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B R I T I S H J O U R N A L O F P S YC H I AT RY ( 2 0 0 6 ) , 1 8 9 , 7 9 ^ 8 0 . d o i : 1 0 . 11 9 2 / b j p . b p . 1 0 5 . 0 1 9 8 6 9 Duration of untreated symptoms in common mental disorders: association with outcomes International study STEPHEN KISELY, ANITA SCOT T, JENNIFER DENNEY and GREGORY SIMON Summary Studies have assessed the association between a longer duration of untreated symptoms and outcome for psychoses in specialist care.We investigated the effect of longer duration on the outcome of common psychiatric disorders in primary care, where most patients are treated.Patients presenting to primary care for new episodes in10 countries were recruited into a prospective cohort study.Information on duration of untreated symptoms and psychosocial status was collected for 351 individuals using standardised instruments and andthis this wasrepeated1yearlater. At1-year follow-up, longer duration was associated with worse psychiatric outcome even after controlling for potential confounders. Declaration of interest None. Funding detailed in Acknowledgement . Studies on the duration of untreated symptoms focus on time to admission for severe mental illness such as schizophrenia and affective psychosis in Europe, Australasia and North America, rather than on common mental disorders in primary care (Craig et al, al, 2000; Drake et al, al, 2000; McGorry, 2000). The longer depression, anxiety and somatic disorders last, the worse the response to appropriate intervention: inadequacy of treatment leading to symptom persistence may be one reason. The kindling hypothesis suggests that longer waits for treatment may also contribute (Kendler et al, al, 2000). METHOD We investigated the effect of duration of untreated symptoms on 1-year outcome in primary care, using data from the 1990–1993 World Health Organization Collaboration Study of Psychological Problems in General Health Care (Ustun & Sartorius, 1995). Data were available for Ankara, Athens, Bangalore, Groningen, Ibadan, Manchester, Rio de Janeiro, Santiago, Seattle and Verona. Overall study methods are described elsewhere (Sartorius et al, al, 1993; Ustun & Sartorius, 1995). Studies of duration of untreated psychosis indicated that up to 250 participants were required to have an 80% chance of detecting a statistically significant result at the 95% level (Craig et al, al, 2000; Drake et al, al, 2000). We focused on overall psychiatric morbidity as our outcome, because patients in primary care are more likely to have a mixture of depression, anxiety and somatoform symptoms than discrete syndromes. We analysed psychiatric outcome as a continuous variable, instead of dichotomously (e.g. caseness), to obtain more information on severity, including subclinical symptoms. We screened patients aged between 16 and 65 years who had not visited the clinic in the previous 3 months, using the 12-item General Health Questionnaire (GHQ; Goldberg & Williams, 1988). A stratified random sample of the study population (weighted towards higher GHQ scorers) were then interviewed, using the primary healthcare version of the Composite International Diagnostic Interview (CIDI–PHC; Robins et al, al, 1988; Sartorius et al, al, 1993). This included the Pathways to Care Interview to record the onset and duration of presenting symptoms (depressive, anxious or somatic); whether this was the initial visit for this problem; the profession of each person consulted for those symptoms; and the main treatment offered at each step. We calculated the duration of untreated symptoms by subtracting the time from first seeking treatment in any setting and arriving at the participating clinic (duration of pathway in treatment) from the total duration of presenting symptoms. We only included people whose current presentation was their S HOR T R E P OR T initial visit to the participating clinic for this problem. Duration of untreated symptoms was assessed in weeks; zero meant symptoms had lasted less than a week. We used the CIDI–PHC sections on somatisation, anxiety, depression, hypochondriasis