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Perspectives in Plant Ecology, Evolution and Systematics 15 (2013) 328–337 Contents lists available at ScienceDirect Perspectives in Plant Ecology, Evolution and Systematics journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/ppees Research article Conservatism of responses to environmental change is rare under natural conditions in a native grassland Jonathan A. Bennett ∗ , James F. Cahill Jr. Department of Biological Sciences, University of Alberta, Edmonton, AB T6G 2E9, Canada a r t i c l e i n f o Article history: Received 27 April 2013 Received in revised form 23 September 2013 Accepted 16 October 2013 Available online 24 October 2013 Keywords: Phylogenetic community ecology Phylogenetic signal Phylogenetic niche conservatism Belowground ecology Grazing Mycorrhizae a b s t r a c t Whether or not niche conservatism is common is widely debated. Despite this uncertainty, closely related species are often assumed to be ecologically similar. This principle has led to the proposed use of phylogenetic information in forecasting species responses to environmental change. Tests of niche conservatism often focus on ‘functional traits’ and environmental tolerances, but there have been limited tests for conservatism in species’ responses to changes in the environment, especially in the field. The prevalence of functional convergence and the likelihood of functional trade-offs in a heterogeneous environment suggest that conservatism of the response niche is unlikely to be detectable under natural conditions. To test the relevance of evolutionary information in predicting ecological responses, we tested for conservatism (measured as phylogenetic signal) of grassland plant population responses to 14 treatments (e.g. light, nutrients, water, enemies, mutualists), each manipulated for 2–3 years, and 4 treatment categories (aboveground, belowground, resource, and herbivory) at a single site. Individual treatment responses showed limited evidence of conservatism, with only weak conservatism in plant responses to mycorrhizae and grazing. Aspects of the response niche were conserved among monocots both aboveground and belowground, although the pattern varied. Conservatism was limited to grazing aboveground, but belowground responses were conserved as a group, suggesting fundamental differences in how selection has led to niche conservatism in aboveground and belowground environments. Overall, our results suggest that conservatism of the response niche is not common, but is actually rare. As such, evolutionary relationships are likely to be of limited relevance for predicting species responses under field conditions, at least over the short time scales used in this study. © 2013 Elsevier GmbH. All rights reserved. Introduction Plant populations often respond idiosyncratically to changes in their environment (Tilman, 1987; Turkington et al., 2002). Efforts have been made to identify species characteristics that can be used to develop a predictive framework for changes in the relative abundance of plant populations (e.g. Grime, 1977; Westoby, 1998). Based upon the idea that related species are more ecologically similar (Darwin, 1859), hypothesized patterns of descent (e.g. a phylogeny) have been used with some success in determining how species respond to both biotic (Burns and Strauss, 2011; Reinhart et al., 2012) and abiotic (Niinemets and Valladares, 2006; Prinzing, 2001; Willis et al., 2008) elements of their environments. Further, ∗ Corresponding author at: B715 Biological Sciences Building, University of Alberta, Edmonton, AB T6G 2E9, Canada. Tel.: +1 780 492 1577; fax: +1 780 492 9234. E-mail address: [email protected] (J.A. Bennett). 1433-8319/$ – see front matter © 2013 Elsevier GmbH. All rights reserved. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ppees.2013.10.001 many ecological factors differentially affect certain lineages within the community, causing phylogenetic clustering (Helmus et al., 2010; Verdú and Pausas, 2007). This suggests that phylogeny can be used as a tool to predict species responses to changes in their environment, but for phylogeny to be a useful predictor of ecological responses, the niche must be conserved. However, the prevalence of niche conservatism has been questioned (Knouft et al., 2006; Lavergne et al., 2010; Losos, 2008; Silvertown et al., 2006b). Niche conservatism can have multiple definitions. Here, we define niche conservatism broadly as the tendency of related species to respond similarly to abiotic or biotic environmental conditions (Wiens et al., 2010; Wiens and Graham, 2005). This definition is more liberal than other definitions that consider niche conservatism to require species being more similar than expected under a model of Brownian evolution (Losos, 2008). While phylogenetic relatedness is often considered an integrative measure of functional similarity (Mouquet et al., 2012; Webb et al., 2002), for plants, ecologically relevant traits are often labile (CavenderBares et al., 2006; Grime, 2006) or environmentally plastic (Berg J.A. Bennett, J.F. Cahill Jr. / Perspectives in Plant Ecology, Evolution and Systematics 15 (2013) 328–337 and Ellers, 2010; Burns and Strauss, 2012). Further, there are many ways to respond to different aspects of the environment. For example, defensive compounds are produced using different pathways, but all reduce herbivory (Howe and Jander, 2008) and competitive response is associated with many traits representing different ways of coping with reduced resource availability (Wang et al., 2010). Additionally, traits may be associated with multiple functions, yet multiple traits may determine a species’ functional response to a given factor. High volumes of fine roots can increase