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