and neurasthenia to measure psychiatric morbidity. Medically explained and unexplained somatic symptoms were counted using a flow chart to establish aetiology (Robins et al, al, 1988). We assessed disability using the Groningen Social Disability Schedule (GSDS), a semi-structured interview that considers local norms (Wiersma et al, al, 1990). At baseline, the family physician completed a questionnaire on the presence of psychiatric disorder and any treatment offered. All patients with significant psychological problems, and a 20% random sample of ‘non-cases’, were contacted for 12-month follow-up. Bangalore and Seattle followed up every patient. We repeated the CIDI–PHC and collected information on visits to the participating clinic or other clinics and any hospital admissions, irrespective of diagnosis, during the intervening year. The interviewer–observer reliability coefficient for the CIDI–PHC (including the Pathways to Care Interview) was 0.92, and 0.85 for the GSDS (Sartorius et al, al, 1993). We restricted our analysis to patients who had not visited the practice previously for their presenting problem and who had an ICD–10 (World Health Organization, 1992) psychiatric diagnosis, as determined by the CIDI–PHC. We excluded patients with non-psychiatric presentations such as visits for family planning or antenatal care. RESULTS In all, 3321 patients completed the baseline interview, of whom 2767 were eligible for follow-up. Details of duration of untreated symptoms were available for 2579 people (93%). Of these, 1791 (70%) were successfully followed-up. Those who had not previously visited the participating practice for their presenting problem numbered 900, of whom 351 met our remaining criteria of reason for presentation and psychiatric caseness. The majority had depression (n (n¼210); 210); 73% were women or girls (n (n¼256); 256); 81.9% had an educational level of less than grade 12 (usually age 18 years) (n (n¼290); 290); 40.7% were single (n (n¼143); 143); and 21.4% were unemployed (n (n¼75). 75). Age ranged from 15 to 79 K I S E LY E T A L 50 years with a mean of 37.7 years (s.d.¼12.9). (s.d. 12.9). Duration of untreated symptoms was skewed, with a mean of 19.1 weeks (s.d.¼74.1) (s.d. 74.1) and a median of 1. We normalised the duration by taking the logarithm of the base, rather than dichotomising or dividing into quintiles, to maximise power. We added one to each value before transformation because of zeros (Kirkwood, 1992). The mean was 0.57 (s.d.¼0.67). (s.d. 0.67). We obtained information on health service use for 317 participants. Patients averaged five visits to the participating clinic and three to other clinics; 12% (n¼41) 41) had been admitted to hospital at least once. On multiple regression, the duration of untreated symptoms showed a significant association with overall psychiatric symptoms 1 year later (B (B¼3.61, 3.61, s.e.¼1.60, s.e. 1.60, P¼0.02), 0.02), as did initial psychiatric symptom count, older age, lower educational levels, medically unexplained somatic symptoms, and visits to the participating clinic (see data supplement to the online version of this paper for results on all variables). The duration of untreated symptoms also showed an association with anxiety symptoms (B (B¼0.46, 0.46, s.e.¼0.18, s.e. 0.18, P¼0.02) 0.02) and depression (B (B¼0.97, 0.97, s.e.¼0.49, s.e. 0.49, P¼0.05), 0.05), using the same model. There was no statistically significant association when using untransformed duration of symptoms (B (B¼0.01, 0.01, s.e.¼0.02, s.e. 0.02, P¼0.37). 