both nitrogen and water uptake (Craine et al., 2003), but periodic drought tolerance also requires that the plant be able to store water for later use, which is not an adaptation related to nitrogen uptake (Craine, 2009). This suggests that conservatism of a trait does not mean that a plant’s response to one factor related to that trait can predict its response to other related factors. Many of the traits necessary to respond to environmental conditions also involve functional trade-offs, such as those between shade and drought tolerance (Niinemets and Valladares, 2006). As a consequence, plant species may be suited to cope with certain environmental conditions, but not others. Thus, for many reasons, ecological responses are often less conserved than morphological or physiological traits (Losos, 2008; Prinzing, 2001). This suggests that evolutionary information may be of limited use for predicting how species respond to environmental conditions in nature. When suites of traits appear to confer specific functioning, they have often been grouped into plant functional strategies (Reich et al., 2003; Westoby, 1998). Most commonly, plant strategies are associated with responses to resource availability and disturbance, where some species are adapted to quick growth and rapid resource acquisition, while others are adapted to disturbances such as herbivory (Craine, 2009; Grime, 1977; Reich et al., 2003). Responses to both resources and herbivory are often consistent within broad, phylogenetically distinct functional groups (Coughenour, 1985; Lavorel et al., 1997; Niinemets and Valladares, 2006; Turkington et al., 2002), yet the evidence for conservatism of traits representing these plant strategies is mixed (Brunbjerg et al., 2012; Diaz et al., 2004). While there are a few experimental tests for conservatism of plant strategies, to our knowledge, no studies have tested whether population responses to multiple treatments related to these strategies are conserved. Plant strategies require coordinated responses to multiple environmental factors, both above- and belowground. This requires that root and shoot traits co-vary. There is evidence for such covariance (Craine et al., 2001, 2002), although root and shoot traits may have evolved independently (Kembel and Cahill, 2011). Individual root and shoot traits show varying degrees of conservatism (Anderson et al., 2011; Comas et al., 2012; Diaz et al., 2004; Grime and Mackey, 2002; Kembel and Cahill, 2005, 2011), as do plant responses to various above- and belowground factors (Niinemets and Valladares, 2006; Prinzing, 2001; Silvertown et al., 2006b). However, it is unclear whether plant responses to either aboveground or belowground factors as groups would be phylogenetically conserved and there are no experimental tests of this concept. To test whether related species responded similarly to changes in their environment, and thus if response niches were conserved, we synthesized the results of six short-term (2–3 years) experiments conducted in a single grassland system within the Aspen Parkland eco-region of Canada. In total, 14 abiotic and biotic treatments were manipulated: aboveground insecticide; belowground insecticide; contact fungicide; drought; fixed interval watering; high intensity clipping; litter removal; low intensity clipping; nitrogen addition; nitrogen, phosphorus and potassium (NPK) addition; shading; systemic fungicide; variable interval watering; and warming. From population responses to these treatments, we 329 tested for niche conservatism (as measured by phylogenetic signal) in responses to each individual treatment and in responses to four categories of ecological treatments representing resource, herbivory, aboveground, and belowground treatment groupings. Materials and methods Site description All experiments occurred at the approximately 5000 ha University of Alberta research ranch at Kinsella, Alberta, Canada (53◦ 05 N, 111◦ 33 W). Research occurred in three fields located in two separate sections of the ranch totalling 100 ha. Field 1 was located in the northern part of the ranch, whereas fields 2 and 3 are in the southern part of the ranch, with the two sites separated by approximately 6 km. The fields used are unseeded and unbroken and represent a savannah habitat with mixed grass prairie (primarily Hesperostipa curtiseta (Hitchc.) Barkworth, Poa pratensis L. and Festuca hallii (Vasey) Piper) interspersed with stands of aspen (Populus tremuloides Michx.). Though historically lightly grazed by cattle, grazing was halted for the duration of each experiment. As is true for many grasslands (Foster et al., 2004; Silvertown et al., 2006c; Tilman, 1996), plant community structure and function varies spatially and temporally. Soils at the site have a thin topsoil layer over glacial till (Lamb, 2008), but are spatially variable in texture, chemistry, and topography (Bennett et al., 2013). The site has an average annual temperature of 2.8 ◦ C and receives approximately 430 mm of precipitation in an average year, but is subject to periodic drought (Cahill, 2003). Fig. 1 shows the variability in species richness, productivity, and phylogenetic diversity over the duration of the experiments. These data were taken from un-manipulated plots at the field site, with species richness and phylogenetic diversity data derived from cover estimates (0.25 m2 ) and productivity estimates from live biomass clipped in small plots (0.10 m2 ), dried, and weighed. Phylogenetic diversity was calculated using the constructed phylogeny (see below) as abundance weighted mean phylogenetic distance (Webb et al., 2002) using the independent swap null model (Gotelli, 2000) in the picante package in R (Kembel et al., 2010). Species richness and productivity were variable