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Marketing Optimization The Value of True Marketing Optimization Gerry Grealish Amartya T. Bhattacharjya Marketswitch Corporation http://grealish.CRMproject.com Marketing optimization provides the hard-dollar economic payback from your demand chain process. G oals have changed for today’s enterprise marketing organizations. While once measured by the sheer amount of marketing activity they were generating, these groups are now expected to be profit centers, executing only those activities that will truly maximize the profit returned to the corporation. Marketing departments, in general, are not adequately prepared to function in this profit-driven environment. The size of the potential set of offer-customer-channel combinations that they could execute against is mind-boggling. How is a marketer to decide what the optimal subset of combinations is that will maximize profit? Marketswitch has developed a mathematical approach to solve this financial economic problem. This white paper describes how Marketing Optimization can be used to develop campaigns – based on the interdependencies of individual customer characteristics, potential promotions or offers, available channels, and business constraints – that will deliver the maximum amount of profit back to the business, raising ROIs to a previously unattainable level. It also describes how Marketing Optimization can be used in coordination with other marketing technologies to maximize the effectiveness of overall marketing efforts. The final section illustrates how Capital One, a leading U.S. credit card provider, experienced a 10% lift in NPV and significantly reduced the cycle time in its marketing campaigns by employing Marketswitch’s solution. Introduction In recent years, traditional target marketing strategies have enabled marketers to organize data, discern data patterns relevant to consumer’s purchasing behavior, and auto- mate the campaign execution process. While valuable, these traditional approaches fall short in the following ways: • They limit you to one-dimensional techniques, such as personalization. These techniques look at each product in a silo, determining customer interest for each. But you market many products simultaneously. Additionally, each product typically has its own goals and constraints, such as minimal acceptable revenue or maximum budget, that may conflict with one another. These issues cannot be addressed one-dimensionally if one seeks to maximize productivity across the marketing mix. • You have millions of customers, but you cannot treat them as individuals. The best you can do is treat them as a part of a larger grouping or segment, and make the leap of faith that all members of the group act the same way all of the time – and more importantly, that you would want to treat them the same way all of the time. • You don’t have the ability to pick an overall campaign goal, such as profit, to maximize. The best you can do is make educated guesses or follow general ifthen rules to increase your profitability. • Automation tools allow you to boost the level of marketing activity in your organization, but not necessarily the level of your results. Drawing from historical approaches used in the management of the manufacturing supply chain, airline revenue yields, and financial investment risk assessment, it was determined that mathematical optimization technology could be applied to address the limitations associated with traditional marketing techniques. In fact, if you could bring optimization technology to the “demand side” of the supply and demand equation, you could fulfill a desire of all leading-edge businesses – a fully optimized Commerce Chain1 (see Figure 1) – with companies such as i2 and Manugistics optimizing the supply side of the Commerce Chain and Marketswitch optimizing the demand side. Making optimization practical on the demand side required pure mathematical breakthroughs since the marketing environment is characterized by unique complexities in scale, dimensionality, and time sensitivity (real-time customer interaction). Years of original research and development by Marketswitch produced the required advances. As a result of these efforts, true mathematical Marketing Optimization software is now available for enterprise marketing. This software can allocate marketing resources across multiple channels, business constraints and marketing scenarios to target the right customer with the right product through the right channel at the right time, all while maximizing the customer’s financial return to your business. Commerce Chain Optimization True Optimization Business value Gerry Grealish is Senior Vice President of Marketing and Business Consulting at Marketswitch Corporation, the industry leader in marketing optimization. Amartya T. Bhattacharjya is Vice President of Product Management at Marketswitch. 252 • Defying the Limits Figure 1 – Commerce Chain Optimization Marketing Optimization Marketing Optimization – Benefit The goal of any business is to maximize profit. In theory, maximizing profit is simple – simply achieve the full profit potential of each and every customer relationship. But with millions of customers, many different products and product lines, and multiple communication channels, how can you find the right set of customer-product-channel combinations that will maximize overall profitability while simultaneously satisfying all of your unique goals and constraints? There is only one solution to this complex problem – Optimization. True mathematically-based Marketing Optimization can be used to answer questions such as: which offer through which channel to ensure your overall business goals are met. You can also examine multiple “what if” marketing scenarios prior to campaign launch to determine the appropriate course of action to accomplish your business goals before committing marketing resources. In today’s marketing environment, with customers surfing to your website and dialing into your call center, you need the ability to optimize your customer interactions on the fly. Marketing Optimization technology can operate in real-time, allowing your website to serve up the right offer and your call center agent to reference the right promotion during each customer interaction to ensure your goals are achieved. It your campaigns. Your data modeling tools divide these customers into segments and determine each segment’s propensity (likelihood) to respond to certain promotions. But there is a problem; your budget allows you to target only a limited portion of your customer base, and you have infrastructure requirements that limit the use of one or more of your communication channels (email, direct mail, telemarketing, wireless, and Web advertisements). Additionally, your company has an overall profitability goal as well as specific business unit or product level revenue goals that need to be addressed. The software runs different “what if” simulations, using data inputs from your modeling activities, to derive your campaign’s optimal marketing Demand Chain Telecom Offer Credit card Offer Email Phone Web Mail Wireless Travel Offer Data Warehousing Analytical/Modeling Optimization Campaign Execution Figure 2 – How Marketing Optimization fits into the existing Demand Chain. • Should certain customers get one product offer through your call center and should others get a different product offer through email