0.37). DISCUSSION The outcome and response to treatment for common psychological disorders such as depression and anxiety are inversely proportional to their chronicity (Seivewright et al, al, 1998. One explanation is that inadequate intervention leads to persistence of symptoms, and collaboration between specialists and family practitioners can help address this (Andrews, 2001; Roy-Byrne & Wagner, 2004). We suggest another explanation, i.e. longer waits for treatment. This association is modest, but still significant, after controlling for other variables including demographics, centre attended and initial severity of symptoms (see online data supplement). These results support the kindling hypothesis of depression (Kendler et al, al, 2000), which has parallels with the critical period hypothesis in early psychosis 80 STEPHEN KISELY, MD, MSc, ANITA SCOTT, MSc, JENNIFER DENNEY, BSc, Department of Psychiatry, Dalhousie University, Halifax, Canada; GREGORY SIMON, MD, MPH,Group Health Co-operative, Seattle, USA Correspondence: Dr S.Kisely, Dalhousie University Psychiatry,Centre for Clinical Research, 5790 University Avenue, Halifax, NS B3H1V7,Canada.Tel.: +1 902 494 7075; fax: +1 902 494 1597, email: Stephen.Kisely@ Stephen.Kisely @cdha.nshealth.ca (First received 22 November 2005, final revision 22 November 2005, accepted 31 January 2006) (Birchwood et al, al, 1998). The association between depressive episodes and adverse life events weakens with successive illnesses, suggesting biological or psychological adaptation so that psychosocial precipitants are no longer necessary for relapse. Limitations include our demonstration of only an association between duration of untreated symptoms and subsequent psychiatric morbidity, not direct causation. Furthermore, our analysis may have been confounded by variables for which we were unable to control. We considered new episodes of care and not necessarily first presentations of an illness. There may have been selection bias, as patients with a short duration may have improved and never sought care (McGorry, 2000). Depression or anxiety may be harder to recognise than psychosis, and we did not get corroboration from family members. Data were collected a decade ago, and so may be less applicable now. However, it is unethical to collect further data, with the consequent cost and inconvenience to patients, without first analysing available datasets. Our results provide a wider perspective on the duration of untreated symptoms. Research on the effects of such duration in psychosis is conflicting. Explanations have included differences in demographic characteristics, diagnostic criteria, measures of onset (first symptom or full syndrome), treatment definition (medication or hospital admission), outcome measures and follow-up periods. Studies that use transformation to normalise the positive skew of duration tend to show an association with outcome in contrast to those that do not (Norman et al, al, 2005). This supports our negative finding, and that of others, when using untransformed duration of symptoms (Drake et al, al, 2000). REFERENCES Andrews, G. (2001) Should depression be managed as a chronic disease? BMJ, BMJ, 322, 322, 419^421. Birchwood, M., Todd, P. & Jackson, C. (1998) Early intervention in psychosis. The critical period hypothesis. British Journal of Psychiatry, Psychiatry, 172 (suppl. 33), 53^59. Craig, T. J., Bromet, E. J., Fennig, S., et al (2000) Is there an association between duration of untreated psychosis and 24-hour clinical outcome in a first admission series? American Journal of Psychiatry, Psychiatry, 157, 157, 60^66. Drake, R. J., Haley, C. J., Akhtar, S., et al (2000) Causes and consequences of duration of untreated psychosis in schizophrenia. British Journal of Psychiatry, Psychiatry, 177, 177, 511^515. Goldberg, D. P. R. & Williams, P. (1988) A User’s Guide to the General Health Questionnaire.Windsor: Questionnaire.Windsor: nferNelson. Kendler, K. S., Thornton, I. M. & Gardner, C. O. (2000) Stressful life events and previous episodes in the etiology of major depression in women: an evaluation of the ‘kindling’ hypothesis. American Journal of Psychiatry, Psychiatry, 157, 157, 1243^1251. Kirkwood, B. (1992) Essentials of Medical Statistics. Statistics. London: Blackwell Scientific Publications. McGorry, P. (2000) Impact of duration of untreated psychosis. Australian and New Zealand Journal of Psychiatry, Psychiatry, 34, 34, 145^149. Norman, R. M. G., Lewis, S.W. & Marshall, M. (2005) Duration of untreated psychosis and its relationship to clinical outcome. British Journal of Psychiatry, Psychiatry, 187 (suppl. 