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Geodetic observations of land uplift Markku Poutanen Finnish Geodetic Institute National Geographics, November 2013 Facts and faults of climate change If glaciers melt, the sea level will rise Melting is a slow process, glacier calving is more effective Time scales 1000’s of years; Greenland, dynamic response 1000-10000 years W.Antarctica 100-1000 years E.Antarctica 10000-100000 years Amount of water: Facts and faults of climate change Antarctica glaciers are melting (climate should warm up +20C for this to happen. Precipitation may increase, more snowing, ice mass may increase…) Meltwater is evenly distributed in the world’s oceans (NO!) Amount of the sea level rise can directly be computed from the amount of melted ice (muuuchh more complicated) Coastal lines of Finland are in danger (not as long as the sea level rise is below 5-10 mm/y) Thermal expansion of oceans will cause sea level rise at coastal areas (NO. Potential is not changed, water will not flow anywhere) Sea level trends, 1992-2009. Cazenave Scenario if the Greenland glacier is melting Land uplift and geodetic measurements Geodetic techniques Terrestrial techniques: - Levelling (height determination) - Gravity measurements - Precise distances, baselines - Triangulation, trilateration - GNSS, permanent networks Space geodesy Geodetic Observing systems and multi technique sites To observe various aspects of GIA we need several techniques; in geodesy we observe 3D-motions, gravity, EOP, sea level, … This implies: GNSS, SLR, VLBI, AG, SCG, levelling, relative gravimetry, altimetry, InSAR, … Geodetic Observing Systems: GGOS, ECGN, NGOS, … Special projects (BIFROST, COST ES0701, DynaQlim…) + terrestrial levelling, AG, SCG, rel.g, tide gauges, … Motivation for multi-technique sites VLBI SLR Global Reference Frames GNSS BGI Geodynamics Postglacial rebound Earth structure Gravity changes Vertical datums Local coordinates Observing techniques IAG SERVICE (IVS) IAG SERVICE (ILRS) IAG SERVICE (IGS), EPN, NKG IAG SERVICE (IDS) UELN, Nordic PSML AG plan + archive (developing) GGP (OK, IAG PROJECT ) Many sources, partly available Meta-databases, data archives, partly available Permanent GNSS-networks Built in Nordic countries 1994-1996 Renewal now Repeated precise levellings Land uplift 1892-1910 N00 1935-1975 N60 1978-2006 N2000 Terrestrial gravimetry 15 Earth’s gravity field, global changes Glacial Isostatic Adjustment • Land uplift is just one consequence of the physical process called the Glacial Isostatic Adjustment, GIA • GIA-related phenomena originate to the large-scale mass transportation; Waxing and waning of the Northern hemisphere glaciers in about 100 000 year cycles cause up to 135 m of global sea level rise and fall. This corresponds about 5×1019 kg of mass • The mass transportation causes cyclic variation on the surface load resulting in the viscoelastic mantle flow and elastic effects on the upper crust • No single technique or observing network will give enough information on all aspects and consequences of GIA Glacial Isostatic Adjustment GIA with its unique temporal signatures is one of the great opportunities in geosciences to retrieve information about earth processes. GIA contains information about recent climate forcing, being dependent on the geologically recent on- and off-loading of ice sheets. GIA gives a unique chance to study the dynamics and rheology of the lithosphere and asthenosphere with an increasingly detailed modelling GIA is of fundamental importance in geodesy, since reference frames, physical heights, Earth rotation and polar motion are influenced by it. Phenomena and disciplines affected by GIA • Earth orientation parameters: reference frames • Post-glacial uplift, contemporary movements and gravity: heights and height systems • Dynamic ice sheets, glaciology • Quaternary paleoenvironments and climate • Neotectonics and seismotectonics • Dynamics, structure, properties and composition of the lithosphere Other signals The GIA signal is contaminated by several other spatially and temporally varying mass changes and crustal deformation. These include seismic deformation, mantle convection and plate tectonics Sea level change is an example of a phenomenon which is related to GIA but mixed with other signals. The observed sea level change relative to the benchmark on the ground contains components of GIA related crustal vertical motion, eustatic rise of the sea level, changes in semi-permanent sea surface topography and geoid changes. The uplift changes both heights and gravity Uplift rate mm/y Gravity Change (Vaasa ja Joensuu) Land uplift – gravity lines Courtesy J. Mäkinen at al 2004 Postglacial rebound, viscoelastic phase Slow viscoelastic phase, flow of upper mantle material Elastic rebound happens immediately after the deglaciation. Mass flow of upper