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Notes for Lesson 12 β 8: Independent and Dependent Events 12-8.1 β Mutually Exclusive or Overlapping events Sometimes you want to know the probability when 2 or more things can happen. Such as when you roll the 1+1 2 1 dice and a 4 or a 5 would be a good result. So that probability would be π(4 ππ 5) = 6 = 6 ππ 3. Or if you are playing cards and a diamond or 4 would be a good card the probability would be π(πππππππ ππ 4) = 13+3 16 4 = 52 ππ 13 because there are 13 diamonds in a deck plus 3 more 4βs that arenβt already diamonds. 52 12-8.2 β Classifying Events as Independent or Dependent Vocabulary: Compound Events β An event that consists of two or more events Independent Events β When the outcome of one event does not affect the probability of a second event Dependent Events β When the outcome of one event affects the probability of a second event When one outcome depends on outcome of another event, or when one event affects the probability of the other then the two events are connected to each other and are said to be Dependent Events. If two event that happen at the same time do not affect the probability of each other then the two events are Independent of each other. A dime lands heads up and a nickel lands heads up β Independent You choose a game piece and then your friend chooses a game piece β Dependent One student is chosen for a project and then another student is chosen for a second project β Dependent A number cube lands on a 2 and then is rolled again and lands on a 6 β Independent 12-8.3 β Finding the probability of Independent or Dependent events To find the probability of finding the probability of two events happening together is the product of the probability of each event separately. P(A and B)=P(A)*P(B) So, the probability of rolling double 4βs on a pair of dice would be 1 1 1 * ο½ 6 6 36 Examples: What is the probability of being dealt a black jack? P(Ace) = 1/13 * P(Value of Ten) = 16/51 so 1 16 16 * ο½ 13 51 663 In a jar there are 7 blue marbles and 3 yellow marbles. What is the probability of drawing a yellow and then a 3 7 21 * ο½ blue marble if the first marble is replaced? (Independent) 10 10 100 3 7 21 7 If the first marble is not replaced? 10 β 9 = 90 ππ 30 (Dependent) A coin is flipped 4 times. What is the probability it will land on heads all four times? 1 1 1 1 1 * * * ο½ 2 2 2 2 16 12-8.4 β Problem-Solving Applications There are 7 pink flowers and 5 yellow flowers in a bunch. Jane selects a flower at random and then Leah selects a flower at random from the remaining flowers. 7 5 35 * ο½ 12 11 132 What is they select 2 pink flowers? 7 6 42 7 β = ππ 12 11 132 22