among years and across fields, with field 1 having higher species richness and productivity than fields 2 and 3. Phylogenetic diversity was much more consistent across fields, with limited interannual variation (Fig. 1), suggesting greater consistency in the phylogenetic structure of the community. Data selection Data were taken from six separate multi-year multi-factorial experiments, containing a total of 14 treatments (Table 1). Within each independent experiment, interactions among the treatments were included in the original study. However, we do not have data testing the interactive effects of all treatments, so we limit our analyses to main effects, though we recognize complex interactions among this number of treatments can occur. For each treatment, we only used plots where a single treatment was applied and compared those treatment plots to a control plot with no treatments applied within the same block. Grazing was simulated by clipping plants at either low intensity (7 cm stubble height) or high intensity (3 cm stubble height; White et al., 2012). Fertilizers were applied either as ammonium nitrate (5.4 g N/m2 ) for nitrogen only (Lamb, 2008) or as a slow-release fertilizer for NPK at 5.2 g NPK/m2 (applied as 14:14:14 Osmocote® Classic, Scotts, Bennett et al., in preparation). Fixed interval watering increased total precipitation by 50% through weekly water addition (Lamb, 2008). Drought treatments decreased precipitation by 60% using rainout 330 J.A. Bennett, J.F. Cahill Jr. / Perspectives in Plant Ecology, Evolution and Systematics 15 (2013) 328–337 Fig. 1. Inter-annual variability in (B) species richness, (C) phylogenetic diversity, calculated as abundance weighted mean phylogenetic distance, and (D) standing biomass over the course of the 14 experimental manipulations. Panel A shows the time frame over which each of the manipulations was conducted. In panels B–D, empty circles show conditions in field 1, grey circles in field 2, and black circles in field 3. Experimental manipulations abbreviated as follows: AI – aboveground insecticide, BI – belowground insecticide, CF – contact fungicide, D – drought, FW – fixed interval watering, HC – high intensity clipping, LC – low intensity clipping, LR – litter removal, N – nitrogen addition, NPK – NPK addition, S – shade, SF – systemic fungicide, VW – variable interval watering, and W – warming. Error bars in panels B–D represent standard error. shelters (White et al., 2012). This water was collected and added to plots within 24 h following rainfall for the variable interval watering treatment (White et al., 2012). Shade cloth was used to reduce light by 73% (Lamb, 2008), open-top chambers were used to warm plots by approximately 3 ◦ C (White et al., 2012), and litter was removed by raking (Bennett et al., in preparation). Insects were suppressed using chlorpyrifos with LorsbanTM 4E (Dow) used for aboveground insects and LorsbanTM 5G (Dow) for belowground insects (Clark et al., 2012; Coupe et al., 2009). Fungi were suppressed using both a systemic fungicide (Benomyl, Dupont Inc.; Cahill et al., 2008a) and a contact fungicide (Rovral® , Bayer; Bennett et al., in preparation). As with all pesticides, each of the pesticides used has non-target effects. Chlorpyrifos is known to decrease nutrient availability (Sardar and Kole, 2005) and can be harmful to other organisms (vandenBrink et al., 1996). Benomyl is commonly used to suppress arbuscular mycorrhizal fungi (e.g. Hartnett and Wilson, 1999), but it also has effects on nontarget organisms and can increase available nitrogen (Allison et al., 2007). Rovral® has also been used to suppress mycorrhizal fungi (Gange et al., 1990), but has fewer documented effects on nontarget organisms (Ganade and Brown, 1997) and no detectable effects on soil nutrient availability (J.A. Bennett, unpublished data). Detailed methods for each treatment can be found in the original manuscripts. Additional methods details for the unpublished experiment are found in Table 1. Relative abundance was estimated as percent vegetative cover, a commonly used method to assess relative change within herbaceous plant communities (Lamb and Cahill, 2008; Tilman, 1987). Most experiments were 2–3 years long, but some experiments ran for longer than 3 years and only percent cover estimates were collected in the interim as destructive harvesting was unfeasible. To minimize the variation in experimental duration, we chose to limit experimental duration to 3 years. Across all experiments, we calculated the responses of 54 different species to at least one treatment, with an additional six species included when calculating aggregate responses to treatment categories (see below). For most species, we were able to calculate responses to approximately half of the 14 treatments (mean 7.1, standard deviation 4.19), although species did vary in how often we were able to calculate responses (see Figure A1). Our abundance estimates were the mean of three cover estimates taken over the growing season (late spring, mid-summer, and late summer) from 0.25 m2 sub-plots within each larger control or treatment plot. Changes in relative abundance for each species were calculated as the log response ratio of abundances (ln(treatment/control)) for each pair of treatment and control plots. The log response ratio was used instead of percent change to normalize responses (Hedges et al., 1999). As many experiments were multi-factorial, control plots within a given block were used in the calculation of responses to multiple treatments. For example, when calculating responses to aboveground and belowground insect suppression, the control plot where no treatments were applied was used to calculate responses to both aboveground insect suppression and belowground insect