mantle are slow, and and this viscoelastic phase takes tens on thousands of years. The Fennoscandian uplift is now in this phase. Gravity change combined with uplift information will give hints what happens in the lithosphere/upper mantle. Postglacial rebound, 3-D modelling Maps of vertical motion have traditionally been based on long time series of tide gauges and repeated precise levellings over several decades. Today we can observe 3-D motions with GNSS Courtesy Martin Lidberg / BIFROST Uplift rate vs. distance We get different values when using different techniques; Blue = GPS time series, Green = tide gauge data, Red = model 12.00 10.00 Uplift [mm/yr] 8.00 6.00 4.00 2.00 0.00 -2.00 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 Distance from uplift center [km] 1400 1600 BIFROST BIFROST (Baseline Inferences for Fennoscandian Rebound Observations, Sea level, and Tectonics) project uses a network of permanent GPS stations in Finland and Sweden to measure crustal deformation due to glacial isostatic adjustment (GIA). Project was initiated in 1993 taking advantage of tens of permanent GPS stations both in Finland and Sweden. Horizontal and vertical rates and model; BIFROST project Courtesy Glenn Milne, Martin Lidberg DynaQlim Upper Mantle Dynamics and Quaternary Climate in Cratonic Areas A regional co-ordination committee of the International Lithosphere Program (ILP) Markku Poutanen and the DynaQlim Group* * Søren Gregersen, Sören Haubrock, Erik Ivins, Matt King, Volker Klemann, Ilmo Kukkonen, Juha-Pekka Lunkka, Christophe Pascal, Hans-Georg Scherneck, Bert Vermeersen Objectives of DynaQlim to collect existing relevant geo-data for improving geophysical models, to improve kinematic 3-D models, and in general, understand better the dynamics of the Earth's crust, to better understand the relations between the upper mantle dynamics, mantle composition, physical properties, temperature and rheology, to study the effect of Quaternary climate, glaciation cycles and ice thickness on contemporary climate, rebound rate,… to study the Quaternary climate variations and Weichselian (Laurentian and other) glaciations, Objectives of DynaQlim to study the response of the gravity field with different ice loads and to understand the secular change of gravity in the rebound area and especially in its margin areas, to apply the results in the polar regions, like the glaciation history in Antarctica and Greenland and the Holocene rebound history in deglaciated areas, to offer reliable data for other disciplines in geoscience and for studies of the global change, sea level rise and climate variation Ancient shorelines can be used to reconstruct rebound / sea level changes during last 10 ky But: Land uplift/subsidence and sea level variations can not be separated in this data alone Tikkanen, Oksanen Back to the sea level rise… Sea level rise Wikipedia Observational evidences Wikipedia Observational evidences Wikipedia Observational evidences Wikipedia Sea level in Baltic Sea /Helsinki Courtesy Kimmo Kahma / Finnish Marine Research Institute Melting; where the meltwater is going? Top: Antarctica glaciers are melting Middle: Greenland glaciers are melting Bottom: Mountain glaciers are melting We see practically nothing of the Greeenland melting in the Baltic Sea Growth and decay of a glacier Vertical uplift of Fennoscandian far-field J.-M. Nocquet, E. Calais, B. Parsons (2005). GRL 32,L06308. Sea level rise, melting of glaciers Initial phase 0 m water has added in the ocean Ocean Oceanic crust Viscoelastic upper mantle Sea level at its initial height Continental crust Sea level rise, melting of glaciers Added water 1 m water has added in the ocean Sea level rises at shore line Continental crust Ocean Oceanic crust Viscoelastic upper mantle Sea bottom is pressed down Upper mantle viscoelastic flow under continents Summary • GIA is very complicated in the viewpoint of precise observations and reference frames • No single observing technique is sufficient • Geodetic observing systems (GGOS, ECGN, NGOS, …) offer (or will/should offer) multi-technique data/sites in a coordinated way • Many GIA-related phenomena are global but many consequences are local and may have also serious societal aspects (sea level rise, earth quakes, …) or which are laborous and expensive (new height systems) • We need also regional and local dense networks • Sub-mm accuracy in ten years + levelling for height control Summary 2 • Sea level is rising unevenly; depends on where the glaciers are melting • At shoreline we see less effect than calculated by the melt water • • • • Elastic loading of the sea bottom (immedeate) Viscoelastic flow of upper mantle (slow) Push of continents up Volume of oceans increased • Land uplift in Finland 2-9 mm/y = 20 – 90 cm / 100 y • Most sea level rise is absorbed by the uplift • Greenland effect almost zero here