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Welcome to session C2 Urban Flows: -City interdependencies and infrastructure disruptions Method Objectives • 4 presentation, each 10 min. • Participants will learn about interdependencies of urban infrastructure and approaches to facilitate informed decision making about infrastructure investment • Active discussions 40 min. • They will explore real case scenarios of resilient infrastructure modeling and its benefits • They will be able to take this knowledge with them to apply in their own cities and regions. … how to maintain the functionality of cities –no matter what! Copenhagen 2 July, 2011 • 150 mm of rain in three hours • Critical systems at risk • 90,000 damage reports • EUR 900 million in insurance claims • EUR 1,500 million in total costs What is causing the costs? The city stopped to function! What makes a city function? ENERGY INFORMATION GOODS SERVICE PEOPLE MONEY Many different actors operate the Urban Flows ELECTRICITY SUPPLIERS GASOLINE COMPANIES GAS SUPPLIERS DISTRIBUTED HEATING ENERGY INTERNET SUPPLIERS MEDIA TELECOMMUNICATION S BIG-DATA SUPPLIERS INFORMATION LOGISTIC COMPANIES WARE HOUSES WHOLE SALES HARBOURS SCHOOL DAY CARE HOSPITALS SEWAGE WASTE PUBLIC TRANSPORT PRIVATE CARS TAXIS AIRPORTS ATM:S CHECKOUTS CREDIT CARDS BANKS SWISH GOODS SERVICE PEOPLE MONEY + inlagd text enligt anteckningsfältet nedan] What are critical interdependencies? A VITAL FUNCTION OF THE CITY THE HOSPITAL WHAT IF DAYCARE CANNOT OPEN? PROPRIETARY RESERVE POWER! BUT WHAT ABOUT HOSPITAL LOGISTICS? HOW DO YOU SECURE ACCESS TO NECESSARY MEANS OF TRANSPORTATION? ELECTRICITY TO GAS STATIONS! What can the Urban Flow model be used for? • Offers a method to find, describe and understand how your city functions • Identify critical interdependencies • Offers a concept for evaluation and conclusions after a disruptive event • Method to ensure functionality and resilience when planning new or redeveloping urban districts City of Malmö experience on using the Urban Flow model • Malmö was one of the key partners taking the initiative to develop the Urban flow model to be able to understand and communicate how to make a city more resilient. • Several departments and public companies were involved in developing and defining the analysis model for urban flows and its critical dependencies • Malmö has also used the model to launch a multi stakeholder conference (50+ participants) to analyze consequences of the cloudburst August 2014 Varför miljonprogrammet? 12 mars 2014 Moa Björnson Innovation Platform South East Common Value Creation Scalable Innovation Interesting Testbeds Joint Innovation Capacity Core Values Clear Target Area New possibilities Shared Benefits INNOVATIONSPLATTFORM MILJONPROGRAMMET Transformation of Million Homes Program in the City of Malmö • In need of renovation, rebuilding and transformation from metropolitan suburbs to attractive modern city districts • Multi stakeholder workshop to understand and identify need of new urban functions for a resilient future Go with the Flow! What and How to! www.functionalcities.com Preorder: [email protected] Modelling the Economics of Resilient Infrastructure Erica Seville footer Research Programme “Develop an understanding of the full economic impacts of infrastructure failure” Identify and explore: 1. Temporal and spatial shifts 2. Causal mechanisms through time 3. The effect of different mitigation and response options $2.8M project over 4 years (currently ½ way through) footer Focus to Date • • • • • Single infrastructure outages Dynamic economic model Infrastructure interdependencies Business behaviours Large-scale disaster scenarios footer How is MERIT applied? Outage maps Impacted Business Results Sector Output - Auckland MERIT 200,000 150,000 NZ$2007m pa Business Operability 100,000 50,000 0 8 Manufacturing Services footer 8.25 8.50 Time Primary 8.75 9 Business Behaviour during Disruption footer footer Experienced disruption due to loss of water service Experienced Disruption 1 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.4 Health Care and Social Assistance 0.3 Retail 0.5 0.2 0.1 0 hours days weeks Duration infrastructure disruption footer months Economic Vulnerability Exploring Different Recovery Trajectories Economic Activity Possible Recovery trajectories Time Disaster occurs footer For more information… [email protected] How are other countries building the case for greater investment in infrastructure resilience? Towards a practical assessment methodology and toolbox for transport systems Sustainability vulnerability under climate change CUSCCRR Coalition of Urban Sustainability & Climate Change Response Research Ken Doust Adjunct Senior Lecturer, rCITI, UNSW 9th June 2015 Overview • Sustainability risk under climate change • An evidence based assessment methodology • Benchmarking on existing or planned performance • Assessing sustainability impacts of climate change induced failures • Building a profile of city sustainability risk Sustainability Risk Under Climate Change • Climate event impacts: – Flooding; inundation; visibility; high temperature; storm impact; • System Effect: – route availability; extended travel times; – reliability in travel time; interchange comfort; – energy usage; durability of infrastructure • Behaviour Change: – Take a trip at all; which destination; mode choice; changing residence location An Evidence Based Assessment Methodology Sustainability Framework Urban System “Urban Form” (density & spatial distribution) . “Transport” “Government Policy & Freemarket” (network & mode characteristics) “Urban Dynamics” .........interactions between people, urban form and transport produces commuter patterns with social , economic and environmental outcomes Environmental Stewardship (pillar 1) Economic Efficiency (pillar 3) Social Equity (pillar 2) • Built off traditional transport Models • Sustainability metrics traceable to the system characteristics • Visualisations in sustainability and geographic space Benchmarking On Existing Or Planned Performance Without climate change impact: – Sustainability scan of existing transport system. – Alternatively, sustainability scan of planned city transport structure. Assessing Sustainability Impacts Of Climate Change Induced Failures Sustainability scan – with modified network characteristics e.g. disabled or slowed network links. – with change in demand behaviour. Sustainability high risk maps Where to from here? City Case Studies • Collaboration on strategic sustainability scan data preparation & modelling • Develop sustainability benchmark scans of transport systems operating BAU • Develop sustainability impact scans of failures in the transport systems due to climate change Enabling City Responses • Develop typologies • Mentor City level agencies www.rciti.unsw.edu.au/sustainability-accessibility Email: [email protected] A question for delegates! • Basic input data includes: – Zone to zone Trips by car – Spatial layout of the road network • In your city, how available is the data needed to run these strategic scans? Time to discusse and benchlearn! Do You focus on risks and vulnerability or do you really focus on the functionality of your city, when under pressure? How is Your city and country building the case for greater investment in infrastructure resilience? How available is the data needed, in Your city, to run these strategic scans? (assesment)