suppression. However, plots where insects were suppressed above- and belowground were not included in any calculations. From these measurements, we calculated the average response of a species to each treatment and the standard error of that estimate. By using the average response of a species, we ignore the potential variation in how individuals of a given species respond to a treatment due to neighbour composition or local environmental conditions. Given that we are testing the generality of niche conservatism and the utility of evolutionary information for informing ecology under natural conditions, the particular set of conditions under which related species respond similarly is not of interest in the current study. For each treatment, the mean change in abundance across populations and its 95% confidence intervals were estimated using the average response of each species to each treatment in a mixed model in SPSS (v. 19.0). We only included species for which we could calculate the standard error for a given treatment and weighted species responses by the inverse of that standard error. We also attempted to account for additional sources of variation by including a number of random factors, including year of data collection and experimental duration. As experiments at the site were spatially distinct, we included experimental identity to account for spatial variability among and within fields, but nested it within year as data from multiple experiments was collected in most years. Species identity was also included as a random factor to account for differences in species pool across factors. Thus, we included J.A. Bennett, J.F. Cahill Jr. / Perspectives in Plant Ecology, Evolution and Systematics 15 (2013) 328–337 331 Table 1 Meta data for each treatment included in the analysis. Treatmenta Categoryb Harvested Length (years) Field Speciesc Nd Dir.e Methods Aboveground insecticide Belowground insecticide Contact fungicide Drought Fixed watering High clipping Litter Low clipping Nitrogen NPK Shading Systemic fungicide Variable watering Warming A,H B,H U,U B,R B,R A,H A,U A,H B,R B,R U,U U,U B,R U,U 2003, 2005 2005 2010 2010 2005 2010 2010 2010 2005 2010 2005 2005 2010 2010 2, 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 3 3 2 3 3 3 3 1, 2 1 1 3 1 3 1 3 1 1 1 1 3 3 48 41 41 10 46 15 41 15 45 41 45 38 12 16 22 10 20 5 22 5 20 5 22 20 22 20 5 5 + + ? − + − ? − + + − ? + ? Clark et al. (2012) and Coupe et al. (2009) Coupe et al. (2009) Bennett et al. (in preparation)f White et al. (2012) Lamb (2008) White et al. (2012) Bennett et al. (in preparation)f White et al. (2012) Lamb (2008) Bennett et al. (in preparation)f Lamb (2008) Cahill et al. (2008a) White et al. (2012) White et al. (2012) a b High and low refer to the intensity of clipping; above and below refer to aboveground and belowground; fixed and variable refer to the interval of watering. Treatments are classified as aboveground (A) or belowground (B) and herbivory (H) or resource-based (R). Treatments we could not classify are categorized as unknown (U). c Species refers to the number of species for which we could calculate the standard error of their response to that treatment, allowing us to estimate their response to that treatment. d N refers to the number of paired treatment and control plots in the experiment where the treatment was applied. e Treatments were classified as having a positive (+), negative (−) or unknown (?) hypothesized direction of effect. f Rovral® (Bayer) was applied to half the plots at a rate of 0.36 g/m2 active ingredient (iprodione) every two weeks. Litter was raked each spring in all plots, replaced in control plots and disposed of in litter removal plots. Fertilizer was added as 3- to 4-month slow release 14:14:14 nutrient pellets (Osmocote® , Scotts) each spring at a rate of 5.22 g NPK/m2 . treatment as a fixed effect and the calendar year the data was collected, the duration of the experiment, experiment identity nested within year and species identity as random effects in the model. In the final model, we retained only species identity among the random effects as the other random effects explained no additional variation, resulting in a Hessian matrix that was not positive definite. Given that there is spatial and temporal heterogeneity in local community processes (Fig. 1), we explored the amount of variation explained by year and experimental identity relative to the treatments to evaluate our decision to exclude them from the model. We ran a mixed model with year, experimental identity nested within year, and treatment identity nested within experimental identity within year as fixed factors. As in the previous model, species identity was included as a random effect and species responses were weighted by the inverse of the standard error. Only treatment identity (F9,421 = 2.73, P = 0.004) and not experiment identity (F3,450 = 1.34, P = 0.261) or year (F2,456 = 1.45, P = 0.236) explained significant variation in species responses, supporting our decision to remove these random factors. We recognize that this does not account for potential differences in how species may respond to treatments in different years, but given the nature of the data such a test is not feasible. Phylogenetic information Phylogenetic information was extracted from the molecular phylogeny outlined in Bennett et al. (2013) that sampled 146 species across 35 families found at the study site (see Fig. A2). The phylogeny was based on a 1400 bp section of the ribulose-biphosphate carboxylase gene (rbcL) and constructed using standard techniques. Although the phylogeny only sampled one gene, sequence variation in rbcL was sufficient to resolve relationships with strong support. Deeper branching patterns were consistent with published angiosperm