such that your overall profit is maximized? • Did the purchase made by the last customer on your website achieve your overall profit goals on a specific product line, thereby affecting how to market to the next customer? • What is the maximum possible profitability of a multi-offer campaign with limited budget? • What is the optimal mix of offers to send to each customer so that the minimum number of sales for selected offers are met? With Marketing Optimization software you can select an overall goal, such as profit, and specify all of the constraints of your marketing campaign, such as budget, customer acquisition cost, or product specific volume requirements to name a few. The software then determines which customers should get scales to cover communication channels such as email, Web advertising, wireless, direct mail, and outbound telesales, giving you the breadth needed to optimize all of your customer touch points. Marketing Optimization – In Practice Marketing Optimization enhances and exploits all of the modeling, data warehousing, and automation systems you have in place today. In fact, since it fine-tunes your activities for maximum financial performance, it quickly increases the hard dollar returns from those other Demand Chain investments (see Figure 2). Optimization is the key ROI component of your marketing process. For example, assume your company is planning a number of different marketing campaigns that will take advantage of all of your communication options, including your website, call center, and wireless channels. Your data warehouse provides the customer data required to target scenario to achieve your overall business goals. This optimization simulation can be fed into your campaign management program to build and launch the campaign. The result is a campaign that is mathematically proven to deliver optimal performance and maximize an economic function such as profit. Figure 3 shows some of the inputs that are required for Marketing Optimization. All of these variables are typically available from the marketing analysts designing the various campaigns. Where specific models are not available, average values can be used as proxies to complete the optimization process. Just as optimization technology revolutionized the management of the manufacturing supply chain, airline revenue yields, and financial investment risk assessment, Marketing Optimization software is revolutionizing how marketing activities are being managed and executed by leading-edge companies. This software, which allocates finite resources across multiple marketing Defying the Limits • 253 Marketing Optimization opportunities, can be used by your marketing department to achieve the maximum value and profitability from your marketing efforts. Simply stated, optimization is the key ROI component of your marketing process. It is complementary to other investments that your company is making in the marketing organization, such as investments in data mining software for modeling or marketing automation software for campaign execution. Optimization provides the harddollar economic payback from your demand chain process. Like many companies today, Capital One begins each marketing campaign with an analytical process, attempting to determine which customers would be most interested in each of its new offerings. Capital One is acknowledged to be an industry leader in this area and its marketing group was benefiting greatly from these efforts – realizing strong results. Unfortunately, the team was hitting an internal resource limitation on its processes. The preparation time on campaigns was taking almost seven full days of analytical pro- constraints – all while maximizing the marketing campaign’s financial return to Capital One. Marketswitch’s software has brought true mathematical optimization to Capital One’s marketing activities. The marketing team can now easily select an overall goal, such as profit, and specify all of the constraints of their marketing campaign, such as budget, minimum sales, and maximum solicited offers per customer to name a few. The software then determines which customers should get which offers to ensure that Capital One’s overall business Offers Ads, products Offer Eligibility Offer Economics CPM Rate, Avg, NPV Response and Profits Models Visit Score or Avg. Rate Max. Click-through Conversion Score or Average Rate Optimization Goal Max. NPV, Max. Click-through Conversions, Min. Budget Optimization Optimization Schema Maximize business goals and simultaneously satisfy all constraints Application of unique mathematical algorithm to generate optimization schema Real Time Campaign Deployment Figure 3 – Some of the inputs required for Marketing Optimization A Case Study How Capital One Employed the Marketswitch Solution Capital One Financial Corporation provides a variety of financial products and services to consumers. It has emerged as one of the top 10 credit card issuers in the United States, currently managing over 27 million accounts and executing strategies to continue to grow at a very rapid pace. Capital One has continually focused on providing new and innovative products and services for its customers. An important business strategy for Capital One is to maximize the value of its existing accounts by providing them with access to these products, which consist of mortgages, auto loans, telephone services, Internet services, and more. Capital One actively markets these opportunities to its existing customers with a series of cross-channel activities, investing a significant part of its annual marketing budget on these efforts. 254 • Defying the Limits cessing prior to launch and needed to be reduced. Additionally, the team wanted new capabilities, such as the ability to make optimized marketing decisions at the individual customer level and the ability to input multiple sets of goals and constraints, such as maximum budget or minimum sales volumes, and immediately see the effect on the bottom line. The company realized that the limitations of its existing analytical process were becoming the real constraint to its further success. Capital One looked to the external software market for a solution to this problem. The company evaluated many software products, but chose Marketswitch, with its unique marketing optimization software offering, to add the value that Capital One sought. With the Marketswitch software, Capital One’s marketers now have the ability to look at each customer individually and to select the appropriate offer that will simultaneously satisfy each customer’s preference as well as Capital One’s real-world business goals are met and that its constraints are satisfied. Capital One can also examine multiple “what if” marketing scenarios prior to campaign launch to determine the appropriate course of action to accomplish its business goals before committing marketing resources. Not only has the Marketswitch software significantly reduced Capital One’s process cycle time – from an average of seven days down to 90 minutes, but its new capabilities have delivered a dramatic increase in results – approximately a 10% boost in the NPV of its marketing campaigns. Considering the number of campaigns Capital One runs each year and the size of its customer base, these results have added ■ tremendous business value. Footnote 1 A Commerce Chain is defined as the endto-end process by which a company delivers products and services to its customers.