48), s19^ s23. Robins, L. N., N.,Wing, Wing, J.,Wittchen, J., Wittchen, H. U., et al (1988) The Composite International Diagnostic Interview. An epidemiologic instrument suitable for use in conjunction with different diagnostic systems and in different cultures. Archives of General Psychiatry, Psychiatry, 45, 45, 1069^1077. Roy-Byrne, P. P. & Wagner, A. (2004) Primary care perspectives on generalized anxiety disorder. Journal of Clinical Psychiatry, Psychiatry, 65, 65, 20^25. Sartorius, N.,Ustun, N., Ustun, T. B., Costa de Silva, J. A., et al (1993) An international study of psychological problems in primary care. Preliminary report from the World Health Organization Collaborative Project on ‘Psychological Problems in General Health Care’. Archives of General Psychiatry, Psychiatry, 50, 50, 819^824. Seivewright, H., Tyrer, P. & Johnson, T. (1998) Prediction of outcome in neurotic disorder: a 5-year prospective study. Psychological Medicine, Medicine, 28, 28, 1149^1157. Ustun, T. B. & Sartorius, N. (1995) Mental Illness in General Health Care. Care. Chichester, UK: John Wiley. Wiersma, D., Jong, A., Kraaijkamp, H. J. M., et al (1990) GSDS ^ II: the Groningen Social Disabilities Schedule ACKNOWLEDGEMENT (2nd edn). Groningen: University of Groningen. World Health Organization (1992) Tenth Revision of Anita Scott and Jennifer Denney were funded by the Nova Scotia Health Research Foundation. the International Classification of Diseases and Related Health Problems (ICD ^10). ^10).Geneva: Geneva: WHO. Data supplement Variables contributing to model predicting psychiatric symptoms for patients at follow up1 Cases (n (n¼317) 317)2 Variable Unadjusted Adjusted B4 s.e. P Age (years) 5.99 1.67 Gender 0.07 1.92 72.49 1.72 Employed B4 s.e. P 0.00 4.25 1.57 0.01 0.98 72.16 1.81 0.22 0.15 70.13 1.64 0.94 0.03 Not married 1.53 1.74 0.40 1.05 0.48 Education less than 12th grade 5.60 2.16 0.01 4.68 2.07 0.02 Psychiatric symptom score 0.68 0.08 0.00 0.55 0.03 0.00 Medically explained somatic symptoms 0.84 0.49 0.09 0.66 0.44 0.13 Medically unexplained somatic symptoms 1.20 0.20 0.00 0.50 0.21 0.02 Social disability 2.02 1.29 0.15 1.11 1.06 0.30 Duration of untreated symptoms3 1.83 1.29 0.15 3.61 1.60 0.02 Number of clinic visits over subsequent 12 months 0.40 0.09 0.00 0.27 0.10 0.01 1. Adjusted for centre, demographics, initial severity of psychiatric symptoms, medically explained and unexplained somatic symptoms, duration of untreated symptoms, duration of pathway in treatment, recognition of psychiatric disorder by the treating primary care physician, pharmacotherapy of psychiatric disorder, number of clinic visits, other clinic visits, hospital admission and social disability. 2. Data on health service use in the intervening year were missing for 34 participants. 3. Logarithmically transformed variable (log10 ). 4. The regression coefficient (B (B ) represents the amount the dependent or outcome variable changes when the independent or predictor variable changes by one unit. In the case of the logarithmically transformed duration score, it represents the increase by a factor of exp(B exp(B ). DATA SUP P LE L E MENT TO B R I T IS ISH H JOURNAL OF P S YCHIAT RY ( 2 0 0 6 ) , 1 8 9, 7 9 ^ 8 0 1 Duration of untreated symptoms in common mental disorders: association with outcomes: International study Stephen Kisely, Anita Scott, Jennifer Denney and Gregory Simon BJP 2006, 189:79-80. Access the most recent version at DOI: 10.1192/bjp.bp.105.019869 Supplementary Material References Reprints/ permissions You can respond to this article at Downloaded from Supplementary material can be found at: http://bjp.rcpsych.org/content/suppl/2006/11/29/189.1.79.DC1 This article cites 11 articles, 4 of which you can access for free at: http://bjp.rcpsych.org/content/189/1/79#BIBL To obtain reprints or permission to reproduce material from this paper, please write to [email protected] /letters/submit/bjprcpsych;189/1/79 http://bjp.rcpsych.org/ on May 13, 2017 Published by The Royal College of Psychiatrists To subscribe to The British Journal of Psychiatry go to: http://bjp.rcpsych.org/site/subscriptions/