phylogenies based on multiple genes (Bremer et al., 2009; Soltis et al., 2011) and topology within families were largely consistent with published phylogenies for the Poaceae (Döring et al., 2007), Asteraceae (Selliah and Brouillet, 2008), Rosaceae (Dobeš and Paule, 2010), and Brassicaceae (Beilstein et al., 2008). In addition, few polytomies are present except amongst close relatives within Poaceae and Asteraceae (Fig. A1). Polytomies at the tips of a phylogenetic tree are unlikely to influence analyses of phylogenetic signal (Münkemüller et al., 2012; Swenson, 2009). Niche conservatism Our definition of niche conservatism – related species respond similarly to ecological factors – is broad and our approach is holistic in its focus on population outcomes, rather than trait-focused measures of plant morphology or physiology. We used three separate methods to test for phylogenetic signal as a proxy for niche conservatism: Blomberg’s K (Blomberg et al., 2003), Pagel’s (Pagel, 1999), and the decomposition of trait variation (Pavoine et al., 2010). The first two methods assess whether the distribution of traits (or in this case population responses) among species follows a Brownian motion model of evolution. The third method assesses response diversity among all the species descending from each branch of each node of the phylogenetic tree, measured as quadratic entropy (Rao, 1982). This information is used to generate both a visual display of where divergence occurred along the tree and uses randomization procedures to determine if there is significant phylogenetic signal. The randomization tests for the response decomposition analyses indicate whether response variation is skewed towards a single node, a few nodes, the root, or the tips (Pavoine et al., 2010). Variation skewed towards the root or towards one or few nodes can be used to infer niche conservatism or at least differentiation, whereas variation skewed towards the tips suggests convergence. However, careful examination of how variation in responses is distributed across the nodes of the phylogeny is required to infer patterns of niche conservatism. Before quantifying phylogenetic signal, we created separate phylogenetic trees for each experimental treatment, for a total of 14 trees. Each tree was created by pruning the full phylogenetic tree to include only species for which we had a response value with an associated error measurement in that treatment. We calculated both K and and tested their significance using the phylosig function in the GEIGER package in R (Harmon et al., 2008). To decompose trait variation, we used an updated version of the R scripts from Pavoine et al. (2010) provided by the author in the 332 J.A. Bennett, J.F. Cahill Jr. / Perspectives in Plant Ecology, Evolution and Systematics 15 (2013) 328–337 Fig. 2. Average change in relative abundance following manipulation of various individual treatments (above heavy solid line) and treatment categories (below solid line) applied to a native grassland. Treatment and treatment category effects are arranged in descending order of the absolute value of the average response. Dots represent the estimated marginal mean of the log response ratio with error bars showing the 95% confidence intervals of that estimate. Numbers following treatment names represent the number of species measured followed by the number of replicates for individual treatments and the number of species measured for treatment categories. ade4 package in R (Chessel et al., 2004). Responses were considered to be conserved if the tests for phylogenetic signal indicated that there was significant variation at one or a few nodes that represent deep branches within the phylogeny. A more thorough explanation of these methods can be found in the online Appendix. Each test for phylogenetic signal was conducted for each individual factor with both ultrametric and non-ultrametric trees. The results were similar, and thus we only present those using the non-ultrametric tree. In addition to assessing niche conservatism in response to each individual treatment, we also assessed conservatism of responses to broad categories of treatments (Table 1). The first set of categories represent plant strategies for responding to resource availability and herbivory responses (Grime, 1977; Reich et al., 2003), while the second set of categories test whether the phylogenetic conservatism seen for many root and shoot traits (Anderson et al., 2011; Cahill et al., 2008b; Comas et al., 2012; Kembel and Cahill, 2005, 2011) resulted in conservatism in species responses to aboveground and belowground treatments. Before estimating responses to treatment categories, we standardized the direction of effect such that each treatment was expected to negatively affect population growth (Table 1). For example, the effects of water addition were made negative, whereas drought was left as is. We used these adjusted species responses to the individual treatments to estimate species responses to each of the treatment categories. For Table 2 Phylogenetic signal in individual treatments and treatment categories. Treatment typed # Speciese Significance of skewness (P)* Aboveground insecticide Belowground insecticide Contact fungicide Drought Fixed interval watering High intensity clipping Litter removal Low intensity clipping Nitrogen addition NPK addition Shading Systemic fungicide Variable interval watering Warming Aboveground (agg) Belowground (agg) Herbivory (agg) Resource (agg) 40 35 33 9 41 12 34 13 42 33 39 34 10 10 54 53 49 50 Pagel’s Blomberg’s K Single node Few nodes Root/tip K P P 0.53 0.506 0.788 0.056 0.918 0.913 0.952 0.635 0.679 0.521 0.650 0.033 0.968 0.884 0.149 0.029 0.099 0.188 0.397 0.934 0.621 0.14 0.987 0.894 0.445 0.042 0.112 0.737 0.882 0.668 0.906 0.989 0.592 0.628 0.456 0.244 0.278 0.229 0.469 0.248 0.412 0.847 0.553 0.278 0.566 0.508 0.679 0.591 0.309 0.254 0.435 0.292 0.359 0.590 0.109 0.024 0.132 0.443 0.137 0.349 0.160 0.366 0.058 0.136 0.158 0.146 0.433 0.253 0.107 0.110 0.061 0.091 0.597 0.985 0.651 0.407 0.301 0.169 0.170 0.181 0.801 0.649 0.114 0.355 0.168 0.771 0.379 0.415 0.801 0.567 6.61E−05 6.61E−05 6.61E−05 6.61E−05 6.61E−05 0.010 6.61E−05 0.093 6.61E−05 6.61E−05 6.61E−05 6.61E−05 0.407 6.61E−05 6.61E−05 0.214 6.61E−05 0.100 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 0.976 1.000 0.723 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 0.373 1.000 1.000 0.055 1.000 0.319 a b c Values significant at ˛ = 0.05 are bolded. Single node skewness refers to situations where a single node (branching point) on the phylogenetic tree accounts for most of the variation in plant responses. Similarly, few nodes skewness refers to situations where a small number of nodes can explain variation in plant responses. c Root/tip skewness occurs when most of the variation in plant responses can be explained by either deep branches in the tree or by variation among the tips of the tree. d Responses to aggregated categories of treatments are denoted by (agg) and represent model estimated mean responses by individual species to all treatments that fit in that category (Table 1). e The number of species represents the number of species included in that analysis of phylogenetic signal and is limited to the species for which we could calculate a mean response to that treatment or treatment category. * a b J.A. Bennett, J.F. Cahill Jr. / Perspectives in Plant Ecology, Evolution and Systematics 15 (2013) 328–337 333 this estimation, we used mixed models, one for each set of treatment categories, with only species with at least three response values in a category included in the models. Within these models, we also included a number of random effects to account for other potential sources of variation. We initially included treatment category and species identity as fixed effects with treatment identity nested within treatment category, experimental duration, calendar year of harvest, and experiment identity included as random effects. However, we only retained one random effect in both final models, treatment identity nested within treatment category, as it was the only random effect that explained any variation. From the models, we estimated (as marginal means) both the mean response to the treatment categories across species and the response of the individual species to the same treatment categories. These species-specific category means were then used in our phylogenetic analyses, following the same methods as described for the individual treatments. Results As expected, species varied in their responses to the individual treatments, with only high intensity clipping and shading causing significant net change across populations (Fig. 2). Population responses to individual treatments were generally not conserved (Table 2). We found no evidence of conservatism for individual treatments as measured using Blomberg’s K or Pagel’s , but population responses to 2 of 14 treatments (systemic fungicide application and low intensity clipping (Fig. 3 and Table 2)) were similar among related species according to the skewness tests. Variation in plant responses to systemic fungicide application was skewed towards a single node differentiating Asterids, which mostly responded negatively, from the other core eudicots, which generally showed positive responses (Fig. 3A). Conversely, variation in responses to low intensity clipping was skewed towards multiple nodes representing variation within the Asteraceae, within the Poaceae, and between monocots and eudicots, where monocots increased following clipping and eudicots were on average neutral (Fig. 3B). This weak evidence of niche conservatism suggests that evolutionary history does little to predict how species respond to environmental conditions under natural conditions. Similar to the individual treatments, there was no evidence of conservatism in species’ responses to the factor groupings when measuring Blomberg’s K, but there was some evidence of conservatism using Pagel’s and the skewness tests. Specifically, we found evidence for niche conservatism in population responses to the group of belowground treatments, but not to groups of aboveground, top-down, or bottom-up treatments (Table 2 and Fig. 4A). Variation in species responses to belowground treatments was significantly skewed towards a single node corresponding to a split between monocots and eudicots (Fig. 4B), where monocots declined strongly in response to belowground stresses and eudicot responses were variable, but on average positive. Discussion Plant species varied in their population responses to the different individual treatments, but these responses showed only occasional and weak evidence of niche conservatism. The results of previous studies on ecological responses and environmental niches have been inconsistent as well, with some studies showing strong conservatism (Burns and Strauss, 2011; Prinzing, 2001; Reinhart et al., 2012; Willis et al., 2008), others weak conservatism (Niinemets and Valladares, 2006; Thuiller et al., 2011), mixed conservatism (Cahill et al., 2008b), or no conservatism (Cavender-Bares Fig. 3. Phylogenetic signal in plant species’ responses to (A) contact fungicide application and (B) low intensity clipping depicted graphically as response diversity decomposed across a community phylogeny. TQE is the total quadratic entropy (response diversity) and the size of the circle at a given node represents the proportion of entropy concentrated at that node, which corresponds to the amount of divergence at that node. The bar graphs on the right of each panel show the response of species at that tip location to that treatment, with monocots and eudicots separated by the bar on the left and the major plant families in boxes of each panel. et al., 2004; Silvertown et al., 2006b). Some of this variability in niche conservatism may be due to the spatial scale at which niche conservatism is measured. Local scale niches (˛ niches) are thought to be more labile than habitat niches (ˇ niches) (Silvertown et al., 2006a), and empirical findings suggest that ˛ niches are often poorly conserved (Prinzing et al., 2008; Silvertown et al., 2006a,b). However, for our study region, trait conservatism is stronger within sites (˛ traits) than among sites (ˇ traits) (Kembel and Cahill, 2011). This suggests that other factors, besides scale, have led to a lack of response niche conservatism at the site. Further, for sites where niches are not conserved at local scales (Prinzing et al., 2008; Silvertown et al., 2006a), responses to environmental change are even less likely to be conserved. There are many reasons for niche 334 J.A. Bennett, J.F. Cahill Jr. / Perspectives in Plant Ecology, Evolution and Systematics 15 (2013) 328–337 Fig. 4. Phylogenetic signal in plant species’ responses to (A) aboveground and (B) belowground treatments. The size of the circle at a given node represents the contribution of that node to total diversity in responses. The bar graphs show the average response of the species at that tip location on the tree to either aboveground or belowground stresses and disturbances. Monocots and eudicots are shown along the left hand side of panel A and the major grassland plant families are enclosed within boxes. conservatism to be variable, including the niche axis considered, its relationship to local environmental conditions, the nature of the species pool, and the need to adapt to a diverse set of selective forces (Grime, 2006; Losos, 2008; Prinzing et al., 2008). We suggest that functional convergence needs to also be considered. There are many ways to accomplish different ecological tasks (e.g. mycorrhizae or root traits for nutrient acquisition (Lambers et al., 2008)), and thus there is a high likelihood of functional convergence even if different sets of traits are conserved among lineages. Our finding of limited conservatism of responses, despite morphological trait conservatism at the site (Kembel and Cahill, 2011) supports this concept. In the current study, when evolutionary history explained any of the variation in species responses, it was primarily related to differences between monocots and eudicots. This result is consistent with the large differences between monocots and eudicots in belowground traits and root foraging (Grime and Mackey, 2002; Kembel and Cahill, 2005) and responses to herbivory (Coughenour, 1985). Further, it is consistent with broad differences between monocot and eudicot crop species in how they respond to belowground resources and stresses (Richmond and Sussman, 2003; Sadras and Milroy, 1996). However, monocot, but not eudicot, responses to the treatments were conserved; monocots decreased in abundance when experiencing belowground stresses, but increased following simulated herbivory. This response conservatism fits with the general conservatism of traits related to gathering soil resources (e.g. adventitious root growth and high root allocation) and regrowth following grazing (e.g. basal meristem and high root allocation) across graminoids and many monocots (Chase, 2004; Coughenour, 1985). However, it is interesting that belowground responses were conserved as a group, but only grazing responses were conserved aboveground. In this system, belowground insect suppression had minimal effect, causing belowground responses to be driven by belowground resource responses. Having a large root system already in place is going to be advantageous following resource pulses, regardless of the nature of the resource. Given that we saw no evidence for conservatism in species responses to individual belowground treatments, it suggests that niche differentiation among monocots may come from species abilities to take up different resources. Conversely, both shading and clipping had large effects on population abundances and there are known trade-offs between shade and herbivory tolerance (McGuire and Agrawal, 2005), which could limit a species ability to be respond to multiple aboveground treatments. This suggests that there may be different modes of selection influencing how species are able to respond to aboveground and belowground treatments. Despite differences in conservatism of responses among monocots in how they responded to belowground treatments and grazing, we did not find a similar pattern for resource and herbivory responses. Selective forces related to resource capture are expected to cause convergent evolution (Grime, 2006) and there are known trade-offs between belowground resource capture (high root allocation) and shade tolerance (high shoot allocation) (Valladares and Niinemets, 2008). Both mechanisms could limit the conservatism of resource responses. However, trade-offs alone could have limited conservatism of herbivory responses. There are also resource allocation trade-offs between herbivory tolerance and resistance (Agrawal and Fishbein, 2006) which could limit conservatism of responses to herbivory in general. Further, insect herbivory is variable in its form (Crawley, 1989) and although grasses may be adapted to grazing (Coughenour, 1985), it seems unlikely that any species would be well adapted to all forms of herbivory. However, more evidence is necessary before we can draw any firm conclusions. Of the treatment responses which showed evidence of conservatism, only systemic fungicide, which suppressed mycorrhizae (Cahill et al., 2008a), was conserved among groups other than the monocots. Here, we found that Asterids generally decreased following mycorrhizal suppression, whereas other core eudicots mostly increased. Other recent studies found variation among grass tribes in how they responded to mycorrhizae (Reinhart et al., 2012), but there were differences in both methodology (e.g. inoculation vs. suppression, greenhouse vs. field) and species pool between the two studies that make comparison difficult without further work. However, it does suggest that there are phylogenetic functional groups in mycorrhizal response, but that these groups vary contextually. J.A. Bennett, J.F. Cahill Jr. / Perspectives in Plant Ecology, Evolution and Systematics 15 (2013) 328–337 If niche conservatism is truly common (Wiens et al., 2010), then there should be an emergent pattern in how related species respond to certain conditions. Our results suggest that conservatism of plant responses to environmental change, under natural conditions, is in fact rare. However, these results are limited to short-term responses to each of the treatments and do not necessarily reflect how species respond to long-term environmental changes. Although most experiments are of similar length to those used in this study, plant community responses to long-term manipulations are often different than those witnessed over shorter intervals (e.g. Silvertown, 1980). Therefore, responses to longterm changes may be conserved, resulting in the loss of some lineages and the addition of others; however, we are unable to address this issue with the current data. Plant responses to individual factors can also vary spatially and temporally depending on soil conditions, neighbour identity, and climate (Bertness and Callaway, 1994; Knapp et al., 2002; Pennings et al., 2005; Pulliam, 2000; Reader et al., 1994), but they can also be remarkably consistent across sites with highly diverse conditions (Pennings et al., 2005). Although, site conditions and community properties varied among the years over which the different experiments were conducted, phylogenetic diversity, with few exceptions, remained relatively consistent among years and locations. Thus, we see no reason we should expect a bias in how different lineages would respond to certain treatments or treatment categories depending on current conditions. It is possible that under more controlled conditions we would have found greater evidence of conservatism, but such a requirement would limit its applicability to natural systems. Additionally, we may have found evidence for phylogenetic conservatism in species’ responses to some treatments if we were able to include more species (e.g. drought or warming). Each of the tests for phylogenetic signal used are sensitive to low sample sizes (Münkemüller et al., 2012; Pavoine et al., 2010). However, in cases where phylogenetic signal is strong (e.g. low intensity clipping), we detected significant conservatism using the trait decomposition method. Thus, any evidence for conservatism in other treatment responses is likely weak if it escaped detection, although we cannot eliminate potential conservatism in the broader species pool. Synthesis Niche conservatism in response to individual treatments appears to be rare within this grassland community, despite morphological similarities among related species (Kembel and Cahill, 2011). Functional convergence and functional trade-offs likely preclude general conservatism of the ‘response niche’. This suggests that the ecological relevance of evolutionary history is limited, at least in a practical sense. Evolutionary relationships are unlikely to aid in forecasting how species will respond to global change and other current environmental problems, at least over terms similar to those used in the study (2–3 years). However, we did find some evidence that responses to grazing and belowground treatments were conserved among monocots. Conservatism of grazing responses among monocots is consistent with current understanding (Coughenour, 1985) and conservatism of responses to belowground treatments is consistent with findings among agronomic species (Richmond and Sussman, 2003; Sadras and Milroy, 1996) and with conservatism of traits (e.g. specific root length) important in multiple belowground functions (e.g. resource uptake) (Grime and Mackey, 2002; Kembel and Cahill, 2005). However, the lack of conservatism in response to individual factors suggests something about how niches are differentiated among monocots, in that they appear to specialize in different 335 belowground functions (e.g. nitrogen or water uptake), despite morphological and foraging similarities. Acknowledgments We would like to thank E.W. Bork, S.R. White, E.G. Lamb, B.H. Shore, M.R. Clark, and M.D. Coupe for supplying the original data, A.E. Nixon and M.W. Cadotte for their helpful comments, and S. Pavoine for providing updated versions of the R scripts. We would also like to thank Jack Welch, Barry Irving and the rest of the staff at the University of Alberta research ranch at Kinsella, for their help facilitating a decade of field research. J.F.C. oversaw the development and execution of all original datasets. J.F.C. originated the broader concept of comparing among all experimental treatments. J.A.B. developed the concepts of this particular study. J.A.B. conducted all analyses. J.A.B. wrote the paper and J.F.C. edited the manuscript. J.A.B. was supported by an NSERC PGS-D scholarship. This work was funded by a NSERC Discovery Grant and Discovery accelerator award to J.F.C. Funding sources for the original studies are listed within the associated manuscripts. Appendix A. 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